9月29日，江海股份盘中上涨2.20%，截至11:11，报31.07元/股，成交4.83亿元，换手率1.92%，总市值 264.26亿元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 江海股份所属申万行业为：电子-元件-被动元件。所属概念板块包括：超级电容、5G、石墨烯、ETC概 念、增持回购等。 截至6月30日，江海股份股东户数5.04万，较上期减少3.41%；人均流通股16268股，较上期增加3.53%。 2025年1月-6月，江海股份实现营业收入26.94亿元，同比增长13.96%；归母净利润3.58亿元，同比增长 3.19%。 分红方面，江海股份A股上市后累计派现12.12亿元。近三年，累计派现5.65亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，江海股份十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股1377.28万股，相比上期减少4.12万股。中欧时代先锋股票A（001938）位居第七大流通股 东，持股1050.00万股，为新进股东。宏利转型机遇股票A（000828）位居第八大流通股东，持股929.58 万股，持股数量较上期不变。国投瑞银新能源混合A（007689）退出十大流通股东之列。 资金流向方面，主 ...

9月24日，江海股份涨0.18%，成交额9.87亿元。两融数据显示，当日江海股份获融资买入额1.14亿元， 融资偿还1.39亿元，融资净买入-2463.74万元。截至9月24日，江海股份融资融券余额合计8.57亿元。 融资方面，江海股份当日融资买入1.14亿元。当前融资余额8.55亿元，占流通市值的3.08%，融资余额 超过近一年80%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，江海股份9月24日融券偿还700.00股，融券卖出0.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额0.00 元；融券余量6.01万股，融券余额196.23万元，低于近一年40%分位水平，处于较低位。 分红方面，江海股份A股上市后累计派现12.12亿元。近三年，累计派现5.65亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，江海股份十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股1377.28万股，相比上期减少4.12万股。中欧时代先锋股票A（001938）位居第七大流通股 东，持股1050.00万股，为新进股东。宏利转型机遇股票A（000828）位居第八大流通股东，持股929.58 万股，持股数量较上期不变。国投瑞银新能源混合A（007689 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jianghai Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock performance with an 86.24% increase year-to-date, despite a recent decline of 2.95% over the last five trading days [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jianghai Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 2.694 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.96%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 358 million yuan, up 3.19% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1.212 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 565 million yuan distributed over the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, Jianghai Co., Ltd. had 50,400 shareholders, a decrease of 3.41% from the previous period, with an average of 16,268 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 3.53% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 13.7728 million shares, and new entrant China Europe Era Pioneer Stock A, holding 10.5 million shares [3] Market Activity - Jianghai Co., Ltd. has been active in the market, appearing on the trading leaderboard seven times this year, with the most recent appearance on September 2, where it recorded a net purchase of 252 million yuan [1] - The stock's trading volume on September 22 reached 448 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 1.72% [1] Business Overview - Jianghai Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, production, sales, and service of capacitors and related materials, with its main revenue sources being aluminum electrolytic capacitors (82.75%), film capacitors (8.65%), supercapacitors (6.00%), electrode foils (2.00%), and others (0.60%) [1]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint indicates that the recent cooling of U.S. employment data makes a rate cut in September almost certain, with expectations of a 25bps cut and potential for 1-2 additional cuts throughout the year [1][14][18] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for August showed an increase of only 22,000, significantly below the expected 75,000, indicating a weakening labor market [1][18] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.324%, slightly above expectations, highlighting a trend of weakening labor demand [1][18] Fixed Income - In the week of September 1-5, 19 green bonds were issued in the interbank and exchange markets, totaling approximately 8.767 billion yuan, an increase of 1.651 billion yuan from the previous week [2] - The secondary market saw a total trading volume of green bonds amounting to 48.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 4 billion yuan from the previous week [2] Industry Analysis - The domestic aluminum electrolytic capacitor industry is experiencing stable growth, with a focus on supercapacitors expected to drive a second growth curve for Jianghai Co., Ltd. [10] - Jianghai Co., Ltd. is positioned as a leader in the supercapacitor market, with a compound annual growth rate of 23.9% in the domestic market from 2017 to 2023 [10] - The report highlights the potential for significant growth in the supercapacitor business, particularly in AI computing applications, as the company collaborates with multiple AI clients [10] Company Recommendations - Yapu Co., Ltd. is expected to see revenue growth from 9.123 billion yuan in 2025 to 10.961 billion yuan in 2027, with a corresponding net profit increase from 575 million yuan to 756 million yuan [9] - Jianghai Co., Ltd. is projected to achieve revenues of 4.565 billion yuan in 2025, growing to 5.770 billion yuan by 2027, with net profits expected to rise from 791 million yuan to 1.025 billion yuan [13] - China Pacific Insurance is maintaining a positive outlook with projected net profits of 51.6 billion yuan in 2025, increasing to 55.3 billion yuan by 2027 [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year growth, indicating a positive trend in its business operations [4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 999 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 15.7 million yuan, up 33.59% year-on-year [4]. - The plastic packaging and film capacitor segments experienced rapid revenue growth, with plastic packaging revenue at 637 million yuan (+21.22% YoY) and film capacitors at 252 million yuan (+38.30% YoY) [5]. - The overall profitability improved due to a decrease in expense ratios, with gross margin at 15.02% (down 1.97 percentage points YoY) and net margin at 2.25% (up 1.03 percentage points YoY) [5]. Group 2: Business Segments - The company’s revenue from military electronics decreased by 35.81% to 45 million yuan, while other business segments saw a slight decline of 1.23% to 66 million yuan [5]. - The gross margins for different segments were as follows: plastic packaging at 17.41% (+0.47 percentage points YoY), military electronics at 38.60% (+5.61 percentage points YoY), film capacitors at 8.09% (-6.23 percentage points YoY), and other businesses at 2.40% (-5.57 percentage points YoY) [5]. Group 3: Capital Projects - The company successfully raised 929 million yuan through a private placement, with 691 million yuan allocated for the expansion and upgrade of the Ningbo Xinrong film capacitor project, which is currently 55.41% complete as of H1 2025 [6]. - The subsidiary Ningbo Xinrong has introduced advanced ultra-thin vacuum deposition equipment from Germany and Japan, enabling self-controlled production processes for capacitors used in various sectors including new energy vehicles and military applications [6]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships - The company has signed a procurement contract with Fusion New Energy (Anhui) for the supply of energy storage capacitors for a controlled nuclear fusion project, with deliveries ongoing and expected to be completed by 2025 [7]. - The project timeline has been accelerated by two months, with the goal of completing all construction by 2027, positioning the company to benefit from the rapid development of the nuclear fusion industry [8].

Group 1 - Jiangsu Jianghai Capacitor Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price increase of 5.02% on September 5, reaching 32.66 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.537 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 5.91%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 27.778 billion CNY [1] - The company's main business includes the research, production, sales, and service of capacitors and their materials, with revenue composition as follows: aluminum electrolytic capacitors 82.75%, film capacitors 8.65%, supercapacitors 6.00%, electrode foil 2.00%, and others 0.60% [1] Group 2 - Manulife Fund's "Manulife Transformation Opportunity Stock A" (000828) holds 9.2958 million shares of Jianghai Co., representing 1.13% of the circulating shares, with an estimated floating profit of approximately 14.5014 million CNY [2] - The fund has a total scale of 3.028 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 53.64%, ranking 134 out of 4222 in its category, and a one-year return of 103.46%, ranking 133 out of 3795 [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of "Manulife Transformation Opportunity Stock A" is Meng Jie, who has been in the position for 5 years, with the fund's total asset scale at 4.785 billion CNY and the best return during his tenure being 65.4% [3] Group 4 - "Manulife Transformation Opportunity Stock A" has Jianghai Co. as its fifth-largest heavy stock, holding 9.2958 million shares, which accounts for 5.71% of the fund's net value, with an estimated floating profit of approximately 14.5014 million CNY [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of Jianghai Co., Ltd. has attracted significant market attention, particularly following the release of its semi-annual report for 2025, which led to notable stock price fluctuations [1] Financial Performance - Jianghai Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 2.694 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.96%, while net profit reached 358 million yuan, up 3.19% [2] - The company's main business, aluminum electrolytic capacitors, accounted for 82.75% of total revenue, indicating its critical role in the company's financial structure [4] - Despite stable gross margins, net profit margins have declined, reflecting cost pressures, and operating cash flow net amount decreased by 45.46% year-on-year due to faster growth in accounts receivable and inventory compared to revenue [2][6] Business Structure and Growth Drivers - The company has seen strong growth in its film capacitors and supercapacitors, which are emerging as new growth engines alongside its traditional aluminum electrolytic capacitor business [2][3] - Jianghai Co., Ltd. has established deep partnerships with leading companies such as Huawei, Delta, and BYD, further solidifying its market position [2] Technological Advancements - The company has made significant technological breakthroughs in supercapacitors, particularly for AI servers and grid frequency regulation, positioning itself favorably in the rapidly growing markets of renewable energy and artificial intelligence [3][6] - Jianghai Co., Ltd. has successfully reduced costs for high-temperature automotive modules in film capacitors, showcasing its competitive edge in domestic substitution [2][6] Market Position and Future Outlook - Jianghai Co., Ltd. is well-positioned for long-term growth due to its strong control over the entire industry chain, advanced technology barriers, and deep ties with major clients, despite facing short-term challenges such as declining net profit margins and cash flow pressures [6]

Core Viewpoint - Jianghai Co., Ltd. has shown significant trading activity and financial performance, indicating strong investor interest and growth potential in the capacitor industry [1][2]. Group 1: Trading Activity - On August 27, Jianghai Co., Ltd. saw a stock price increase of 2.01% with a trading volume of 1.627 billion yuan [1]. - The company recorded a financing buy-in of 322 million yuan and a financing repayment of 225 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of approximately 96.91 million yuan [1]. - As of August 27, the total margin trading balance for Jianghai Co., Ltd. was 1.175 billion yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 4.93% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level of activity compared to the past year [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jianghai Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 2.694 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.96% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 358 million yuan, which represents a year-on-year increase of 3.19% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.212 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 565 million yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, Jianghai Co., Ltd. had 50,400 shareholders, a decrease of 3.41% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 3.53% to 16,268 shares [2]. - Notable changes in institutional holdings include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the fourth largest shareholder with 13.7728 million shares, a decrease of 41,200 shares from the previous period [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in profitability and cash flow in Q2 2025, with a revenue of 1.296 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.96% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.65% [1]. - The company focuses on R&D investments in emerging fields such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, energy storage, and industrial control, with R&D expenses totaling 89.38 million yuan, accounting for 3.58% of sales revenue in the first half of 2025 [2]. - The company has made breakthroughs in the ultra-high voltage flexible direct current film capacitor field, securing the first batch application project order for domestic dry capacitors [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 2.499 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 569 million yuan, also up 18.15% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 34.7% in Q2 2025, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.43 percentage points [1]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 6.038 billion, 7.569 billion, and 9.370 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 26.5%, 25.3%, and 23.8% respectively [4][5]. Earnings Forecast - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.409 billion, 1.763 billion, and 2.156 billion yuan, with growth rates of 35.6%, 25.1%, and 22.3% respectively [5][11]. - The projected earnings per share for the same period are 6.26, 7.84, and 9.58 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19x, 15x, and 12x [4][5].

Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 8.347 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 964 million yuan, up 14.2% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 927 million yuan, increasing by 17.9% [1] - For 2Q25, the company reported revenue of 4.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.6%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 553 million yuan, up 13.2% year-on-year and 34.5% quarter-on-quarter, and a non-recurring net profit of 546 million yuan, increasing by 20.7% year-on-year and 43.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] Growth Trends - In 2Q25, the company's shipment value continued to show strong year-on-year growth, with an estimated overall shipment growth of over 20%, driven primarily by the new energy sector [2] - The new energy segment remains the core driver of growth, with shipments of high-voltage direct current for new energy vehicles and new energy inverters both increasing by over 50% year-on-year, benefiting from strong domestic new energy vehicle sales and recovering European demand [2] - Industrial control and signal relays also showed a recovery, with shipments increasing by over 30% year-on-year in 2Q25, while automotive low-voltage shipments grew by 16-17% year-on-year [2] Modular Business and Product Development - The modular business continued to expand, with significant growth in automotive modules, particularly high-voltage distribution boxes, which saw nearly 200% year-on-year growth in shipments for 1H25 [3] - New products such as film capacitors, connectors, fuses, and current sensors are in the process of customer expansion and market introduction, awaiting further order releases [3] Profitability and Cost Management - In 2Q25, the company's gross margin improved to 34.7%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.03 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.9 percentage points, benefiting from product structure optimization and increased revenue scale [3] - The company's expense ratio decreased to 15.3% in 2Q25, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes of -1.3 percentage points and -2.5 percentage points, respectively, primarily due to positive exchange rate effects on financial expenses [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 at 1.926 billion yuan and 2.248 billion yuan, respectively, with a target price of 30.0 yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 17.9x and 15.3x for 2025 and 2026 [4] - The target price implies an upside potential of 27.1%, maintaining an outperform rating in the industry [4]