【环球时报驻美国特约记者 冯亚仁】美国生产瓦楞包装材料的工厂正以前所未有的速度关闭。美媒引 述业内人士的警告称，纸箱需求持续疲软可能对美国经济是一个"不祥之兆"。《华尔街日报》21日报道 称，全美纸箱需求正在下滑，从披萨到烤箱等各种商品都是用瓦楞包装运输的。瓦楞纸板销量下 滑，"预示着各行业零售需求可能发生调整"。 据"德国之声"报道，在美国，美联储会监测纸板价格，以获取经济状况的早期信号。在2008年经济衰退 期间，美国的纸板需求曾下降。在疫情期间也同样出现下降，不过，随着美国政府发起经济刺激计划， 纸板需求又迅速回升。 纸箱工厂正加速 " 折叠 " 美国纸箱制造商今年已宣布计划关停总计约9%的产能。据美媒日前报道，美国最大纸箱制造商国际纸 业上月宣布，将在9月底永久关闭位于佐治亚州的两家工厂，这两家厂主要生产折叠成瓦楞包装的牛皮 纸。这只是近期一连串关闭事件中的最新一例，此前，包装巨头史墨菲-西岩公司也宣布，计划关闭艾 奥瓦州一家老旧工厂。据报道，此番行业急剧减产将导致约2500人失业。 "自2008年全球金融危机以来，该行业从未采取过如此剧烈的产能调整措施。"花旗集团的纸业和森林产 品行业股票分析师写道 ...

Company Overview - Zhejiang Dashengda Packaging Co., Ltd. is located in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, and was established on November 22, 2004. The company was listed on July 26, 2019. Its main business involves the research, production, printing, and sales of corrugated cartons and paperboards, providing comprehensive paper packaging solutions including design, research, testing, production, inventory management, and logistics [2]. Business Performance - For the first half of 2025, Dashengda achieved operating revenue of 1.025 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.77%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 59.1465 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.30% [2]. - The revenue composition of the main business includes: 55.26% from carton and paperboard products, 25.19% from cigarette labels, 13.41% from wine packaging, 3.82% from other products, 1.82% from biodegradable paper pulp eco-friendly tableware, and 0.50% from high-end equipment [2]. Stock Performance - On September 24, Dashengda's stock price decreased by 2.01%, trading at 9.27 yuan per share with a total market capitalization of 5.099 billion yuan. The stock has increased by 28.18% year-to-date, with a 4.86% rise over the last five trading days, 18.39% over the last 20 days, and 24.93% over the last 60 days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent appearance on January 27, where it recorded a net buy of -982,600 yuan [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Dashengda was 21,100, a decrease of 2.54% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 2.60% to 26,119 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 118 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 68.981 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3].

Core Insights - Yibin Paper Industry (600793) reported a total revenue of 1.23 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.89% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 22.06 million yuan, a significant increase of 200.22% compared to the previous year [1] - The company's gross margin improved by 1088.17%, with a gross margin of 21.77% and a net margin of 6.28%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1109.12% [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2025 was 1.23 billion yuan, up from 1.15 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 6.89% increase [1] - Net profit for 2025 was 22.06 million yuan, compared to a loss of 22.02 million yuan in 2024, indicating a turnaround [1] - The company reported a significant increase in cash flow per share, reaching 1.81 yuan, up 74.55% from 1.04 yuan in 2024 [1] Cost and Expense Analysis - Total sales, management, and financial expenses amounted to 90.76 million yuan, accounting for 7.38% of revenue, a decrease of 10.59% year-on-year [1] - The increase in revenue was attributed to the new corrugated box business, which also led to a 33.36% rise in sales expenses [4] - Financial expenses decreased by 26.32% due to a reduction in high-interest borrowings [4] Asset and Liability Management - Cash and cash equivalents increased by 108.97% to 302 million yuan, primarily due to the recovery of funds from the original shareholder [1][3] - Accounts receivable surged by 339.03% to 103 million yuan, driven by increased sales in the corrugated box business [1][2] - Interest-bearing liabilities rose by 35.72% to 2.006 billion yuan, indicating a growing debt load [1] Investment and Return Metrics - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) has been historically low, with a median of 3.44% over the past decade and a particularly poor ROIC of -1.11% in 2023 [4] - The company has reported losses in 8 out of 36 annual reports since its listing, suggesting a challenging investment history [4]

Core Viewpoint - Yibin Paper Industry Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating a successful turnaround and growth strategy in a challenging market environment [1][3]. Company Overview and Financial Indicators - The company achieved an operating income of approximately 1.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.89% compared to 1.15 billion yuan in the same period last year [2][4]. - The total profit for the period reached approximately 112 million yuan, a substantial increase of 524.53% from a profit of about 18 million yuan in the previous year [2][4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 22 million yuan, marking a return to profitability after a loss in the previous year [3][4]. - Total assets increased by 2.57% to approximately 3.46 billion yuan compared to the previous year [2][4]. Industry and Main Business Analysis - The national production of paper and cardboard reached approximately 7.93 million tons in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.20% [3]. - The company operates in several segments, including food-grade paper, household paper, finished paper, and acetate fiber, with a focus on high-value products [3][4]. - The acetate fiber industry is characterized by high entry barriers and is primarily focused on green transformation and high-end product development [3]. Operational Performance - The company implemented a three-pronged strategy focusing on marketing, cost reduction, and research and development, which contributed to the revenue growth [3][4]. - The introduction of new products, such as packaging paper and bamboo-based products, has been a key driver of sales [3][4]. - The company has also expanded its operations into the corrugated box business, which has positively impacted overall revenue [4]. Competitive Advantages - Yibin Paper benefits from abundant bamboo resources in the region, which supports its development of bio-based materials [4]. - The company has established itself as a leader in the bamboo pulp and paper industry, leveraging its technological capabilities and innovative product offerings [4]. - The production process for acetate fiber is environmentally friendly, utilizing renewable resources and promoting sustainability [4]. Financial Management and Cost Control - The company has successfully reduced financial costs by optimizing its borrowing strategy, resulting in a 26.32% decrease in financial expenses [4]. - Cash flow from operating activities increased by 74.55% to approximately 320 million yuan, indicating improved operational efficiency [4]. Governance and Management Changes - The company has undergone changes in its board of directors and management team, enhancing its governance structure [7]. - The cancellation of the supervisory board and the election of new directors are part of the company's efforts to improve management efficiency [7].

Group 1 - The stock price of Hexing Packaging closed at 3.36 yuan on August 27, down 0.12 yuan, a decrease of 3.45% from the previous trading day [1] - The opening price on that day was 3.47 yuan, with a highest price of 3.48 yuan and a lowest price of 3.36 yuan, with a trading volume of 201,400 hands and a transaction amount of 68.9 million yuan [1] - Hexing Packaging primarily engages in packaging printing, offering products such as corrugated boxes and color boxes, covering packaging design, production, and logistics for industries like food and beverage, home appliances, and electronics [1] Group 2 - The company indicated on its investor interaction platform that it currently sells fresh-keeping paper box products and will continue to monitor industry trends to optimize its products and services [1] - On August 27, the net outflow of main funds was 4.5651 million yuan, accounting for 0.11% of the circulating market value, while the cumulative net inflow over the past five trading days was 3.6041 million yuan, representing 0.09% of the circulating market value [1]

Core Viewpoint - Yibin Paper Industry (600793.SH) faced regulatory penalties due to information disclosure issues during its acquisition of Sichuan Push Acetate Fiber Co., Ltd, highlighting compliance management deficiencies within the company [2][4][6]. Group 1: Acquisition and Financial Performance - In December 2024, Yibin Paper completed the acquisition of 67% of Push Acetate for 206 million yuan, expanding its product offerings to include acetate fiber [2][5]. - Following the acquisition, Yibin Paper's acetate fiber product sales and revenue increased, with a projected net profit of 18.65 million to 22.8 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from previous losses [2][8]. - In 2024, the acetate fiber segment generated 816 million yuan in revenue, accounting for 36.46% of total revenue, with production and sales volumes increasing year-on-year [5][8]. Group 2: Regulatory Issues - The company received a warning letter from the Sichuan Securities Regulatory Bureau for failing to disclose 191 million yuan in funds that were not timely transferred back to Push Acetate's account during the acquisition process [4][6]. - Key executives, including the chairman and general manager, were held responsible for the disclosure failures, and the company was required to conduct a comprehensive self-examination and submit a rectification report [4][6]. Group 3: Historical Financial Challenges - Yibin Paper experienced consecutive years of losses in its core paper business, with a net loss of 128 million yuan in 2024 and a decline in revenue by 8.34% [6][7]. - The company faced challenges such as rising raw material costs and increased competition in the food paper market, leading to a significant drop in paper product sales and revenue [7][8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates improved profitability in 2025, driven by business structure optimization, cost control measures, and growth in acetate fiber sales [8]. - Despite the positive outlook, significant shareholders have begun to reduce their stakes, indicating potential concerns about the company's long-term performance [8].

Core Viewpoint - Xiamen Hexing Packaging and Printing Co., Ltd. maintains a credit rating of AA with a stable outlook, reflecting its strong market position in the corrugated packaging industry despite facing competitive pressures and fluctuating raw material prices [3][4][28]. Company Overview - The company operates approximately 60 production bases and is recognized as a leading player in the corrugated packaging sector in China, serving major clients in the home appliance, daily chemical, and food and beverage industries [4][11]. - The company has a stable customer base, primarily consisting of industry leaders, which contributes to its overall quality and reliability [4][11]. Financial Performance - Total assets as of 2022 were 88.32 billion, with total liabilities at 52.18 billion, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 59.08% [5][20]. - The company's operating revenue for 2022 was 153.75 billion, with a net profit of 1.10 billion, indicating a slight decline in profitability due to increased competition and rising costs [5][20]. - The gross profit margin has decreased to 8.79% in 2022 from 12.02% in 2020, reflecting the pressure on profitability [7][20]. Industry Context - The packaging industry is experiencing intensified competition, with a notable decline in demand and rising raw material costs impacting profitability [8][9]. - The corrugated paper packaging sector is characterized by a fragmented market with many small manufacturers, leading to lower bargaining power for individual companies [9][12]. - The overall revenue of the top 100 printing and packaging companies in China decreased by 8.8% in 2024, highlighting the challenging market conditions [8]. Risk Factors - The company faces risks related to inventory and accounts receivable, which occupy a significant portion of its working capital, and its ability to cover short-term debts is limited [4][17]. - The upcoming maturity of the "Hexing Convertible Bonds" in August 2025 poses additional pressure on the company's debt repayment capabilities if not converted [4][28]. Future Outlook - The credit rating agency anticipates that the company's credit level will remain stable over the next 12 to 18 months, contingent on its ability to diversify its core business and enhance its risk resilience [4][28]. - Potential factors for an upgrade include significant improvements in capital strength, resource control, and market share, while a downgrade could result from continued business contraction and increased debt levels [4][28].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net sales of over $7.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.252 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.4%, showing double-digit growth compared to the same period last year [13][14]. - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved significantly, reflecting a focus on costs, quality, and efficiency, alongside benefits from the synergy program [14][15]. - The company expects full-year adjusted EBITDA to be between $5 billion and $5.2 billion, with second-quarter adjusted EBITDA projected at approximately $1.2 billion [20]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America segment delivered net sales of $4.7 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $785 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.8%, showing significant margin improvement due to higher selling prices [15][16]. - EMEA and APAC segment reported net sales of $2.6 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $389 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.1%, demonstrating resilience despite a challenging environment [17]. - Latin America segment achieved net sales of $500 million with adjusted EBITDA of $115 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of over 22%, driven by pricing initiatives [18]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North America, corrugated box pricing increased while box volumes decreased by 4.7% year-on-year [16]. - EMEA region saw corrugated box volumes broadly flat, with a 1.5% increase on a same-day basis, while higher box prices were offset by cost headwinds [17]. - Latin America experienced a 6.3% decline in corrugated box volumes on a same-day basis, primarily due to challenges in Argentina, but pricing initiatives helped maintain strong results [18]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on becoming the highest-performing company in its sector, with a strong emphasis on operational improvements and capital optimization [7][8]. - A synergy program is on track to deliver £400 million in synergies by the end of 2025, with additional opportunities identified for further operational improvements [19]. - The company is committed to investing in its asset base to enhance quality, service, and innovation, with plans to implement 25 new converting machines starting in 2026 [8][12]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's future success despite geopolitical uncertainties, citing a resilient business model primarily serving the FMCG sector [15]. - The company noted a steadying of order books in April after a weak March, but remains cautious about significant demand recovery in the near term [48][50]. - Management highlighted the importance of consumer confidence for demand recovery, particularly in the North American market, while expressing optimism about the European market [61][62]. Other Important Information - The company announced the closure of over 600,000 tonnes in paper capacity across the U.S., Mexico, and the Netherlands, aimed at strengthening operations and improving long-term returns [9][10]. - The company is implementing approximately 140 quick win projects in North America expected to deliver around $50 million in additional EBITDA [11]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the assumptions for your 2025 guidance? - Management indicated that they do not anticipate significant box volume improvement, likely due to their value strategy, and are monitoring the potential for a second price hike in Europe [25][31]. Question: Will CapEx in 2026 be much higher than in 2025? - Management stated that CapEx plans for 2026 are not yet determined and will depend on the future environment and growth opportunities [26][30]. Question: What are the cost savings associated with the mill closures? - The full-year impact of the two mill closures is estimated to be $50 million to $60 million in incremental EBITDA, with approximately $100 million in capital savings over five years [42][43]. Question: How is the company addressing tariffs and cross-border trade? - Management has been adjusting supply chains to comply with tariffs, noting minimal immediate impact but acknowledging potential demand destruction if tariffs lead to broader economic issues [88]. Question: What is the expected timing for the benefits from the mill closures? - Benefits from the closures are expected to be realized in the second half of the year, following a required process for notifying affected employees [94].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net sales of over $7.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.252 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.4%, showing double-digit growth compared to the same period last year [11][12] - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved significantly, reflecting a relentless focus on costs, quality, and efficiency, alongside the benefits of the synergy program [11][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America segment delivered net sales of $4.7 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $785 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.8%, showing significant margin improvement due to higher selling prices [12][13] - EMEA and APAC segment achieved net sales of $2.6 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $389 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.1%, demonstrating resilience despite a challenging environment [14][15] - Latin America segment reported net sales of $500 million with adjusted EBITDA of $115 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of over 22%, significantly higher than the previous year [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North America, corrugated box pricing increased while box volumes decreased by 4.7% on a same-day basis [12][13] - EMEA and APAC saw corrugated box volumes broadly flat, with a 1.5% increase on a same-day basis, while higher box prices were offset by cost headwinds [14][15] - Latin America experienced a 6.3% decline in corrugated box volumes on a same-day basis, primarily due to challenges in Argentina [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to become the highest performing in its sector, focusing on operational improvements and a disciplined approach to capital allocation [5][6] - A synergy program is on track to deliver $400 million in full run-rate synergies by the end of 2025, with additional opportunities identified for operational focus [17][19] - The company is committed to optimizing its asset base and reducing costs, including the closure of over 600,000 tonnes in paper capacity [7][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's future success despite geopolitical uncertainties, citing a strong geographic footprint and product portfolio [12][19] - The outlook for demand remains cautious, with management not banking on a significant recovery but expecting some improvement in the second half of the year [46][58] - The company is actively managing costs and has seen improvements in order books as of April, indicating a potential stabilization in demand [45][46] Other Important Information - The company has authorized an investment of around $25 million for 25 converting machines to be implemented in 2026, aimed at lowering operating costs [6][7] - The company is focused on maintaining agility in capital allocation, allowing for adjustments based on market conditions [26][31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the assumptions behind your 2025 guidance? - Management indicated that they do not anticipate significant box volume improvement and are focused on profitability rather than volume [26][27] Question: What are the expected impacts of the new machines on CapEx in 2026? - Management has not finalized the CapEx number for 2026, emphasizing flexibility based on market conditions [24][25] Question: What are the cost savings associated with the mill closures? - The full-year impact of the two mill closures is expected to yield an incremental EBITDA of $50 million to $60 million and approximately $100 million in avoided maintenance capital over five years [39][40] Question: How is the company managing economic downtime? - The planned $100 million downtime is a one-off for Q2, with expectations for improved output in subsequent quarters [93][94] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on cross-border trade? - Management has adjusted supply chains in response to tariffs, with minimal immediate impact but ongoing uncertainty affecting consumer confidence [84][85] Question: How do quick win projects fit into the synergy targets? - Quick win projects are part of the broader synergy targets, contributing to the overall goal of achieving $400 million in synergies [100][102]

Industry Overview - The corrugated box industry is a significant part of the packaging sector, known for its protective performance, convenient processing characteristics, and environmental advantages, widely used in food, beverage, electronics, and logistics [1][16] - China's corrugated box production has shown fluctuations, with a decline from 34.44 million tons in 2021 to 28.63 million tons in 2023, primarily due to severe inventory backlog, slow market demand recovery, and insufficient end-user demand [1][16] - Despite an increase in express delivery volumes, policies promoting reduction, standardization, and recycling of packaging have hindered effective growth in express packaging [1][16] - Production is expected to grow by 2025 as market demand recovers [1][16] Industry Chain - The upstream of the corrugated packaging industry includes paper mills providing raw materials, with fluctuations in raw paper prices significantly impacting costs and profits for corrugated product manufacturers [8] - The midstream involves the manufacturing and packaging of corrugated paper products, while the downstream includes major application markets such as food, electronics, beverages, and express delivery [8] Market Size and Growth - In 2023, China's packaging market size reached 1,153.91 billion yuan, with the paper and board container segment accounting for 268.26 billion yuan, highlighting its importance in the packaging market [14] - The corrugated packaging industry is expected to benefit from the overall growth in the paper and board production sector, which is projected to reach 15.85 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [10] Competitive Landscape - The industry is witnessing the emergence of large-scale enterprises with advanced production technologies and economies of scale, enhancing their market competitiveness [18] - Key players in the industry include Forest Packaging Group, Xiamen Hexing Packaging, Meiyingsen Group, Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging, and Shenzhen Yutong Packaging, which are expanding their market presence through strategic growth initiatives [18][19] Development Trends - The industry is moving towards green packaging, focusing on using recycled paper to reduce reliance on new wood and lower carbon emissions [23] - Smart technologies, including IoT and AI, are being integrated into corrugated packaging to enhance product tracking, anti-counterfeiting, and data collection, improving production efficiency [24] - There is a growing demand for personalized packaging solutions, driven by advancements in digital printing technology, allowing for customized designs and small-batch production [26]