2025. ✦✦✦ Oct. 30 10月30日，TrendForce集邦咨询在金茂深圳JW万豪酒店举行2025自发光显示产业研讨会。来自 显示产业链的多位专家以及TrendForce分析师在会上发表专题演讲，深入剖析自发光显示的发展 前景与未来机遇。 PART. ✦✦✦ 穿戴方面，Garmin手表的发布意味着Micro LED用于穿戴装置上依旧具备技术独特性，并且其与 传感器集成的能力也一直是一个重要技术优势和商业化指标，但在真正规模化走向消费市场之前， 还需解决高成本、高功耗等问题。 大型显示器方面，以三星、LG、辰显光电、天马、BOE京东方等为代表的厂商，已经将100英寸以 上Micro LED电视/显示屏产品的量产提上了日程。降本是众多厂商的共同目标，现阶段Micro LED的成本主要来自Micro LED COC，此环节的成本受订单量、芯片尺寸、出货标准、出货良率 等诸多因素的影响，而芯片尺寸微缩是降本最有效的途径。此外，大尺寸拼接应用背板大型化趋势 逐渐成形，也可望为改善生产良率并压缩生产产生一定助益。 研讨会现场 会议伊始，TrendForce集邦咨询总经理樊晓莉发表致辞。她向所有嘉宾致以热情的 ...

Core Viewpoint - LG Display's large-size OLED glass substrate input capacity increased by 28% in 2023, reaching 133K sheets/month, but still below the design capacity of 180K sheets/month, indicating potential issues with production line utilization [1][2]. Group 1: Production Capacity - LG Display's monthly input capacity for large-size OLED was 175K in 2021, decreased to 160K in 2022, further dropped to 104K in 2023, and rebounded to 133K in 2024, reflecting market volatility [2]. - The OP1 factory in Paju had an input capacity of 86K in 2021, reduced to 70K in 2022, fell to 39K in 2023, and increased to 58K in 2024. The Guangzhou OLED factory maintained a more stable capacity of 75K in 2024 [2]. Group 2: Market Demand and Future Outlook - Samsung Electronics plans to increase its procurement of OLEDs from LG Display, with expected shipments of approximately 1.4 million units in 2024 and a significant increase in 2025 [3]. - LG Display's CEO aims for profitability in 2024 by strengthening customer structure and driving cost innovation [3]. - The input capacity for OLED glass substrates for Apple products is also growing, from 31K in 2021 to 47K in 2024, indicating strong demand [3]. - LG Display's automotive display business has surpassed 2 trillion KRW in sales, showcasing market potential across multiple sectors [3].

Group 1: Market Overview - In the first 25 days of May, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 1.358 million units, a year-on-year increase of 16% compared to the same period last year, and a month-on-month increase of 9% [1] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) during the same period reached 726,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 31% and a month-on-month increase of 11%, with a market penetration rate of 53.5% [1] - Cumulatively, 8.23 million passenger cars have been sold this year, showing a year-on-year growth of 9% [1] Group 2: HUD Technology Insights - The delivery volume of head-up display (HUD) vehicles in China is expected to reach 3.56 million units in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of over 55%, with the penetration rate increasing from 11% in 2023 to 16% in 2024 [1] - The HUD market has surpassed the early adopter threshold of 16%, indicating a shift from linear to exponential growth in technology diffusion [1] - The domestic HUD industry chain benefits from a more complete structure and lower costs, approximately 50% lower than foreign counterparts, due to rapid development in the automotive sector [2] Group 3: Company Performance - Sunny Optical Technology (02382) is recognized as an industry leader in automotive lenses, with expectations for continued market share growth, driven by new growth engines such as laser radar, smart car lights, and HUD [3] - BOE Technology Group (00710) is a leading developer of TFT LCDs, focusing on automotive and industrial displays, with its BOEVx platform gaining market recognition for advanced display technologies [4] - Xinyi International (00732) reported a cumulative net revenue of approximately HKD 17.78 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 14.1%, with significant production capacity in TFT automotive displays [4]

Company Insights - Weichai Power (2338 HK/000338 CH) is expected to see a strong expansion in engine profit margins in 2024, with a projected net profit growth of 27% year-on-year to RMB 11.4 billion, aligning with expectations [2] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of RMB 0.347 per share, resulting in a historical high payout ratio of 55%, up from 50% in 2023 [6] - The target prices for Weichai Power have been adjusted to RMB 18.7 and HKD 18.0, reflecting an increase from previous estimates [6] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,579, up 0.41% for the day and 38.31% year-to-date [3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.29%, with a year-to-date increase of 48.48% [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index saw a slight increase of 0.15%, with a year-to-date growth of 13.41% [3] Sector Analysis - The healthcare, consumer staples, and energy sectors led gains in the Hong Kong market, while materials, information technology, and real estate sectors faced declines [5] - In the U.S. market, defensive sectors such as consumer staples and healthcare outperformed, while energy and information technology sectors experienced declines [5] - European markets saw declines in information technology, materials, and healthcare, with defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples performing better [5] Future Outlook - Haidilao (6862 HK) is expected to accelerate store openings in FY2025, with a projected net increase of approximately 40 stores, reflecting a 3% year-on-year growth [7][9] - The company anticipates an improvement in profit margins, driven by a stable gross margin and operational efficiency enhancements [8] - Atour (ATAT US) plans to open around 500 new hotels in FY2025, aiming for a 30% year-on-year growth in hotel numbers, while closing about 60 underperforming locations [12]