Group 1 - Multiple green methanol stocks surged on September 29, with Donghua Technology and Furan Energy hitting the daily limit, and Fuke Environmental rising by 16.29% [2] - The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) Net Zero Framework (NZF) is expected to be approved in October, leading to a near doubling of the number of ships using alternative fuels by 2028, prompting shipowners to shift from preparation to action [2] - According to Debang Securities, approximately 300 ships are projected to create a demand for about 6.79 million tons of methanol fuel, while global green methanol production capacity is only around 700,000 tons in 2024, indicating a potential supply-demand mismatch [2] Group 2 - In April 2025, a project controlled by the actual controller of Jiaze New Energy, Chen Bo, will begin construction in Jixi City, Heilongjiang Province, with an investment of 8 billion yuan, focusing on producing green methanol, green ethanol, and green aviation fuel [3] - The project aims to achieve an annual production capacity of 450,000 tons of green methanol, 150,000 tons of green ethanol, and 120,000 tons of green aviation fuel, with an estimated annual output value of approximately 4.38 billion yuan [3] - Jiaze New Energy has indicated that its green chemical business is still in the verification and initial stages, with no substantial impact on the company's performance in the short term, and it faces multiple risks related to policies and the market [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's performance was below expectations, but entering the green methanol market opens up growth opportunities [4] - The company reported a revenue of 1.31 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.87%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 460 million yuan, up 11.6% year-on-year [6] - The company is advancing into green chemical business with Ningxia Jiazhe Group, which is expected to significantly enhance growth potential [6] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 2,403 million yuan (2023), 2,422 million yuan (2024), 2,529 million yuan (2025E), 3,003 million yuan (2026E), and 3,853 million yuan (2027E) [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 803 million yuan (2023), 630 million yuan (2024), 909 million yuan (2025E), 1,020 million yuan (2026E), and 1,219 million yuan (2027E) [5] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 9.14% in 2024 to 14.00% in 2027 [5] Market Performance - The company maintains a strong position in wind power operations with approximately 2GW of installed capacity and another 2GW under construction, ensuring sustained growth [6] - The planned REITs project is anticipated to contribute to short-term performance and improve cash flow [6] - The company’s stock price is currently at 3.87 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 9.42 billion yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is a small but efficient wind power operator that is expanding into green fuels, which opens up growth opportunities [6] - The company has received approval for a specific stock issuance and is increasing its stake in its subsidiary, Shanghai Jiayi Rongyuan, which is involved in green methanol, green ethanol, and green aviation fuel [7] - The company plans to raise 1.2 billion yuan through a private placement, which will increase the actual controller's shareholding to 44.3% [7] - The company is collaborating with Ningxia Jiazhe Group to enter the green chemical sector, significantly enhancing growth potential [7] - The company has a robust wind power operation with approximately 2GW of installed capacity and plans for additional capacity, ensuring sustained growth [7] - The potential launch of wind power REITs is expected to contribute to short-term performance and improve cash flow [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 2,403 million yuan (2023), 2,422 million yuan (2024), 2,529 million yuan (2025E), 3,003 million yuan (2026E), and 3,853 million yuan (2027E) [9] - The expected growth rates for net profit from 2025 to 2027 are 44.2%, 12.28%, and 19.48% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 10, 9, and 8 times [10] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 12.25% in 2025 to 14.00% in 2027 [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company is increasing its investment in its subsidiary Shanghai Jiayi Rongyuan Green Chemical Co., Ltd. to explore and develop businesses in green methanol, green ethanol, and green aviation kerosene, with a total capital increase of 49.45 million RMB [1][2]. Transaction Overview - The company will invest 49.45 million RMB in Shanghai Jiayi Rongyuan, raising its ownership from 70% to 95%, while another shareholder, Jinyuan Rongtai Investment Management (Ningxia) Co., Ltd., will invest 1.55 million RMB, maintaining its 5% stake [1][2]. - The board of directors approved the transaction on July 14, 2025, with the related party, Mr. Chen Bo, abstaining from the vote due to his interest in the transaction [2][7]. Related Party Information - Jinyuan Rongtai is the second-largest shareholder of the company, holding 15.38% of shares and is considered a related party due to its connection with the actual controller, Mr. Chen Bo [5]. - Jinyuan Rongtai has a registered capital of approximately 1.018 billion RMB and is involved in investment management and consulting [5]. Financial Information of the Target Company - Shanghai Jiayi Rongyuan was established on May 19, 2025, with a registered capital of 4 million RMB. As of June 30, 2025, it reported total assets, liabilities, and net assets of 0, with no revenue or profit [5][6]. Pricing and Agreement Details - The capital increase is priced at 1 RMB per registered capital, and Jinyuan Rongtai has waived part of its preferential subscription rights. The transaction is deemed fair and does not harm the interests of the company or minority shareholders [6][7]. Impact on the Company - The capital increase aligns with the company's overall interests and development plans, and it will not significantly affect the company's financial status or operational capabilities [6][7]. Historical Related Transactions - Prior to this transaction, there was one related transaction with Jinyuan Rongtai in the past 12 months, amounting to 2.8 million RMB [2][3].

Report Information - Report Title: Methanol Daily Report [1] - Date: June 19, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Li Jin, Ren Junchi, Peng Haozhou, Peng Jinglin, Liu Youran, Li Jie, Feng Zeren [3] - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Research Team [4] - Data Source: Wind, CCB Futures Research and Development Department [5] Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The methanol weighted contract increased in position and rose on Wednesday. The weighted contract added 84,058 lots, and the 09 main contract added 7,5511 lots. The weighted contract showed a high - opening, volatile upward trend and closed with a medium - bodied positive line with short upper and lower shadows, rising 2.36% overall. Methanol is expected to continue the geopolitical conflict trend in the short - term, mainly fluctuating strongly [5]. - The average spot transaction price of methanol in Taicang, Jiangsu was 2,700 yuan/ton, an increase of 85 yuan/ton from the previous day. As of June 18, 2025, domestic methanol sample production enterprise inventory was 367,400 tons, a decrease of 11,800 tons or 3.10% from the previous period. Sample enterprise orders to be delivered were 273,800 tons, a decrease of 28,300 tons or 9.37% from the previous period. Domestic methanol port inventory was 586,400 tons, a decrease of 65,800 tons from the previous data. The weekly arrival volume decreased significantly, and the port inventory decreased this week [6]. - Technically, in the hourly line cycle, the RSI indicator is close to the over - bought area, and the MACD fast and slow lines are running above the zero axis with repeated divergence. In the daily line cycle, the MACD fast and slow lines are running above the zero axis, and the red column is continuously lengthening. In the short - term, it is expected to fluctuate strongly [6]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Outlook - Futures market: For MA2501, the opening price was 2,468, the closing price was 2,500, the highest price was 2,505, the lowest price was 2,455, the increase was 1.83%, the trading volume was 146,252, the open interest was 222,810, the open interest change was 14,034, and the speculation degree was 0.66. For MA2505, the opening price was 2,388, the closing price was 2,408, the highest price was 2,417, the lowest price was 2,387, the increase was 0.88%, the trading volume was 2,111, the open interest was 3,452, the open interest change was - 137, and the speculation degree was 0.61. For MA2509, the opening price was 2,469, the closing price was 2,517, the highest price was 2,527, the lowest price was 2,461, the increase was 2.53%, the trading volume was 2,280,427, the open interest was 891,921, the open interest change was 75,511, and the speculation degree was 2.56 [7]. 2. Industry News - The first green ethanol co - production green methanol project in China was signed. China National Chemical Tianchen Company, Beijing Heneng Times Biotechnology Co., Ltd., and East China University of Science and Technology signed a tri - party cooperation agreement. They used the remaining materials from the cellulose ethanol production process as raw materials to form a complete set of green methanol wet gasification co - production industrialization solutions, achieving the cross - border integration of biomass fermentation and gasification technologies, and solving many pain points in other green methanol production processes [13]. 3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including the basis of the main contract, the price difference between production and sales areas, the profit of three methanol production processes, the overseas market price of methanol, the futures price and the number of warehouse receipts, and the price difference between MA09 and MA01 [16][20][24].