Core Viewpoint - Xtep International (01368.HK) maintains a "Buy" rating from Western Securities, with projected revenues of 14.46 billion, 15.56 billion, and 16.78 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, and net profits of 1.38 billion, 1.52 billion, and 1.66 billion yuan respectively [1] Financial Performance - As of November 10, 2025, Xtep International's stock closed at 5.77 HKD, up 3.4%, with a trading volume of 4.43 million shares and a turnover of 25.29 million HKD [1] - The company's main brand showed low single-digit growth in total channel revenue year-on-year for Q3 2025, while Saucony's revenue grew over 20% year-on-year [1] - Retail discount rates are stable at 70-75%, and channel inventory turnover is maintained at 4-4.5 months, consistent with Q2 [1] Market Position - Xtep International ranks 7th in the apparel and home textile industry with a market capitalization of 15.658 billion HKD [2] - Key performance indicators show Xtep's Return on Equity (ROE) at 15.66%, significantly higher than the industry average of -2.96% [3] - The company has a net profit margin of 13.36%, compared to the industry average of -14.23%, and a gross profit margin of 44.95%, exceeding the industry average of 36.81% [3] Analyst Ratings - In the past 90 days, 34 investment banks have issued "Buy" ratings for Xtep International, with a target average price of 7.63 HKD [1] - Various investment banks have provided ratings, with some target prices including 7.80 HKD, 8.15 HKD, and 8.30 HKD [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable growth in retail sales for its main brand and the Saucony brand in Q3 2025, with the main brand's sales increasing by a low single-digit percentage year-on-year and Saucony's sales exceeding 20% growth [1][2]. Group 1: Sales Performance - The main brand's retail sales discount was maintained at 7.0-7.5, with a channel inventory turnover ratio of 4.0-4.5 months, indicating stable inventory levels [2]. - The main brand's sales growth in Q3 was better in July and August compared to September, with online sales outperforming offline sales [1][2]. - The children's category outperformed the adult category, and footwear sales surpassed apparel sales, with functional products, especially running and outdoor categories, leading the growth [1]. Group 2: Brand Strategy and Management Outlook - Saucony implemented strategic adjustments to its online business by reducing low-priced products and tightening discounts to synchronize online and offline offerings, achieving over 30% growth in offline sales [2]. - The management maintained its guidance for 2025, expecting the main brand to continue growing and Saucony's revenue to increase by over 30%, with profits projected to grow by more than 10% [2]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The company is optimistic about the main brand leveraging its running category advantages for steady sales growth, while professional sports brands are expected to see rapid growth and profit improvement [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.4 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 13.2%, 5.9%, and 7.7% respectively [3]. - A reasonable valuation range of 6.1-6.6 HKD is maintained, corresponding to a 2025 PE of 11-12x, with an "outperform" rating upheld [3].

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Securities maintains its profit forecast for Xtep International (01368) for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of RMB 1.37 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.61 billion respectively, and sets a target price of HKD 8.74 for 2026, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a positive revenue growth for its main brand in 2025, with a forecasted growth of over 30% for Saucony [2] - The overall profit growth for the group is expected to be around 10% [2] - The inventory level is considered healthy, with expectations to drop below RMB 2 billion by the end of 2025 [2] Group 2: Brand Performance - The main brand experienced low single-digit growth in Q3, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%, and inventory levels at 4-4.5 months [1] - Functional products showed strong performance, with revenue growth in running and other functional categories expected to outpace lifestyle products [1] - Saucony's Q3 revenue grew over 20% year-on-year, with offline sales growth outpacing online due to proactive adjustments in e-commerce strategies [1]

Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities reports that Xtep International (01368) is a leading sportswear company in China with significant advantages in the professional running sector, and expects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 1.365 billion, 1.504 billion, and 1.631 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to a PE of 11 times in 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - Xtep's main brand revenue showed low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, with the running category experiencing strong growth of over 20% [2][3] - The e-commerce channel is expected to outperform offline sales, with the company optimizing its offline channel by closing underperforming stores and opening high-quality image stores [2] Group 2: Inventory and Discount Management - Xtep's channel inventory turnover days remained healthy at around 4 to 4.5 months as of the end of Q3 2025, consistent with Q2 2025 and slightly higher than Q3 2024 [3] - The overall terminal discount for Q3 2025 was between 70% to 75%, stable compared to Q2 2025 but slightly deeper than Q3 2024 [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - For 2025, the company expects a revenue growth of around 7% and a net profit growth of approximately 10%, driven by a cautiously optimistic operational strategy and the advancement of DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) business [4]

Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities reports that Xtep International (01368) is a leading sports goods company in China, with significant advantages in the professional running sector. The profitability of Saucony is gradually expanding, and the firm expects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 1.365 billion, 1.504 billion, and 1.631 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11 times for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Revenue Performance - Xtep's main brand revenue showed a low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, while Saucony's revenue grew over 20%, indicating overall stable performance [2]. - The growth in Xtep's main brand is driven by the running category, with a healthy inventory level. The company is optimizing its channel structure, with e-commerce sales expected to outperform offline sales this year [2]. - The company is enhancing operational efficiency by closing underperforming stores and opening high-quality image stores, while also focusing on product updates in the running segment [2]. Group 2: Operational Metrics - Xtep's channel inventory remains at a healthy level, with terminal discounts slightly deepening year-on-year, ranging between 70% to 75% [3]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the inventory turnover days for Xtep's brand channels were around 4 to 4.5 months, consistent with Q2 2025 and slightly higher than Q3 2024, but still within a controllable range [3]. - Saucony continues to enhance its brand image and optimize channels, with a revenue growth of over 20% in Q3 2025. The brand is expected to maintain rapid growth in offline channels while deepening its focus on professional running [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - For 2025, the company anticipates a revenue growth of approximately 7% and a net profit growth of around 10%, as the consumption environment is in a phase of volatile recovery [4]. - The company will adopt a cautiously optimistic operational strategy for its main brand, alongside the advancement of its DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) business [4].

Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 operational data, indicating a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75% [1] - The retail sales of Saucony exceeded 20% year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, despite a decline compared to over 50% growth in Q3 2024 [1] Retail Performance - Q3 2025 retail sales showed low single-digit year-on-year growth, with the growth rate remaining flat compared to Q2 2025 [1] - The retail discount for Q3 2025 was maintained at 70% to 75%, consistent with Q2 2025, while slightly decreasing from 75% in Q3 2024 [1] - Channel inventory turnover was 4 to 4.5 months in Q3 2025, slightly up from 4 months in Q3 2024 and flat compared to the first half of 2025 [1] Brand Analysis - Saucony and Merrell benefited from superior performance in professional running and outdoor segments [1] - The growth of Saucony's retail sales in Q3 2025 was over 20%, with growth rate flat compared to Q2 2025, but down from over 50% in Q3 2024, attributed to adjustments in the e-commerce strategy [1] Investment Recommendations - Short-term impacts from the DTC strategy may negatively affect sales, but it is expected to enhance consumer interaction and brand loyalty in the long run [1] - Saucony plans to expand its product matrix and develop retro and commuting series to meet diverse consumer needs, while also opening high-end stores in first and second-tier cities [1] - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 14.286 billion, 15.558 billion, and 17.251 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 1.374 billion, 1.511 billion, and 1.664 billion yuan for the same years [1] - The projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 0.50, 0.54, and 0.60 yuan, respectively, with a "buy" rating maintained [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's main brand experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales for Q3 2025, while the Saucony brand achieved over 20% year-on-year growth in retail sales [2][3] - The retail discount for Q3 2025 was maintained at a healthy level of 70-75%, consistent with Q2 2025 [3] - The company is focusing on a direct-to-consumer (DTC) strategy, which may have short-term negative impacts on sales but is expected to enhance consumer interaction and brand loyalty in the long run [4] Summary by Sections Event Overview - The company reported Q3 2025 operational data showing low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, with Saucony retail sales exceeding 20% year-on-year growth [2] Analysis and Judgments - Q3 2025 retail sales growth for the main brand was low single-digit, with the growth rate remaining flat compared to Q2 2025 [3] - The retail discount for Q3 2025 was stable at 70-75%, slightly down from 75% in Q3 2024 [3] - Saucony and Myle's brands benefited from their superior performance in professional running and outdoor tracks, with Saucony's retail growth exceeding 20% [3] Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to continue expanding its product matrix and develop retro and commuting series to meet diverse consumer needs [4] - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 142.86 billion, 155.58 billion, and 172.51 billion respectively, with net profits of 13.74 billion, 15.11 billion, and 16.64 billion [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.50, 0.54, and 0.60 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 10, and 9 [4]

Core Insights - Xtep International reported its operational status for the third quarter of 2025 in mainland China, highlighting a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, including both online and offline channels [1] - The retail discount level for the main brand ranged between 70% to 75% [1] - Sales for the Saucony brand experienced a significant increase, achieving over 20% year-on-year growth, also including both online and offline channels [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, including both online and offline channels [1] - The retail sales for the Saucony brand, including online and offline channels, achieved over 20% year-on-year growth [1] Summary by Category Company Performance - The main brand of the company experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales compared to the previous year [1] - The Saucony brand showed significant performance with retail sales growth exceeding 20% year-on-year [1]

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the operational performance of Xtep International in the third quarter of 2025, specifically focusing on retail sales growth for its main brand and the Saucony brand in mainland China [1] Group 1: Retail Sales Performance - Xtep's main brand retail sales, encompassing both online and offline channels, achieved low single-digit year-on-year growth [1] - Saucony's retail sales, including online and offline channels, experienced over 20% year-on-year growth [1]