今年，指数化投资的市场认可度显著提升，公募ETF（交易型开放式指数基金）再次迎来发展大 年：产品数量和规模双双跃升，市场关注度持续升温，更多公募基金公司加速布局创新产品，更多投资 者也将目光投向ETF等指数产品。 政策也在推动指数产品发展。今年5月，证监会发布的《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》提 及，"大力发展各类场内外指数基金""实施ETF快速注册机制"。围绕2025年ETF的最新进展及下一步走 向，《国际金融报》记者近日采访了华泰柏瑞基金指数投资部副总监谭弘翔。 谭弘翔指出，公募ETF今年呈现结构性分化，后续市场仍将快速发展，且具有跨周期特征，产品种 类与形态有望更加多元。 结构分化 "结构性分化"是谭弘翔眼中今年ETF最突出的关键词，集中体现在两条主线： 一是债券ETF的"井喷"。Wind数据显示，2025年4月15日至12月15日短短八个月，债券ETF资金净 流入高达4189亿元。"说明真实需求一直存在，只是过去缺少足够多样的工具去匹配。"谭弘翔指出，目 前无论是利率债还是信用债ETF都能找到较大的应用场景，新发的科创债ETF更是有力地支持了科创债 市场建设，折射出资本市场直面资金与资产错配所迸发的 ...

Core Insights - The ETF market has seen significant growth in 2023, with industry and thematic ETFs increasing from less than 600 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to over 1 trillion yuan, marking a growth of over 77% [4][5][6] - Investment strategies have shifted, with some investors buying more of underperforming ETFs while others are taking profits from high-performing ones [4][9][10] ETF Market Overview - As of September 30, there are 483 thematic ETFs and 84 industry ETFs, with total assets surpassing 1 trillion yuan [5][6] - The combined scale of these ETFs has increased by 462.77 billion yuan this year, contrasting sharply with the 330 billion yuan increase in broad-based ETFs [5][6] Performance Analysis - 16 industry and thematic ETFs have seen gains exceeding 80% this year, with 150 products yielding over 50% returns [7] - The top-performing ETF, Guotai Chuangye Board AI ETF, has surged by 121.53%, while other notable performers include ETFs focused on communication and gold [7][8] Fund Flow Dynamics - The market has shown a clear trend of "buying the dip," with funds flowing into underperforming ETFs like the coal ETF, which despite a 5.65% decline, saw its scale increase by nearly 300% [9][10] - Conversely, some high-performing ETFs have experienced a decrease in scale, indicating a "take profit" strategy among investors [10] Sector Performance - The top-performing ETFs are primarily in technology sectors such as AI, communication, and chips, while energy and coal ETFs have faced declines [8] - Notably, the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge CSI Innovation Drug ETF was surprising, as it launched mid-September and did not perform as expected [8]

Core Insights - The market has shifted from a "buy and hold" strategy with broad-based ETFs to a more targeted approach focusing on industry and thematic ETFs, reflecting a change in investor sentiment and strategy [2][4] Market Performance - As of September 30, the total scale of broad-based ETFs reached 2.51 trillion yuan, an increase of 320 billion yuan from the beginning of the year, while the number of shares decreased by 224.15 billion to 924.77 billion shares [2][5] - Major broad-based indices showed strong performance in the first three quarters, with the CSI 300 index rising by 17.94%, the SSE 50 index by 11.33%, and the ChiNext index soaring by 51.2% [1][2] ETF Dynamics - There is a notable divergence within broad-based ETFs, with some maintaining steady growth while others, despite high returns, faced significant redemptions [1][6] - The top-performing broad-based ETFs are primarily from the ChiNext and Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with the top three performers showing gains of over 60% [3][4] Growth Factors - The growth in broad-based ETF scale is primarily driven by net asset value increases, which have masked some of the profit-taking activities by investors [2][6] - The rise of industry, thematic, and bond ETFs has contributed to the decline in market share of broad-based ETFs, indicating a shift towards more specialized investment strategies [2][4] Investor Behavior - A significant portion of the top broad-based ETFs experienced net redemptions, particularly those with over 50% annual returns, as investors opted to realize profits [6][7] - Among the 29 broad-based ETFs with over 10 billion yuan in scale, 17 experienced net redemptions, highlighting a trend of profit-taking among investors [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The ETF market has experienced significant growth in 2023, with industry and thematic ETFs seeing their combined scale increase from less than 600 billion to over 1 trillion yuan, marking a growth of over 77% [1][2]. ETF Market Overview - As of September 30, there are 483 thematic ETFs and 84 industry ETFs, with total scales of 774.79 billion yuan and 287.63 billion yuan respectively, surpassing 1 trillion yuan in total scale [2]. - The combined scale of these ETFs has increased by 462.77 billion yuan this year, compared to a much smaller increase of 330 billion yuan for broad-based ETFs [2]. Fund Flow Dynamics - The shift in investor behavior is evident, with some investors buying more of underperforming ETFs while others take profits from those that have performed well [1][4]. - Notably, the coal ETF, despite a decline of 5.65%, saw its scale grow from 2.8 billion yuan to 11.4 billion yuan, a nearly 300% increase [1][7]. Performance of ETFs - 16 industry and thematic ETFs have seen gains exceeding 80% this year, with 150 products yielding over 50% returns [4]. - The top-performing ETF, the Guotai Chuangye Board AI ETF, has surged by 121.53%, while other notable performers include the Guotai Zhongzheng All Index Communication Equipment ETF and the Yongying Zhongzheng Hong Kong Gold Industry ETF, with increases of 96.19% and 87.3% respectively [4][5]. Sector Analysis - The top-performing ETFs are primarily from two sectors: technology, represented by AI, communication, and chips, and gold stocks [5]. - Conversely, the worst performers include energy and coal ETFs, with declines exceeding 6% [6]. Fund Size and Performance Correlation - Among ETFs with scales exceeding 10 billion yuan, the top three in terms of scale are the Guotai Fund's Securities ETF, the Jiashi Fund's Sci-Tech Chip ETF, and the Huabao Fund's Broker ETF [7]. - The Jiashi Fund's Sci-Tech Chip ETF leads in annual returns at 75.1%, while the only declining product among the large-scale ETFs is the Penghua Fund's Wine ETF, which has dropped over 4% [7][8]. Investment Strategies - The trend of "buying the dip" is evident, with significant inflows into ETFs that have underperformed, while some investors are also taking profits from high-performing ETFs [8]. - The top three ETFs in terms of scale increase this year are the Guotai Fund's Securities ETF, the Huaxia Fund's Robotics ETF, and the Jiashi Fund's Sci-Tech Chip ETF, indicating a mix of strategies among investors [8].