Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the metal antimony industry Core Insights - The demand for metal antimony in China is projected to increase from 7.95 million tons in 2021 to 9.37 million tons in 2023, with a slight decline expected thereafter [10] - The demand for antimony in flame retardants is expected to stabilize around 4.0 million tons from 2024 to 2030 [11] - The demand for antimony in photovoltaic glass is anticipated to grow significantly, reaching 2.02 million tons in 2023 and 3 million tons by 2030 [12][67] - The demand for antimony in lead-acid batteries is expected to decline sharply, from 1.97 million tons in 2021 to 0.24 million tons by 2027 [13][100] - The overall demand for antimony in various sectors, including chemical products and other applications, shows a mixed trend with some growth and some decline [103][107] Summary by Sections Antimony Demand in China - The total demand for metal antimony in China is calculated as the sum of various sectors, including flame retardants, photovoltaic glass, lead-acid batteries, and chemical products [10] Flame Retardants - The production of flame retardants in China is projected to increase from 117.14 million tons in 2021 to 150.04 million tons by 2030 [16] - The proportion of brominated flame retardants is expected to decrease from 16.8% in 2021 to 12.5% by 2030 [20] Photovoltaic Industry - The estimated new installed capacity for photovoltaics in China is expected to rise significantly, reaching 216.88 GW in 2023 and 297.05 GW by 2030 [34] - The market share of single-sided photovoltaic modules is projected to decline from 62.6% in 2021 to 0% by 2030, while double-sided modules will increase from 37.4% to 100% [39][49] Lead-Acid Batteries - The production of lead-acid batteries in China is expected to grow from 2.52 billion kWh in 2021 to 3.24 billion kWh by 2030 [72] - The antimony content in lead-acid batteries is projected to decrease significantly, with the proportion of antimony-containing batteries dropping from 75% in 2021 to 0% by 2030 [90] Chemical Products - The demand for antimony in chemical products, specifically as a polyester catalyst, is expected to remain stable around 0.87 million tons from 2023 to 2030 [103] - Other sectors are expected to see a gradual increase in antimony demand, reaching 0.56 million tons by 2030 [107]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the metal antimony industry Core Insights - The demand for metal antimony in China is projected to increase from 7.95 million tons in 2021 to 9.37 million tons in 2023, with a slight decline expected thereafter [10] - The demand for metal antimony in flame retardants is expected to stabilize around 4.0 million tons from 2024 to 2030 [11] - The demand for metal antimony in photovoltaic glass is anticipated to grow significantly, reaching 2.02 million tons in 2023 and 3 million tons by 2030 [12][67] - The demand for metal antimony in lead-acid batteries is projected to decline sharply from 1.97 million tons in 2021 to 0.24 million tons by 2027 [13][100] - The production of flame retardants in China is expected to increase from 117.14 million tons in 2021 to 150.04 million tons by 2030 [16] - The share of brominated flame retardants is expected to decrease from 16.8% in 2021 to 12.5% by 2030 [20] - The estimated new installed capacity of photovoltaics in China is projected to rise from 54.88 GW in 2021 to 297.05 GW by 2030 [34] - The market share of monofacial solar modules is expected to decline from 62.6% in 2021 to 0% by 2030, while bifacial modules will increase from 37.4% to 100% in the same period [39][49] Summary by Sections Metal Antimony Demand - The total demand for metal antimony in China is calculated as the sum of various sectors, with projections indicating fluctuations in demand over the next decade [10] Flame Retardants - The demand for metal antimony in flame retardants is derived from the production of flame retardants and is expected to remain stable [11][29] Photovoltaic Industry - The demand for metal antimony in photovoltaic glass is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing installation of solar panels [12][67] - The anticipated new installed capacity of photovoltaics in China shows a robust growth trajectory [34] Lead-Acid Batteries - The demand for metal antimony in lead-acid batteries is projected to decline sharply, reflecting changes in battery technology and market dynamics [13][100] Chemical Products - The demand for metal antimony in chemical products, particularly as a polyester catalyst, is expected to remain stable over the forecast period [103] Other Sectors - The demand for metal antimony in other sectors is projected to show modest growth, indicating a diversified application of the material [107]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the antimony industry, driven by increasing demand in various applications such as flame retardants and photovoltaic glass [4][21]. Core Insights - Antimony is recognized as a strategic mineral with significant market potential, particularly due to its applications in semiconductors, alloys, and flame retardant materials [4][14]. - The global antimony resource is highly concentrated in countries like China, Russia, and Bolivia, with China holding the largest reserves [12][13]. - China's implementation of export control policies in 2024 has led to a widening price gap between domestic and international markets [15][40]. - The market size of the antimony industry is projected to grow from 7.95 million tons in 2021 to 9.71 million tons in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.91% [37][38]. Summary by Sections Industry Definition - Antimony (Sb) is a silver-white metal with atomic number 51, widely used in various industrial applications, including semiconductors and flame retardants [5][6]. Industry Characteristics - The antimony industry is characterized by resource concentration, strategic importance, and policy sensitivity, particularly regarding export controls [12][15]. - As of 2024, global antimony reserves are estimated at 2.255 million tons, with China accounting for 670,000 tons, representing 29.7% of the total [13][14]. Development History - The modern development of the antimony industry has gone through three key phases, with China emerging as a dominant player since the 1990s [16][19]. Industry Chain Analysis - The antimony industry chain includes upstream mining, midstream processing, and downstream applications, with significant demand from the flame retardant and photovoltaic sectors [20][23]. Market Size and Growth - The antimony market is expected to experience fluctuations, with a projected decline in size from 8.98 million tons in 2025 to 8.30 million tons by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of -1.57% [37][40]. Policy Overview - Recent policies emphasize the importance of strategic minerals like antimony, focusing on resource security and sustainable development [43][45]. Competitive Landscape - The antimony mining sector in China is divided into three tiers, with leading companies like Hunan Gold and Huayu Mining at the forefront [46][50].