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黄金,如期超跌反弹;美联储利率决议将至,关注冲高回落!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 01:21
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing strong bearish pressure, with a significant drop from the recent high of 3439, indicating a potential further decline towards the support levels of 3245 and 3150-3120 [2][4]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The recent decline in gold prices marks the first occurrence of four consecutive bearish daily candles since the rise began in November 2022, suggesting a strong return of bearish sentiment [2]. - The 60-day moving average and key support levels have been breached, indicating a failure of bullish momentum and a shift towards bearish trends [2]. - Short-term trading strategies suggest a focus on buying on dips, as the market is currently oversold, with potential for a rebound before further declines [4][11]. Group 2: Market Events and Data - Upcoming economic data releases, including ADP employment figures and GDP, are expected to influence market sentiment, alongside the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [6]. - The gold market is anticipated to remain volatile as traders react to these economic indicators and geopolitical developments [6][11]. Group 3: Silver Market Insights - The silver market has shown a similar pattern, with recent price action indicating resistance at the 39.7 level, aligning with previous expectations [8][10]. - The overall outlook for silver remains bearish, with key resistance levels identified at 38.5 and 39.7, while support is seen at lower levels [10]. Group 4: Broader Market Context - The U.S. dollar index is on an upward trend, which may exert additional pressure on gold and silver prices, with key resistance levels at 99.5-100 [10]. - The performance of U.S. stock futures has been mixed, indicating uncertainty in the broader market, which could impact commodity trading strategies [15].
黄金暴跌迎接超级周,多空博弈月线收官!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-27 14:55
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices have experienced significant volatility, with a high of 3439 and a closing price of 3337, reflecting a bearish trend as the market shows signs of weakness after a strong start to the week [2][3] - The upcoming week is crucial for gold, with important economic data releases such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, non-farm payroll data, and personal consumption expenditures, which could influence market sentiment [3][4] - The analysis suggests a bearish outlook for gold in the medium term, with potential price targets of 3245 and 3120, and a possibility of breaking down to the 3000 level if the downward trend continues [6] Group 2 - Short-term support levels for gold are identified at 3328-30, 3310-15, and the 3300 mark, while resistance is seen around 3350, with potential upward movement if this level is breached [8] - The silver market has also shown volatility, with a significant drop following a new high, indicating a bearish sentiment similar to that of gold [8][10] - The overall market sentiment is influenced by geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which may provide temporary support for gold prices [8]
突发意外情况,特朗普新关税来了,黄金会暴涨吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 14:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that having trading principles is crucial for success [1] - Gold prices experienced fluctuations this week, opening at 3276, reaching a low of 3245, and a high of 3366, closing at 3337, indicating a bullish trend [3][4] - The recent U.S. economic data, including ADP and non-farm payrolls, has had a significant impact on gold prices, with the market recovering from previous declines [4][5] Group 2 - The upcoming week will focus on the impact of tariffs on gold prices, with expectations of continued bullish momentum [5] - Technical analysis suggests that key resistance levels for gold are at 3365 and 3400, while support levels are identified at 3310-15 and 3290-95 [5] - Silver also showed a bullish trend this week, with resistance at 37.3 and 37.8, and support at 36.5 [6] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar showed a mixed performance, with fluctuations around the 97.5 level, indicating potential for further movements depending on economic data [8][9] - The oil market remained relatively stable, with Saudi Arabia's production increase posing potential downward pressure on prices [6]
非农数据爆冷,黄金大跌终结三连阳,多头结束了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 04:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that adhering to trading principles is crucial for success [1] - Recent gold price movements were significantly influenced by the better-than-expected U.S. non-farm employment data, leading to a sharp decline in gold prices, which fell to a low of 3311 before rebounding [3][5] - The market is currently experiencing a bearish trend, with expectations of further declines in gold prices, particularly if key support levels are broken [7] Group 2 - The analysis indicates that gold is overbought, and short-term bullish momentum is difficult to sustain, suggesting a strategy of selling high and buying low [5] - Silver prices are expected to face resistance at 37 and may experience a pullback, with recommended trading strategies focused on shorting at higher levels [7] - The U.S. dollar is projected to strengthen following the non-farm data, with expectations of continued bullish movement in the dollar index [9]