每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——实施城乡居民增收计划、降准降息等工具灵活高效运用、增加普通高中学 位……深度解读中央经济工作会议 （记者 曾健辉） 截至发稿，皇氏集团市值为31亿元。 每经AI快讯，皇氏集团（SZ 002329，收盘价：3.78元）12月12日晚间发布公告称，截至本公告披露 日，公司及控股子公司的担保额度总金额约为37.88亿元，公司及控股子公司对外担保余额约为24.17亿 元，占公司最近一期经审计净资产的比例为258.69%。 2025年1至6月份，皇氏集团的营业收入构成为：乳制品和食品占比85.55%，信息服务占比7.32%，其他 主营业务占比4.96%，其他业务占比2.17%。 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月06日 宏观经济周报 解锁服务业增长的三把钥匙 中国服务业正面临"需求与收入"的经典循环困境：提振服务业是为了增加 居民就业和收入，而服务需求增长又被认为依赖后者提升，因此形成"鸡生 蛋、蛋生鸡"的悖论。然而，当前存在三条不依赖当期居民收入增长的需求 线索，正率先打破这一循环困境。 一是海外"输入型需求"。国际往来恢复带动中国在运输、旅游、信息、研 发等服务出口增长，这部分由外部购买力驱动的需求，直接创造了国内就业 与产出。 二是国内"时间稀缺"压抑的潜在需求。我国人均 GDP 已超 1.3 万美元，非 常接近高收入国家的门槛，但服务业占比却仍低于中低收入国家的水平，主 因并非支付能力不足，而是居民"无暇消费"。一旦通过制度优化释放闲暇， 文旅、健康等体验式需求将显著释放。 三是产业升级伴生的"创新需求"。发展新质生产力推动政府和企业在研发、 数字服务、专业咨询等无形资本上投入大增，这类生产性服务需求源于政府 和企业的投资与创新活动，同样不依赖于当期居民收入水平。 这"三轮驱动"能率先创造就业，尤其是青年与转岗岗位，进而增强收入预 期与消费信心，逐步激活更广泛服务消费，形成" ...

Core Insights - The meteorological industry is crucial for high-quality economic and social development, serving as a foundational and strategic emerging industry that provides various meteorological products and services [1][2] Group 1: Industry Overview - The global climate warming has intensified the impact of weather and climate on economic and social development, leading to increased demand for meteorological services across various sectors [1] - The meteorological industry encompasses areas such as satellite remote sensing, radar monitoring, numerical forecasting, meteorological big data, information services, disaster prevention, and artificial weather modification [1][2] Group 2: Policy and Development Goals - The "Meteorological High-Quality Development Outline (2022-2035)" aims to promote and regulate the orderly development of the meteorological industry, enhancing the capacity and level of meteorological services for the nation and its people [2] - The development of the meteorological industry should focus on building a modernized meteorological industry system, integrating technological and industrial innovation, and optimizing traditional industries while nurturing emerging ones [2][3] Group 3: Key Areas for Development - Key areas for development include advancing meteorological instruments and equipment, enhancing data services, and innovating financial meteorological service models [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes that a modernized industrial system is the material and technical foundation for Chinese-style modernization, with meteorological factors being essential for human survival and development [3][4] Group 4: Challenges and Recommendations - The current innovation momentum in the meteorological industry is weak, and the economic multiplier effect has not been effectively realized, necessitating improvements in development policies and governance systems [4] - Recommendations include deepening the integration of meteorological technology and industry innovation, enhancing data governance, nurturing leading enterprises, and establishing international cooperation mechanisms in the meteorological supply chain [4]

Group 1 - The company expects to engage in daily related transactions with China Mobile Group and its controlled enterprises, with a total amount not exceeding 2.2 billion RMB for the year 2026 [1][2] - The company anticipates a maximum daily deposit limit of 800 million RMB with China Mobile Financial Company for financial services in 2026 [2][3] - The board of directors has approved the expected related transactions, which will be submitted for shareholder approval, with related shareholders abstaining from voting [2][12] Group 2 - The expected related transactions include sales of products and services related to information and communication technology, as well as network security products and services [7][12] - The pricing principles for these transactions will follow fair and reasonable market practices, ensuring compliance with market standards [7][12] - The company aims to strengthen its strategic cooperation with China Mobile Group through these transactions, promoting high-quality development and resource sharing [12][14] Group 3 - The company has a good relationship with China Mobile Group, which is a major telecommunications operator with strong financial capabilities [7][12] - The financial services provided by China Mobile Financial Company are expected to enhance the company's financial management and optimize cash flow [12][14] - The independent directors have reviewed and approved the expected related transactions, confirming that they do not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders [13][49]

Core Points - The stock price of Xinhua Net fell by 2.03% on November 19, trading at 19.80 CNY per share with a market capitalization of 13.36 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, Xinhua Net's stock price has increased by 15.93%, while it has seen a slight decline of 0.75% over the last five trading days [1] - The company reported a revenue of 1.306 billion CNY for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.88%, and a net profit of 203 million CNY, up by 30.56% [2] Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Xinhua Net had 45,700 shareholders, a decrease of 0.97% from the previous period [2] - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 31.27% to 14,767 shares [2] - Cumulatively, Xinhua Net has distributed 1.115 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 277 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Shareholding Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 9.5363 million shares, an increase of 6.7434 million shares from the previous period [3] - The eighth largest circulating shareholder is Dongfanghong New Power Mixed A, holding 3.4934 million shares, up by 1.3141 million shares [3] - The tenth largest circulating shareholder is Southern CSI 1000 ETF, with 2.4687 million shares, an increase of 561,400 shares [3] Business Overview - Xinhua Net's main business segments include government and enterprise comprehensive services (38.65%), full media advertising services (36.30%), digital and intelligent services (19.73%), and cultural creative services (5.32%) [1] - The company operates in the media industry, specifically in the digital media and portal website sector, with involvement in intellectual property, film and television media, AI corpus, paid knowledge, and online education [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiuqi Software's stock has shown significant growth this year, with a 32.22% increase, and recent trading activity indicates a positive trend in market interest and liquidity [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 19, Jiuqi Software's stock price reached 8.29 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 7.148 billion CNY [1] - The stock has increased by 12.48% over the last five trading days, 14.19% over the last twenty days, and 11.42% over the last sixty days [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has appreciated by 32.22% [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jiuqi Software reported a revenue of 1.589 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 41.60% [2] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -28.82 million CNY, which represents an 87.36% increase compared to the previous year [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 8.09% to 93,300, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 8.80% to 8,461 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 4.8921 million shares to 17.0572 million shares [3] - New institutional shareholders include Zhongyou New Thinking Flexible Allocation Mixed A and招商量化精选股票发起式A, holding 3.96 million shares and 2.5 million shares respectively [3] Group 4: Business Overview - Jiuqi Software, established in August 1999 and listed in August 2009, operates in electronic government, group management, big data, mobile internet, and mobile advertising services [1] - The company's revenue composition includes information services (61.55%), technical services (30.39%), software products (6.66%), hardware products (0.93%), and other services (0.47%) [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jian Design (300668.SZ), primarily provides market business and service support for vaccine manufacturers, including business support services, marketing services, and information services. The company has not collaborated with Moore Threads [1]. Group 1 - The main business of the company is to offer market business and service support to vaccine manufacturers [1]. - The services provided by the company include business support services, marketing services, and information services [1]. - The company has confirmed that it has not engaged in any collaboration with Moore Threads [1].

Economic Overview - In October, the national economy continued to show a stable growth trend, with industrial production increasing by 4.9% year-on-year, and the service sector production index growing by 4.6% [5][6][7] - The agricultural sector is performing well, with an increase in autumn grain planting area and yield, indicating a potential bumper harvest for the year [5][62] Market Sales - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.9% year-on-year in October, driven by holiday consumption and the effectiveness of consumption promotion initiatives [6][35] - The sales of communication equipment and cultural office supplies saw significant growth, with increases of 23.2% and 13.5% respectively [6][38] Employment Situation - The urban surveyed unemployment rate decreased to 5.1% in October, marking a continuous decline for two months [6][41] - The unemployment rate for migrant agricultural workers was 4.5%, lower than the overall urban unemployment rate, indicating stability in employment for key groups [6][41] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year in October, reversing the previous month's decline, with core CPI (excluding food and energy) increasing by 1.2% [7][28] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a year-on-year decline of 2.1%, but the rate of decline has narrowed for three consecutive months, indicating a potential stabilization in industrial prices [7][52] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment decreased by 1.7% year-on-year in the first ten months, with real investment volume still showing slight growth when adjusted for price factors [11][12] - Manufacturing investment grew by 2.7% year-on-year, with significant increases in high-tech sectors such as aerospace and information services, which saw growth rates of 19.7% and 32.7% respectively [13][14] Foreign Trade - In the first ten months, total goods import and export volume increased by 3.6% year-on-year, with exports growing by 6.2% [15][16] - Despite challenges, trade with ASEAN and EU countries grew by 9.1% and 4.9% respectively, indicating a diversification of trade partnerships [16][17] Industrial Production - The industrial production maintained stability, with a 4.9% increase in the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size in October [47][48] - High-tech manufacturing and digital product manufacturing saw increases of 7.2% and 6.7% respectively, reflecting a trend towards modernization and digitalization in the industry [48][49] Real Estate Market - The real estate market showed signs of stabilization, with the decline in new housing sales narrowing to 6.8% year-on-year in the first ten months [57][58] - The inventory of unsold commercial housing decreased, indicating progress in the ongoing efforts to manage the real estate market [57][58]

Core Viewpoint - Jiuqi Software's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a total market value of 6.277 billion yuan, while the company faces challenges in revenue generation and profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jiuqi Software reported a revenue of 1.589 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 41.60%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -28.8165 million yuan, showing an increase of 87.36% compared to the previous period [2]. - The company's stock price has increased by 16.11% year-to-date, but it has seen a decline of 8.89% over the last five trading days and a slight decrease of 0.95% over the last 20 days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Jiuqi Software was 93,300, a decrease of 8.09% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per person increased by 8.80% to 8,461 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 17.0572 million shares, an increase of 4.8921 million shares from the previous period. New shareholders include Zhongyou New Thinking Flexible Allocation Mixed A and招商量化精选股票发起式A, holding 3.96 million and 2.5 million shares respectively [3]. Business Overview - Jiuqi Software, established on August 16, 1999, and listed on August 11, 2009, operates in sectors such as e-government, group management, big data, mobile internet, mobile advertising services, and video application products [1]. - The company's revenue composition includes information services (61.55%), technical services (30.39%), software products (6.66%), hardware products (0.93%), and other services (0.47%) [1].

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Net's stock price has shown a significant increase of 18.68% year-to-date, with a recent trading price of 20.27 CNY per share, reflecting a market capitalization of 13.677 billion CNY [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Xinhua Net reported a revenue of 1.306 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.88%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 203 million CNY, which is a 30.56% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 1.115 billion CNY, with 277 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Xinhua Net is 45,700, a decrease of 0.97% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 31.27% to 14,767 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 9.5363 million shares, an increase of 6.7434 million shares from the previous period [3].