Core Viewpoint - Xtep International (01368.HK) maintains a "Buy" rating from Western Securities, with projected revenues of 14.46 billion, 15.56 billion, and 16.78 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, and net profits of 1.38 billion, 1.52 billion, and 1.66 billion yuan respectively [1] Financial Performance - As of November 10, 2025, Xtep International's stock closed at 5.77 HKD, up 3.4%, with a trading volume of 4.43 million shares and a turnover of 25.29 million HKD [1] - The company's main brand showed low single-digit growth in total channel revenue year-on-year for Q3 2025, while Saucony's revenue grew over 20% year-on-year [1] - Retail discount rates are stable at 70-75%, and channel inventory turnover is maintained at 4-4.5 months, consistent with Q2 [1] Market Position - Xtep International ranks 7th in the apparel and home textile industry with a market capitalization of 15.658 billion HKD [2] - Key performance indicators show Xtep's Return on Equity (ROE) at 15.66%, significantly higher than the industry average of -2.96% [3] - The company has a net profit margin of 13.36%, compared to the industry average of -14.23%, and a gross profit margin of 44.95%, exceeding the industry average of 36.81% [3] Analyst Ratings - In the past 90 days, 34 investment banks have issued "Buy" ratings for Xtep International, with a target average price of 7.63 HKD [1] - Various investment banks have provided ratings, with some target prices including 7.80 HKD, 8.15 HKD, and 8.30 HKD [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable growth in retail sales for its main brand and the Saucony brand in Q3 2025, with the main brand's sales increasing by a low single-digit percentage year-on-year and Saucony's sales exceeding 20% growth [1][2]. Group 1: Sales Performance - The main brand's retail sales discount was maintained at 7.0-7.5, with a channel inventory turnover ratio of 4.0-4.5 months, indicating stable inventory levels [2]. - The main brand's sales growth in Q3 was better in July and August compared to September, with online sales outperforming offline sales [1][2]. - The children's category outperformed the adult category, and footwear sales surpassed apparel sales, with functional products, especially running and outdoor categories, leading the growth [1]. Group 2: Brand Strategy and Management Outlook - Saucony implemented strategic adjustments to its online business by reducing low-priced products and tightening discounts to synchronize online and offline offerings, achieving over 30% growth in offline sales [2]. - The management maintained its guidance for 2025, expecting the main brand to continue growing and Saucony's revenue to increase by over 30%, with profits projected to grow by more than 10% [2]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The company is optimistic about the main brand leveraging its running category advantages for steady sales growth, while professional sports brands are expected to see rapid growth and profit improvement [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.4 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 13.2%, 5.9%, and 7.7% respectively [3]. - A reasonable valuation range of 6.1-6.6 HKD is maintained, corresponding to a 2025 PE of 11-12x, with an "outperform" rating upheld [3].

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Securities maintains its profit forecast for Xtep International (01368) for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of RMB 1.37 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.61 billion respectively, and sets a target price of HKD 8.74 for 2026, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a positive revenue growth for its main brand in 2025, with a forecasted growth of over 30% for Saucony [2] - The overall profit growth for the group is expected to be around 10% [2] - The inventory level is considered healthy, with expectations to drop below RMB 2 billion by the end of 2025 [2] Group 2: Brand Performance - The main brand experienced low single-digit growth in Q3, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%, and inventory levels at 4-4.5 months [1] - Functional products showed strong performance, with revenue growth in running and other functional categories expected to outpace lifestyle products [1] - Saucony's Q3 revenue grew over 20% year-on-year, with offline sales growth outpacing online due to proactive adjustments in e-commerce strategies [1]

事件：特步国际发布2025Q3经营情况公告，主品牌特步流水同比增长低单位数，索康尼流水增长 20%+，整体表现稳健。 特步主品牌流水稳健增长，其中跑步品类增速优异，库存健康 1)流水层面：跑步品类驱动增长，渠道结构持续优化。2025Q3特步品牌终端流水同比增长低单位数， 整体同Q2保持一致，当前消费环境仍处于波动态势，同时该行判断9月份以来气候整体仍相对较暖从而 对冬装销售造成一定压力。分渠道来看该行预计电商渠道流水销售表现优异，今年以来电商销售表现预 计持续优于线下;当前特步主品牌对线下渠道进行经营效率提升，关闭低效门店，同时新开优质形象 店。从产品端来看，特步立足跑步赛道，推动产品更新迭代，该行判断冠军跑鞋家族市场认可度提升， 该行预计2025Q3特步跑鞋销售表现或优于品牌整体增速，跑鞋品类增速或有双位数。 国盛证券发布研报称，特步国际(01368)作为国内领先的体育用品企业，在专业跑步领域具有较大优 势，索康尼盈利规模逐步扩张，该行预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润为13.65/15.04/16.31亿元，对应 2025年PE为11倍，维持"买入"评级。 国盛证券主要观点如下： 风险提示：门店拓展与 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities reports that Xtep International (01368) is a leading sports goods company in China, with significant advantages in the professional running sector. The profitability of Saucony is gradually expanding, and the firm expects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 1.365 billion, 1.504 billion, and 1.631 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11 times for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Revenue Performance - Xtep's main brand revenue showed a low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, while Saucony's revenue grew over 20%, indicating overall stable performance [2]. - The growth in Xtep's main brand is driven by the running category, with a healthy inventory level. The company is optimizing its channel structure, with e-commerce sales expected to outperform offline sales this year [2]. - The company is enhancing operational efficiency by closing underperforming stores and opening high-quality image stores, while also focusing on product updates in the running segment [2]. Group 2: Operational Metrics - Xtep's channel inventory remains at a healthy level, with terminal discounts slightly deepening year-on-year, ranging between 70% to 75% [3]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the inventory turnover days for Xtep's brand channels were around 4 to 4.5 months, consistent with Q2 2025 and slightly higher than Q3 2024, but still within a controllable range [3]. - Saucony continues to enhance its brand image and optimize channels, with a revenue growth of over 20% in Q3 2025. The brand is expected to maintain rapid growth in offline channels while deepening its focus on professional running [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - For 2025, the company anticipates a revenue growth of approximately 7% and a net profit growth of around 10%, as the consumption environment is in a phase of volatile recovery [4]. - The company will adopt a cautiously optimistic operational strategy for its main brand, alongside the advancement of its DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) business [4].

Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 operational data, indicating a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75% [1] - The retail sales of Saucony exceeded 20% year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, despite a decline compared to over 50% growth in Q3 2024 [1] Retail Performance - Q3 2025 retail sales showed low single-digit year-on-year growth, with the growth rate remaining flat compared to Q2 2025 [1] - The retail discount for Q3 2025 was maintained at 70% to 75%, consistent with Q2 2025, while slightly decreasing from 75% in Q3 2024 [1] - Channel inventory turnover was 4 to 4.5 months in Q3 2025, slightly up from 4 months in Q3 2024 and flat compared to the first half of 2025 [1] Brand Analysis - Saucony and Merrell benefited from superior performance in professional running and outdoor segments [1] - The growth of Saucony's retail sales in Q3 2025 was over 20%, with growth rate flat compared to Q2 2025, but down from over 50% in Q3 2024, attributed to adjustments in the e-commerce strategy [1] Investment Recommendations - Short-term impacts from the DTC strategy may negatively affect sales, but it is expected to enhance consumer interaction and brand loyalty in the long run [1] - Saucony plans to expand its product matrix and develop retro and commuting series to meet diverse consumer needs, while also opening high-end stores in first and second-tier cities [1] - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 14.286 billion, 15.558 billion, and 17.251 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 1.374 billion, 1.511 billion, and 1.664 billion yuan for the same years [1] - The projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 0.50, 0.54, and 0.60 yuan, respectively, with a "buy" rating maintained [1]

[Table_Date] 2025 年 10 月 17 日 [Table_Title] Q3 主品牌稳健增长，索康尼超 20% [Table_Title2] 特步国际(1368.HK) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | 1368 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级： | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价(港元)： | 6.83/4.46 | | 目标价格： | | 总市值(亿港元) | 168.43 | | 最新收盘价： | 6.01 | 自由流通市值(亿港元) | 168.43 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 2,802.49 | 证券研究报告|港股公司点评研究报告 [Table_Summary] 事件概述 公司公告 2025Q3 运营数据：Q3 主品牌零售流水同比低单位数增长，折扣为七到七五折，25Q3 索康尼零售 销售实现超过 20%同比增长。 分析判断: 25Q3 主品牌零售流水同比低单位数增长（1）分渠道来看，25Q3 零售流水低单位数增长，增速环比较 25Q2 持平；（2）从经营数据来看， 25Q3 折扣保持健康 ...

Core Insights - Xtep International reported its operational status for the third quarter of 2025 in mainland China, highlighting a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, including both online and offline channels [1] - The retail discount level for the main brand ranged between 70% to 75% [1] - Sales for the Saucony brand experienced a significant increase, achieving over 20% year-on-year growth, also including both online and offline channels [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, including both online and offline channels [1] - The retail sales for the Saucony brand, including online and offline channels, achieved over 20% year-on-year growth [1] Summary by Category Company Performance - The main brand of the company experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales compared to the previous year [1] - The Saucony brand showed significant performance with retail sales growth exceeding 20% year-on-year [1]

智通财经APP讯，特步国际(01368)发布2025年第三季度中国内地业务营运状况，特步主品牌零售销售 (包括线上线下渠道)取得低单位数同比增长;索康尼零售销售(包括线上线下渠道)取得超过20%同比增 长。 ...