V i e w p o i n t | 28 Aug 2025 04:08:39 ET │ 12 pages Minth (0425.HK) Raise TP to HK$38; LT Positive on Battery Housing & eVTOL/Robotics CITI'S TAKE Mgmt. shared their battery housing outlook at today's analyst briefing, with EU contribution driven by robust EV sales growth and China contribution driven by order wins amid tightening safety standards. Battery housing should be the major growth driver in the near term, with eVTOL/Robotics business to gradually contribute scale from 2027E, according to mgmt. ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in H1 2025, with revenue growth hindered by weak demand and product structure challenges, while profitability showed steady improvement driven by operational efficiency and growth in the new energy sector [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue reached 16.955 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.96%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 758 million yuan, up 35.21% year-on-year. The gross margin was 13.59%, an increase of 0.53 percentage points, and the net margin was 4.47%, up 1.11 percentage points [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 8.353 billion yuan, down 5.98% year-on-year and 2.90% quarter-on-quarter. Net profit attributable to shareholders was 302 million yuan, an increase of 11.39% year-on-year but a decrease of 33.72% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company experienced a decrease in revenue in Q2 primarily due to weak market demand and product structure adjustments, while profitability decreased quarter-on-quarter due to reduced foreign exchange gains and lower non-recurring income [2]. Business Segmentation - The new energy business saw significant growth, with total revenue of 4.940 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.66%. This growth was supported by the company's comprehensive supply capabilities in core products such as vehicle FPCs, liquid cooling plates, and battery housings [3]. - The electronic circuit products segment generated 11.059 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 1.93%, accounting for 65.23% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 17.55% [3]. - The precision components segment reported revenue of 2.362 billion yuan, up 11.87% year-on-year, benefiting from increased orders from new energy vehicle clients [3]. Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on the dual strategy of expanding its new energy vehicle business and AI computing power, with expectations for increased orders and production capacity in the second half of 2025 [4]. - The AI computing power segment is anticipated to drive new growth momentum, supported by the ongoing demand for AI servers and the company's advancements in high-density interconnect technology [4]. - The company aims to enhance its global production capabilities and procurement systems to better meet industry and customer demands, potentially opening new growth avenues [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Minth Group is experiencing a strong recovery in profitability, with overseas business returning to growth despite increased competition in the domestic market [1] - According to Jianyin International, the gross margin for Minth Group is expected to continue recovering this year, with the battery casing business gross margin projected to expand to nearly 24% [1] - The proportion of lower-margin battery casings is expected to increase from approximately 23% in 2023 to 30%, 35%, and 41% in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 2 - According to CICC, the EU's new energy passenger vehicles have shown strong growth, with pure electric vehicle registrations increasing by 26.1% year-on-year to 701,000 units, achieving a penetration rate of 15.4% [2] - In the UK, pure electric vehicle registrations increased by 33.4% year-on-year, indicating a robust market for electric vehicles [2] - The company is expected to achieve high revenue growth in its battery box business in the first half of 2025, driven by strong sales of pure electric vehicles in both Europe and China [2]

Core Insights - Chuangneng New Energy has been actively expanding its supply chain since 2025, with significant partnerships to ensure stable orders and material supply [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Partnerships - On May 20, Chuangneng signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Jiangsu Ruidefeng, committing to purchase approximately 250 million structural components over the next five years, totaling around 3 billion yuan [1]. - Chuangneng has also established partnerships with multiple companies for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials and lithium battery copper foil, indicating a strong focus on securing supply chains [2]. - The company has entered into agreements with various international partners, including a 1.1 GWh procurement agreement with YN Energy and a 500 MWh agreement with Star Energy Technologies [3]. Group 2: Production Capacity and Technology - Chuangneng's energy storage battery shipments are projected to exceed 20 GWh in 2024, placing it among the top ten globally [2]. - The company has developed its fourth-generation 472Ah large-capacity energy storage battery, which can achieve 15,000 cycles at 35°C and supports various energy storage applications [4]. - The new products are set for mass production in June, with a maximum capacity of 80 GWh [5].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 36.77 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.27%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.086 billion yuan, a decrease of 44.74% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.602 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.07%, with a net profit of 456 million yuan, up 57.55% [1] - The LED business negatively impacted overall performance, with a revenue drop of 35.48% in 2024 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Electronic circuit products generated 24.801 billion yuan in revenue, a growth of 6.62% [1] - LED display devices saw revenue of 768 million yuan, down 35.48% [1] - Touch panels and LCD modules achieved 6.370 billion yuan, an increase of 31.02% [1] - Precision components generated 4.540 billion yuan, up 9.08% [1] LED Business Performance - The company optimized operations in the LED segment, resulting in a 164 million yuan asset disposal loss and a 595 million yuan impairment loss [1] - Excluding these factors, the net profit decline for 2024 would be approximately 5% [1] - In Q1 2025, the LED business reduced its losses by several million yuan, although it did not achieve profitability [1] New Energy Business Growth - The new energy segment reported a revenue of 8.65 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 36.98%, accounting for 23.52% of total revenue [2] - In Q1 2025, the new energy business generated 2.63 billion yuan, a growth of 43.79%, increasing its revenue share to 30.57% [2] - Key products in this segment include vehicle-mounted FPC, liquid cooling plates, battery housings, and vehicle displays [2] Impact of Tariffs - The company’s export revenue was 30.583 billion yuan in 2024, with less than 5% directly exported to the U.S., limiting the impact of increased tariffs [2] - Most export tariffs are borne by customers, indicating a limited short-term effect from U.S. tariff increases [2] - The company is expanding its overseas production bases, with successful operations in Thailand, Mexico, and the U.S. [2] Investment Outlook - The company’s product lines cover electronic circuits, optoelectronic displays, and precision manufacturing, focusing on consumer electronics and new energy sectors [3] - Projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are 40.619 billion, 48.147 billion, and 52.581 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 10%, 19%, and 9% [3] - Expected net profits for the same period are 2.703 billion, 3.188 billion, and 3.486 billion yuan, with significant year-on-year growth [3]

Core Viewpoint - Ningbo Huaxiang's battery casing production capacity is expected to begin steady mass production next year, with a significant focus on localized production in North America [1] Group 1 - The production capacity layout for battery casings has been largely completed [1] - The company has established a comprehensive layout in North America, with most products sourced from local production [1] - Increased investments are being made in North America to reduce reliance on imported components [1]

Group 1 - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 36.77 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.27%, but net profit attributable to shareholders dropped by 44.74% to 1.09 billion [1] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 10.30 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.59%, with net profit attributable to shareholders plummeting by 97.11% to 0.018 billion [1] - The significant decline in net profit for 2024 was primarily due to asset disposal losses of 0.164 billion and asset impairment losses of 0.595 billion related to the integration and optimization of the LED business [1] Group 2 - The company expects to turn around its LED business starting in 2025, benefiting from the AI-driven demand in the ICT infrastructure sector, with a projected net profit growth of 50-60% in Q1 2025 [2] - The PCB segment is anticipated to benefit from both volume and price increases due to the rise of AI applications, with the company maintaining an optimistic long-term growth outlook [2] - The company has raised its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, estimating net profits of 3.067 billion and 3.616 billion respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 4.203 billion [2] Group 3 - The company adheres to a "dual-wheel drive" strategy, focusing on core products like PCB and precision components while expanding into new markets and fields [3] - In the new energy vehicle sector, the company reported a revenue of 8.65 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 36.98%, accounting for 23.52% of total revenue [3] - Products such as vehicle-mounted FPC, liquid cooling plates, battery housings, and vehicle displays have established a competitive advantage and gained widespread customer recognition [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 367.70 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.27%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 44.74% to 10.86 billion yuan [4] - The decline in net profit was primarily due to asset disposal and impairment losses related to the LED business, amounting to 1.64 billion yuan and 5.95 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company anticipates a significant recovery in Q1 2025, with net profit expected to grow by 50-60% year-on-year, driven by increased demand from AI and ICT infrastructure [4] - Long-term growth prospects remain optimistic, with revised profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 set at 30.67 billion yuan, 36.16 billion yuan, and 42.03 billion yuan respectively [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 367.70 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 14.02% and a net margin of 2.95% [4] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 103.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.59% [4] - The company’s financial metrics for 2025E include a projected revenue of 429.62 billion yuan and a net profit of 30.67 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 182.5% [8] Business Strategy and Growth Drivers - The company is pursuing a "dual-wheel drive" strategy focusing on PCB and precision structural components, while expanding into new markets and sectors [6] - The new energy vehicle segment reported a revenue of 86.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 36.98%, contributing to 23.52% of total revenue [6] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI-driven consumer electronics, with its FPC revenue ranking second globally [5]

Core Viewpoint - Dongshan Precision's LED business is undergoing optimization, leading to a significant profit decline in 2024, but a strong recovery is expected in Q1 2025 driven by AI and new energy sectors [2][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 36.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.27%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.09 billion yuan, a decrease of 44.74% [2]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 10.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.59%, and a net profit of 18 million yuan, down 97.11% year-on-year [2]. - The decline in profits is attributed to asset disposal and impairment losses totaling 1.64 billion yuan and 5.95 billion yuan, respectively [2]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts a 50-60% increase in net profit for Q1 2025, benefiting from the growing demand for AI in ICT infrastructure [2]. - Long-term performance is expected to improve with the LED business turning profitable and the PCB sector benefiting from AI-driven demand [2]. Industry Trends - The rapid penetration of edge AI is increasing demand for flexible printed circuits (FPC), with the company ranking second globally in FPC revenue [3]. - The new energy vehicle sector is projected to grow significantly, with revenue from this segment reaching 8.65 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 36.98% [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a "dual-wheel drive" strategy, focusing on core products like PCB and precision components while exploring new markets and clients [4].

事件：公司2024 年业绩快报，预计全年实现营收80.5 亿元，同比+5.8%；归母净利润4.16 亿元，同 比-1.7%；扣非归母净利润3.86 亿元，同比-1.6%。 营收符合预期，四季度盈利能力有所修复。全年维度，公司业绩承压，主要受子公司广州鸿图、天津鸿 图产能爬坡影响（成本费用率较高，当期经营未实现盈利），若剔除广州、天津项目的影响，公司全年 归母净利润与营业收入同向均有增长。单季度看，公司2024Q4 实现营收25 亿元，同/环比 +3.1%/+25%；归母净利润1.5 亿元，同/环比+32.5%/+62%；扣非归母净利润1.5 亿元，同/环比 +33%/+82%；对应归母净利率5.9%，盈利能力快速修复。 展望2025，公司有望持续受益于自主增量客户销量增长。公司客户群结构优良，业务量稳定。除传统日 系（本田、丰田、日产）、美系（通用、克莱斯勒、福特）外，公司近年来在自主品牌持续突破。 2025Q1，小鹏/吉利/比亚迪国分别销售整车9.4/70.4/100 万辆，分别环比+2.7%/+2.5%/-34%。展望全 年，自主品牌新能源新车力度强、竞争优势明显，公司有望持续受益于核心自主品牌的强车型周 ...