智通财经APP获悉，兴业证券发布研报称，干散货航运需求端具有多种利好因素，供给端增量较有限， 有望步入新一轮上行周期。从需求端看，煤炭、粮食等货种需求仍有支撑，而几内亚西芒杜铁矿发运、 铝土矿输出持续增长以及俄乌、巴以未来战后重建均带来利好期权;从供给端看，高船价、长排期压制 下，未来数年供给难以转向宽松。该行预计干散货航运未来数年将进入温和复苏周期，随着运量、运距 需求的逐步增长，运价中枢有望逐步抬升。 兴业证券主要观点如下： 干散货航运：货种多样，周期显著 干散货航运为全球航运市场三大主流业务之一，其运输货种以铁矿、煤炭、粮食为主(占比60%左右)， 兼顾钢材、木材、肥料、铝土矿等小宗散货。从需求端来看，干散货航运需求是运量与运距的乘积，其 分析主要立足于中国(全球最大干散货买方)的需求和铁矿、煤炭、粮食发运的季节性节奏，以及供需地 理结构变化与地缘博弈导致的运距变化;从供给端来看，干散货船队由大到小，依次由好望角型、巴拿 马型、超灵便型与灵便型组成，其中灵便、超灵便等小船型在数量上占多数，而好望角型船则在运力上 占主导。干散货航运市场属于完全竞争性市场，全球干散货船队运力CR8指数仅10.34%，运价波 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong port and shipping stocks experienced significant declines, with Pacific Basin Shipping falling over 7%, Orient Overseas International down 4.6%, and China Cosco Shipping Energy down 2.67% [1] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) dropped to a near two-week low, influenced by declines across all vessel types. The BDI fell by 137 points, or 5.09%, closing at 2557 points, marking the lowest level since November 27 [1] - Analysts suggest that the recent drop in the BDI reflects short-term fluctuations or weakening demand for global bulk shipping, indicating reduced freight rates for shipowners and negatively impacting expectations for future quarterly earnings [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performance includes: Pacific Basin Shipping at 2.450 with a decline of 7.20%, Orient Overseas International at 127.200 down 4.65%, and China Cosco Shipping Energy at 9.130 down 2.67% [2] - Other notable declines include China National Offshore Oil Corporation at 5.110 down 1.92%, China Cosco Shipping Holdings at 13.670 down 1.37%, China Merchants Port at 15.760 down 1.13%, and China Cosco Shipping Development at 1.110 down 0.89% [2]

12月3日，波罗的海干散货指数(BDI)报2845点，创下2023年12月6日以来新高水平，单日涨幅达9.42%， 为近两个月最大单日涨幅。值得注意的是，BDI已连续15个交易日上涨，过去一个月累计涨幅达46%， 显示出干散货航运市场的强劲复苏势头。 由于冲突、制裁和产量激增扰乱了全球供应线路，从能源到散装矿石等大宗商品的跨洋运费迈向罕见的 年底飙升。今年走主要航线运输原油的每日进账金额增幅最大，为467%，液化天然气和铁矿石等大宗 商品的运费则分别上涨了三倍多和一倍多。以往运费在年底会下降，因为这时期是需求淡季。船舶在海 上运输货物的时间越来越长，导致价格飙升，一些航运业高管预计，整体市场的紧张局面至少会持续到 明年年初。 集运市场也呈现回暖迹象。11月以来，亚欧航线迎来一轮涨价潮，包括达飞海运集团、赫伯罗特和地中 海航运在内的多家国际航运巨头相继发布涨价公告。涉及集运产业链相关港股：太平洋航运(02343)、 辽港股份(02880)、海丰国际(01308)、东方海外国际(00316)、中远海控(01919)。 【大势展望】 美股三大指数涨跌不一 Meta(META.US)涨超3.4% 【今日头条】 航运价 ...

Group 1 - The company announced a replacement agreement for shipbuilding contracts with Jiangsu Dajin Heavy Industry Co., Ltd., involving the transfer of all rights and obligations under the contracts for six vessels, with a total consideration of approximately $12.3 million [1] - The replacement aligns with the company's ongoing strategy to maintain a balanced fleet composition, optimizing its fleet and improving working capital and liquidity [1] - The board believes this replacement presents an opportunity to acquire shipbuilding contracts at a reasonable price, which will enhance the company's financial position and provide funds for fleet optimization [1] Group 2 - Additionally, the company's indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, SG XINDE INVESTMENT (HK) LIMITED, has contracted to acquire a 40% stake in CIMC Xinde Leasing (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., which is wholly owned by the buyer [2] - Through the replacement of shipbuilding contracts, the buyer's dry bulk transportation capacity will increase, allowing better fulfillment of market demand for dry bulk shipping services, expected to generate additional economic benefits for the group [2] - The company will continue to monitor the current market conditions in the shipping industry and adjust its fleet composition as necessary [2]

洲际船务(02409)发布公告，于2025年11月28日(联交所交易时段后)，买方与卖方江苏大津重工有限公司 及先前买方(公司的间接全资附属公司Seacon Shipping Pte. Ltd.)订立更替协议，据此，先前买方同意向 买方转让造船合约项下的所有权利及义务。更替完成后，除更替协议所载之修订外，有关六艘船舶的造 船合约经更替后继续具十足效力及作用，总代价约为1230万美元，即先前买方直至各更替协议日期根据 造船合约支付的总金额。 此外，于2025年9月29日，公司间接全资附属公司SG XINDE INVESTMENT (HK) LIMITED订约收购中 集鑫德租赁(深圳)有限公司(该公司全资拥有买方)40%的股权。因此，通过更替造船合约，买方(集团拥 有40%的权益)的干货运输能力将会增加，买方将能够更好地满足市场对其干散货航运服务的需求，预 期将为集团产生额外经济效益，符合集团的整体业务策略及长远利益。公司将持续注视航运业的现行市 场状况，并监察及适时调整集团的船队组合。 更替符合集团的持续战略，即通过维持船队组合均衡，以优化其船队。董事认为，更替为以合理价格更 替造船合约的机会，这将使集团能够改 ...

Summary of Haileong Development Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Haileong Development - **Industry**: Dry Bulk Shipping Key Financial Performance - **Q3 2025 Revenue**: 12.09 billion CNY, up 34.27% YoY - **Q3 2025 Net Profit**: 1.66 billion CNY, down 1.49% YoY - **YTD Revenue**: 30.09 billion CNY, up 16.32% YoY - **YTD Net Profit**: 2.53 billion CNY, down 38.47% YoY, primarily due to increased repair costs, especially for CAPE vessels [2][3] Cost Management and Repair Expenses - **Repair Costs**: Increased due to higher maintenance expenses, particularly for CAPE vessels, but controlled through enhanced supervision and self-repair initiatives [2][4] - **Average Daily Repair Cost**: Approximately 1,000 USD per vessel, with overall repair costs not significantly increasing despite a 20% rise in industry average [5] Market Dynamics and Regulatory Impact - **Impact of China's Countermeasures**: China's response to the US 301 investigation has benefited Chinese dry bulk shipping companies by reducing the presence of US-flagged vessels and increasing freight rates [2][6][7] - **Market Sentiment**: Positive sentiment in the market, with Cape market rates experiencing a significant spike [7] Expansion Plans - **Capacity Expansion**: The "Bai Chuan Plan" aims to expand the fleet to 100 vessels by 2028-2029, with annual capital expenditures of 10-15 billion CNY [2][8] - **Acquisition Strategy**: Plans to purchase approximately 15 second-hand ultra-flexible vessels annually, with funding primarily from self-owned funds and bank loans [8] Diversification and New Business Lines - **Multi-Purpose Vessel Acquisition**: The company is acquiring multi-purpose vessels (heavy-lift ships) to meet diversified global industry demands and support the "Belt and Road" initiative [9][10] - **Current Fleet**: 4 heavy-lift vessels acquired, with plans to purchase 2 more next year [10] Future Market Outlook - **West Simandou Mine**: Expected to start shipments in November, with a production target of 120 million tons by 2028, potentially impacting the dry bulk shipping market by replacing Australian or low-grade domestic ores [2][11] - **Q4 Market Sentiment**: Optimistic outlook for Q4 due to increased demand from countermeasures and rising alumina shipments [11] Industry Trends - **Freight Rate Expectations**: Positive outlook for freight rates, with CAPE rates projected to remain between 26,000 to 28,000 USD per day [19] - **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: Tight supply due to low newbuilding orders and aging fleet, coupled with demand increases from new mining projects, suggests a favorable market environment [19] Conclusion - Haileong Development is navigating a challenging environment with increased repair costs but is strategically positioned for growth through fleet expansion and diversification into new vessel types. The company's proactive measures in response to regulatory changes and market dynamics indicate a strong potential for future profitability.

Summary of Haitong Development Conference Call Company Overview - Haitong Development is a leading dry bulk shipping company in China, controlling nearly 5 million deadweight tons of capacity, ranking high in global ultra-flexible vessel capacity [2][4] - The company has expanded from domestic to international trade since its establishment in 2009 and has been listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange since March 2023 [4] Industry Insights - The dry bulk shipping market includes the transportation of commodities such as iron ore, coal, and grain, with vessel types categorized by size [4] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) experienced significant fluctuations due to external factors like U.S. tariffs, Australian hurricanes, and Brazilian rainfall, leading to a substantial decline in the first half of 2025 [2][5] - Since June, the BDI has rebounded to around 2000, a year-on-year increase of over 10%, driven by increased shipments from Australian and Brazilian mines and seasonal demand for coal [2][5][6] Key Points and Arguments - The company has implemented measures such as route selection, flexible capacity allocation, and concentrated repairs to mitigate the impact of market volatility [5] - Future quarters are expected to benefit from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and an upstream mining production cycle, which will positively influence dry bulk shipping demand [7] - The West Simandou project is anticipated to provide a stable growth point, with initial shipments expected before the Double Eleven shopping festival [7][8] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The current dry bulk fleet is aging, with a historically low number of orders, creating a tight supply situation that favors existing operators [9][10] - The average age of vessels is around 15 years, with about 30% being over 15 years old, which could lead to significant industry changes if older vessels are retired [10] Future Plans - The company plans to expand its fleet to 100 vessels by 2028-2029, primarily through self-funding and bank loans, while also purchasing second-hand vessels for cost efficiency [3][14] - The company has established a marketing department to strengthen ties with upstream miners and has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Xiamen Xiangyu to explore business opportunities [8][24] Environmental Considerations - The company is adapting to stricter environmental regulations, with measures in place to manage carbon emissions and improve compliance ratings [12] - The impact of carbon emission regulations is manageable, as costs can be passed on to charterers [12] Financial Outlook - The company expects improved profitability in the second half of the year, with high freight rates anticipated to persist [13] - Despite a significant decline in performance in the first half due to lower rates and repair costs, the outlook for the third and fourth quarters remains optimistic [13] Market Positioning - The company is focusing on its core dry bulk shipping business and does not plan to diversify into container or cruise shipping sectors [21] - The recent addition of three oil tankers is aimed at supporting internal trade operations, with limited impact on overall performance [22] Conclusion - Haitong Development is well-positioned in the dry bulk shipping market, with strategic plans for fleet expansion and partnerships that leverage market opportunities while navigating environmental challenges and fluctuating demand dynamics [2][7][8][13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.74%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 87 million yuan, down 64.14% year-on-year. The decline in performance is primarily due to a significant drop in dry bulk shipping market rates and increased costs from ship maintenance and environmental upgrades [1][2] - Despite short-term performance pressures, the company is expected to improve its performance in the second half of the year as the market recovers and the benefits of new capacity come into play [1][5] - The company has shown strong operational resilience by selecting high-margin shipping routes and flexible global vessel scheduling, achieving an average TCE of 12,258 USD per day for its self-operated ultra-flexible vessels, which is approximately 33% higher than the market average [3] - The company is expanding its capacity against the market trend, having added 12 vessels in the first half of 2025, bringing its total controlled capacity to 4.84 million deadweight tons [4] Financial Summary - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 360 million, 790 million, and 1.14 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.39, 0.87, and 1.24 yuan [5][7] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 4.129 billion yuan, reflecting a 13% increase from the previous year [7] - The company maintains a strong cost advantage and operational capability, which is expected to release higher profit elasticity as capacity expansion aligns with market recovery [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Container Shipping**: The EC futures market shows a weak shock, and the spot freight rate in September is in a rapid decline channel. The tariff pressure in the second half of the year is expected to reduce the support for freight rates, and the competition among shipping companies may intensify. The recommended trading strategies are short - term bearish shock for single - side trading and rolling operation of reverse spread for 10 - 12 contracts [5][7][10]. - **Dry Bulk Shipping**: The dry bulk freight index increased on August 22. The freight rate of Capesize ships increased, and the Far East Dry Bulk Index (FDI) also rose on August 25. The freight rate of large - scale ships is expected to recover in the short term, and the medium - sized ship market is expected to be slightly stronger in shock [17][18]. - **Oil Tanker Transportation**: The crude oil market and the refined oil market have different trends. The crude oil market is in a tight supply - demand pattern, which supports the increase of freight rates, while the refined oil market is relatively stable with weak demand. Short - term attention should be paid to the impact of concentrated bookings on the Middle East route in September, and long - term attention should be paid to the impact of environmental protection elimination and supply - demand reshaping on freight rates [26][27]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Container Shipping Market Analysis and Strategy Recommendation - **Futures Market**: On August 26, EC2510 closed at 1318.9 points, down 2.88% from the previous day. The latest SCFIS European line reported 1990.2 points on Monday after the market, down 8.7% month - on - month. The final delivery settlement price of EC2508 was 2135.28 points [5]. - **Spot Market**: In September, the spot freight rate is in a rapid decline channel, and the loading rate of shipping companies has decreased. MSK's offer for Shanghai - Rotterdam in WK37 is 1900 US dollars/FEU, down 200 US dollars from last week. The freight rates of other shipping companies also show a downward trend [7]. - **Tariff Impact**: The US plans to complete the investigation of adding furniture import tariffs within 50 days. In 2024, the container volume of furniture, home furnishings and lighting imported by the US accounted for 13% of the total imports. If the tariff is implemented, it will bring cost pressure to major exporting countries such as China and Vietnam [6]. - **Trading Strategy**: Single - side trading is recommended to be bearish in shock, and the valuation center of the October contract is expected to be revised down. For arbitrage, it is recommended to conduct reverse spread rolling operation for the 10 - 12 contracts [10]. Industry News - The US Vice - President mentioned that the US currently imposes a 54% tariff on China and has multiple dialogues with the Chinese government to end the trade war. The US may finalize a trade agreement with South Korea. Trump claims to impose tariffs on imported furniture, and the interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is considered appropriate [11][12]. - Regarding the Red Sea situation, Trump said it is difficult to deal with Netanyahu, and an outcome is expected in 2 - 3 weeks. Iran will start a new round of talks with the UK, France and Germany. The leader of Hezbollah refuses to disarm, and Israel is ready to support Lebanon in disarming Hezbollah [13][14][15]. Dry Bulk Shipping Market Analysis and Outlook - **Freight Index**: On August 22, the Baltic Dry Bulk Freight Index rose 2.69% to 1944 points. The Capesize ship freight index rose about 3.33% to 2793 points, the Panamax ship freight index rose 2.97% to 1770 points, and the Supramax ship freight index rose 1.35% to 1424 points. On August 25, the Far East Dry Bulk Index (FDI) reported 1316.81 points for the comprehensive index, up 4.7% month - on - month [17][18]. - **Spot Freight Rate**: On August 22, the freight rate of the Capesize ship iron ore route from Tubarao, Brazil to Qingdao was 23.44 US dollars/ton, up 0.73% month - on - month, and the freight rate from Western Australia to Qingdao was 9.40 US dollars/ton, up 7.37% month - on - month. The weekly freight rate data shows that the freight rates of some routes have increased or decreased [19]. - **Shipping Data**: From August 18 to 24, 2025, the global iron ore shipping volume decreased by 90.8 tons month - on - month. In the fourth week of August 2025, the cumulative shipment of soybeans in Brazil was 725.78 million tons, and the cumulative shipment of corn was 496.04 million tons [20]. - **Incident Impact**: An accident occurred at the Simfer mine in Guinea, and all activities at the mine have been suspended. The accident may affect the project progress, but the project is not expected to stop for a long time [21]. Industry News - In July 2025, India's coal imports decreased, with different demands for different types of coal. The free trade agreement negotiation between Canada and the South American Common Market will restart. The Brazilian court overturned the decision of the antitrust regulatory agency to suspend the "soybean fallow agreement" [24][25]. Oil Tanker Transportation Market Analysis and Outlook - **Freight Index**: On August 22, the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) was 1042, up 1.26% month - on - month and 16.16% year - on - year. The Baltic Clean Tanker Index (BCTI) was 618, up 0.65% month - on - month and down 1.28% year - on - year [26][27]. - **Market Trend**: The crude oil market is in an upward trend, with increasing demand for VLCC and Suezmax, and a tight supply - demand pattern supports the increase of freight rates. The refined oil market is relatively stable, with weak demand and sufficient supply of some ship types, and the freight rate maintains a shock trend [27]. Industry News - India will buy oil from the most profitable places, including Russia. The continuous rebound of oil prices is due to geopolitical disturbances and supply interruption risks. The market continues to pay attention to the Russia - Ukraine issue, and oil prices will continue to fluctuate [28].

Company Overview - Fujian Highton Development Co., Ltd. is focused on domestic coastal and international bulk cargo shipping services, having developed a strong market competitiveness in the domestic private bulk shipping sector [12][14]. - The company has seen its self-operated fleet in overseas shipping areas grow by over 300% since its listing, indicating significant expansion in its operational capabilities [14]. Industry Context - The shipping industry plays a crucial role in supporting economic development and national strategies, handling approximately 95% of China's foreign trade transportation [10][12]. - Recent government policies encourage the growth of shipping enterprises, promoting mergers and acquisitions to enhance competitiveness and operational scale [10][11]. - China's shipping industry is positioned for accelerated growth, supported by its leading global position in shipping fleet size and port infrastructure [12][13]. Fundraising Plan - The company plans to issue A-shares to specific investors, aiming to raise up to RMB 210 million, with net proceeds allocated to purchasing three new bulk carriers [29][30]. - The total investment for the project is estimated at RMB 269.4 million, with the company intending to enhance its fleet capacity and optimize its global shipping routes [29][30]. Share Issuance Details - The share issuance price is set at RMB 7.00 per share, which is not less than 80% of the average trading price over the 20 trading days prior to the pricing date [15][22]. - The issuance will not exceed 30% of the company's total share capital before the issuance, ensuring that control remains with the existing major shareholders [16][19]. Investor Relations - The main investors in this issuance are Daqing Investment and Dalan Investment, both controlled by the company's actual controller, Zeng Erbin, who plans to fully subscribe to the new shares [14][19]. - This move is expected to strengthen the company's control and operational stability, enhancing market confidence [14][19].