厦门象屿公告，公司第九届董事会第三十五次会议审议通过了《关于控股子公司拟申请新三板挂牌的议 案》。控股子公司南通象屿海洋装备股份有限公司拟申请在全国中小企业股份转让系统挂牌。象屿海装 的注册资本为3.6亿元，公司直接持股比例为51%。象屿海装主要从事散货船、不锈钢化学品船及其他 特种船舶的生产制造业务。2023年度象屿海装的营业收入为47.5亿元，净利润为6.94亿元。申请挂牌事 项符合公司整体战略规划，对公司财务状况、经营成果及持续经营能力无重大不利影响。 ...

中国大运河博物馆内，一艘如皋出土的唐代沉船模型，是当时水上繁荣的真实写照。因水而名如何 依水而兴？如皋市委十三届十一次全会提出，全域推进"以港强市"战略工程，把"港"作为高质量发展 的"题眼"。 "推进以港强市，既是发挥滨江近海优势的必答题，又是加速多重机遇转化的主抓手。"如皋市委书 记、市长王鸣昊说，将强化规划战略引领、资源全域统筹，以定了就干、干则必成的拼劲韧劲，加快建 设江海联运重要节点、向海智造产业高地、跨江融合开放门户和宜居宜业生态城市。 水边崛起"产业高地" 如皋之"皋"，意为"水边的高地"。从古至今，滚滚长江激荡这座城市的经济脉动。 走进如皋滨江，总投资10亿元的森永高端过程装备制造项目建设现场热火朝天。该项目由上海"跨 江"而来，主要生产压力容器以及模块化装置等过程装备的设计与制造。今年南通唯一文旅类省级重点 项目——长江大梦想城乐园项目正化作"工笔画"，建成后将填补区域高端文旅综合体空白。 作为长江沿岸唯一以"长江"命名的镇，长江镇依托高端智能制造产业园、临港产业园等载体加快产 业集聚，近年成为重大项目的"聚宝盆"。先后集聚金鹰产业园、日达智造、森松重工等重特大项目和头 部企业，规模工业开票 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the express delivery and shipping industries, highlighting potential recovery and investment opportunities [1][3]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector is entering a verification phase for price increases, with key observations on price implementation, regional interactions, merchant actions, demand impacts, and potential social security implications. The report presents three scenarios for the industry: 1) elimination of price disparities leading to profit recovery and significant dividends; 2) continuation of competitive dynamics in many regions, exacerbating industry differentiation; 3) potential for higher-level mergers and acquisitions to optimize supply [3]. - The report emphasizes the opportunity in China Shipbuilding, noting a combined order value of 378.7 billion with a market value-to-order ratio of 0.76, indicating a historically low position. It recommends focusing on the dry bulk shipping sector and highlights the potential for profit transmission from the black chain industry to shipping [3]. - In the oil transportation segment, VLCC rates remained stable at $34,764 per day, with expectations for continued price increases due to tight capacity and active demand. The report also discusses the impact of U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports and the resulting increase in compliant oil demand [3]. - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from the Civil Aviation Administration's "anti-involution" policies, which may optimize competitive structures and enhance airline profitability. The report recommends several airlines based on supply constraints and demand elasticity [3]. - The railway and highway sectors show resilience, with steady growth in freight volumes. The report suggests two main investment themes for the highway sector: traditional high-dividend investments and potential value management catalysts for undervalued stocks [3]. Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery industry is experiencing a price verification phase, with potential for profit recovery and significant dividends [3]. - Recommended companies include Shentong Express and YTO Express, with a focus on Jitu Express, Zhongtong Express, and Yunda Express [3]. Shipping - China Shipbuilding presents an investment opportunity with a low market value-to-order ratio [3]. - Recommended companies in the dry bulk shipping sector include China Merchants Energy Shipping and Pacific Shipping [3]. Oil Transportation - VLCC rates are stable, with expectations for increases due to tight capacity and demand [3]. - The report notes the impact of U.S. sanctions on oil exports from Iran and Russia, affecting overall oil demand [3]. Aviation - The aviation sector is poised for profitability improvements due to regulatory changes and supply constraints [3]. - Recommended airlines include China Eastern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and China Southern Airlines [3]. Railway and Highway - The railway and highway sectors are showing steady growth in freight volumes, indicating resilience [3]. - Investment themes include high-dividend stocks and undervalued stocks in the highway sector [3].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The shipbuilding industry showed strong performance in the first half of 2025, with several companies exceeding expectations, including China Shipbuilding, China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, and China State Shipbuilding Corporation, benefiting from accelerated delivery of high-priced orders and cost control [1][4][21]. - The market is experiencing a stabilization in ship prices, with new ship prices expected to rebound in the second half of 2025 due to policy changes and ongoing demand for replacing old vessels [1][15][21]. Key Company Performances - **China Shipbuilding**: Expected revenue of 2.8-3.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 90%-119%, with Q2 revenue projected at 1.7-2.0 billion yuan, up 65%-95% year-on-year [4]. - **China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation**: Anticipated revenue of 1.5-1.8 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 200% [4]. - **China State Shipbuilding Corporation**: Expected revenue of 460-540 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 213%-268% [4]. - **Hengli Heavy Industry**: Post-restructuring, reported revenue of 580-700 million yuan, with new orders amounting to 12.2 billion USD, showcasing strong delivery and profitability [5]. - **Sumida**: Reported a 98% year-on-year profit growth in shipbuilding and shipping business, with expectations of contributing 300-400 million yuan in revenue for the year [11]. Market Dynamics - The commodity term structure shifted from contango to backwardation, positively impacting shipping demand as traders prioritize transportation time value [7][8]. - High mineral prices and active shipments from mines have improved the shipping market fundamentals, benefiting dry bulk shipping and related industries [1][8]. Order and Pricing Trends - New ship orders in the first half of 2025 showed a decline in total volume but a 44% month-on-month increase in June, indicating a release of previously accumulated demand [20]. - The global order-to-capacity ratio remains low at 15.6%, suggesting that the replacement demand for old vessels is just over halfway through [18][19]. Policy Impacts - The implementation of the 301 policy is expected to alleviate pressure on orders flowing to Japan and South Korea, with potential for increased new orders and stabilized ship prices in the long term [15][17]. - The policy changes have led to a temporary pause in demand but are anticipated to release pent-up demand, driving new orders and price increases [17]. Investment Insights - Current market valuations for major companies like China Shipbuilding and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation are at historical lows, indicating potential for significant future profitability and investment value [6]. - The market's focus on the shipbuilding sector's fundamental improvements is currently lacking, suggesting an opportunity for investors to capitalize on undervalued stocks [22]. Conclusion - The shipbuilding industry is poised for growth in the latter half of 2025, supported by favorable market conditions, policy changes, and strong performances from key players. The ongoing transition in order dynamics and pricing structures presents a promising outlook for investors in this sector [21][23].

Group 1 - In June 2025, Japanese shipbuilders received a total of 23 orders amounting to 1.355 million GT, a decrease of 36.9% compared to 54 orders totaling 2.148 million GT in June 2024 [2] - From April to June 2025, the total number of orders received by Japanese shipbuilders was 55 vessels totaling 2.867 million GT, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 39.8% [2] - In the first half of 2025, Japanese shipbuilders secured a total of 94 orders amounting to 5.0232 million GT, representing a significant year-on-year decline of 68.1% [2] Group 2 - Despite strong global demand for new shipbuilding, Japanese shipyards are unable to take on more orders due to a lack of available shipbuilding slots [3] - Japanese shipbuilders' market share for new orders in the first half of 2025 was less than 10%, amid strong competition from Chinese and Korean shipbuilders [3] - As of the end of June 2025, Japanese shipbuilders had a backlog of 620 vessels totaling 29.99 million GT, which is sufficient to sustain approximately 3.5 years of production based on 2024 completion rates [3]

Core Viewpoint - The global shipbuilding industry is experiencing a significant downturn in 2025 due to increased instability and uncertainty, with new ship orders and tonnage declining sharply compared to previous years [1][10]. Ship Orders and Tonnage - In the first half of 2025, a total of 647 new ship orders were placed, amounting to 46.78 million deadweight tons (DWT), representing a year-on-year decline of 57.9%, the lowest level since 2021 [1]. - The total compensated gross tonnage (CGT) for new orders was 19.38 million, down 54.5% year-on-year, with a total order value of $67.54 billion (approximately 485.1 billion RMB), a decrease of 47.6% [1]. Ship Type Analysis - Container ship orders increased, with 201 vessels ordered, totaling 21.74 million DWT, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, accounting for 46.4% of total orders [3]. - Demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers was particularly weak, with only 23 vessels ordered, totaling 937,000 DWT, a dramatic year-on-year drop of 86.4% [3]. - Other ship types, including bulk carriers, crude oil tankers, product tankers, and LPG carriers, saw declines exceeding 60% in terms of deadweight tonnage [3]. Regional Performance - Chinese shipyards maintained the top position, securing 370 orders in the first half of the year, totaling 26.30 million DWT, which represented 56.2% of global orders, although this was a decrease from 75% year-on-year [6]. - South Korean shipyards captured a market share of 30.3% with 113 orders totaling 14.15 million DWT, an increase of 16.6 percentage points year-on-year [8]. - Japanese shipyards ranked third, with orders totaling 3.67 million DWT and a market share of 7.9% [9]. Financial Outlook - Chinese shipbuilding companies are expected to report significant profit increases, with China Shipbuilding forecasting a net profit of 2.8 to 3.1 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49% [6]. - South Korean shipbuilders are also projected to see substantial profits, with combined operating profits expected to exceed 2.5 trillion KRW (approximately 12.9 billion RMB) in the first half of the year [8]. Market Dynamics - The decline in orders for Chinese shipyards is attributed to U.S. "301 investigations" leading to order shifts, and tight shipyard capacity limiting the willingness to lower prices [10]. - Despite the challenges, Chinese shipyards have strong technical capabilities in emerging sectors like green energy vessels, and the competitive landscape of the global shipbuilding industry is unlikely to undergo a drastic transformation [10].

Core Viewpoint - The merger between China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Corporation aims to enhance operational quality, core competitiveness, and shareholder value through the integration of their shipbuilding and repair businesses, aligning with national policies for state-owned enterprise reform [10][12][17]. Summary by Sections Merger Details - The merger will be executed through a share swap, where China Shipbuilding will issue A-shares to the shareholders of China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry [10][11]. - The exchange ratio is set at 1 share of China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry for 0.1335 shares of China Shipbuilding, based on the adjusted share prices after dividend distributions [12][13]. Business Impact - Post-merger, China Shipbuilding will inherit all assets, liabilities, and operations of China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry, eliminating direct competition between the two entities [17]. - The merger is expected to optimize resource allocation, enhance production efficiency, and strengthen the competitive position of the combined entity in the global shipbuilding market [18]. Financial Implications - The merger will result in a significant increase in total shares outstanding, with China Shipbuilding's total share capital rising from 447,242.88 million shares to 752,562.13 million shares post-merger [19][20]. - The financial performance indicators of China Shipbuilding are anticipated to improve as a result of the merger, leveraging synergies and enhancing operational capabilities [20]. Shareholder Structure - The controlling shareholder structure will remain unchanged, with China Shipbuilding Group continuing to hold a significant stake in the merged entity [20]. - The merger will lead to a redistribution of shareholding percentages among existing shareholders, with China Shipbuilding Group's stake decreasing from 44.47% to approximately 26.71% post-merger [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Group has successfully signed contracts for the construction of multiple large vessels, including bulk carriers, container ships, and oil tankers, indicating a strong position in the high-end shipbuilding market [1] Company Summary - Hengli Heavy Industry has secured contracts for various high-end ship types, showcasing its capabilities in the shipbuilding sector [1]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The shipbuilding industry is experiencing improved profitability, as indicated by the significant profit growth forecasted by China Shipbuilding for the first half of 2025, driven by high-priced order deliveries, falling steel prices, and early deliveries [1][4] - The new ship order volume in June 2025 increased month-on-month but saw a substantial year-on-year decline due to a high base in June 2024 [1][8] Key Insights - The Clarksons newbuilding price index stabilized in June 2025, with a month-on-month increase, although different ship types showed varied performance, with container ship prices rising while oil tanker prices fell [1][5] - The shipbuilding sector has become a safe haven for performance amid the current macroeconomic backdrop, with steel price declines enhancing the profitability of shipbuilders [2] - The market is witnessing a structural adjustment, with first-tier shipyards experiencing weak order intake while second and third-tier shipyards are seeing considerable order volumes due to capacity anxiety [1][6] Company Performance - China Shipbuilding's profit forecast for the first half of 2025 is between 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion, significantly exceeding previous expectations [3][4] - Other companies like China Heavy Industry and China Power also reported substantial profit growth, attributed to high-priced order deliveries and early payments [4][22] Order Trends - In the first half of 2025, China maintained a leading global market share of 56% in new shipbuilding, while South Korea's share increased from 10% to 30%, driven by a surge in container ship orders [10] - Container ship orders increased by 24% year-on-year, while orders for other types of ships like LNG and oil tankers saw a decline of over 70% [9] Market Dynamics - The current newbuilding market is in a brief downturn within an overall upcycle, with historical data indicating that downturns can occur even during upcycles [15][16] - The low demolition rates of older ships are causing many to remain active in the market, which could lead to supply vulnerabilities if demand surges suddenly [18][19] Future Outlook - The potential demolition volume over the next decade is estimated at 16,000 ships, which could significantly impact the supply-demand balance in the shipbuilding market [20] - Investors are advised to focus on leading companies like China Shipbuilding for stable investments, while considering second-tier companies for higher return potential [23] Additional Considerations - The geopolitical landscape and oil price fluctuations are affecting the cruise market, leading to concerns about new ship deployments [12] - LNG ships and car carriers are expected to have strong growth potential due to increasing demand for alternative fuels and the rise of China's electric vehicle exports [13]

Core Viewpoint - *ST Songfa (603268.SH) has announced a significant turnaround in its financial performance, projecting a net profit of 580 million to 700 million yuan for the first half of 2025, compared to a loss in the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported an operating income of 275 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.34%, but still recorded a net loss of 76.64 million yuan attributable to the parent company [1] - The company has improved its gross margin by 5.17% through product innovation and cost reduction, despite ongoing losses [1] - As of July 14, 2025, *ST Songfa's stock price was 46.20 yuan, reflecting a 5.00% increase from the previous trading day, with a total market capitalization of 39.81 billion yuan [5] Group 2: Business Transformation - To address challenges in its traditional ceramic business, *ST Songfa is undergoing a major asset restructuring, planning to acquire 100% of Hengli Heavy Industry Group Co., Ltd. and divest its ceramic-related assets [3] - Hengli Heavy Industry, established in July 2022, specializes in shipbuilding and high-end equipment manufacturing, and has become a significant player in the industry with a strong order book [3] - The completion of the restructuring in May 2025 has transformed *ST Songfa from a traditional ceramic manufacturer to a company focused on shipbuilding and high-end equipment, significantly increasing its total assets to 18.873 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The global shipbuilding industry is experiencing robust demand, with key indicators such as new orders, backlog, and completion rates showing steady growth, indicating a favorable market environment [5] - As of May 28, 2025, Hengli Heavy Industry had a backlog of 17.95 million DWT and 4.42 million CGT, positioning it well within the competitive landscape [5] - In the first four months of 2025, China's shipbuilding completion, new orders, and backlog accounted for 49.9%, 67.6%, and 64.3% of the global market share, respectively, maintaining its leading position [5]