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新奥股份(600803):Q1核心利润保持稳定 平台气贸易策略灵活调整
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q1 2025 financial results, showing a slight decline in total revenue and net profit, while core profit experienced a marginal increase, indicating performance slightly below expectations [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 33.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.44% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 976 million yuan, down 9.64% year-on-year [1]. - Core profit reached 1.08 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating resilience in core operations [1]. Group 2: Gas Sales and Market Dynamics - The company’s gas sales volume in Q1 2025 was 10.544 billion cubic meters, up 5.4% year-on-year, driven by a 34.5% increase in wholesale gas sales [2]. - Retail gas sales volume was 7.258 billion cubic meters, a slight increase of 0.3% year-on-year, with residential gas sales growing by 1.1% [2]. - The company’s platform trading gas sales volume was 1.196 billion cubic meters, showing a minor decline of 1.4% year-on-year, while international trade volume increased by 1.21 billion cubic meters [2]. Group 3: LNG Processing and Energy Sales - The LNG processing volume at the Zhoushan receiving station reached 551,700 tons in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28.6% [3]. - The company’s comprehensive energy sales volume was 10.039 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.9% [3]. - The company has 367 operational comprehensive energy projects with a total installed capacity of 6.25 GW, and 73 projects under construction with a capacity of 1.18 GW [3]. Group 4: Strategic Developments - The privatization of New World Energy is progressing steadily, with asset restructuring expected to enhance shareholder returns [4]. - The company has updated financial data and is advancing through regulatory approvals for the privatization process [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward due to delays in long-term resource availability and the impact of a warm winter on retail gas growth [4].
新奥能源:经营韧性足,高股息带来价值重估-20250427
HTSC· 2025-04-27 10:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company demonstrates strong operational resilience, with a high dividend yield leading to a potential revaluation of its value [1] - The privatization transaction is progressing normally, with the current stock price implying a potential discount of 41% for the company's H shares [4] - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 5.4% [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Gas Volume - In Q1 2025, the company achieved retail gas volume of 7.258 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, outperforming the national natural gas consumption growth rate of -2.2% [2] - The company expects a 6% year-on-year growth in gross profit from retail gas in 2025 [2] Comprehensive Energy Sales - The company reported a comprehensive energy sales volume of 10.039 billion kWh in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [3] - The expected gross profit growth for comprehensive energy in 2025 is projected to be 12% [3] Smart Home Services - The penetration rate for smart home services reached 3.7% in Q1 2025, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The expected gross profit growth for smart home services in 2025 is projected to be 10% [3] Financial Forecasts - The company slightly adjusted its profit forecasts, with core profits for 2025-2027 expected to be 7.220 billion, 7.655 billion, and 8.039 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a CAGR of 5% over three years [5] - The target price has been slightly revised down to 68.6 HKD, based on a 10x PE for 2025E [5] Key Financial Metrics - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected at 113.873 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 3.66% [6] - The expected EPS for 2025 is 6.38 RMB [6]
新奥能源(02688):经营韧性足,高股息带来价值重估
HTSC· 2025-04-27 09:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company demonstrates strong operational resilience, with a high dividend yield leading to a potential revaluation of its value [1] - The privatization transaction is progressing normally, with the current stock price implying a potential discount of 41% for the company's H shares [4] Summary by Sections Sales and Revenue - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total gas sales volume of 7.258 billion cubic meters, representing a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, outperforming the national natural gas consumption growth rate of -2.2% [2] - The company expects a 6% year-on-year growth in gross profit for retail gas in 2025 [2] Energy Sales and Smart Home Services - The company reported a 9.9% year-on-year increase in comprehensive energy sales volume, reaching 100.39 billion kWh in Q1 2025 [3] - The penetration rate for smart home services decreased to 3.7%, with a year-on-year decline of 0.3 percentage points [3] - The company anticipates a gross profit growth of at least 10% for smart home services in 2025 [3] Financial Projections - The company slightly adjusted its profit forecasts, with core profits for 2025-2027 expected to be 7.220 billion, 7.655 billion, and 8.039 billion RMB, respectively [5] - The target price is set at 68.6 HKD, based on a 10x 2025E PE ratio [5] Key Financial Metrics - The company is projected to have a revenue of 113.873 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3.66% [6] - The expected EPS for 2025 is 6.38 RMB, with a projected ROE of 15.32% [6]
新奥股份(600803) - 新奥股份关于2025年第一季度主要运营数据的自愿性公告
2025-04-25 12:13
证券代码:600803 证券简称:新奥股份 公告编号:临 2025-044 新奥天然气股份有限公司 关于 2025 年第一季度主要运营数据的自愿性公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 产品 | 计量单位 | 年 2025 | 年 2024 | 同比增减幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 第一季度 | 第一季度 | | | 平台交易气 销售量 | 百万立方米 | 1,196 | 1,213 | -1.4% | | 天然气零售气 销售量 | 百万立方米 | 7,258 | 7,237 | 0.3% | | 泛能销售量 | 百万千瓦时 | 10,039 | 9,136 | 9.9% | | 接收站接卸量 | 万吨 | 48 | 46 | 4.3% | 一、主要运营数据 二、风险提示 上述主要运营数据源自公司内部统计。运营数据在季度之间可能存在差异, 其影响因素包括但不限于宏观政策调整、国内外市场环境变化、行业周期、季节 性因素等。上述运营数据未经审计,仅为投资者阶段 ...
新奥能源(02688):股东回报超预期,私有化加速整合
HTSC· 2025-03-28 06:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 109.9 billion RMB for 2024, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.99 billion RMB, down 12.2% year-on-year. However, core profit exceeded expectations at 6.95 billion RMB, primarily due to better-than-expected sales and gross margins in the energy sector [1][2] - The major shareholder plans to privatize the company and achieve an "A+H" listing, indicating an acceleration in the integration of the natural gas industry chain, which is expected to unlock long-term value [1][4] - The company’s domestic core profit for 2024 increased by 10.2% to 6.71 billion RMB, driven by growth in retail gas volume and energy sales [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s free cash flow increased by 20% year-on-year to 3.73 billion RMB, supported by rising operating cash flow and reduced capital expenditures. The total dividend for 2024 reached 3 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of 45%, and a projected increase to 48% in 2025 [3] - The report slightly lowers the profit forecast for 2025-2026 by 2.7% and 6.7% to 7.23 billion RMB and 7.68 billion RMB respectively, with an estimated core profit of 8.08 billion RMB in 2027 [5][21] Market Position and Strategy - The privatization plan includes a cash payout of 24.5 HKD per share and the issuance of new H shares, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs through better integration of resources [4] - The company’s retail gas volume for 2024 is projected to grow by 4.2% to 26.2 billion cubic meters, with a stable gross margin expected to maintain a 6% increase in 2025 [2][21] Valuation Metrics - The target price for the company is set at 69.5 HKD, based on a 10x PE ratio for 2025 estimates, reflecting a slight adjustment from the previous target of 71.1 HKD [5][7] - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 74.66 billion HKD, with a current share price of 66.00 HKD as of March 27 [7]
新奥能源发布年度业绩 股东应占溢利59.87亿元 同比减少12.2% 拟派发末期息每股2.35港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-03-26 08:56
Core Points - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.987 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.2% year-on-year, and proposed a final dividend of 2.35 HKD per share [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of 109.853 billion yuan, a decline of 3.5% compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Industrial and Commercial Development - The company added 12.17 million cubic meters per day of new industrial customer gas volume, reaching a cumulative industrial customer gas volume of 185 million cubic meters per day, resulting in a 5.2% increase in gas volume for industrial users [1] - The company developed 25,000 commercial users, with a cumulative total of 227,000 commercial users and a gas volume of 2.93 million cubic meters per day, leading to a 4.5% increase in gas volume for commercial users [1] Group 2: Residential and Retail Performance - The company installed gas services for 1.617 million new residential users, bringing the total number of residential users to 31.38 million, which supports the development of smart home business [2] - The company completed approximately 63% of the cumulative residential gas price adjustment by the end of 2024 [2] - The company achieved a 4.2% year-on-year increase in natural gas retail sales volume, with revenue and gross profit increasing by 0.2% and 2.9% to 60.749 billion yuan and 6.225 billion yuan, respectively [2] Group 3: Impact of Market Conditions - The company faced a 15.3% and 91.4% decrease in revenue and gross profit from gas wholesale business, totaling 25.143 billion yuan and 0.94 billion yuan, respectively, due to declining international natural gas prices [2] - The engineering installation business experienced a decline of 23.3% and 31.6% in revenue and gross profit, amounting to 4.095 billion yuan and 1.895 billion yuan, respectively, due to pressures from the real estate downturn [2] Group 4: Energy Projects and Performance - The company completed 60 large-scale projects during the year, with a cumulative total of 356 operational projects, resulting in a total installed capacity of 13.3 GW and a total energy sales volume of 41.57 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 19.8% [2] - The company's energy business revenue and gross profit grew by 5.2% and 16.4% to 15.273 billion yuan and 2.22 billion yuan, respectively, with a gross margin increase to 14.5% [2]