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特朗普千字怒文引美股崩盘!中国三拳出击反杀关税战?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 07:53
"特朗普又疯了!"10月10日清晨,白宫上空飘着未散的硝烟味。当他把145%关税的旧戏重演成100%新剧本时,全球金融市场在三分钟内上演了 比好莱坞更刺激的"崩盘大片"——标普500指数暴跌820点,蒸发7000亿美元市值。这场看似荒诞的"关税闹剧",实则是中美贸易战2.0的残酷序 章。 第一幕:稀土封喉,六代机坠落 中国9日启动的稀土全链条管制,比任何军事封锁都致命。内蒙古包头的稀土冶炼厂灯火通明,工人们正将最后几批钕铁硼磁钢装入印着"国家战 略储备"的集装箱。这种能让F-47隐形战机雷达隐形的关键材料,从10月11日起每克都需审批。美国军工复合体瞬间慌了神——洛克希德·马丁的 工程师连夜计算:若稀土断供,F-47的原型机可能永远飞不上天空。更让硅谷窒息的是,特斯拉上海工厂的永磁电机生产线已接到紧急调货通 知,马斯克在推特上连发三条"这比火星移民更难"。 特朗普千字怒文引美股崩盘!中国三拳出击反杀关税战? 【前言】 第四幕:美股惊魂,资本用脚投票 纽约证券交易所的交易员们永远记得那个黑色星期五。特朗普的推文刚发出90秒,高频交易算法就嗅到了危险。当"100%关税"字样出现在屏幕 上时,道琼斯指数像自由落体般 ...
美国造船业绞索已套上中国企业脖子:一场关乎全球海运的生死博弈
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 09:43
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has implemented a new policy targeting China's shipbuilding industry, imposing additional service fees on Chinese-built ships entering U.S. ports, aiming to curb China's dominance in shipbuilding and support its own shipyards [2][3]. Group 1: U.S. Policy and Its Implications - The U.S. Trade Representative's office announced a policy on February 21, 2025, requiring additional fees for Chinese-built ships, starting from October 14, with fees set at $50 per ton for Chinese ships and $18 per ton or $120 per container for non-Chinese ships [2]. - The policy stems from a Section 301 investigation initiated on April 17, 2024, which highlighted China's subsidies and market practices, leading to significant cost increases for Chinese ships entering U.S. ports [3]. - The average cost for a large Chinese-built ship could double, resulting in an increase of $200 per TEU (Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit) for shipping costs, which poses challenges for global trade [3]. Group 2: China's Shipbuilding Industry Performance - China's shipbuilding industry has been performing exceptionally well, with a completion rate of 55.7% of global shipbuilding, 74.1% of new orders, and 63.1% of hand-held orders as of January 16, 2024 [5]. - China leads in 14 out of 18 major ship types, including bulk carriers, oil tankers, and container ships, and has captured over 70% of global orders for green ships in the first three quarters of 2024 [5]. Group 3: Impact on Global Shipping and Competitors - Following the U.S. policy announcement, Chinese ship orders plummeted, with Norwegian and European shipping giants redirecting 30% of their orders to South Korean shipyards, which are now benefiting from the situation [6]. - South Korean shipyards, such as Hyundai Heavy Industries and Samsung Heavy Industries, have introduced "zero-risk compensation clauses" to attract clients and have seen a 25% increase in order tonnage by July [6]. - The global shipping chain has been disrupted, leading to increased shipping costs for high-value goods and a significant drop in shipping stocks on Wall Street [9]. Group 4: China's Countermeasures - In response to the U.S. policy, China has initiated reciprocal measures, including additional fees on Boeing aircraft entering Chinese ports and antitrust investigations into Qualcomm, impacting U.S. companies heavily reliant on the Chinese market [11]. - Chinese shipyards are upgrading their equipment and improving efficiency to capture markets in Southeast Asia and India, maintaining their leading position in global orders [11]. Group 5: Long-term Industry Dynamics - The ongoing trade conflict represents a struggle for global maritime influence, with shipping accounting for over 90% of world trade, and future trends leaning towards green transformation and digitalization [12]. - Despite U.S. efforts to regain its shipbuilding industry, analysts suggest that China's market share will remain above 60%, as the resilience of its industrial chain and international cooperation will enable it to adapt [12][14].
或不卖到欧洲去,故高通不怕国产手机自研芯片,类似联发科
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 05:34
Core Viewpoint - The competition in the smartphone chip market is intensifying, with Qualcomm and MediaTek dominating the landscape, while domestic smartphone manufacturers face challenges in adopting self-developed chips for overseas markets [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The smartphone chip market is primarily controlled by Qualcomm and MediaTek, with both companies emphasizing differentiation to maintain their market share [3]. - Qualcomm's self-developed GPU gives it an edge in the high-end smartphone chip market, allowing it to outperform MediaTek despite both using ARM's public core [3]. - Samsung has reduced its reliance on self-developed chips and increased its procurement of Qualcomm chips, contributing over 40% of Qualcomm's revenue [3]. Group 2: Challenges for Domestic Manufacturers - Domestic smartphone manufacturers struggle to compete with Qualcomm in overseas markets due to the performance limitations of their self-developed chips, which mostly use ARM's public core [5]. - Patent issues pose significant challenges for domestic brands, as they have faced multiple lawsuits to establish their patent positions, making them cautious in overseas markets [5][6]. - The strict intellectual property management in Europe further complicates the situation for domestic manufacturers, leading them to prefer Qualcomm chips for their European sales [6][8]. Group 3: Strategic Decisions - Domestic smartphone brands often use both Qualcomm and MediaTek chips, but prioritize Qualcomm for European markets while using MediaTek for emerging markets [6]. - The choice of chip is influenced by various factors beyond technology, including legal and market considerations, which companies must carefully evaluate [8].