Core Viewpoint - The new "gold tax" policy effective from November 1 aims to regulate gold investment, combat tax evasion, and better protect non-investment consumption needs in the industry [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Sections New Policy Details - The new policy includes three main aspects: 1. Member units declaring investment purposes cannot issue VAT invoices to downstream enterprises 2. For non-investment purposes, the input tax deduction rate will be reduced to 6% 3. Non-member units will have a uniform input tax deduction rate of 6% regardless of purpose [3]. Adjustments Compared to Previous Regulations - The policy moves away from a "one-size-fits-all" approach to a more refined management system [5]. - Non-investment gold (e.g., jewelry, craft gold bars) will continue to follow existing policies with VAT at 13% and consumption tax at 5%, resulting in minimal impact on end prices [6]. - The new regulations aim to curb excessive speculation by closing loopholes in previous rules, particularly regarding the sale of standard gold outside exchanges [7]. Impact on Different Gold Investment Types - **Gold Jewelry**: Costs for gold jewelry from formal channels will increase by 7%, while informal channels may see increases of up to 12%. The new policy limits VAT deductions to 6%, raising costs significantly [9]. - **Physical Gold Bars**: The cost of purchasing physical gold bars will rise, reducing their attractiveness as an investment. Only members of the two major exchanges can enjoy immediate VAT refunds for investment purposes, while ordinary customers face a 7% increase in procurement costs [10][11]. - **Gold ETFs**: The new policy does not affect ETF trading, potentially increasing demand for these financial instruments. The policy encourages investment in virtual gold and gold ETFs, which are not subject to physical delivery tax [12][13]. Overall Market Impact - The new tax policy is not expected to significantly impact gold price trends, as gold is globally priced. The long-term outlook remains strong due to factors like the restructuring of the global monetary credit system and ongoing central bank purchases [14].

Core Insights - The public fund industry has experienced a fruitful year in the structural bull market leading up to Q3 2025, with active equity funds making a significant comeback [1] - A total of 53 funds have achieved over 100% returns year-to-date, with active equity funds accounting for 42 of these, highlighting the effective strategies of fund managers in high-growth sectors like technology and innovation [2][4] - Gold ETFs have emerged as the standout performers in the commodity fund sector, with all 14 gold ETFs showing gains exceeding 40% year-to-date [5] Fund Performance - The top-performing fund, managed by Ren Jie, is the Yongying Technology Smart Selection A, with a return of 194.49%, heavily invested in the overseas computing power industry [2] - The second-best performer is the Huatai-PineBridge Hong Kong Advantage Selection A, achieving a return of 155.09%, focusing on Hong Kong's innovative pharmaceutical stocks [2] - Other notable funds include the China Europe Digital Economy A with a return of 140.86%, and two additional funds with returns of over 128% [3] Gold ETF Highlights - Gold ETFs have shown remarkable performance, with the top two funds achieving returns of 41.48% and 41.47% respectively [5] - Over the past three years, these gold ETFs have accumulated returns exceeding 110%, indicating strong long-term investment potential [6] - The recent surge in international gold prices, reaching a high of $3922.7 per ounce, is expected to further enhance the investment value of gold [6] Asset Allocation Outlook - Looking ahead to Q4, market sentiment remains high, with structural opportunities continuing to emerge, although some signs of overvaluation are noted [7] - Investment strategies may shift from growth to cyclical and consumer sectors, with a focus on underperforming cyclical stocks that may benefit from policy changes [8] - The ongoing AI technology revolution is expected to provide a premium for related assets, despite current high valuations [8][9] - The bull market trend is anticipated to continue, with a focus on emerging technologies and cyclical financials, particularly in the Hong Kong market [9]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund industry has experienced a fruitful year in the structural bull market, with active equity funds achieving remarkable performance, particularly in the AI computing and innovative pharmaceutical sectors, leading to a significant number of funds doubling their returns [1][3]. Group 1: Performance of Active Equity Funds - A total of 53 funds have seen their returns exceed 100% year-to-date as of September 30, with 42 of these being active equity funds, highlighting the fund managers' effective strategies in popular sectors like technology growth [3][4]. - The top-performing fund, managed by Ren Jie, achieved a return of 194.49%, heavily investing in the overseas computing industry chain, with significant contributions from stocks like Shenghong Technology, which surged 581% this year [3]. - Other notable funds include Zhang Wei's fund with a 155.09% return, focusing on Hong Kong innovative pharmaceuticals, and Feng Ludan's fund with a 140.86% return, both demonstrating strong performance in their respective sectors [3]. Group 2: Gold ETFs Performance - Gold ETFs have emerged as the standout performers in the commodity fund sector, with all 14 gold ETFs showing year-to-date gains exceeding 40% as of September 30 [6]. - The top gold ETFs, managed by Zhao Xu and Rong Ying, reported returns of 41.48% and 41.47%, respectively, reflecting the strong investment value of gold amid rising international gold prices [6][7]. - Over the past three years, these gold ETFs have accumulated returns exceeding 110%, indicating their robust long-term investment potential [7]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Outlook for Q4 - Looking ahead to Q4, several fund companies have provided asset allocation recommendations, suggesting a focus on growth sectors initially, followed by cyclical and consumer stocks, and finally stable dividend-paying stocks [9][10]. - The ongoing structural opportunities in the market are expected to continue, with a particular emphasis on technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and sectors benefiting from supply-side improvements, such as new energy and chemicals [10][12]. - Companies like Guotai Fund maintain a bullish outlook on the market, emphasizing the continued importance of emerging technologies and the potential for recovery in sectors like renewable energy due to policy changes [11][12].

Core Insights - The public fund industry has experienced a fruitful year in the structural bull market, with active equity funds making a significant comeback, particularly supported by the AI computing and innovative pharmaceutical sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance - A total of 53 funds have achieved over 100% returns year-to-date as of September 30, with 42 of these being active equity funds, showcasing the fund managers' effective strategies in high-growth sectors [2][4]. - The top-performing fund, managed by Ren Jie, achieved a return of 194.49%, heavily investing in the overseas computing industry chain, with significant contributions from stocks like Shenghong Technology, which surged 581% this year [2][3]. - Other notable funds include Zhang Wei's fund with a 155.09% return, focusing on Hong Kong's innovative pharmaceuticals, and Feng Ludan's fund with a 140.86% return, both capitalizing on the AI industry chain [3]. Group 2: Commodity Performance - Gold ETFs have emerged as the standout performers in the commodity fund sector, with all 14 gold ETFs showing gains exceeding 40% year-to-date, driven by rising international gold prices [5][6]. - The highest-performing gold ETFs, managed by Zhao Xu and Rong Ying, reported returns of 41.48% and 41.47%, respectively, reflecting strong long-term investment value [5][6]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Looking ahead to Q4, several fund companies suggest maintaining a focus on growth sectors while also considering cyclical and consumer stocks, as the market has already seen significant gains [7][8]. - The ongoing AI technology innovation is expected to provide a premium valuation for related assets, despite potential short-term volatility [8][9]. - The overall market sentiment remains bullish, with continued optimism for emerging technologies and cyclical financial sectors, particularly in the context of the "anti-involution" policies that may enhance competition in the renewable energy sector [9].