Core Viewpoint - The number of stock mutual funds achieving positive returns continuously from 2022 to 2025 (up to October) is significantly low, with only 39 funds out of 4737 showing consistent positive performance, highlighting the challenges faced by fund managers in a volatile market environment [2][3][12]. Group 1: Fund Performance Overview - In 2022, only 132 out of 4744 stock mutual funds achieved positive returns, representing 2.79% of the total [2][3]. - The number of funds with positive returns increased to 541 in 2023, accounting for 11.41% [2][3]. - By 2024, the number surged to 3102, with a positive return rate of 65.47%, and in the first ten months of 2025, 4624 funds achieved positive returns, representing 97.59% [2][3]. Group 2: Consistent Positive Return Funds - Among the 4737 funds with performance data since 2022, only 39 funds maintained positive returns each year, which is a mere 0.82% [3][4]. - The 39 funds that achieved continuous positive returns had an average return of 7.96% in 2022, 8.14% in 2023, 11.74% in 2024, and 22.25% in the first ten months of 2025 [4]. Group 3: Top Performing Funds - The top three funds in terms of returns for the year 2025 (up to October) are: 1. "Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry Mixed A" managed by Wu Guoqing with a return of 75.66% [9][11]. 2. "Caitong New Horizons Mixed A" managed by Shen Li with a return of 68.43% [9][12]. 3. "Invesco Great Wall Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen Selected Stock A" managed by Zhang Zhongwei with a return of 59.81% [9][13]. Group 4: Fund Manager Insights - Wu Guoqing from "Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry Mixed A" emphasizes the focus on the gold resource sector, which has benefited from rising gold prices due to geopolitical factors and economic conditions [11][12]. - Shen Li from "Caitong New Horizons Mixed A" highlights a focus on AI industry chains, semiconductor domestic substitution, and consumer sectors, reflecting a positive outlook on the economic recovery [12][13]. - Zhang Zhongwei from "Invesco Great Wall Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen Selected Stock A" believes in the potential of AI technology to drive innovation and growth in the market [13].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of stock mutual funds in the A-share market from 2022 to 2025, highlighting the challenges of achieving consistent positive returns amid market fluctuations and the increasing difficulty of obtaining excess returns in recent years [3][6]. Group 1: Market Performance Overview - The A-share market has experienced significant volatility, with a deep adjustment in 2022, a structural market in 2023, and a recovery in 2024 [3]. - The leading sectors in terms of growth have varied by year, with coal in 2022, telecommunications in 2023, and banking and non-bank financials in 2024 [3]. Group 2: Fund Performance Analysis - From 2022 to 2025, the number of stock mutual funds achieving positive returns has increased significantly, from 132 in 2022 to 4624 in the first ten months of 2025, with positive return ratios of 2.79%, 11.41%, 65.47%, and 97.59% respectively [6][7]. - Only 39 out of 4737 stock mutual funds have achieved positive returns for four consecutive years from 2022 to 2025, representing a mere 0.82% [7][8]. Group 3: Top Performing Funds - The top three funds for the year 2025 (up to October) are: 1. Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry Mixed A, managed by Wu Guoqing, with a return of 75.66% [12][13]. 2. Caitong New Vision Mixed A, managed by Shen Li, with a return of 68.43% [14][15]. 3. Invesco Great Wall Hong Kong and Shanghai Select A, managed by Zhang Zhongwei, with a return of 59.81% [15][16]. - The average returns for the 39 funds achieving consecutive positive returns from 2022 to 2025 are 7.96%, 8.14%, 11.74%, and 22.25% respectively [8]. Group 4: Fund Manager Insights - Fund managers have expressed cautious optimism regarding the economic outlook, with a focus on sectors such as AI, semiconductor domestic substitution, and consumer spending [15][16]. - The performance of the Qianhai Kaiyuan fund is attributed to its focus on the gold resource sector, which has benefited from rising gold prices due to geopolitical factors and economic conditions [14][13].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment strategies and performance of Shen Li, a fund manager at Caitong Fund, emphasizing the importance of expanding one's investment capability circle and maintaining a balanced portfolio to achieve consistent positive returns in the public fund industry [4][5]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Shen Li has successfully managed the Caitong New Vision Mixed A fund, achieving positive returns for six consecutive accounting years since 2019, with a remarkable 118.88% return over the past year as of August 25 [4][5]. - The strategy involves reducing exposure to single industries and utilizing the negative correlation between sectors such as consumption, technology, and cyclical industries to hedge risks [9]. - Shen Li emphasizes the importance of maintaining a balanced portfolio to avoid over-concentration in any single sector, which can lead to biased decision-making and poor responses to market changes [8][9]. Group 2: Market Adaptation - In 2022, Shen Li focused on investment opportunities in the livestock industry, capitalizing on the "pig cycle" as a rare investment opportunity within the consumer sector, which contributed to his positive performance amidst a challenging market [6]. - In 2023, he adopted a more stringent selection process within the consumer sector, balancing his portfolio across food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, electronics, and chemicals, particularly targeting stocks at the cyclical bottom [6][7]. Group 3: Future Focus Areas - Shen Li is currently concentrating on emerging fields such as AI hardware and semiconductors, while also keeping an eye on traditional and new consumer sectors, as well as livestock investment opportunities [7][11]. - The AI industry is viewed as a major driver of economic growth, with significant investment interest and increasing penetration across various downstream sectors [11]. - The trend towards domestic semiconductor production is accelerating, with a second upward cycle for semiconductor companies since 2018, driven by factors such as AI-induced replacement demand and domestic production [11][12].