长飞光纤（601869）光缆(06869)盘中拉升，现涨近7%，截至发稿，涨6.8%，报38.94港元，成交额9.25 亿港元。 消息面上，据报道，Meta正与谷歌就2027年在其数据中心使用价值数十亿美元TPU芯片进行谈判，同时 计划明年从谷歌云租用芯片。中泰证券（600918）研报指出，谷歌凭借从芯片(TPU)、网络(OCS)、模 型(Gemini)到应用(云计算/搜索/广告等)的完整技术闭环，构建起强大的AI护城河，并推动资本开支持续 增长。随着TPU出货量预期上修、OCS渗透率提升以及1.6T光模块放量，相关硬件供应商将迎来重大发 展机遇。 华泰证券此前指，AI数通驱动增长，空芯光纤应用持续开拓。在下一代光纤技术方面，公司空芯光纤 的研发与产业化进程全球领先。此外，公司通过子公司长芯博创（300548）布局的MPO、AOC、高速 铜缆等光互联组件业务已成为强劲增长点，受益于北美AI数据中心建设，公司海外业务持续拓展。 ...

消息面上，近日，谷歌AI基础设施负责人Amin Vahdat在全体大会中表示，公司必须每6个月将AI算力翻 倍，并在未来4到5年内额外实现1000倍的增长，以应对持续上升的AI服务需求。此外，Meta Platforms 据悉正考虑斥资数十亿美元购买谷歌的TPU，包括用于Meta的数据中心建设。此前，谷歌正式发布第七 代TPU"Ironwood"，是目前谷歌性能最强大、能效最高的定制芯片。 华泰证券此前指出，公司空芯光纤的研发与产业化进程全球领先。此外，公司通过子公司长芯博创 （300548）布局的MPO、AOC、高速铜缆等光互联组件业务已成为强劲增长点，受益于北美AI数据中 心建设，公司海外业务持续拓展。该行认为，未来随着高毛利率的空芯光纤、光互联组件等AI相关业 务占比持续提升，公司整体盈利能力有望得到结构性改善。 长飞光纤（601869）光缆(06869)涨超15%，公司A股涨停。截至发稿，涨15.21%，报37.26港元，成交 额8.68亿港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber Optics (06869) has seen a significant stock increase of over 15%, with its A-shares hitting the daily limit, reflecting strong market interest and positive sentiment towards the company amid rising AI service demands [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The stock price of Changfei Fiber Optics rose by 15.21%, reaching 37.26 HKD, with a trading volume of 868 million HKD [1] - The company is recognized for its leading position in the research and industrialization of hollow-core optical fibers [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Google AI infrastructure head Amin Vahdat stated that the company needs to double its AI computing power every six months and achieve an additional 1000 times growth in the next 4 to 5 years to meet the increasing demand for AI services [1] - Meta Platforms is reportedly considering investing billions of dollars in purchasing Google's TPU for its data center development, indicating a strong demand for advanced computing technologies [1] - Google's recent launch of the seventh-generation TPU "Ironwood" marks its most powerful and energy-efficient custom chip to date, highlighting advancements in AI-related hardware [1] Group 3: Growth Opportunities - Changfei Fiber Optics' subsidiary, Changxin Bochuang, is expanding into MPO, AOC, and high-speed copper cable businesses, which are becoming strong growth points due to the construction of AI data centers in North America [1] - The company is expected to see structural improvements in overall profitability as the proportion of high-margin hollow-core optical fibers and AI-related optical interconnection components continues to increase [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q3 reached 3.891 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.27% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 11.46%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.89% year-over-year to 174 million RMB, despite a quarter-over-quarter increase of 20.75% [1]. - The company is experiencing strong demand for high-end products driven by AI computing needs, particularly in the G.654.E fiber optic cable, which has become a preferred choice for long-distance trunk network upgrades [2]. - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 28.83%, an increase of 1.01 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 2.02 percentage points to 4.57% [3]. - The company expects significant growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with projected figures of 865 million RMB, 1.621 billion RMB, and 2.392 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 27.96%, 87.48%, and 47.51% [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 revenue was 3.891 billion RMB, up 16.27% year-over-year and 11.46% quarter-over-quarter. For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 10.275 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 18.18% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 174 million RMB, down 10.89% year-over-year, while the net profit for the first three quarters was 470 million RMB, down 18.02% year-over-year [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 28.83%, up 1.01 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin was 4.57%, down 2.02 percentage points year-over-year [3]. Product Development and Market Position - The company is focusing on high-value products, with the G.654.E fiber optic cable gaining significant market share in recent group-level procurement by China Telecom [2]. - The company is leading in the research and industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics, and its MPO, AOC, and high-speed copper cable businesses are strong growth points, benefiting from the construction of AI data centers in North America [2]. Profitability Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 865 million RMB, 1.621 billion RMB, and 2.392 billion RMB, indicating substantial growth rates [4]. - The target price for A shares is set at 100.55 RMB, while for H shares, it is 53.38 HKD, based on a projected PE ratio of 47x for 2026 [4].