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奕瑞科技(688301):横向拓展产品线 实现X线核心技术自主可控
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
Event Overview - The company reported its Q1 2024 and Q1 2025 financial results, with 2024 revenue at 1.831 billion yuan, down 1.74% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 465 million yuan, down 23.43% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 482 million yuan, down 1.92% year-on-year but up 1.32% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 143 million yuan, up 2.74% year-on-year and up 90.72% quarter-on-quarter [1] Performance Meets Market Expectations - In 2024, the detector business generated revenue of 1.49 billion yuan, down 11.99% year-on-year, while solution/technical service revenue surged to 96 million yuan, up 262.56% year-on-year, and core component sales reached 126 million yuan, up 45.49% year-on-year [2] Margin Pressure and Increased R&D Investment - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 50.11%, down 7.73% year-on-year, while Q1 2025 gross margin was 48.92%, down 4.41 percentage points year-on-year but up 10.71 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - The company increased its R&D expenses to 310 million yuan in 2024, up 18.08% year-on-year, reflecting a commitment to developing new technologies related to core components and solutions [3] Development of Digital X-ray Core Components and Comprehensive Solutions - In 2024, the company launched several new medical and industrial products, with high-end DSA detectors entering mass production and significant progress in photon counting detector technology [4] - The company began mass production of economical and mid-to-high-end CT high-voltage generators, achieving international leadership in the medical CT high-voltage generator sector [4] - The company successfully developed various types of X-ray tubes for industrial and medical applications, with some products nearing mass production [5] Investment Recommendations - Based on the 2024 and Q1 2025 reports, revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 2.405 billion yuan and 3.057 billion yuan, respectively, with a new revenue forecast for 2027 at 3.847 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 31.3%, 27.1%, and 25.8% [7] - Expected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are projected at 702 million yuan and 920 million yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 1.202 billion yuan, indicating year-on-year growth of 51.0%, 31.0%, and 30.7% [7] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with a stock price of 119.06 yuan as of April 25, 2025, corresponding to PE ratios of 24.25x, 18.51x, and 14.17x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7]