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日本造船复活的条件(上)联合开发新一代船
日经中文网· 2025-06-06 07:55
Core Viewpoint - The Japanese shipbuilding industry is experiencing a temporary boom due to high demand and ship prices, but faces significant challenges from Chinese and Korean competitors, particularly in the LNG transport ship sector, leading to a declining global presence [1][5][7]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - The shipyard schedule in Japan is booked for three years ahead, with ship prices remaining high, marking a rare "spring" for the industry [1]. - The Japan Marine United (JMU) reported a net profit increase to 19.9 billion yen for the fiscal year 2024, a 5.4 times increase from the previous year, indicating strong performance among Japanese shipbuilders [5]. - Despite the current success, Japan's share of new ship orders has dropped to 7% in 2024, with China at 69% and South Korea at 15%, highlighting a significant decline in global competitiveness [5]. Group 2: Challenges and Competition - Japanese companies have not secured any LNG ship orders since 2016, with South Korea and China dominating the market, holding 60% and 40% of the orders respectively [7]. - The Japanese government is attempting to support the industry by investing approximately 120 billion yen in zero-emission ships, including ammonia and hydrogen fuel vessels, to enhance competitiveness [7][8]. - The "All Japan" initiative aims to standardize fuel tanks for new eco-friendly ships, which could reduce design costs and improve delivery times, addressing the challenges posed by larger competitors [7][8]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The MILES initiative, a collaboration between Imabari Shipbuilding and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, aims to develop liquid CO2 transport ships, indicating a shift towards innovative projects in response to market pressures [8][9]. - The global ship rental market is currently facing low rates due to an oversupply of LNG vessels, complicating the outlook for future ship sales at high prices [9]. - Japanese shipbuilders must adapt quickly to maintain relevance in a rapidly changing market, as exemplified by the completion of a liquid CO2 ship by a Chinese company, which underscores the urgency for Japanese firms to innovate [9].
中国造船业“超级周期”启幕:全球69%订单背后的技术突围与重组革命
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-23 07:06
Core Insights - The Chinese shipbuilding industry is experiencing a remarkable transformation, leading the global market with a 69% share of new ship orders in April 2024, totaling 51 vessels and 2.51 million gross tons [1][2] - The industry is witnessing a significant increase in order volume, with new orders up 58.8% year-on-year and a backlog of orders projected to last until 2029 [2][4] - The merger between China Shipbuilding and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation is a historic consolidation aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and competitiveness in the shipbuilding sector [4][5] Group 1: Industry Performance - In 2024, China's shipbuilding completion volume is expected to grow by 13.8%, with a 49.7% increase in the backlog of orders [2][3] - China has maintained its position as the world's largest shipbuilding nation for 15 consecutive years, with significant advancements in high-tech vessels such as LNG carriers [2][3] - The market share of new green ship orders in China reached 78.5%, indicating a strong focus on environmentally friendly technologies [2][3] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The delivery of the world's first fifth-generation large LNG carrier by Hudong-Zhonghua marks a significant milestone for China in the LNG shipping sector [2][3] - Chinese shipyards are leading in the construction of green vessels, with six shipyards ranking among the top ten globally for green power ship orders [3][4] - The industry is adapting to new technologies, including artificial intelligence and quantum technology, to maintain its competitive edge [7][9] Group 3: Financial Outlook - China Shipbuilding's revenue is projected to exceed 80 billion yuan by 2025, with a significant increase in the value of its order backlog [4][5] - The merger between China Shipbuilding and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation is expected to create the largest listed company in the A-share market, enhancing overall operational efficiency [4][5] - The global shipbuilding market is facing challenges, including a decline in new orders, but the backlog remains strong, indicating a healthy demand for shipbuilding services [8][9]