广电新政有望驱动长剧 ROI 回升 ——爱奇艺（IQ.O）25Q2 点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 广电新政预期将长期对行业产生正面驱动，预期公司 ROI 有望逐渐回升。我们预计 公司 2025~2027 年的 GAAP 归母净利润分别为-3.48/5.33/19.77 亿元（25~27 原预 测值为 3.96/16.47/23.47 亿元，根据财报我们下调收入及毛利率预测，从而调整盈 利预测）。新政或于 26 年产生更大影响，我们切换可比公司 26 年调整后 P/E 均值 31X（汇率 USD/CNY=7.1），给予目标价为 2.37 美金/ADS，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 内容行业政策监管，版权成本提升，收入增长不及预期，竞争格局变化等风险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 31873 | 29225 | 27387 | 28760 | 29875 | | 同比增长 (%) | 9.91% | -8.31% | -6. ...

中国互联网营销市场 | 研究报告 核心摘要： 《2025年中国互联网营销市场研究报告》显示，网络广告市场持续扩容、稳步发展。2023年，中国互联网广告市场收入较2022年增长12.4%，达到11317亿元。 电商和短视频平台成为广告主最青睐的两大媒体类型，贡献大部分市场收入。在技术创新、需求迭代与媒介进化的共同作用下，产业链各方积极探索为市场注入发展 动能。2024年大模型技术持续推动AIGC全场景渗透，开启数字营销新篇章。从内容侧来看，微短剧正成为新的流量入口，多主体入局推动市场扩容，为品牌营销带 来新的内容载体。顺应内容和媒介的生态化趋势，场景的重要性日益凸显，场景化种草使品牌从满足需求走向激发需求，成为流量红海时代寻求增量的新解法。消费 者作为广告营销传播的直接受众，始终处于品牌信息传递的终端位置。随着生活方式变迁、价值观念重构、社会心理变化，消费者的行为模式正经历深刻变化，消费 动机的转型直接重塑了品牌与受众的沟通逻辑。品牌营销策略必须紧跟社会结构的动态变化，因时因地制宜地调整。 2024年国民经济呈现平稳运行态势，但外部环境的不确定性对消费需求形成阶段性制约。下半年增量政策的密集出台有效提振市场信心 ...

Group 1: Internet Marketing Market Overview - The Chinese internet advertising market continues to expand, with revenue reaching 1,131.7 billion yuan in 2023, a 12.4% increase from 2022 [1][19][20] - E-commerce and short video platforms are the most favored media types by advertisers, contributing significantly to market revenue, with e-commerce platforms holding a 36.3% market share and short video platforms at 26.5% [19][23] - The integration of technological innovation, demand iteration, and media evolution is driving market growth, with AIGC technology expected to further penetrate digital marketing in 2024 [1][26] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Trends - Consumer behavior is undergoing profound changes due to shifts in lifestyle, values, and social psychology, necessitating brands to adapt their marketing strategies accordingly [1][56] - Consumers are increasingly rational and proactive in their purchasing decisions, seeking quality and price comparisons, with 60.5% prioritizing product information [38][41] - Emotional value and personal experience are becoming key drivers of consumer spending, with 31.4% willing to pay for emotional value [38][47] Group 3: New Marketing Strategies - Scene-based marketing is emerging as a new solution for brands to stimulate consumer demand, moving beyond traditional marketing methods [31] - Micro-short dramas are becoming a new content marketing vehicle, with 90% of brands utilizing custom or self-produced micro-short dramas [29] - The application of AI in marketing is enhancing consumer interaction and decision-making processes, with 88.2% of users engaging with AI marketing tools [50][56] Group 4: Economic and Policy Environment - The overall economic environment in China is stabilizing, with GDP growth projected at 5.0% for 2024, supported by incremental policy measures to boost market confidence [3][5] - Consumer spending is expected to be influenced by new policies promoting innovative consumption models and structural upgrades in the market [2][8] - The "old for new" consumption initiative is expected to significantly boost sales, with related product sales exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan in 2024 [8]

Core Insights - The Chinese internet advertising market is expanding steadily, with revenue growth of 12.4% in 2023, reaching 1,131.7 billion yuan [1][19][22] - E-commerce and short video platforms are the most favored media types by advertisers, contributing significantly to market revenue [1][22][19] - Technological innovation and evolving consumer demands are driving the market, with AIGC technology expected to further penetrate digital marketing in 2024 [1][25][19] - The rise of micro-short dramas is creating new content marketing opportunities, enhancing brand engagement [1][28][19] - The importance of contextual marketing is increasing, as brands shift from merely meeting consumer needs to stimulating demand [1][30][19] Internet Marketing Landscape - The internet advertising market in China is projected to continue its growth trajectory, supported by macroeconomic recovery and technological advancements [19][22] - In 2023, e-commerce platforms held a market share of 36.3%, while short video platforms accounted for 26.5% [22][19] - AIGC technology is transforming digital marketing, enabling rapid generation of advertising materials and enhancing personalized marketing efforts [25][19] Consumer Behavior Trends - Consumers are becoming more discerning, actively seeking information and evaluating products based on quality and price [40][43][55] - Emotional resonance is becoming a key factor in brand loyalty, with consumers increasingly valuing emotional experiences over mere functionality [37][56][57] - The rise of AI applications in marketing is facilitating smarter consumer interactions, with a significant percentage of consumers engaging with AI-driven marketing tools [49][55] Economic Context - The overall economic environment in China is stabilizing, with GDP growth projected at 5.0% for 2024 [3][5] - Consumer spending is expected to be cautious, with nearly half of consumers planning to reduce their budgets in 2025 [34][35] - Policies aimed at stimulating consumption are being implemented, particularly in emerging sectors like culture, tourism, and sports [2][7]

Core Insights - The advertising revenue in various media is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan for the first time in 2024, reaching 1,031.07 billion yuan, representing an 18.2% increase from the previous year [1] - Internet advertising revenue is expected to reach 891.91 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 24.0% and accounting for 86.5% of total advertising revenue [1] - The digital advertising market is expanding, driven by technological innovation, evolving consumer demands, and media evolution, with a focus on AIGC (AI-Generated Content) and new content formats like micro-short dramas [1][3] Industry Trends - The internet has transformed from a traditional tool to a digital infrastructure supporting societal operations, with applications like online food delivery and payment rapidly growing [2] - Digital advertising is identified as a core industry within the digital economy, facilitating the integration of digital and physical economies [2] - The network advertising market in China reached 1,131.7 billion yuan in 2023, marking a 12.4% increase from 2022, with expectations for further growth driven by economic recovery and AI advancements [3] Market Dynamics - E-commerce and short video platforms dominate the network advertising market, holding 36.3% and 26.5% market shares respectively, as advertisers favor platforms that closely align with transaction activities [3] - The trend of "self-satisfying consumption" is emerging, where consumers make informed decisions based on extensive information and peer reviews, shifting the focus of marketing strategies towards emotional resonance [4] - AI models are enhancing human-computer interactions, making digital marketing more personalized and tailored to consumer preferences, thereby increasing purchase intent and customer satisfaction [4]