证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 11 月 02 日 科博达（603786.SH） 营收增速稳健，智驾业务未来潜力巨大 中游制造/汽车 事件：公司发布 2025 年三季报，2025 年 1-9 月公司实现营业总收入 50.0 亿元 （+16.5%），归母净利润 6.5 亿元（+6.5%），扣非归母净利润 6.5 亿元（+12.1%）； 其中 3Q25 公司实现营业总收入 19.5 亿元（+26.0%），归母净利润 2.0 亿元 （+0.6%），扣非归母净利润 2.2 亿元（-1.1%）。 强烈推荐（维持） 目标估值：NA 当前股价：77.5 元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 404 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股（百万股） | 404 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 31.3 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 31.3 | | 每股净资产（MRQ） | 13.5 | | ROE（TTM） | 14.9 | | 资产负债率 | 32.1% | | 主要股东 | 科博达投资控股有限公司 | | 主要股东持股比例 | 59.29% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong financial performance in the first half of the year, with significant contributions from overseas business expansion and product matrix development [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first half of the year reached 3.047 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.1% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 451 million yuan, up 21.3% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 430 million yuan, reflecting a 25.2% year-on-year growth - In Q2, revenue was 1.673 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 26.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.7% - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 was 245 million yuan, up 60.7% year-on-year and 19.0% quarter-on-quarter - The net profit excluding non-recurring items in Q2 was 241 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 68.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.8% [1]. Product Development and Market Expansion - The company has expanded its product matrix, with significant sales in various segments: lighting control (1.544 billion yuan, +12.0%), motor control (502 million yuan, +14.5%), energy management (383 million yuan, +20.2%), and vehicle electrical systems (448 million yuan, +8.0%) in the first half of 2025 - The company secured over 7 billion yuan in new lifecycle orders, including a key contract for a central domain control product with a renowned international automaker, enhancing the company's reputation in the domain control product sector [2]. - The company is also introducing smart distribution boxes and smart control products, which are expected to increase the per-vehicle value as the product matrix expands [2]. Strategic Acquisitions - The company announced plans to acquire 100% of Czech IMI for 9.4256 million euros, marking a significant step in its globalization strategy - This acquisition will establish a manufacturing base in Europe, enhancing the company's ability to meet overseas customer demands and reducing supply chain uncertainties - The company is also optimizing its domestic production capacity with a new facility in Anhui, which is now operational and expected to improve production efficiency and product performance stability [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 to 2.54, 3.22, and 3.92 yuan respectively, up from previous estimates - The target price is set at 76.20 yuan, based on a 30 times price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for comparable companies in 2025, maintaining a buy rating [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][36] Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, driven by new products and customer projects, with revenue reaching 3.047 billion yuan, up 11.1% year-on-year, and net profit of 451 million yuan, up 21.3% year-on-year [1][8] - The company is focusing on high-value products and optimizing its product structure towards domain controllers and other high-value products, which is expected to enhance the average value per vehicle [2][24] - The company has a strong order backlog, with new projects expected to generate over 7 billion yuan in lifecycle sales in 2025, including significant breakthroughs with major international automakers [3][31] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.673 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.2%, and a net profit of 245 million yuan, up 60.7% year-on-year [1][8] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 27.2%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.1 percentage points, while the net margin was 15.1%, up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [2][17] - The company is expected to maintain strong revenue growth, with projected revenues of 7.2 billion yuan, 9.27 billion yuan, and 11.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][36] Product and Market Development - The company is expanding its global footprint, having acquired a 100% stake in a Czech company to establish a high-standard automotive electronics production base in Europe [3][35] - The company is actively developing new products in the intelligent driving domain, with strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing its capabilities in this area [36][30] - The company has diversified its product offerings, moving from traditional lighting controllers to high-value products such as intelligent distribution boxes and domain controllers, which are expected to increase the average value per vehicle significantly [25][28]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in H1 2025, with revenue and net profit growth driven by new products and customer acquisitions, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [3][4][7]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.1%, and a net profit of 450 million yuan, up 21.3% year-on-year [3]. - Q2 2025 saw revenue of 1.67 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.8%. Net profit for Q2 was 250 million yuan, up 60.7% year-on-year [4]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 reached 27.2%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to product and customer structure optimization [5]. Product and Market Development - The company has expanded its global customer base significantly, with new projects generating over 7 billion yuan in sales. Notably, it secured contracts with a major international automotive manufacturer for advanced electronic components [4]. - The product portfolio has been enhanced with new high-value products such as smart distribution boxes and chassis controllers, aligning with industry trends [4][6]. - The company is transitioning to a platform-based automotive electronics supplier, focusing on domain controllers and integrating various electronic components [6]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has accelerated its global strategy, completing the acquisition of a Czech company, which enhances its production capabilities in Europe [7]. - It has established a strong market presence among leading electric vehicle manufacturers, including Volkswagen, BYD, and Tesla, positioning itself for long-term benefits from the shift towards smart and electric vehicles [7]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 7.87 billion yuan, 9.86 billion yuan, and 12.20 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 1.05 billion yuan, 1.34 billion yuan, and 1.71 billion yuan [8].

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 3.047 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an 11.1% year-on-year growth [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 451 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 21.34% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 448 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 255.73% compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2 - The overseas revenue for the company was 1.148 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.19%, accounting for over 38% of total revenue [1] - The company has achieved revenue growth across all four major business segments: lighting control systems (12.03%), motor control systems (14.47%), energy management systems (20.18%), and automotive electrical and electronic products (7.95%) [1] Group 3 - The company has secured new projects with an expected lifecycle sales exceeding 7 billion yuan, including a significant project for a central domain control product for a well-known international automaker [2] - The central domain control product is a key component in vehicle management, covering various functionalities such as climate control and remote software upgrades [2] - The company has developed several new products that align with industry trends, including smart distribution boxes and intelligent control systems, which are expected to drive future growth [2] Group 4 - The company acquired 100% of IMI in the Czech Republic to establish a high-standard automotive electronics production base in Europe, enhancing its global production and service capabilities [3] - The Czech facility will serve as a strategic hub for the company in Europe, improving product delivery times and expanding its global customer base [3] - The company aims to upgrade its product offerings from single electronic control units to intelligent domain control products, driven by the global shift towards smart and green automotive solutions [3]