Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company with a 12-month target price of 28.35 CNY [7] Core Views - The company achieved its performance expectations with significant improvement in operating cash flow despite a slight decline in profitability due to the impact of military product VAT reform [2][3] - The company completed 51.61% of its annual revenue target for 2025 in the first half of the year, indicating a steady progress towards its goals [4] - The report anticipates net profits for the company to be 7.5 billion CNY, 8.3 billion CNY, and 9.4 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of -0.6%, 11.4%, and 13.2% [5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.736 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 2.5%, and a net profit of 309 million CNY, down 34.32% year-on-year [1] - The revenue from the aviation engine and gas turbine control systems was 2.438 billion CNY, a decline of 3.05% year-on-year, while international cooperation business revenue increased by 11.84% to 205 million CNY [2] - The company's gross margin for the reporting period was 27.49%, down 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 11.38%, down 5.44 percentage points year-on-year [2] R&D and Cash Flow - R&D expenses decreased slightly to 262 million CNY, a year-on-year decline of 14.75%, while selling and management expenses increased by 12.42% and 9.87% respectively [3] - The net operating cash flow improved significantly to 1.009 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 446.13%, attributed to increased cash receipts from sales [3] Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Beijing Hangke reported a slight increase in net profit by 3.81% year-on-year, while other subsidiaries experienced varying degrees of revenue and profit changes [4]

航发控制（000738.SZ）2025 年半年报点评 1H25 营收完成年度目标 52%；国际合作业务保持增长 2025 年 08 月 28 日 ➢ 事件：8 月 27 日，公司发布 2025 年半年报，1H25 实现营收 27.4 亿元， YOY -2.5%；归母净利润 3.1 亿元，YOY -34.3%。业绩表现符合预期。上半年 营收和利润减少系受产品增值税改革政策影响，我们点评如下： ➢ 2Q25 业绩阶段性承压；1H25 营收完成度 52%。1）单季度：公司 2Q25 实现营收 13.9 亿元，YOY -0.3%；归母净利润 1.6 亿元，YOY -22.8%；扣非净 利润 1.6 亿元，YOY -20.8%。2）利润率：公司 1H25 毛利率同比下滑 3.6ppt 至27.5%；净利率同比下滑5.4ppt至11.4%。其中，2Q25毛利率同比提升0.6ppt 至 29.8%；净利率同比下滑 3.4ppt 至 11.8%。3）经营计划：2025 年，公司面 临主业中持续多年量产的部分型号阶段性达峰、部分新研产品尚在逐步上量带来 较大挑战的形势，全年预计实现营收 53 亿元，1H25 完成度 51.6% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" with a downgrade from previous ratings [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.35 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 4.7%, and a net profit of 150 million yuan, down 43.6% year-over-year, primarily due to tax policy adjustments and price changes [1]. - The company achieved a revenue of 5.481 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 2.95% year-over-year, and a net profit of 750 million yuan, up 3.26% year-over-year, indicating that the operational goals for 2024 were largely met [2]. - The company is focusing on the collaborative development of military, civilian, and fuel sectors, with a positive outlook on the long-term development of large aircraft business due to advancements in commercial engine development [3]. - The company is positioned as a major supplier of aviation engine and gas turbine control systems in China, benefiting from the growing demand in aviation equipment, large aircraft, general aviation, and drones, indicating significant long-term growth potential [4]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenues of 5.316 billion yuan, a slight decrease from 2024, with net profits adjusted to 725 million yuan [4]. - The company’s revenue growth rates are projected to be -3.01% in 2025, followed by 11.36% in 2026 and 13.70% in 2027 [5]. - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is estimated at 1.520 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 13.64% [5]. - The company’s financial metrics include a PE ratio of 32.97 for 2025, decreasing to 25.78 by 2027 [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" with a downgrade in rating [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.35 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 4.7%, and a net profit of 150 million yuan, down 43.6% year-over-year, primarily due to tax policy adjustments and price changes [1]. - The company achieved a revenue of 5.481 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year increase of 2.95%, and a net profit of 750 million yuan, up 3.26%, indicating that the operational goals for 2024 were largely met [2]. - The company is focusing on collaborative development in military, civilian, and fuel sectors, with a positive outlook on the long-term development of large aircraft business [3]. - The company is positioned as a major supplier of aviation engine and gas turbine control systems in China, benefiting from the growth in demand for aviation equipment, large aircraft, general aviation, and drones [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 25.1%, a decrease of 7.80 percentage points year-over-year, and the net profit margin was 11.0%, down 7.49 percentage points year-over-year [1]. - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be 5.316 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline from 2024, with net profit expected to be 725 million yuan [5]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from aviation engines and gas turbine control systems was 4.88 billion yuan, accounting for 89.1% of total revenue, with a gross margin increase of 1.55 percentage points to 29.2% [2]. - Domestic revenue was 5.11 billion yuan, a 2.8% increase year-over-year, while international revenue was 370 million yuan, a 5.5% increase [2]. Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue target of 5.3 billion yuan in 2025, indicating a transition period between old and new products [2]. - The company is advancing the development of commercial engines and exploring maintenance services for domestic aircraft like the C919, which is expected to positively impact performance in the mid to late "14th Five-Year Plan" period [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6][8] Core Views - The company achieved a record high in both revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue of 5.481 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.95%, and a net profit of 750 million yuan, up 3.26% year-on-year [5][6] - The company is transitioning between old and new product models, facing challenges as some long-term production models reach peak output while new products are gradually ramping up [6][7] - The company aims for a revenue target of 5.3 billion yuan for 2025, focusing on the successful commercialization of new aviation and drone power control products [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.481 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 28.11%, an increase of 1.53 percentage points year-on-year [6][9] - The company's subsidiaries also showed stable performance, with revenue increases in several units, while one unit experienced a decline [7] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate net profits of 756 million, 805 million, and 881 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 0.75%, 6.46%, and 9.42% [6][9]