1月29日，中国气象局新闻发言人、减灾服务司司长王亚伟在国新办新闻发布会上回答了智通财经记者 关于气象部门如何保障春运的提问。智通财经记者赵利新 图 王亚伟说，在全球气候变暖的背景下，极端天气正在呈现出趋多趋强的趋势。春运期间，部分地区也可 能遭受到低温雨雪这种阶段性的极端天气。针对极端天气，中国气象局持续完善气象监测预报服务体 系，不断建设优化陆海空一体化的综合气象观测体系，建立完善了滚动预报、直通服务的业务流 程，"即采即传、即采即用"的模式正在逐步发挥效益。这两年，气象部门正在通过人工智能建设"风 雷""风清""风顺"这种人工智能预报模式，人工智能模型的运用也初步展现了一些实际效果。我们还建 设了新一代国家突发事件预警信息发布系统，逐步提升了气象预警信息公布公众的覆盖面。 今年春运期间，气象部门将综合运用气象卫星、天气雷达、数字预报、人工智能等多种技术方法，加强 灾害性天气的滚动监测和精准预报，深化智能化、信息化的技术应用，通过传统媒体、互联网新媒体以 及地图导航等多元渠道，及时向相关部门和社会公众发布最新气象预报和提示信息。同时我们还将组织 气象专家开展权威解读，为广大群众出行提供更加精准、更加精细、 ...

1月29日上午10时，国务院新闻办公室举行关于2026年春运形势和工作安排的新闻发布会。中国气象局 新闻发言人、减灾服务司司长王亚伟说，今年春运期间，气象部门将综合运用气象卫星、天气 雷达、 数字预报、 人工智能等多种技术方法，加强灾害性天气的滚动监测和精准预报，深化智能化、信息化 的技术应用，通过传统媒体、互联网新媒体以及地图导航等多元渠道，及时向相关部门和社会公众发布 最新气象预报和提示信息。同时我们还将组织气象专家开展权威解读，为广大群众出行提供更加精准、 更加精细、更加有温度的气象服务。 ...

Core Points - The Guangdong Province has passed the "Regulations on Promoting Meteorological Cooperation in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area," which will take effect on January 1, 2026, enhancing collaboration in meteorology among the three regions [1] - The regulations focus on the construction of meteorological facilities, forecasting and early warning systems, and technological innovation within the Greater Bay Area [1] Group 1: Meteorological Infrastructure and Data Sharing - The regulations require provincial meteorological authorities to strengthen collaboration with meteorological departments in Hong Kong and Macao for significant weather events, improving forecasting and early warning capabilities [2] - Currently, six automatic weather stations and thirteen lightning detection stations have been established, with a basic X-band phased array radar network in place, although challenges remain in site selection and equipment standardization [2] - Daily data sharing volumes for meteorological data are 22GB for Hong Kong and 16GB for Macao, but issues persist in timely transmission of refined grid products [2] Group 2: Technological Innovation and Services - The regulations support innovation and collaboration in meteorological technology, emphasizing the construction of major innovation platforms, joint research, and talent development [3] - Specific provisions are made for low-altitude and marine economic meteorological services, including the development of monitoring and forecasting technologies for low-altitude flights and marine operations [3] Group 3: Regional Development and Collaboration - The regulations promote the establishment of meteorological navigation centers in Nansha and support the development of meteorological service systems that align with the integrated development of the Greater Bay Area [4] - The regulations encourage the integration of artificial intelligence with meteorological monitoring and forecasting, enhancing disaster prevention and reduction capabilities in collaboration with Hong Kong [4]

Core Insights - The article discusses the unusually long and wet rainy season in North China, which began on July 5, 2023, 13 days earlier than the average start date of July 18, marking the earliest onset since 1961 [1][2] - The average rainfall in the North China monitoring area reached 315.5 mm, which is 131% higher than the normal value of 136.6 mm [2] - The record-breaking rainfall is attributed to multiple factors, including abnormal sea temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, a strong and shifted subtropical high-pressure system, typhoon activity, and geographical influences [3][4] Summary by Sections Rainy Season Characteristics - The rainy season in North China has lasted for 52 days as of August 25, significantly longer than the typical duration of 30 days [1] - The rainy season is characterized by increased rainfall frequency, volume, and humidity, contributing to a notably damp environment [2] Factors Contributing to Abnormal Weather - The subtropical high-pressure system has been stronger and positioned further north than usual, facilitating the transport of warm, moist air from lower latitudes to northern China [3] - Historical data indicates that the combination of typhoons and the subtropical high can lead to extreme rainfall events, as seen with Typhoon "Kanu" and Typhoon "Zhu Jie Cao" [3] Climate Change Implications - The record rainfall in North China is viewed as a local manifestation of global climate system changes, emphasizing the need for improved climate adaptation and response capabilities to address extreme weather challenges [4]

Group 1 - The first typhoon of the year, "Butterfly," is expected to make landfall in the coastal area between Sanya and Dongfang on the morning of June 13, marking it as the first typhoon to land in China this year [1][2] - The average formation date for the first typhoon in the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea is March 25, but this year, "Butterfly" formed on June 11, indicating a significant delay [1][2] - Three main reasons for the late formation of the typhoon include lower than average sea temperatures in the South China Sea, a persistent strong subtropical high in the Western Pacific suppressing tropical convection, and abnormal activity of the tropical convergence zone and monsoon [1] Group 2 - The frequency of typhoons making landfall in Hainan Island in June has been increasing, with only one recorded from 1991 to 2012, compared to three from 2013 to 2020, averaging less than one every three years [2] - Typhoons that land in June are generally weaker, with an average intensity of strong tropical storm level, and the strongest recorded June typhoon reached typhoon level [2] - Since 1949, only one first typhoon, "Raccoon," made landfall in Hainan on April 18, 2008, making "Butterfly" potentially the second recorded first typhoon to land in Hainan Island [2]