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公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.09.14):A股市场短暂回调,重回上行趋势创年内新高-20250916
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-09-16 12:00
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a brief adjustment after approaching the high point of August 2025, but rebounded to create a new high for the year after falling to the 20-day moving average [2] - The overall market remains active and on an upward trend, with strong capital inflow intentions after the adjustment, indicating limited space for further decline [2][3] - The market is expected to maintain an upward trend despite short-term resistance, with strategies suggesting gradual accumulation of positions during dips [3] Group 2 - The quantitative strategy configuration suggests prioritizing stock enhancement strategies over overseas equity strategies and evergreen low-volatility strategies [3] - The evergreen low-volatility strategy has shown strong stability and has effectively reduced portfolio volatility, making it suitable for long-term allocation [5][13] - The stock enhancement strategy has the potential to accumulate excess returns as the market environment improves, with a focus on undervalued companies [5][16] Group 3 - The overseas equity allocation strategy has benefited from easing tariff expectations and strong earnings reports from tech companies, indicating a positive long-term outlook for US stocks [4][21] - The cash-enhancing fund strategy has consistently outperformed its benchmark, providing effective cash management solutions for investors [6][17] - The overseas equity configuration fund strategy has accumulated high levels of excess returns, highlighting the importance of global asset allocation [21][30]
【公募基金】A股市场短暂回调,重回上行趋势创年内新高——公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.09.14)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-09-16 10:08
Core Viewpoint - The A-share equity market has experienced a brief adjustment after approaching the high point of August 2025, but has rebounded and reached a new high for the year, indicating a strong upward trend despite short-term resistance [3][4]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown strong performance since June 2025, quickly breaking through multiple hundred-point levels after short-term fluctuations. The market remains active with strong capital inflow intentions after corrections, suggesting limited downside potential [3][4]. - The market is currently at a critical resistance point, and strategies should focus on gradually accumulating positions during dips, anticipating a potential upward trend after consolidation [4]. Quantitative Strategy Allocation - The preferred strategy allocation is as follows: Equity Enhancement Strategy > Overseas Equity Strategy > Evergreen Low Volatility Strategy [4]. - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund Strategy has shown stable performance, with a return of 1.387% this week, and has maintained a low volatility characteristic, outperforming the benchmark [10][11]. - The Equity Enhancement Fund Strategy recorded a return of 1.955% this week, with potential for alpha generation as market conditions improve [6][12]. Overseas Market Insights - The U.S. stock market has been buoyed by easing tariff expectations and strong earnings reports from tech companies, with a potential new interest rate cut cycle expected to provide further momentum [5][7]. - The Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Strategy has also performed well, with a return of 0.982% this week, indicating a recovery in the U.S. market following tariff negotiations [7][10]. Fund Performance Tracking - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund has consistently outperformed the benchmark with a year-to-date return of 13.385% [10][11]. - The Cash Enhancement Fund Strategy has achieved a return of 0.027% this week, outperforming the benchmark index [10][14]. - The Overseas Equity Allocation Fund has accumulated significant excess returns since its inception, benefiting from global technology growth [17][21].
【公募基金】市场高位小幅回调整固,不改上行趋势——公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.08.31)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-09-02 09:22
Core Viewpoint - The A-share equity market is experiencing high-level fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a 0.84% increase this week, indicating a resilient market despite short-term adjustments [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market remains strong, with the Shanghai Composite Index quickly rebounding after a brief correction near the 3900-point mark [3]. - The domestic equity fund strategy index also recorded gains this week, with low-volatility strategies underperforming in terms of excess returns [3][4]. Group 2: Fund Strategy Insights - The preferred fund strategies are ranked as follows: stock-enhanced strategies > overseas equity strategies > evergreen low-volatility strategies [4]. - The stock-enhanced fund strategy achieved a return of 1.389% this week, while the evergreen low-volatility strategy recorded a return of 1.249% [5]. - The cash-enhanced fund strategy outperformed the benchmark with a return of 0.027%, accumulating a total excess return of 0.481% since its inception [5]. Group 3: Overseas Market Dynamics - The overseas equity allocation fund strategy recorded a return of 0.329% this week, with a focus on the recovery of the U.S. stock market following tariff negotiations and strong earnings reports from tech companies [6]. - The U.S. economy shows no significant signs of recession, and the ongoing technological advancements are expected to drive future growth in the U.S. stock market [6]. Group 4: Fund Composition and Strategy - The evergreen low-volatility fund strategy has demonstrated strong stability and lower volatility compared to the benchmark, making it suitable for risk-averse investors [9]. - The stock-enhanced fund strategy aims to identify funds with strong alpha generation capabilities, which may yield excess returns as market conditions improve [10][21]. - The cash-enhanced fund strategy focuses on selecting high-yield money market funds to optimize short-term cash management [12][22]. - The overseas equity allocation fund strategy utilizes momentum and reversal indicators to select international equity indices for investment, enhancing global diversification [15][23].
公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.08.31):市场高位小幅回调整固,不改上行趋势-20250902
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-09-02 07:59
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information found in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The A-share equity market showed high-level volatility this week. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%. The domestic equity fund strategy index also recorded varying degrees of gains. The low-volatility strategy maintained its low-volatility attribute but lost excess returns, while the stock fund enhancement strategy achieved better returns [2]. - The allocation view of quantitative strategies is: stock fund enhancement strategy > overseas equity strategy > Evergreen low-volatility strategy. The A-share market is expected to maintain an upward trend, and the stock fund enhancement portfolio has more room. The Evergreen low-volatility strategy can be used as a base allocation, and defensive sectors such as banks still have high long-term allocation value [3]. - Overseas, the US stock market is expected to pick up its upward trend. In the long term, the US economy has not shown a significant recession, and the US stock market is expected to start a new round of market under the combined effect of rapid technological growth and the digestion of short-term risk events [4][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Quantitative Strategy Allocation View - The stock fund enhancement strategy has more room in the current A-share market, and the Evergreen low-volatility strategy can be used as a base allocation. Defensive sectors such as banks have high long-term allocation value after adjustment [3]. - Overseas, the US stock market is expected to pick up its upward trend, and global investment still has strong diversification allocation value [4][8]. 3.2 Performance of Toolized Fund Combinations - **Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Combination**: It maintained low volatility and small drawdowns, with a weekly return of 1.249% and an excess return of -1.841%. Since the strategy started on July 31, 2023, it has achieved significant excess returns and has both defensive and offensive characteristics [5][13][15]. - **Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Combination**: The strategy has been running for a short time. It is expected to have stronger elasticity after the market environment improves. It had a weekly return of 1.389% and an excess return of -1.701% [5][13][18]. - **Cash Enhancement Fund Combination**: It continuously outperformed the benchmark, with a weekly return of 0.027% and a cumulative excess return of over 0.41% since the strategy started in late July 2023 [6][13][19]. - **Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Combination**: It has accumulated a high level of excess returns since July 31, 2023. Global allocation can increase the returns of the equity investment portfolio. It had a weekly return of 0.329% and an excess return of -1.513% [6][13][22]. 3.3 Construction Ideas of Toolized Fund Combinations - **Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Combination**: Select funds with long-term stable returns from high-equity position actively managed funds, and construct an actively managed equity fund combination with low volatility characteristics from the two dimensions of net value performance and position characteristics [27]. - **Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Combination**: Allocate funds managed by fund managers with stronger Alpha mining capabilities in actively managed equity funds, and construct a stock fund enhancement fund combination strategy based on the significant continuity of Alpha returns [28]. - **Cash Enhancement Fund Combination**: Construct a money fund selection system by comprehensively considering various money fund factors to help investors obtain higher returns and reduce return volatility risks [29]. - **Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Combination**: Select QDII equity funds corresponding to the equity market indexes of different countries or regions according to long-term and short-term technical indicators, and construct an overseas market selection combination to meet the needs of global asset allocation [30].
【公募基金】市场情绪持续升温,策略指数再创新高——公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.08.24)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-08-26 09:33
Core Viewpoint - The A-share equity market has shown strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.49% this week, indicating sustained market enthusiasm and a high level of capital inflow into the market [3][4]. Quantitative Strategy Configuration Viewpoints - The ranking of fund strategies is as follows: Stock Enhancement Strategy > Overseas Equity Strategy > Evergreen Low Volatility Strategy, with the stock enhancement strategy showing greater potential in the current market environment [4]. - The A-share market is expected to maintain an upward trend despite potential short-term resistance, with limited room for pullbacks [4]. - The U.S. stock market has been buoyed by easing tariff expectations and strong earnings reports from tech companies, with a potential new round of interest rate cuts expected to provide further momentum [4][6]. Fund Strategy Performance - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund Strategy recorded a weekly gain of 1.679%, but an excess return of -1.990%, indicating that while it has been stable, it may struggle to capture excess returns in a strong market [5][9]. - The Stock Enhancement Fund Strategy achieved a weekly return of 2.719% with an excess return of -0.949%, suggesting that it is well-positioned to capture alpha as the market evolves [5][9]. - The Cash Growth Fund Strategy yielded a return of 0.028%, outperforming the benchmark, with cumulative excess returns of 0.476% since its inception [5][9]. Overseas Equity Fund Strategy - The Overseas Equity Fund Strategy experienced a decline of -1.171% this week, with an excess return of -5.022%, reflecting the impact of tariff tensions and subsequent market adjustments [6][9]. - Despite recent volatility, the U.S. economy shows no significant signs of recession, and the ongoing technological advancements are expected to drive future growth in the U.S. stock market [6][9]. Fund Combination Construction Ideas - The company emphasizes the need for a quantitative approach to fund selection to meet the diverse needs of investors in different market environments and risk preferences [19][20]. - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund aims to provide stable returns while minimizing volatility, making it suitable for risk-averse investors [21]. - The Stock Enhancement Fund focuses on identifying funds with strong alpha generation capabilities, aiming to deliver superior performance in favorable market conditions [22]. - The Cash Growth Fund is designed to optimize returns on cash management, ensuring investors can achieve higher yields with reduced risk [23]. - The Overseas Equity Fund seeks to provide global diversification by selecting high-potential international equity indices for investment [24].
公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.08.17):市场情绪热度不减,策略指数持续新高-20250819
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-08-19 06:55
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The A-share equity market showed strong performance throughout the week, with major fund strategy indices hitting new highs. Overseas equities also resumed their upward trend after an early - month shock, and the market was less sensitive to risk factors [2]. - The recommended order of quantitative strategy allocation is: stock fund enhancement strategy > evergreen low - volatility strategy > overseas equity strategy. The A - share market is expected to maintain an upward trend, and the stock fund enhancement portfolio has more room. The evergreen low - volatility strategy can be used as a base configuration, and defensive sectors like banks still have high long - term allocation value. Overseas, the US stock market has been rising, but it's not advisable to chase high in the short term, while maintaining a long - term optimistic view [3][4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Quantified Strategy Allocation View - **A - share Market**: The Shanghai Composite Index is strong, breaking through multiple round - number points and last year's high. The market is expected to keep rising, with limited callback space. The stock fund enhancement portfolio has more room, and the evergreen low - volatility strategy and defensive sectors have long - term value [3]. - **Overseas Market**: The US stock market has been rising due to various factors. It's not advisable to chase high in the short term, but the long - term upward trend is still optimistic, and attention should be paid to potential dips for layout [4]. - **Equity Fund Strategies**: The evergreen low - volatility fund strategy rose this week with a return of 1.897% and an excess return of - 2.355%. It can reduce portfolio volatility and is still worth being a base - position configuration. The stock fund enhancement fund strategy rose with a return of 1.922% and an excess return of - 2.330%. The cash - enhancing fund strategy had a return of 0.028%, outperforming the benchmark. The overseas equity allocation fund strategy rose with a return of 1.868% and an excess return of - 1.045% [4][5]. 3.2 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Performance Tracking - **Evergreen Low - Volatility Fund Portfolio**: It has low - volatility characteristics, with significantly better volatility and maximum drawdown than the CSI Active Stock Fund Index. It has achieved significant excess returns since the strategy started in July 31, 2023, and has both defensive and offensive capabilities [11][13]. - **Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio**: Since the strategy started recently, its performance is close to the CSI Active Stock Fund Index. It is expected to have more elasticity when the market environment improves and can maintain a similar trend to the benchmark in a weak market [11][16]. - **Cash - Enhancing Fund Portfolio**: After double - screening, it continuously outperforms the benchmark, and has accumulated an excess return of over 0.41% since July 2023, providing a reference for cash management [11][17]. - **Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio**: Since July 31, 2023, in the context of the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle and the boost of AI technology, it has accumulated high - level excess returns, and global allocation can increase portfolio returns [11][20]. 3.3 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Construction Ideas - **General Idea**: Use quantitative methods to build a new - style fund selection pool for different market environments and risk - preference investors. For money funds and bond funds, also use quantitative methods to develop relevant tool - based portfolios [23]. - **Evergreen Low - Volatility Fund Portfolio**: Select funds with long - term stable returns from high - equity - position actively managed funds. Consider factors such as maximum drawdown, volatility, and valuation to build a low - volatility active equity fund portfolio [26]. - **Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio**: Aims to meet the needs of high - risk - preference investors. Select fund managers with strong alpha - mining ability, and build a portfolio based on the continuation of alpha returns [27]. - **Cash - Enhancing Fund Portfolio**: Build a money - fund selection system considering multiple factors to help investors obtain higher returns and reduce return volatility [28]. - **Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio**: Select QDII equity funds corresponding to overseas equity indices based on long - and short - term technical indicators, momentum, and reversal effects to meet the needs of global allocation [25][29].
公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.08.10):短暂调整,海内外权益重回强势表现-20250812
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-08-12 10:39
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - A-share and US stock equity markets both showed strong performances after short-term adjustments. All strategy indices gained positive returns this week, with defensive-style sectors that had experienced longer pullbacks performing better, and domestic equity portfolios achieving excess returns. The Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy and Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy earned 1.826% and 1.620% respectively, while the Overseas Equity Strategy recorded a 0.610% return [2]. - The quantitative strategy configuration preference is: Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy > Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy > Overseas Equity Strategy. The A-share market is expected to maintain an upward trend, with limited downside potential. The Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy has more room, the Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy can serve as a base allocation, and defensive sectors like banks still have high long-term allocation value. For the US stock market, it's not advisable to chase high in the short term, but its long-term upward trend is still optimistic, and attention should be paid to potential pullbacks for bottom-fishing opportunities [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Toolized Fund Portfolio Performance Tracking - **Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Portfolio**: Maintained low volatility characteristics, with both portfolio volatility and maximum drawdown significantly better than the CSI Active Equity Fund Index. Since the strategy started on July 31, 2023, it has continued to have low volatility and small drawdowns, achieving significant excess returns and showing both defensive and offensive capabilities [14]. - **Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio**: The strategy has been running for a relatively short time, and its performance is similar to the CSI Active Equity Fund Index. It is expected to have stronger elasticity when the market environment improves, and can maintain a similar trend to the benchmark in a weak market [16]. - **Cash Enhancement Fund Portfolio**: Through double screening of risk elimination and scoring optimization, it continuously outperformed the benchmark. Since the strategy started at the end of July 2023, the excess return has been continuously accumulated, providing an effective reference for investors in cash management [17]. - **Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio**: Since July 31, 2023, in the context of the Fed's interest rate cut cycle and the boost of artificial intelligence technology to global technology stocks, it has accumulated a high level of excess returns, and global allocation can enhance the returns of equity investment portfolios [20]. 2. Toolized Fund Portfolio Construction Ideas - **Active Equity Funds**: Combine fund holding dimension factors and net value dimension factors to construct a low-volatility fund portfolio strategy to meet the defensive needs of investors in high-risk markets and provide stable returns for medium-risk preference investors. Also, construct a fund portfolio strategy with similar risk and volatility characteristics to the equity fund benchmark index to provide a more aggressive option for high-risk preference investors [21]. - **Money Market Funds**: Build a money market fund screening system based on multi-dimensional characteristic factors to select money market funds with better performance and help investors optimize short-term idle funds' returns [22]. - **QDII Funds**: Screen equity indices of multiple countries or regions based on long- and short-term technical indicators, index momentum, and reversal effects, and select corresponding QDII equity funds to construct an overseas market selection portfolio to meet investors' needs for global allocation [24].
【公募基金】短暂调整,海内外权益重回强势表现——公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.08.10)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-08-12 10:29
Core Viewpoint - The A-share equity market has shown resilience after a brief adjustment following the Shanghai Composite Index's breakthrough of 3600 points, indicating a potential upward trend despite short-term resistance [3][4]. Market Performance - The A-share market rebounded near the 20-day moving average, achieving five consecutive days of gains and closing above 3600 points for four days [3]. - The U.S. equity market also stabilized and rebounded quickly after initial pressure from non-farm employment data, reflecting strong performance [3]. - Various strategy indices recorded positive returns, with defensive style sectors outperforming after a prolonged correction [3]. Strategy Performance - The "Evergreen Low Volatility Strategy" and "Enhanced Equity Strategy" achieved returns of 1.826% and 1.620% respectively, while overseas equity strategies recorded a return of 0.610% [4][5]. - The "Evergreen Low Volatility Strategy" has shown strong stability since its inception, effectively reducing portfolio volatility while maintaining decent returns [10]. - The "Enhanced Equity Strategy" has performed closely to the benchmark, with potential for greater elasticity as market conditions improve [11]. Overseas Market Insights - The U.S. market has benefited from easing tariff expectations and strong earnings reports from tech companies, leading to a sustained upward trend [5]. - Despite being at historically high levels, the U.S. market is expected to maintain a long-term upward trend, with a focus on potential pullback opportunities for strategic positioning [5]. - The overseas equity allocation strategy has accumulated significant excess returns since its inception, driven by the tech sector's growth and the easing of tariff tensions [15]. Fund Strategy Overview - The "Cash Growth Fund Strategy" achieved a return of 0.027%, outperforming the benchmark, with cumulative excess returns since inception exceeding 0.39% [6][13]. - The "Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Strategy" has shown strong performance since July 31, 2023, benefiting from the Fed's easing cycle and the global tech sector's momentum [15][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of a diversified approach to fund selection, utilizing quantitative methods to identify suitable funds across different market conditions [18][19].
【公募基金】基金策略指数均持续新高,股基增强策略保持高弹性——公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.07.27)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-07-29 09:34
Core Viewpoints - The A-share equity market continues its strong performance, with multiple key levels being broken through, maintaining strong upward momentum driven by various favorable factors [2][3] - The US equity market shows a slowdown in its high-level growth, but remains in a fluctuating upward trend due to recent tariff negotiations [2][4] - The enhanced equity strategy index has shown relative strength, consistently breaking previous highs and recording higher elasticity in an upward market environment [2][3] A-share Market Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has reached resistance near 3600 points, with limited pullback and strong support [2] - The technology growth sector, which performed relatively weakly in May and June, has recently gained more market attention, indicating a shift in capital towards lower-priced sectors [3] - Defensive sectors like dividends and low volatility are expected to undergo short-term adjustments, presenting potential opportunities for positioning after price corrections [3] Overseas Market Dynamics - Recent tariff negotiations have led to a rapid recovery in the US and other markets, with some economic data exceeding expectations, alleviating previous inflation concerns [4] - Despite initial successes in tariff negotiations, there remains uncertainty in related policies, and the risk of overly optimistic pricing in the short term should be noted [4] - The long-term outlook for the US stock market remains positive, driven by strong technological development trends, although current high valuations may present lower cost-effectiveness for new investments [4][6] Fund Strategy Performance - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund Strategy recorded a weekly return of 1.990%, with a cumulative return of 14.953% since its inception [11][12] - The Enhanced Equity Fund Strategy achieved a weekly return of 2.284%, indicating strong performance in a rapidly rotating and volatile market [5][6] - The Cash Growth Fund Strategy outperformed the benchmark with a weekly return of 0.028%, accumulating a total excess return of 0.457% since its inception [6][15] Fund Strategy Insights - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund aims to maintain low volatility while achieving stable returns, showing significant outperformance compared to the benchmark [12][22] - The Enhanced Equity Fund focuses on identifying funds with strong alpha generation capabilities, aiming for superior performance in improving market conditions [13][23] - The Cash Growth Fund is designed to optimize cash management for investors, ensuring higher returns while minimizing volatility risks [15][24] Global Investment Strategy - The Overseas Equity Allocation Fund has accumulated high levels of excess returns since its inception, benefiting from the global technology sector's growth [17][25] - The strategy emphasizes selecting indices with strong upward momentum for global diversification, enhancing overall portfolio returns [25][26]
公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.07.06):市场情绪持续抬升,海内外权益策略指数均收涨-20250708
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-07-08 10:57
Group 1 - The report indicates that both domestic and international equity markets have shown strong performance in the past two weeks, driven by multiple factors including easing risk factors and improving market sentiment, confirming the previous view of short-term upward momentum in these markets [2][4] - All strategy indices reported positive returns this week, with the Evergreen Low Volatility Strategy and Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy yielding returns of 1.19% and 1.26% respectively, outperforming the CSI All Share Index [2][11] - The report maintains a relatively optimistic view on A-shares, noting that after a period of adjustment, the technology sector shows signs of stabilization and recovery, while dividend and low volatility sectors continue to perform strongly [3][4] Group 2 - The report highlights a preference for the Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy over the Evergreen Low Volatility Strategy and Overseas Equity Strategy in terms of quantitative strategy allocation [3] - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund Strategy has demonstrated strong stability and has effectively reduced portfolio volatility while maintaining decent returns since its inception [13][24] - The Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Strategy, although currently showing returns close to the benchmark, is expected to exhibit stronger elasticity as market conditions improve [15][25] Group 3 - The Cash Growth Fund Strategy has consistently outperformed its benchmark, accumulating excess returns since its inception, indicating its effectiveness in cash management [16][21] - The Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Strategy has accumulated significant excess returns since its inception, benefiting from the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the growth of AI technology [19][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of global asset allocation through QDII funds, suggesting a systematic approach to selecting overseas equity indices based on momentum and reversal factors [23][27]