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中金2026年展望 | 航空航天科技:内外共振,景气焕新(要点版)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 00:51
Core Viewpoint - The aerospace technology industry is expected to maintain high prosperity due to the resonance of domestic and international demand, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and military trade needs, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [1][5][6]. Group 1: Domestic Demand and Industry Growth - The modernization of special equipment and new application models are driving the continuous advancement of special equipment deployment and replacement [1]. - The domestic demand for the aerospace industry is projected to remain prosperous, supported by the iteration of aviation equipment and the release of guided equipment demand [1][5]. - The aerospace technology sector's net profit reached 7.579 billion yuan in Q2 2025, reflecting a 64% quarter-on-quarter increase, indicating a recovery in demand [5]. Group 2: Global Defense Spending and Market Opportunities - Global defense spending is expected to grow by 9.4% year-on-year to approximately $2.72 trillion in 2024, marking the largest increase since the Cold War [1][6]. - China's share of the global special equipment market is anticipated to steadily increase, enhancing industry growth potential and profitability [6]. Group 3: Emerging Equipment Demand - The demand for hypersonic, unmanned, and intelligent equipment is expected to be released in 2026, with significant growth potential in the supply chain's core segments [2][10]. - The penetration rate of hypersonic equipment is projected to increase rapidly, driven by the domestic demand for traditional and new models [9][10]. - Unmanned systems are becoming increasingly integrated into modern defense frameworks, with high growth potential anticipated in 2026 [10]. Group 4: Technological Spillover and New Industry Development - The spillover of special technologies is driving the growth of emerging industries such as large aircraft, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace [3][16]. - By September 2025, China Commercial Aircraft Corporation is expected to have delivered 22 C919 passenger aircraft, with production and delivery capabilities continuing to improve [3][16]. - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a phase of accelerated industrialization, with satellite internet construction becoming normalized [3][17]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Focus on core equipment, new domain and quality equipment, and the spillover of special technologies as key investment directions [18]. - The resonance of domestic and international demand is expected to sustain the prosperity of core equipment in 2026 [18]. - The emergence of new domain and quality equipment is anticipated to fulfill its growth potential in 2026 [18].
中金2026年展望 | 航空航天科技:内外共振,景气焕新(要点版)
中金点睛· 2025-11-07 00:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the aerospace technology industry is expected to maintain high prosperity due to the resonance of domestic and international demand, particularly with the commencement of the "14th Five-Year Plan" in 2026 [2][5] - The article highlights that global defense spending is projected to increase by 9.4% year-on-year to approximately $2.72 trillion in 2024, marking the largest annual increase since the Cold War, which will drive demand for specialized equipment [2][6] - The domestic aerospace sector is expected to benefit from the modernization of special equipment and the release of new application models, with a focus on the continued growth of domestic demand [2][5] Group 2 - The demand for new domain and new quality equipment, such as hypersonic, unmanned, and intelligent systems, is anticipated to be released gradually, with significant growth potential in the supply chain's core segments [3][9] - The article notes that by 2026, the penetration rate of hypersonic equipment is expected to increase rapidly, driven by the demand for mid-to-long-range guided equipment [3][9] - Unmanned systems are projected to penetrate various demand fields, with high growth potential expected to be realized by 2026 due to the combination of domestic and international demand [3][9] Group 3 - The article discusses the emergence of new industries driven by technology spillover, including large aircraft, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace, which are entering a new stage of development [4][14] - By September 2025, the domestic commercial aircraft manufacturer COMAC is expected to have delivered 22 C919 aircraft, with production and delivery capabilities anticipated to continue improving [4][14] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to accelerate its industrialization process, with satellite internet construction entering a normalized networking phase by 2026 [4][15] Group 4 - The article suggests that the aerospace technology industry should focus on three key directions: core equipment, new domain and new quality equipment, and the growth of emerging industries driven by technology spillover [4][16] - The resonance of domestic and international demand is expected to sustain the prosperity of core equipment in 2026, while new domain and new quality equipment are anticipated to realize their growth potential [4][16] - The booming development of large aircraft, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy is expected to gradually lead these industries into a new phase of development [4][16]
九三阅兵,新一代武器装备将集中亮相
第一财经· 2025-09-02 12:41
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant advancements in the Chinese military's weaponry and equipment, showcasing a range of domestically produced main battle equipment during the recent military parade, emphasizing the modernization and strategic capabilities of the armed forces [3][7]. Group 1: Characteristics of the Military Parade - The parade featured new-generation fourth-generation equipment as the main focus, including new tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and fighter jets, organized by combat modules to demonstrate the military's system combat capabilities [6]. - All displayed weaponry was current, domestically produced main battle equipment, reflecting a shift towards self-reliance in military technology [7]. - A selection of unmanned intelligent systems and anti-drone equipment, as well as new capabilities in cyber and electronic warfare, were showcased, highlighting the military's new domain and qualitative combat power [9]. Group 2: Advanced Equipment Displayed - The parade prominently featured advanced equipment such as hypersonic weapons, air defense systems, and strategic missiles, showcasing the military's strong strategic deterrence capabilities [11]. - The displayed weaponry demonstrated high levels of information technology and intelligence, indicating the military's adaptation to technological advancements and evolving warfare forms [11]. Group 3: Parade Structure and Significance - The military parade lasted approximately 70 minutes and was divided into two main segments, with 45 formations participating [13]. - The parade included various formations such as aerial flag-guarding teams, foot troops, battle flag teams, equipment teams, and aerial teams, sequentially passing through Tiananmen Square [13]. - The event marked the first military parade aimed at advancing Chinese-style modernization and showcased the new structure of military forces under the leadership of the Communist Party [21].
国之重器上场!我军新一代武器装备将集中亮相
财联社· 2025-09-02 11:07
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant advancements in the military's weaponry and equipment, showcasing a historic achievement in the development of domestically produced main battle equipment during a recent military parade [1][2]. Group 1: Characteristics of the Displayed Equipment - The main focus of the parade was on new-generation fourth-generation equipment, including new tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and fighter jets, organized by combat modules to demonstrate the military's system combat capabilities [4]. - A selection of land, sea, and air series of unmanned intelligent and anti-unmanned equipment, as well as new types of forces such as network-electronic warfare, were showcased, including new drones, directed energy weapons, and electronic jamming systems, highlighting the military's new domain and quality combat power [6]. - A number of advanced equipment, including hypersonic, air defense, missile defense, and strategic missiles, were prominently displayed, emphasizing the military's strong strategic deterrence capabilities [8].
国之重器上场!我军新一代武器装备将集中亮相
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-09-02 10:09
Core Insights - The military has achieved significant advancements in weaponry and equipment, showcasing a historic development in its capabilities with a focus on domestically produced main battle equipment [1] - A large proportion of the showcased new equipment represents the evolution of modern warfare, highlighting the increasing importance of new domains and qualitative forces [1] Group 1: Characteristics of the Displayed Equipment - The main focus is on new-generation fourth-generation equipment, including new tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and fighter jets, organized by combat modules to demonstrate the military's system combat capabilities [2] - A selection of land, sea, and air series of unmanned intelligent and anti-unmanned equipment, as well as new types of forces such as directed energy weapons and electronic jamming systems, were showcased to highlight the military's new domain and qualitative combat power [3] - A number of advanced equipment, including hypersonic, air defense, anti-missile, and strategic missiles, were prominently displayed, demonstrating the military's strong strategic deterrence capabilities [4]
外媒关注九三阅兵外方嘉宾名单:一场盛会,一睹中国实力
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-28 11:25
Group 1 - The core event is the commemoration of the 80th anniversary of China's victory in the Anti-Japanese War and the World Anti-Fascist War, with significant foreign attendance including 26 foreign heads of state and government leaders [1][3] - Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China is described as unprecedented, highlighting the importance of Sino-Russian relations [1][4] - The participation of leaders from North Korea and several Southeast Asian countries indicates China's growing influence and diplomatic efforts in the region [4][6] Group 2 - The military parade on September 3 is expected to showcase advanced weaponry, including new-generation equipment and strategic deterrent capabilities, reflecting China's military modernization efforts [8][9] - The event will feature a significant number of foreign leaders, including those from Indonesia and Malaysia, emphasizing China's commitment to strengthening ties with Southeast Asian nations [4][6] - The military display aims to convey China's determination to maintain national sovereignty and promote global peace, aligning with its long-standing policy of peaceful development [9]
国新办发布会公布九三阅兵活动具体安排
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-25 07:23
Core Points - The upcoming military parade on September 3 is a significant event marking the first display of military strength in the new journey of Chinese-style modernization, emphasizing the spirit of the great anti-Japanese war and the importance of maintaining international order and justice [4][6][10] Summary by Sections Parade Overview - The parade will feature 45 formations and last approximately 70 minutes, with troops lined up along Chang'an Avenue to be reviewed by President Xi Jinping [6][9] - The parade will consist of a ceremonial segment and a display segment, showcasing various military units and equipment [6][9] Military Structure and Equipment - The parade will highlight a new military structure, including a combination of traditional and modern forces, with a focus on operational capabilities [7][10] - All displayed equipment will be domestically produced, featuring advanced weaponry such as new-generation tanks, aircraft, and unmanned systems [10] Training and Preparation - The preparation involves over ten thousand personnel and hundreds of aircraft and ground vehicles, requiring meticulous planning and execution akin to a military operation [9] - Training emphasizes real combat standards, utilizing advanced technologies for coordination and assessment [9] Public Impact and Coordination - The overall principle during preparations is to minimize disruption to the public, with training locations chosen to avoid densely populated areas [12][13] - Coordination with local traffic and air control authorities aims to reduce the impact on civilian activities during the parade [14][15]
哪些新型武器装备将亮相阅兵式?官方“剧透”
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-08-21 03:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the upcoming military parade showcasing new domestically produced main battle equipment, marking the debut of a new generation of weaponry since the 2019 National Day parade [1] - The parade will feature new fourth-generation equipment as the main focus, including new tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and fighter jets, organized by combat modules to demonstrate the military's system combat capabilities [1] - A selection of unmanned intelligent systems and counter-unmanned equipment, as well as new forces in cyber-electronic warfare, will be presented, including new drones, directed energy weapons, and electronic jamming systems, showcasing the military's new domain capabilities [1] Group 2 - The parade will also prominently display advanced equipment such as hypersonic weapons, air defense missile systems, and strategic missiles, emphasizing the military's strong strategic deterrence capabilities [1] - The showcased weaponry will have a high degree of informatization and intelligence, reflecting the military's adaptation to technological advancements and evolving warfare forms, enhancing its ability to win future conflicts [1] - Specific details regarding the models of the participating weaponry will be revealed soon, as indicated by the military officials [1]
各项准备基本完成 新型装备将集中亮相——国新办发布会公布九三阅兵活动具体安排
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-20 16:31
Group 1 - The upcoming military parade on September 3rd is a significant event marking the first display of the People's Liberation Army's new generation of weaponry since the 2019 National Day parade, showcasing domestically produced main battle equipment [1][5] - The parade will feature 45 formations, including aerial, ground, and naval units, and will last approximately 70 minutes, highlighting the military's structural advancements and capabilities [3][4] - The event emphasizes the theme of commemorating the victory in the Anti-Japanese War, reflecting the spirit of the nation and the military's commitment to national defense [2][5] Group 2 - The military has implemented rigorous training and preparation protocols, utilizing advanced technologies such as Beidou positioning and simulation systems to ensure precise coordination and execution during the parade [4] - All participating weaponry will be current, domestically produced models, including advanced fourth-generation tanks, carrier-based aircraft, and various unmanned systems, demonstrating the military's comprehensive combat capabilities [5] - The organization of the parade aims to minimize disruption to the public, with careful planning of training locations and schedules to reduce the impact on residents of Beijing [6]
各项准备基本完成 新型装备将集中亮相
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-20 16:25
Group 1 - The upcoming military parade on September 3 is a significant event marking the first display of military strength in the new journey of Chinese-style modernization, emphasizing the spirit of the Anti-Japanese War and national pride [2][4] - The parade will feature 45 formations, including aerial, ground, and naval units, showcasing a new structure of military capabilities and the integration of traditional and modern forces [3][6] - All displayed military equipment will be domestically produced and represent the latest generation of combat capabilities, including advanced weaponry and systems [5][6] Group 2 - The preparation for the parade involves extensive training and coordination, likened to organizing a military campaign, ensuring precision and synchronization among thousands of personnel and equipment [4][6] - The organization of the parade aims to minimize disruption to the public, with careful planning of training locations and timing to reduce impact on residents and traffic [7][9] - The parade will also feature a joint military band, performing both classic and newly composed pieces to enhance the solemn atmosphere of the event [6]