西牛证券发布研报称，重申速腾聚创(02498)"买入"评级，目标价为每股48.50港元。调整财务预测，将 2025财年的估算下调，但对2026财年和2027财年的预期则进行了上调，预计机器人应用激光雷达的贡献 将更为显著，为集团在2026财年带来盈利。公司应用于ADAS激光雷达的销售预计在今年可能持续疲 弱，因此该行将销售预测下调至约60万台。然而，随着EM系列产品的推出，明年有望出现强劲反弹。 此外，受益于大规模订单的推动，预计第四季度应用于机器人激光雷达的销售将显著增长。 西牛证券主要观点如下： 速腾聚创于2025年上半年录得收入7.8亿元人民币，同比增长7.7% 增长主要来自于应用于机器人激光雷达的销售，该业务收入同比激增184.8%。集团毛利率进一步提升 至25.9%，反映规模经济效益及自主技术推进带来的持续改善。 第四季度具有更大的市场潜力 2025年上半年应用于ADAS激光雷达的销售同比减少18.8%，出货量降至220,500台。主要由于两名主要 客户的订单减少，其中一家采用战略一级供应商开发的激光雷达产品，另一家则退出激光雷达应用。随 着高性价比的EMX及符合L3/L4标准的数字化激光雷达EM4 ...

智通财经APP获悉，西牛证券发布研报称，重申速腾聚创(02498)"买入"评级，目标价为每股48.50港 元。调整财务预测，将2025财年的估算下调，但对2026财年和2027财年的预期则进行了上调，预计机器 人应用激光雷达的贡献将更为显著，为集团在2026财年带来盈利。公司应用于ADAS激光雷达的销售预 计在今年可能持续疲弱，因此该行将销售预测下调至约60万台。然而，随着EM系列产品的推出，明年 有望出现强劲反弹。此外，受益于大规模订单的推动，预计第四季度应用于机器人激光雷达的销售将显 著增长。 西牛证券主要观点如下： 速腾聚创于2025年上半年录得收入7.8亿元人民币，同比增长7.7% 增长主要来自于应用于机器人激光雷达的销售，该业务收入同比激增184.8%。集团毛利率进一步提升 至25.9%，反映规模经济效益及自主技术推进带来的持续改善。 第四季度具有更大的市场潜力 2025年上半年应用于ADAS激光雷达的销售同比减少18.8%，出货量降至220,500台。主要由于两名主要 客户的订单减少，其中一家采用战略一级供应商开发的激光雷达产品，另一家则退出激光雷达应用。随 着高性价比的EMX及符合L3/L4标准 ...

Group 1 - RoboSense will participate as an official sponsor in the IROS2025, a premier global robotics event, taking place from October 19 to 25, 2025, in Hangzhou, China, marking the first time in nearly 20 years that IROS is held in mainland China [1][2] - The company will launch its latest product, the Active Camera series AC2, which aims to provide advanced perception development tools for robotics researchers and developers, enhancing the implementation of AI robotics [1] - AC2 is designed for various applications in embodied intelligent robotics, offering high-precision and robust RGBD information, which, when combined with AI algorithms, enables robots to effectively perceive and utilize three-dimensional color environments and semantic information [1] Group 2 - IROS has been a significant platform for the advancement of global robotics technology since its inception in 1988, expected to attract over 7,000 top experts, scholars, and industry professionals to showcase cutting-edge academic achievements and technological trends [2] - RoboSense invites attendees to visit their booth at IROS2025 to discuss cutting-edge technology trends and industry applications, aiming to collaboratively advance the development of embodied intelligent robotics [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company has returned to a growth trajectory in Q2 2025, with significant improvements in revenue and gross margin, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [2]. Revenue & Profit - Q2 revenue reached 455 million yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 24.4%, with a notable recovery from Q1 [2]. - Total shipments in Q2 amounted to 158,000 laser radars, up 28.6% year-over-year, with ADAS shipments at 124,000 units (YoY +4.6%) and Robotics at 34,000 units (YoY +631.9%) [2]. - The company reported a Q2 loss of 50 million yuan, a reduction in loss by 63.6% year-over-year, with an adjusted net loss of 24 million yuan, down 79.9% year-over-year [2]. - The gross margin for Q2 was 27.6%, an increase of 12.9 percentage points year-over-year and 4.1 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, marking six consecutive quarters of improvement [2]. Structural Aspects - ADAS shipments stabilized, with the EM platform progressing well and robotics accelerating in volume [2]. - Q2 revenue from ADAS was 271 million yuan, down 10.5% year-over-year, accounting for 59.6% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 19.3% [2]. - Robotics revenue in Q2 was 147 million yuan, up 285.2% year-over-year, representing 32.3% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 41.5% [2]. - Solutions revenue reached 30 million yuan in Q2, up 46.1% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 54.4% [2]. Expense Management - Q2 operating expenses (OpEx) were 230 million yuan, a decrease of 3.0% year-over-year, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios at 6.3%, 8.3%, and 36.0% respectively, showing improvements [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 2.22 billion yuan, 3.43 billion yuan, and 5.00 billion yuan respectively, with projected net profits of -276 million yuan, 29 million yuan, and 411 million yuan [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-sales (PS) valuation of 6.9, 4.5, and 3.1 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].

Core Insights - RoboSense achieved robust revenue growth in Q2 2025, with total revenue of approximately 460 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 38.9% [2] - The company has established a strong presence in the lidar market, with significant advancements in its digital product matrix and automation capabilities, leading to the upcoming mass production of key lidar products [2][3] - The robotics sector experienced explosive growth, with product sales reaching 34,400 units, a staggering year-on-year increase of 631.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 189.1% [3][4] Revenue and Profitability - The overall gross margin improved from 12.3% in Q1 2024 to 27.7% in Q2 2025, marking six consecutive quarters of growth, with the robotics segment achieving a gross margin of 41.5% [2] - The revenue from the robotics segment was approximately 150 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 100.7% [3] Business Development - RoboSense has secured 133 pre-installed production model projects, including eight overseas and joint venture brand projects, covering key markets in Japan, North America, and Europe [2] - The company has partnered with over 90% of leading Level 4 (L4) autonomous vehicle companies for its Robotaxi business, advancing towards mass production and commercial operations [2] Robotics Sector Expansion - The company has completed global commercial validation in multiple scenarios for its robotics business, entering a phase of rapid growth [3] - Collaborations with top global companies in various fields, including lawn mowing and delivery, have resulted in significant order volumes, validating the commercial potential of consumer-grade robotics [3][4] New Product Launches - The launch of the "AI + Robotics" strategy has led to the introduction of the Active Camera product line, designed to enhance robotic perception capabilities across various scenarios [5] - The first product, AC1, was released in March 2025, with a second product, AC2, set to launch in the second half of the year to meet higher precision requirements [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 22.2 billion, 34.3 billion, and 50.0 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected net profit of -276 million, 29 million, and 411 million yuan for the same years [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PS valuation of 6.9, 4.5, and 3.1 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company is projected to have a revenue growth rate of 111.22% in 2023, followed by 47.20% in 2024, and a steady growth rate in subsequent years [8] - The net profit is expected to improve significantly from -4.34 billion in 2023 to 411 million in 2027, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [8] - The gross profit margin is anticipated to increase from -7.4% in 2023 to 29.4% in 2027, reflecting improved operational efficiency [11] Quarterly Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.55 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 24.4% [9] - The total shipment of laser radars reached 158,000 units in Q2 2025, with a year-over-year growth of 28.6% [9] - The adjusted net loss for Q2 2025 was 240 million yuan, a reduction of 79.9% compared to the previous year [9] Segment Performance - The ADAS segment generated revenue of 2.71 billion yuan in Q2 2025, accounting for 59.6% of total revenue, despite a year-over-year decline of 10.5% [9] - The Robotics segment saw a significant revenue increase of 285.2% year-over-year, reaching 1.47 billion yuan in Q2 2025 [9] - The Solutions segment also performed well, with a revenue increase of 46.1% year-over-year, achieving 300 million yuan in Q2 2025 [9] Cost Management - Operating expenses (OpEx) were optimized, with a year-over-year decrease of 3.0% in Q2 2025 [9] - The company demonstrated strong cost control capabilities, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios improving compared to the previous year [9]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 World Robot Conference (WRC) showcased advancements in humanoid robots, emphasizing the integration of 5G-A technology and embodied intelligence to enhance operational capabilities and adaptability in complex environments [1][3]. Group 1: Humanoid Robots - The "Kua Fu" humanoid robot by Leju demonstrated significant breakthroughs in communication and decision-making through 5G-A technology, enabling real-time control over distances of 1200 kilometers [1][3]. - The "Kua Fu" robot features a dual-brain system, enhancing human-robot interaction and stability in flexible environments, showcasing its potential in high-risk scenarios like firefighting and chemical industries [3][6]. - The "T800" humanoid robot by Zhongqing is designed for heavy-duty tasks, featuring 41 degrees of freedom and advanced sensor integration for real-time environmental adaptation [7]. Group 2: Industrial Robots - Cyborg Robotics presented the Cyborg-H01 dexterous hand and Cyborg-R01 humanoid robot, focusing on high precision and energy efficiency in industrial applications [4][6]. - The CW series robots by Chuan Robotics combine autonomous mobile platforms with collaborative robotic arms, enhancing flexibility in production environments [30]. Group 3: Perception and Sensing Technologies - Aobi Zhongguang introduced the Pulsar ME450 3D LiDAR and Gemini 345Lg dual 3D camera, enhancing visual perception capabilities for outdoor robots [12][14]. - Pasini launched the third-generation multi-dimensional tactile sensor matrix PX-6AX-GEN3, providing advanced sensing solutions for embodied intelligent systems [10][25]. Group 4: General-Purpose Robots - Zhi Ping Fang showcased the "Ai Bao" robot, capable of performing various tasks in simulated environments, highlighting its adaptability and learning capabilities [17][19]. - The "Wanda" platform by Youliqi demonstrated its application in multiple real-life scenarios, emphasizing its interactive capabilities and service-oriented design [23][24]. Group 5: Collaborative and Ecosystem Development - Xinghai Tu introduced the G-0 VLA model, which enhances human-robot collaboration and opens up new possibilities for developers through a comprehensive toolkit [20][22]. - The collaboration among various companies at WRC indicates a growing ecosystem focused on advancing embodied intelligence and robotics technology across multiple sectors [41].