特斯拉第三代灵巧手

Search documents
【重磅深度】灵巧手持续迭代,关注技术路线收敛中的边际增量
东吴汽车黄细里团队· 2025-06-27 15:44
Core Viewpoint - The dexterous hand market is expected to grow significantly, reaching $1.706 billion in 2024 and projected to increase to $1.921 billion in 2025 and $3.036 billion by 2030, driven by the demand for humanoid robots that require more advanced dexterous hands with higher degrees of freedom [2][11]. Market Overview - The dexterous hand market is anticipated to reach 760,100 units in 2024, with projections of 861,800 units in 2025 and 1,412,100 units by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.38% and 9.59% respectively [28][29]. Driving Solutions - The mainstream driving solutions include underactuated, external/mixed, and electric drives, with a shift from hollow cup motors to brushless gear motors. Underactuated designs sacrifice precision for cost reduction and faster deployment, while electric drives are favored for their modular design and high precision [3][11][45]. - Tesla's third-generation dexterous hand has replaced some hollow cup motors with brushless gear motors, indicating a potential shift in motor solutions [3][11]. Transmission Solutions - Transmission solutions encompass gear/worm gear, linkages, screws, and tendon-driven systems, each with its advantages and disadvantages. The tendon + screw composite transmission can enhance transmission precision while maintaining flexibility, exemplified by Tesla's third-generation dexterous hand [4][5][51]. Perception Solutions - Multi-modal perception is a defined trend, with force/torque sensors evolving towards strain gauge types and flexible sensors focusing on enhancing sensitivity and stability. MEMS pressure sensors, particularly resistive types, are becoming more prevalent in dexterous hand applications [6][66][74]. Industry Trends - Both domestic and international products are increasingly pursuing high degrees of freedom and multi-modal perception, highlighting the industry's development trends. Investment recommendations include companies involved in reducers and screw chains, such as Fuda Co., Zhejiang Rongtai, and Wuzhou Xinchun [8][11]. Future Outlook - The iteration of Tesla's dexterous hand clearly indicates a mainstream shift towards tendon-driven systems, achieving a doubling of degrees of freedom, transmission upgrades, drive switching, and breakthroughs in multi-modal perception [7][11].