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黄金冲高大跌,CPI数据成了拉高出货的借口!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 02:32
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with recent movements indicating a lack of trend continuation for both bullish and bearish positions [1][5][6] - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3320 and 3300, while resistance is noted at 3340-43 and the CPI data high at 3360 [5][6] - A recent trading strategy involved entering long positions at 3323, with a focus on monitoring the 3340-43 resistance area for potential profit-taking [5][14] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - The international silver market has shown a downward trend, with recent positions taken at 39.05-10 indicating a bearish outlook, targeting a first goal of 37.3 [5][6] - The strategy for silver includes holding short positions while monitoring for potential rebounds near the identified support levels [5][6] Group 3: Oil Market Developments - The crude oil market has shown a bullish trend, with recent trading strategies indicating a buy position around 64-65, targeting a breakout above 70 [9][11][22] - Profit-taking occurred at the 70 mark, with plans to re-enter long positions on any significant pullbacks [11][22] Group 4: Currency Market Trends - The US dollar index has recently broken through key resistance levels, indicating a bullish sentiment, with expectations for further upward movement [8] - The analysis suggests that the ability of the dollar to maintain its upward trajectory will depend on breaking through the April lows and the downward trend established since 101 [6][8] Group 5: Stock Market Performance - The US stock market experienced a significant decline, with futures indicating a bearish outlook for major indices such as the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq [7] - A strategy was implemented to enter short positions on the S&P futures above 6290, with stop-loss measures in place to manage risk [7]
黄金,又要爆发了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 20:40
Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing volatility, with fluctuations between key levels such as 3287 and 3345, indicating a mixed trading sentiment [3][5][9] - The current trading strategy emphasizes the importance of stop-loss measures, suggesting that maintaining strict trading principles is crucial for success [5][10] - The market is expected to break out of its current range soon, but any movement is likely to result in a larger trading range rather than a clear trend direction [5][7] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 3345 and 3366, with a significant focus on the 3400 mark, which is deemed difficult to breach without substantial positive catalysts [7][9] - The trading strategy includes a focus on short-term positions, with specific entry and exit points highlighted, such as buying near 3276 and targeting 3295-3300 [10][11] - The overall sentiment remains cautious, with traders advised to avoid chasing positions and to adhere to strict stop-loss protocols [7][10][11]
黄金,如期大涨!接下来关键位置在这里!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 14:05
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, stating that having trading principles is crucial for success [1] - It highlights the significance of not holding onto losing positions, advocating for a strict stop-loss approach [1] Group 2 - The analysis of gold prices indicates that the key resistance levels are at 3345 and 3366, with potential for further upward movement if these levels are breached [3][6] - The commentary on silver suggests a strong upward trend, with a focus on shorting opportunities above the 38.2 resistance level [5] - The dollar index is expected to continue its bullish trend, with caution advised for potential short-term pullbacks [6][9] Group 3 - The report on crude oil suggests a bullish outlook, with targets set between 69 and 70, while also advising on strict stop-loss measures [6][8] - The S&P futures are being monitored for short positions, with a target range of 6120 to 6000, indicating a bearish sentiment in the medium term [6][9]
黄金开盘大跌,还会涨吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 07:45
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with a recent drop of over $30, indicating a bearish trend despite previous bullish signals [1][3]. Market Analysis - Gold has broken below the non-farm payroll low of 3311, suggesting further weakness in the market. The immediate resistance levels are identified at 3325-27, while the key support levels are at 3305 and 3290 [3]. - The upper resistance zone is between 3343-45, where any rebound that does not break this area is expected to lead to further declines. A breakthrough above this zone could lead to a rally towards the previous high of 3365 and potentially 3400 [3]. - Silver is also showing signs of weakness, with resistance at 37.3 and 37.8, while support is noted at 36.5 and 35.5-35.2 [3]. Trading Strategies - The current trading strategy emphasizes caution, advising against chasing positions and favoring short positions while maintaining some long positions as a hedge [3]. - Specific trading actions include reducing positions at 3343-44 and setting strict stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively [6][10].
突发意外情况,特朗普新关税来了,黄金会暴涨吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 14:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that having trading principles is crucial for success [1] - Gold prices experienced fluctuations this week, opening at 3276, reaching a low of 3245, and a high of 3366, closing at 3337, indicating a bullish trend [3][4] - The recent U.S. economic data, including ADP and non-farm payrolls, has had a significant impact on gold prices, with the market recovering from previous declines [4][5] Group 2 - The upcoming week will focus on the impact of tariffs on gold prices, with expectations of continued bullish momentum [5] - Technical analysis suggests that key resistance levels for gold are at 3365 and 3400, while support levels are identified at 3310-15 and 3290-95 [5] - Silver also showed a bullish trend this week, with resistance at 37.3 and 37.8, and support at 36.5 [6] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar showed a mixed performance, with fluctuations around the 97.5 level, indicating potential for further movements depending on economic data [8][9] - The oil market remained relatively stable, with Saudi Arabia's production increase posing potential downward pressure on prices [6]
非农数据爆冷,黄金大跌终结三连阳,多头结束了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 04:00
止损,永远是对的,错了也对! 死扛,永远是错的,对了也错! 横批:止损无条件! 如果没有交易原则,那么,一切技术等于零! 昨天黄金大跌,主要是美国公布的非农就业数据,无论是新增就业人数还是失业率均录得好于市场预期的结果;与周三晚上adp数据的负值形成截然的对 比;在数据后,黄金快速大跌,最低至3311一线后并迎来反弹,之后行情围绕3330震荡到收盘;日线最终以中阴线收盘。 昨日黄金走势在我们预期之内,我们强调黄金超买严重,短线多头难以为继;早盘3365回落后依托3340走反弹,欧美盘则日内高点压制继续下跌;非农数据 只不过是个助力而已。黄金在继续着大扫荡走势,切不可追涨杀跌,关键位置高抛低吸是目前正确的交易方式。 因美国独立日假期,昨天美国市场提前休市,美股今天全天休市,贵金属和原油市场今日也是提前休市。并且今日周五,从早盘的开盘来看,预计今日不会 有太大的波动,应该是真的运行为主,整体偏向于空头,周一至周三连续三个交易日的上涨,是对上周暴跌的修正,只是反弹的幅度稍大了一些;接下来, 继续看下跌回落,然后关注周线收盘情况。具体而言,今日3340压制下看空为主,下方重点是昨日低点3315~10区域,下破前还有反 ...
重大利空,黄金跳水暴跌!非农后的机会!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 14:01
Group 1 - The recently released US non-farm employment data showed better-than-expected results in both new job creation and unemployment rate, contrasting sharply with the previous ADP data, which negatively impacted gold prices [3] - After a three-day surge, gold was deemed overbought, leading to a short-term adjustment, with key support levels identified at 3315-3312 and 3300-295, suggesting potential buying opportunities before further declines [5] - Silver was expected to face challenges in breaking through the 37 area, with recommendations to reduce positions and maintain short positions, while support levels were noted at 36-35.8 and 34.5 [6] Group 2 - The dollar's performance aligned with expectations, with the non-farm data being favorable for the dollar, indicating a potential successful bottoming out [10] - Recommendations for forex trading included holding short positions in EUR/USD and long positions in USD/CHF, with other products suggested for reference [10]
黄金,6月收官之战,注意反弹后再跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 02:11
Group 1 - The current gold market is in a state of indecision, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements depending on whether key support levels are maintained or broken [4] - The analysis indicates that if the price breaks below the support level of 3245, it could lead to further declines, potentially testing the 3120 area [4] - Conversely, if the long-term trend support holds, there is a possibility for a bullish reversal [4] Group 2 - Short-term trading strategies suggest that traders should look for buying opportunities around the 3250 level, with a target of 70-80 [5] - The market is expected to experience volatility, with significant resistance identified in the 3280-83 range, which could determine the next direction of the market [3][6] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of strict stop-loss measures to manage risk in the current trading environment [5]
黄金,即将多空大决战!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 04:31
Group 1 - The volatility of gold has decreased significantly this week, with only slight fluctuations observed on Monday and Tuesday, while Wednesday and Thursday showed minimal movement [3] - The key trend support for gold is currently being tested, and whether it breaks down will determine the medium-term trend [3] - The analysis indicates that if the price breaks below the 3310 area, it could lead to a test of the 60-day moving average and other critical support levels [5] Group 2 - Recommendations suggest not to open new positions in Shanghai gold and silver on Friday, with a focus on short-term high selling [6] - The outlook for the US dollar index remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound after a recent dip below the 97-96.5 range [6] - The analysis emphasizes that gold is likely to continue its downward trend, with key resistance levels identified at 3340-45 [7] Group 3 - The recent performance of US stock futures indicates a cautious approach, with a recommendation to exit positions and wait for re-entry opportunities [9] - The recent decline in crude oil prices has been anticipated, with current testing around the 65 area [9] - The company maintains its view that a significant pullback below the 65 area is necessary for further positioning [10]
暴跌,黄金大阴灭大阳,超级大扫荡继续!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 01:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that holding onto losing positions is always wrong, regardless of the situation [1] - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with a notable drop of $70 in a single day, indicating a bearish sentiment among investors regarding geopolitical tensions [1][3] - The oil market is also undergoing substantial fluctuations, with recent price movements comparable to the volatility seen over the past two months, driven by geopolitical factors [4][6] Group 2 - For gold trading, key support levels are identified at the 3360-55 range, with potential resistance at 3405-07, indicating a strategic approach to trading based on these levels [3] - In the silver market, a bearish outlook is suggested, with primary resistance levels at 37 and 37.5, while support is noted at 35.5 and 34.8-6 [3] - The crude oil market is advised to consider buying on dips around the 70 level, with significant resistance at 72.5-73 and 75, indicating a tactical approach to trading in response to market conditions [6]