以下文章来源于郭施亮 ，作者郭施亮 郭施亮 . 财经评论员、专栏作家，2013年度搜狐最佳行业自媒体人。香港大公财经特约评论员、每经智库专栏作家，并多次受邀广东省人民政府发展研究中心等权 威机构撰写多篇学术文章。其作品刊登于香港文汇报、新华社《瞭望》、人民日报海外版等数十家权威报刊。 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 郭施亮 在美元大幅走弱的影响下 ， 促使人民币汇率被动升值 ， 同时也促使大部分与美元指数呈现出负相关的资产出现了可观的涨幅 。 在投资市场中 ， 常有一句话是这样说的 ， " 一鲸落 ， 万物生 " ， 美元指数涨跌对大部分资产价格带来较大的影响 。 这一轮美元贬值潮 ， 不 仅带动了金价的持续上涨 ， 而且还带动了股市等资产的持续回暖 。 美元指数持续下跌 ， 促使人民币汇率的被动升值 。 不过 ， 影响人民币汇率走向的因素 ， 远不止美元指数这一项指标 。 例如 ， 国内经济基本 面的持续改善 、 市场投资情绪升温以及外资的积极流入等 ， 都会对人民币汇率起到积极的提振影响 。 在人民币汇率重 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant rise of gold prices and the implications for the global monetary order, particularly focusing on the increasing role of the Chinese yuan as a potential alternative to the US dollar in international trade and finance [3][4][5]. Group 1: Gold Price Surge - On October 7, 2025, gold prices reached a historic high of $4000 per ounce, marking an increase of over 50% within the year [3]. - This surge is attributed to the Federal Reserve's decision to restart interest rate cuts and a notable decline in the US dollar index, which has dropped nearly 10% this year [3]. - The rise in gold prices reflects a broader market sentiment seeking alternatives to the dollar amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [3][4]. Group 2: Yuan's Internationalization - As of Q1 2025, the yuan accounted for 2.12% of global foreign reserves, ranking sixth, significantly lower than the dollar (57.74%) and euro (20.06) [4]. - Despite China's growing economic influence, the yuan's international status does not yet match this influence, indicating a need for a multi-faceted approach to enhance its global role [4][5]. - A notable shift is occurring, with an increasing number of enterprises opting for yuan settlements in cross-border transactions, surpassing dollar settlements for the first time in Q2 2025 [5][6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - A survey conducted by Renmin University revealed that 68% of enterprises used yuan for cross-border trade settlements in Q4 2024, with 71% citing asset security as the primary reason [6][9]. - The yuan's appeal is growing due to its perceived stability and usability, as companies seek to avoid reliance on the dollar [9][10]. - The influx of foreign capital into Chinese assets, particularly after the Fed's interest rate cuts, indicates a shift in investor sentiment towards the yuan [9][10]. Group 4: Infrastructure Development - The establishment of the Digital Yuan International Operation Center in Shanghai aims to enhance the yuan's usability in cross-border transactions, supporting a more integrated financial infrastructure [12][14]. - The center's launch is part of a broader strategy to create a transaction-driven infrastructure for the yuan, moving from policy-driven to market-driven adoption [12][15]. - The digital yuan's infrastructure is designed to facilitate seamless transactions, ensuring compatibility with existing systems while enhancing liquidity and efficiency [14][15]. Group 5: Future Prospects - The article emphasizes the need for a dual-driven model of "yuan + digital currency" to enhance the yuan's role in global trade and finance [18]. - The transition of the yuan from a "optional" asset to a "must-have" currency in global markets requires comprehensive financial reforms and international collaboration [18][19]. - The evolving global monetary landscape suggests that the yuan is positioned to play a significant role in reshaping future financial systems, driven by market choices rather than mere policy directives [19].

Core Viewpoint - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) is gaining momentum as more enterprises, including foreign and third-country trade partners, are actively requesting RMB settlements, reflecting a shift from a policy-driven approach to a market-driven one [3][4][14]. Group 1: RMB Usage in Cross-Border Transactions - In Q2 of this year, RMB cross-border transaction settlements surpassed those in USD for the first time, with 68% of surveyed enterprises using RMB for cross-border trade settlements [3][4]. - The primary reason for using RMB cited by 71% of enterprises is "asset safety" [3]. - The RMB is increasingly viewed as a stable and convenient currency, allowing enterprises to avoid dependence on the USD [8][11]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investment Trends - Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, RMB assets have attracted global investors, leading to significant inflows into RMB-denominated bonds and A-shares [8][9]. - As of August 2025, 1,170 foreign institutions have entered the Chinese bond market, holding approximately 4 trillion RMB in bonds [9]. - The RMB's role is evolving from a settlement currency to an investment currency, with potential to test the boundaries of becoming a reserve currency [15]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Policy Developments - The establishment of the Digital RMB International Operation Center in Shanghai aims to enhance cross-border payment systems and facilitate the internationalization of the RMB [12][13]. - Recent policy initiatives, such as the support for foreign institutions to conduct bond repurchase transactions, are designed to improve liquidity and operational efficiency in the RMB market [9][12]. - The RMB's internationalization is supported by a transaction-driven infrastructure that enhances its usability and market acceptance [10][11]. Group 4: Challenges and Future Directions - Despite the progress, over 60% of enterprises find cross-border RMB policies complex, and nearly 50% cite capital flow restrictions as a major bottleneck [17]. - Future strategies should focus on simplifying policies, developing onshore derivative markets for risk hedging, and creating tailored financial products to encourage RMB usage among enterprises [18]. - The goal is to transition the RMB from a "optional" asset to a "must-hold" currency in global trade and finance, requiring comprehensive financial reforms and international collaboration [18][19].