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大麦娱乐(01060.HK):\"演艺+IP\"双引擎 重构线下娱乐新基建
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-03 10:25
Company Overview - Damai Entertainment is a leading full-industry chain live entertainment platform in China, engaged in content production, promotion, distribution, IP derivative licensing, commercial operations, cinema and entertainment event ticket management, and internet data services. The company has participated in the production and distribution of over 300 films and covers all categories of live entertainment ticketing. Alibaba Group is the controlling shareholder, and the management team has rich experience in the internet industry and holds shares in the company. Since 2023, organizational restructuring has activated organizational vitality, leading to significant growth and scale effects [1]. IP Industry Insights - The IP industry in China is a burgeoning market with a scale of hundreds of billions, showing rapid growth and substantial potential. The primary model for IP licensing in China is product licensing, which can leverage over 25 times the product GMV from a single licensing fee. Compared to Japan and the US, China's IP licensing market still has considerable growth potential, with per capita retail consumption of IP products being less than one-fourth of Japan's and one-fifth of the US's [2]. - Alibaba Yu is the largest IP licensing agency platform in China, having established main licensing agreements with companies like Sanrio. The strategy involves expanding the IP matrix upstream to acquire more top-tier IP licenses and enhancing downstream operations to strengthen IP management and develop B2C business. The competitive advantages include a vast customer base, big data matching, joint marketing, and automated tracking and settlement [2]. Performance in Live Events - The live event industry is experiencing a dual increase in volume and price, supported by policies that facilitate industry expansion. It is projected that the national offline box office for live events will reach 57.9 billion yuan in 2024, with large-scale events accounting for over half of this figure. The increase in per capita box office for large events drives price growth, while tourism and performance attendance boost volume growth [3]. - Damai is expanding its categories and exploring overseas markets, with a smooth logic of "volume and price" increase. The company has deeply integrated resources from the Alibaba ecosystem, establishing a comprehensive layout across content, venues, and ticketing in the live entertainment sector. Damai holds a significant market share in ticketing, with nearly 100% coverage of major concert projects. The company aims to extend large-scale events to overseas markets and diversify into other large-scale events in the domestic market, such as sports events and stand-up comedy [3]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of 7.891 billion, 9.534 billion, and 11.683 billion yuan for FY26-28, representing year-on-year growth of 18%, 21%, and 23% respectively. Adjusted EBITA is projected to be 1.012 billion, 1.498 billion, and 2.133 billion yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth of 25%, 48%, and 42% respectively. As a leader in the live event and IP licensing sectors, the company currently presents a cost-effective valuation and is rated as a "buy" [3].