投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 II GERIK 航运衍生品数据日报 | | | | 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心 | | 投资咨询号: Z0021177 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 卢钊毅 | | 从业资格号:F03101843 | | 2025/8/26 | | | | | 数据来源：Clarksons、Wind | | | | | | | 运价指数 | 上海出口集装箱运价 综合指数SCFI | 中国出口集装箱运价 指数CCFI | SCFI-美西 | SCFIS-美西 | SCFI-美东 | SCFI-西北欧 | | == | 现值 | 1415 | 1175 | 1644 | 1041 | 2613 | 1668 | | Alla | 前值 | 1460 | 1193 | 1759 | 1106 | 2719 | 1820 | | 运 | 涨跌幅 | -3.07% | -1.55% | -6.54% | -5.88% | -3.90% | -8.35% | | ​​​ | | SCFI ...

航运日报 2025 年 08 月 26 日 研究员：贾瑞林 第一部分 集装箱航运——集运指数（欧线） 期货从业证号： F3084078 投资咨询证号： Z0018656 大宗商品研究所 航运研发报告 联系方式： :jiaruilin_qh@chinastock.com.cn 研究员：黄莹 期货从业证号： F03111919 投资咨询证号： Z0018607 联系方式： :huangying_qh1@chinastock.com.cn | 银河期货集运指数(欧线)日报 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 増减幅 | 持仓量(手) | 増减幅 | | EC2510 | 6'818'T | -39.1 | -2.88% | 25,779.0 | -34.29% | 54,409.0 | 0.10% | | EC2512 | 1,643.9 | -52.8 | -3.11% | 6.599.0 | -9.47 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $327.6 million for Q2 2025, a decrease of 4.3% compared to $342 million in Q2 2024 [18] - EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $178.2 million, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by $17 million to $173 million compared to Q2 2024 [19][20] - Net income for Q2 2025 was $69.9 million, down from $94 million in Q2 2024, with earnings per common unit at $2.34 [5][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The combined time charter equivalent (TCE) rate decreased by 1.5% to $23,040 per day, with available days down by 0.8% to 13,388 days compared to Q2 2024 [19] - TCE rates for the container fleet increased by 3.6% to $31,316 per day, while dry bulk and tanker TCE rates decreased by 12.6% and 9.4% respectively [19][21] - The company sold three vessels for $96 million and purchased two Aframax LR2 tankers for $133 million, expected to be delivered in 2027 [7][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The geopolitical environment, including the war in Ukraine and tariff changes, has reshaped global trade patterns, benefiting the shipping market [5][27] - The Baltic Dry Index average declined by 30% in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, but has risen 37% since June [28] - The tanker market is expected to benefit from increased crude exports and a reduction in fleet size due to sanctions [30][34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on renewing its fleet to maintain a younger profile and reduce its carbon footprint through modern technologies [15] - A significant backlog of contracted revenue of $3.1 billion provides visibility in an uncertain market [12][17] - The company aims to enter long-term charters for vessels at the appropriate time, while also exploring cash-generative opportunities [9][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the shipping market's health and the potential for Q4 2025, while remaining open to longer-term charter opportunities [5][44] - The company is actively managing risks, including interest rate risks, through fixed-rate financing arrangements [12][24] - The overall outlook for the tanker market remains positive due to geopolitical factors and reduced fleet availability [30][34] Other Important Information - The company ended Q2 2025 with $389 million in cash and a net loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 35.3%, unchanged from the previous quarter [6][23] - The company has repurchased 1.2 million common units, returning a total of $30.8 million to unitholders in 2025 [10][11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding the two VLCCs that were on charter to a sanctioned entity - Management confirmed that contracts were terminated and vessels are now available for trading in a healthy spot market, with plans to consider long-term charters at the right time [42][44] Question: On the LR2s ordered and their chartering plans - Management indicated that they are comfortable holding the new LR2s without immediate charters, while remaining open to future long-term deals [50] Question: Concerning the sale of older vessels and future charter renewals - Management noted the strong container market and the strategy of selling older vessels to redeploy cash into newer assets, while evaluating options for vessels rolling off charters [49][50]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current main contradictions in the EC market are the decline slope during the off - season, uncertainties in geopolitics and tariffs, and the repeated domestic macro - sentiment [2][17] - Fundamentally, in the second week of August (week33), the MSK alliance had better performance, while the OA and PA alliances had poor performance in terms of receiving goods; the goods - receiving situation in week34 significantly weakened [2][17] - EMC cancelled its independent operation ship in week35 this week, and OA added new operations in week39. The weekly average capacities in August, September (tentatively), and October (tentatively) 2025 are 327,000, 321,000, and 319,000 TEU respectively. After considering all TBN as suspended operations, they are 327,000, 300,000, and 287,000 TEU [2][17] - From the perspective of the market, the current 10 - contract is at a discount to the spot, which has not led to a further decline in the market; the 12 - contract is given the attribute of the peak - season contract, and the continuous roll - over of positions supports it. However, the overall future drive is downward, and there is still some room for valuation. It is recommended to continue holding short positions in the 10 - contract and maintain the logic of shorting on rallies [2][17] Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market Data - For EC2508, the closing price was 2080.0, with a change of +0.43%, trading volume of 242, and open interest of 3330 with a change of - 102 [2][17] - For EC2510, the closing price was 1408.8, with a change of - 1.89%, trading volume of 44961, and open interest of 56688 with a change of +86 [2][17] - For EC2512, the closing price was 1750.0, with a change of - 0.57%, trading volume of 5/74 (might be a data error), and open interest of 10238 with a change of +33 [2][17] - For EC2602, the closing price was 1517.1, with a change of - 0.87%, trading volume of 1471, and open interest of 4202 with a change of +67 [2][17] - For EC2604, the closing price was 1344.9, with a change of - 0.60%, trading volume of 822, and open interest of 5295 with a change of - 108 [2][17] - For EC2606, the closing price was 1497.1, with a change of +0.44%, trading volume of 136, and open interest of 770 with a change of +30 [2][17] 2. Month - to - Month Spreads - The spread of EC2508 - 2510 was 671.2, with a day - on - day change of +36.2 and a week - on - week change of - 4.6 [2][17] - The spread of EC2510 - 2512 was - 341.2, with a day - on - day change of - 17.2 and a week - on - week change of - 63.7 [2][17] - The spread of EC2512 - 2602 was 232.9, with a day - on - day change of +3.3 and a week - on - week change of +34.8 [2][17] 3. Index Data - The SCHIS index on August 11, 2025, was 2235.48 points, with a change of - 2.71% compared to the previous period and - 0.81% in the previous change [2][17] - The SCF (European route) index on August 8, 2025, was 1961 dollars/TEU, with a change of - 4.39% compared to the previous period and - 1.87% in the previous change [2][17] - The CCFI index on August 8, 2025, was 1799.05 points, with a change of +0.53% compared to the previous period and +0.13% in the previous change [2][17] - The NCFI index on August 8, 2025, was 1257.71 points, with a change of - 8.37% compared to the previous period and - 3.3% in the previous change [2][17] 4. Recent European Route Quotation - The average quotation in week33 was about 3150 US dollars (equivalent to about 2200 points on the disk). Currently, downstream customers are booking spaces for mid - August (week33 - 34). In week34, the quotations of various shipping companies dropped by 200 - 300 US dollars, with an average of 2850 US dollars (2000 points). Among them, the PA alliance's quotation was 2700 US dollars, MSK's was 2600 US dollars, and the OA alliance's was 2900 - 3000 US dollars [3][18] - In week35, MSK opened bookings at 2200 US dollars [3][18] 5. News - On August 12, China and the US once again suspended the implementation of a 24% tariff for 90 days [3][18] - On August 11, Trump and Netanyahu discussed the "plan to take over Gaza City" [4][19] - On August 12, Egypt and Qatar proposed a new Gaza cease - fire plan, and a Hamas delegation will visit Egypt to restart the Gaza cease - fire negotiation [4][19]

Group 1: Market Analysis of Container Shipping - The peak of the peak - season freight rate has passed. Mainstream shipping companies have successively lowered their spot quotes for August, causing the EC futures market to fluctuate weakly. On July 29, EC2510 closed at 1460 points, down 2.85% from the previous day's close. The latest SCFIS European Line index released after Monday's trading was 2316.56 points, down 3.5% month - on - month, indicating a decline in spot freight rates [4]. - Spot freight rates show a divergence in quotes among mainstream shipping companies. Most shipping companies except MSC have either maintained or lowered their freight rates for the first half of August. The demand side is affected by tariff policies during the traditional peak season from July to August. The supply side shows that the average weekly capacity in July, August, and September 2025 is 264,200, 289,900, and 296,600 TEU respectively, with a slight decline in July and September compared to the previous week's schedule. The ship schedule in September is still abundant [5]. - Regarding tariffs, Trump extended the tariff exemption period to August 1st. The US has finalized tariffs of about 19 - 20% on Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines, and 15% on the EU and Japan. The Sino - US negotiation has been extended for 90 days, and the cease - fire negotiation in the Israel - Palestine conflict is in progress [5]. Group 2: Trading Strategies for Container Shipping - Unilateral trading: It is expected that the futures market will remain weak. This week, the market is expected to be disturbed by macro - events such as tariff negotiations. For EC2510, some short positions can be closed for profit and some can be rolled over. The overall strategy is to short on rallies [6]. - Arbitrage: Conduct rolling operations on the 10 - 12 reverse spread [7]. Group 3: Industry News for Container Shipping - The US Secretary of Commerce said that the EU will pay a 15% tariff, with a few small commodities excluded. Trump will consider several agreements this week and then determine the tax rates [8]. - Trump said that the US will announce tariffs on drugs in the near future, and global tariffs will be around 15 - 20% [10]. - Trump expressed disappointment with Putin and is considering giving Russia less than two weeks to reach a cease - fire agreement [11]. - The Canadian Prime Minister claimed that the trade negotiation with the US is in a tense stage [12]. - A Dutch bank analyst said that it is unrealistic for the EU to purchase $750 billion worth of US energy products in three years without a significant increase in energy prices [12]. - Netanyahu said that Israel will continue to fight until the hostages are released and Hamas is defeated, and will cooperate with international institutions and the US and European countries to ensure the entry of a large amount of aid supplies into the Gaza Strip [13]. - The Iranian Foreign Minister said that if the aggression occurs again, Iran will respond more resolutely [13]. - Two senior assistants of Netanyahu went to the US on Sunday and will hold talks with White House officials on Iran and Gaza issues this week [13]. Group 4: Market Analysis of Dry Bulk Shipping - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell on Monday due to the decline in freight rates of all ship types. The BDI dropped 31 points, or 1.37%, to 2226 points. The Capesize Index fell 55 points or 1.4% to 3774 points, and the Panamax Index dropped 40 points, or 2.2%, to 1798 points, the lowest since July 10th [16]. - On July 28, the freight rate of the Capesize iron ore route from Tubarao, Brazil to Qingdao was $24.59/ton, down 0.65% month - on - month, and the rate from Western Australia to Qingdao was $10.25/ton, down 0.34% month - on - month. As of July 25, the weekly freight rates of some Capesize coal and bauxite routes increased, while some Panamax coal routes decreased [17]. - From July 21st to July 27th, 2025, the total global iron ore shipments were 32.009 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 918,000 tons. In the fourth week of July 2025, a total of 10.4472 million tons of soybeans were loaded, with an average daily loading volume of 549,900 tons/day, a 12.41% increase compared to July last year [18]. - The Capesize ship market had few inquiries on the previous day, and the overall market was calm at the beginning of the week, with freight rates falling slightly. The demand for grain transportation in the Panamax ship market weakened, and although there were some coal cargoes released, the market capacity increased, resulting in a slight decline in freight rates [19]. Group 5: Industry News for Dry Bulk Shipping - Typhoon "Bamboo Grass" is expected to move northwest at a speed of 10 - 15 km/h, gradually intensify, and make landfall on the coast from Sanmen, Zhejiang to Qidong, Jiangsu between noon and evening on the 30th [20]. - China - US economic and trade teams held talks in Stockholm on July 28th. Trump said that the US is very close to reaching an agreement with China [21]. - The total inventory of imported iron ore at 47 ports in China was 142.8173 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1.0683 million tons. The total inventory of iron ore at seven major ports in Australia and Brazil was 13.549 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 696,000 tons [21]. Group 6: Related Attachments - The report provides multiple graphs, including those related to container shipping such as SCFIS European and US - West lines, SCFI comprehensive index, and container freight rates of different routes; and those related to dry bulk shipping such as BDI, BPI, BCI, and BSI indices, as well as BDTI and BCTI [22][26][35][38][39].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The shipping industry, especially the European line, shows a complex market situation. In August, the shipping capacity is relatively high, with an average weekly capacity of 320,000 TEU, a month - on - month increase of 8%. However, the bottom - loading cargo in early August still provides support, and the market may remain stable or experience a slight decline in the quotes of some shipping companies in the next half - month [2][30]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs EC Futures Contracts - EC2508 closed at 2468.7 with a 4.28% increase, EC2510 at 1676.4 with a 1.93% increase, EC2512 at 1860.4 with a 1.90% increase, EC2602 at 1513.9 with a 0.62% increase, EC2604 at 1370.2 with a 1.51% increase, and EC2606 at 1465.7 with a 0.77% increase [2][30]. - Regarding the month - spreads, EC2508 - 2510 was 69.7 (previous day: 792.3), EC2510 - 2512 was - 3.0 (previous day: - 184.0), and EC2512 - 2602 was 25.3 (previous day: 346.5) [2][30]. Indexes - The current spot price was 2400.5 on 2025/7/21, a - 0.89% change from the previous period [2][30]. - SCFI (European line) was 2079 USD/TEU on 2025/7/18, a - 0.95% change from the previous period [2][30]. - CCFI (European line) was 1803.42 on 2025/7/18, a 4.46% increase from the previous period [2][30]. - NCFI was 1440.25 on 2025/7/18, a 0.35% increase from the previous period [2][30]. - TCI was 1054.56 on 2025/7/18, a - 0.7/5% change from the previous period [2][30]. European Line Quotations - Downstream is currently booking spaces for early August (week 30 - 31). The prices in July remained stable, around 2400 points. In the fifth week of July (week 31), the quote was 3400 USD, which was still around 2400 points on the futures market [3][31]. - In August, some shipping companies announced price adjustments: EMC increased by 100, CMA by 400, HPL by 200, MSC by 200. MSK (Shanghai - Rotterdam) decreased by 100 to 2900 USD, and MSK (Shanghai - Antwerp) remained stable at 2900 USD [3][31]. Seasonal Trends - Multiple charts show the seasonal trends of various shipping indexes, including SCFIS (European line), TCI (European line, Mediterranean East, US West, South American West, Persian Gulf, South Africa, West Africa, Mediterranean West, US East, East Africa), NCFI (European line), and XSI - C (European line) [12][19][40].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 6.60 and a sector rating of "Outperform" [1][3]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in its H1 2025 performance, with operating revenue reaching RMB 10.775 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.05%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 825 million, up 13.08%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items surged by 52.77% to RMB 835 million. This growth is attributed to enhanced marketing of core cargo sources and improved collaboration with leading industry clients, particularly in high-value cargo segments such as wind power equipment and automotive transportation [3][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of RMB 10.775 billion, a 44.05% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 825 million, reflecting a 13.08% growth. The net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 52.77% to RMB 835 million, indicating a substantial improvement in core business profitability [3][8]. Growth Drivers - The company has focused on expanding its fleet and optimizing its capacity structure, which has led to an increase in the proportion of high-value cargo. The strategy includes strengthening marketing efforts for core cargo sources and enhancing cooperation with top-tier clients, resulting in a higher volume of wind power equipment, energy storage cabinets, engineering machinery, and automobiles [8]. Future Outlook - The report projects continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, estimating RMB 1.937 billion, RMB 2.361 billion, and RMB 2.670 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26.6%, 21.9%, and 13.1%. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be RMB 0.71, RMB 0.86, and RMB 0.97, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.3, 7.7, and 6.8 times [5][7].

Group 1: Real Estate Market - In June, the national real estate sales market experienced a volume and price adjustment, with a year-on-year decline in the average daily transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities by 2.2%, and a further decline of 9.2% in the first week of July [3] - The average daily transaction area in first, second, and third-tier cities in June showed year-on-year changes of -1.5%, 0.1%, and -7.8%, respectively, with the first week of July seeing declines of -7.2%, -11.7%, and -7.4% [3] Group 2: South Korea's Export Performance - In June, South Korea's exports grew by 4.3% year-on-year, recovering from a previous decline of -1.3% [6] - Key product categories such as ships, semiconductors, and computers showed significant growth, with year-on-year increases of 63.4%, 11.6%, and 15.2%, respectively [6] - Exports to Taiwan and the European Union performed well, while exports to China and the United States declined by 0.5% and 2.7%, respectively [7] Group 3: Consumer Market Trends - Following the "6·18" shopping festival, there was a noticeable decline in both home appliance and automobile sales [8] - In June, automobile retail data showed a slight decrease in sales, attributed to factors such as tight funding for trade-in programs and the end of promotional events [9] - Home appliance sales also experienced a downturn, with the average weekly sales of eight major appliance categories reaching 95.4 billion yuan in the first three weeks of June, but dropping to 42.9 billion yuan in the last week, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.7% [10] Group 4: Shipping and Freight Rates - Since June, freight rates on China-US routes have decreased, following a 90-day tariff reduction agreement reached in early May [11] - The shipping capacity on China-US routes increased significantly, leading to a drop in container shipping rates, with rates falling to 2089 and 4124 USD/TEU for the West and East coasts of the US, respectively [13]

Report Overview - The report mainly focuses on the shipping industry, providing data on EC futures contracts, spot freight rate indices, and other related information, as well as analyzing the impact of the Israel - Iran conflict on the shipping market [2][3] 1. EC Futures Contracts 1.1 Contract Price and Trading Volume - EC2506 had a closing price of 1901.8, a decline of 1.68% with a trading volume of 256 and a position change of -536 [2] - EC2508 had a closing price of 2038.0, an increase of 0.39% with a trading volume of 56247 and a position change of 843 [2] - EC2510 had a closing price of 206.7, an increase of 0.10% with a trading volume of 28998 and a position change of -240 [2] - EC2512 had a closing price of 1611.0, a decline of 0.01% with a trading volume of 6225 and a position change of -107 [2] - EC2602 had a closing price of 1431.5, a decline of 1.52% with a trading volume of 2901 and a position change of -230 [2] - EC2604 had a closing price of 1240.4, a decline of 2.61% with a trading volume of 382.4 and a position change of 823 [2] 1.2 Month - to - Month Spread - The spread between EC2506 - 2508 was -136.2, with previous spreads of -95.7, -130.1, and -40.5 for the previous day, two days ago, and three days ago respectively, and a week - on - week change of -60.7 [2] - The spread between EC2508 - 2510 was 6.6, with previous spreads of 621.9, 615.3, and 622.4, and a week - on - week change of -8.5 [2] - The spread between EC2506 - 2510 was 485.7, with previous spreads of 5196, -33.9, and -69.2, and a week - on - week change of 492.3 [2] - The spread between EC2510 - 2512 was 1.6, with previous spreads of -11.1, -194.9, and -196.5, and a week - on - week change of -188.3 [2] - The spread between EC2512 - 2602 was 21.9, with previous spreads of 27.0, 179.5, and 157.6, and a week - on - week change of 161.1 [2] 2. Spot Freight Rate Indices 2.1 European Line Spot Freight Rate Indices - SCEIS was 1247.05 on June 9, 2025, with a change of 29.53% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1622.81 with a change of 0.46% [2] - SCFI was 1587 on June 13, 2025, with an increase of 10.62% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1667 with an increase of 5.04% [2] - CCFI was 1488.87 on June 13, 2025, with an increase of 1.56% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1397.02 [2] - NCFI was 1307.92 on June 13, 2025, with an increase of 16.40% compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 1123.64 with an increase of 5.25% [2] - TCI was 852.18 on June 17, 2025, with no change compared to the previous period, and the previous value was 869.91 with an increase of 2.08% [2] 2.2 Other Routes' Spot Freight Rate Indices - The report also provides seasonal trend charts for various routes' TCI indices, including the Mediterranean West, Mediterranean East, US East, US West, South America West, Southeast Asia Ho Chi Minh, Persian Gulf, East Africa, India - Pakistan, South Africa, and West Africa [17][19] 3. Shipping Market News - On June 18, Iran launched hypersonic missiles at Israel, and the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz was decreasing due to the Israel - Iran conflict [3] - The Baltic and International Maritime Council stated that the large - scale conflict between Israel and Iran made the entire shipping industry uneasy, and some ships were avoiding the Strait of Hormuz [3] - S&P Global Market Intelligence also indicated that the threat of the conflict was "sufficient to disrupt the shipping industry", and it was expected that shipping costs through the Strait of Hormuz would rise [3] 4. Shipping Capacity Arrangement - In June and July 2025, the average weekly shipping capacity was 297,000 TEU and 293,000 TEU respectively [2] - Shipping capacity was neutral from the second half of June to the first half of July, and was relatively high in the second half of July [2] 5. Recent European Line Quotations - Currently, downstream customers are booking spaces for the second half of June (week 24 - 25), with the lowest price of MSK at $2700 - 2800, and other companies' prices mostly reduced to $2900 - 3150, with an average of $2950, equivalent to about 2000 points on the futures market [3] - CMA announced a price increase to $4100 for the European line in July, while ONE and HPL quoted $4043 and $4335 respectively, and MSK opened bookings at $3400 [3]

Report Summary 1. EC Futures Contract Price and Related Data - **Contract Price and Change**: The closing prices of EC2506, EC2508, EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, and EC2604 on the previous day were 1970.3, 2199.1, 1383.0, 1570.1, 1399.8, and 1239.2 respectively, with changes of 4.02%, 4.71%, 3.29%, 2.00%, 3.02%, and 4.85% [2]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: The previous - day trading volumes were 5349, 90432, 14412, 1833, 508, and 886 respectively, and the open interests were 9086, 47961, 23756, 4451, 2687, and 3323 respectively, with open - interest changes of - 1467, 2192, - 33, - 136, - 49, and - 82 [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spread**: The spreads of EC2506 - 2508, EC2508 - 2510, EC2506 - 2510, EC2510 - 2512, and EC2512 - 2602 were - 228.8, 816.1, 587.3, - 187.1, and 170.3 respectively, with month - on - month and week - on - week changes [2]. 2. Spot Freight Rate Index - **SCFIS**: On June 2, 2025, it was 1252.82 points, up 0.46% from the previous period and down 1.44% year - on - year [2]. - **SCFI**: On May 30, 2025, it was $1587/TEU, up 20.50% from the previous period and 14.12% year - on - year [2]. - **CCFI**: On May 30, 2025, it was 1375.62 points, down 1.22% from the previous period and 2.64% year - on - year [2]. - **NCFI**: On May 30, 2025, it was 1067.59 points, up 36.25% from the previous period and 4.35% year - on - year [2]. - **TCI Daily**: On June 4, 2025, it was 769.36 points, with no change from the previous period [2]. 3. Shipping Capacity Arrangement The average weekly shipping capacity in June and July 2025 is 30 and 31 TEU respectively [2]. 4. Recent European Line Quotation - **Week 2 of June**: COSCO&OOCL's offline price increased by $200, and MSK's online price rose from $2100 to $2400. The average of week 23 is about 1800 points [3]. - **Second Half of June**: COSCO, CMA, HPL, ONE, OOCL announced price increases of $4200, $4245, $3500, $2900, $2937 respectively. MSC's price - increase letter indicated a price increase to $3900 in the second half of the month, and MSK's opening price was $2800 [3]. 5. Middle East Situation News - On June 5, Israeli officials said the US would veto the UN Security Council's Gaza cease - fire resolution [4]. - On June 5, the Houthi armed forces claimed to have attacked Israel's Ben - Gurion International Airport [4]. 6. Other Information - The XSI - C index is delayed by three working days [5].