Group 1 - The recent surge in gold prices, surpassing $4300, is driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors, including expectations of interest rate stability and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid economic slowdown and geopolitical risks [2][5] - The global stock market is experiencing a rebalancing of risk preferences, with investors shifting from high-valuation sectors to defensive assets such as banks, energy, and utilities, while still finding opportunities in growth sectors like AI and robotics [3][6] - The relationship between gold and the stock market is evolving, with both potentially rising together due to a combination of liquidity expectations and the need for diversification in investment portfolios [5][8] Group 2 - The A-share market is showing signs of structural differentiation, with stable performance in cyclical, financial, and consumer sectors, while technology growth sectors are experiencing increased volatility [6] - There is a cautious yet active market sentiment, with institutional interest in sectors like computing power, energy, and high-end manufacturing, indicating a shift from emotion-driven to logic-driven investment strategies [6][8] - The recent rise in gold prices reflects a significant revaluation of risk in global markets, highlighting the ongoing changes in macroeconomic variables such as interest rates and monetary policy [5][8]

期货交易者的紧密合作伙伴！ 文 | 张晨 来源 | 一德菁英汇 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 要点速览 上周四（6月5日）欧市、美市时段，内外盘期银大幅拉涨， 分别突破了2024年年内高点，续 创本轮上涨以来新高。与之相对应的是，金价表现相对低迷， 近几日反而出现冲高回落的震 荡走势，这使得金银比价加速向下回归，符合我们在此前《"脱缰"的金银比价修复空间几何》 专题报告中关于"一旦经贸摩擦边际缓和，引发比价以黄金相对白银补跌（亦即白银相对黄金 补涨）的方式进行修正"的假设条件与结论。 一德菁英汇 . 以下文章来源于一德菁英汇 ，作者一德菁菁 资料来源：wind，CME，一德宏观战略部 梳理本轮白银加速拉升，并非宏观基本面出现了显著利多变化，资金聚焦金银比价回归应为主 因。 此前我们曾对金银比大幅修正对应的基本面限定条件进行梳理，即对应10年期美债盈亏 平衡通胀率（通胀预期）达成出清后的修复，上述修复对应的宏观背景通常为一轮危机后，美 短期经贸摩擦缓和情绪难改逆全球化/美元信用弱化趋势，金银比价中枢上移概率大； 短期金银比价修正目标指向87-92区间，完结后回归基本面驱动； 白银创新高打开金价上行空间 ...