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速腾聚创:Breakeven milestone & path to profitability-20260210
西牛证券· 2026-02-10 10:24
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "BUY" rating to RoboSense (02498.HK) with a target price of HK$ 48.50 per share [2][7]. Core Insights - RoboSense reported strong Q4 2025 operating metrics, achieving breakeven in the quarter due to significant increases in LiDAR shipments for both ADAS and robotics [3][7]. - The robotics segment, particularly lawn mower robots, was a key driver of growth, supported by product upgrades and new customer additions [4]. - Demand for new digital LiDAR products, EMX and EM4, is expected to exceed expectations, contributing significantly to revenue in 2026 [5]. - Technological advancements showcased at CES, including a Delivery Assistant robot, highlight RoboSense's innovation capabilities [6]. - The upward revision of sales volume forecasts and revenue assumptions reflects stronger-than-expected demand, leading to improved gross margin forecasts [7]. Financial Overview - For 2025, RoboSense is projected to generate revenue of RMB 2,019.6 million, with a gross profit of RMB 557.9 million and a gross margin of 27.6% [8]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in revenue to RMB 4,002.8 million by 2026, with a gross profit of RMB 1,142.1 million [8]. - The financial metrics indicate a path to profitability, with net profit expected to turn positive by 2026, reaching RMB 221.6 million [8].
L3车型获准上路、对感知能力提出更高要求:速腾聚创已先行完成市场卡位
IPO早知道· 2025-12-16 05:18
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significance of the L3 autonomous driving level in the automotive industry, emphasizing the critical role of perception capabilities, particularly through the use of digital lidar technology, as companies prepare for commercialization [2][9]. Group 1: L3 Autonomous Driving and Market Implications - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has approved two L3 autonomous driving products, indicating a substantial policy shift towards L3 vehicles [2]. - The transition to L3 vehicles will shift driving responsibility from the driver to the vehicle's system, necessitating enhanced perception capabilities [2]. Group 2: Speeding Technology and Product Features - Suoteng Juchuang's EM4 is the only mass-produced digital lidar with over 500 lines globally, featuring a detection range of 300 meters at 10% effectiveness and a maximum detection distance of 600 meters [3]. - The EM4 lidar improves system response time by up to 70%, enhancing decision-making and overall driving experience [4]. Group 3: Market Adoption and Partnerships - As of August 21, 2025, the EM4 has secured partnerships with multiple domestic and international automotive companies, including Geely and SAIC, and is being integrated into various models [6]. - The EM4, in combination with another product, E1, provides a new generation of perception solutions for leading Robotaxi companies, establishing a strong position in the L4 market [6]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - Suoteng Juchuang has developed a unique digital lidar matrix based on SPAD-SoC and VCSEL architectures, achieving full compliance with automotive standards for its self-developed chips [6]. - The company is currently developing the next generation of chips, with further advancements expected in the coming year [7].
速腾聚创(02498):单三季度激光雷达销量同比增长34%,致力于成为全球领先的机器人技术平台公司
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-09 13:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][6][72] Core Insights - The company aims to become a global leader in robotic technology platforms, leveraging its advancements in AI and laser radar technology [25][72] - The company has seen a significant increase in laser radar sales, with a 34% year-on-year growth in total sales volume for Q3 2025 [1][9] - The company has a robust order book, benefiting from the rapid development of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and high-level autonomous driving [2][72] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 407 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year and a 10.6% decrease quarter-on-quarter [1][8] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was -101 million yuan, compared to -51 million yuan in Q2 2025 and -82 million yuan in Q3 2024 [1][8] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved by 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, reaching 23.9% [1][16] Product Development - The company has developed a unique digital laser radar matrix, including products like EM4, EMX, and E1, which have passed automotive standards certification [2][35] - The company launched the "Active Camera 2," a pioneering sensor system that integrates multiple technologies for enhanced robotic perception [3][54] - The company is actively expanding its product offerings in the robotics sector, focusing on components that enhance robotic capabilities [39][43] Market Position - The company has secured partnerships with over 90% of key players in the Robotaxi and Robotruck sectors, indicating strong market penetration [2][65] - The company has received orders from 32 automotive manufacturers for a total of 144 vehicle models, showcasing its competitive position in the market [58][60] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for digital laser radar in various applications, including autonomous vehicles and robotics [72][65]
速腾聚创(2498.HK):4Q25有望实现盈利 预计明年销量放量增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-03 04:16
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve profitability in Q4 2025, with projected sales growth in the coming year, despite a revenue decline in Q3 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was 407 million yuan, showing a year-on-year stability but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 10.6% [1] - The revenue contributions from ADAS and robotics were 245 million yuan (down 25.7% year-on-year and down 9.8% quarter-on-quarter) and 142 million yuan (up 157.8% year-on-year and down 3.3% quarter-on-quarter) respectively [1] - The total sales volume of laser radars reached 186,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 34.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.3% [1] - The average price of ADAS radars decreased to approximately 1,600 yuan, down from about 2,200 yuan in Q2 [1] - The overall gross margin was 23.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.4 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.8 percentage points [1] - The adjusted net loss attributable to shareholders was 65 million yuan, representing a year-on-year reduction in loss of 7% [1] Group 2: Market Potential and Product Development - The EM series products have gained market recognition, with 56 models receiving approvals [2] - The company has established a strong technical barrier through its self-developed SPAD-SoC receiving chips and VCSEL emitting chips, which are expected to drive faster growth in ADAS radar sales by 2026 [2] - The Robotaxi market is projected to require 300,000 to 500,000 laser radars if the fleet size increases from approximately 4,000 to 100,000 vehicles over the next 3 to 5 years [2] Group 3: Investment Rating and Projections - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, with a target price set at 41.40 HKD [3] - Radar sales forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been significantly raised to 2.3 million and 3.1 million units respectively, although average prices are expected to decline slightly due to scale [3] - The robotics segment is anticipated to surpass ADAS in radar sales, becoming the primary growth driver and improving overall gross margins [3]
速腾聚创(02498):4Q25有望实现盈利,预计明年销量放量增长
Huajing Securities· 2025-12-02 11:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HK$41.40, representing a potential upside of 27% from the current price of HK$32.58 [1][7][10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve profitability in Q4 2025, with significant sales growth anticipated in the following year. The revenue for Q3 2025 was reported at RMB 407 million, with a decline of 10.6% quarter-on-quarter [5][8]. - The EM platform has gained market recognition, and the potential for Robotaxi is substantial, with expectations of increased demand for lidar units [6][10]. - The report projects a significant increase in radar sales, with estimates of 2.3 million units in 2026 and 3.1 million units in 2027, driven by the growth in the robotics sector [7][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 2,204 million in 2025, RMB 3,126 million in 2026, and RMB 4,038 million in 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.6% in 2025 and 41.8% in 2026 [8][9]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to improve significantly, with estimates of RMB -83 million in 2025, RMB 230 million in 2026, and RMB 533 million in 2027 [9][10]. - The company anticipates a gross margin of 27.3% in 2025, increasing to 30.2% in 2026 and 31.2% in 2027 [9][10].
速腾聚创(2498.HK):数字化新产品进入量产落地阶段
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-29 20:12
Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully delivered new digital lidar products and reported a third-quarter revenue of 407 million yuan, with a net profit loss of 101 million yuan, but shows potential for improvement in gross margin and profitability in the upcoming quarters [1] Group 1: ADAS Business - The ADAS digital product matrix has entered a delivery phase, with a significant increase in the number of designated models, laying the foundation for scale delivery [2] - The company has received designations from 13 automakers for 56 vehicle models, with the EMX platform achieving 49 designations since its launch [2] - The EM4 radar, recognized as an industry leader, has been installed in several models and is expected to become a core configuration under L3 regulations [2] Group 2: Robotaxi Business - The EM4+E1 digital combination scheme is accelerating penetration into the L4 market, with a recent designation for a new generation Robotaxi model from Didi [2] - The product features a high-redundancy perception scheme, indicating its entry into high-reliability application scenarios [2] - The demand for lidar products is expected to strengthen as the autonomous driving industry commercializes, positioning the Robotaxi business as a key growth driver [2] Group 3: Robotics Business - The robotics business is entering a rapid growth phase, with digital radar and AC platform products achieving breakthroughs in multiple scenarios [3] - The company’s products are being applied in leading autonomous driving manufacturers' models, with increasing demand in lawn mowing robots and unmanned agricultural machinery [3] - The introduction of the AC2 product enhances six-dimensional motion perception and three-dimensional spatial information support for robotics applications [3] Group 4: Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 2.4 billion, 3.73 billion, and 5.14 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profit forecasts of -150 million, 190 million, and 510 million yuan [3] - The target price is set at 51.48 HKD, reflecting a premium based on comparable companies and the anticipated rapid growth in digital lidar deliveries [4]
速腾聚创(2498.HK):机器人业务迎来爆发式增长 力争四季度实现单季度扭亏为盈
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-28 04:12
Core Viewpoint - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 407 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.19%, with ADAS product revenue at 245 million yuan, down 26%, while revenue from the robotics sector increased by 158% to 142 million yuan. The gross margin improved to 23.93%, up 6.47 percentage points year-on-year, with ADAS gross margin at 18.1%, up 4 percentage points, and robotics gross margin at 37.2%, up 2.6 percentage points. The net loss for the quarter was approximately 101 million yuan, compared to a loss of 82 million yuan in the same period last year. The company aims to achieve profitability in Q4 and expects a doubling of ADAS radar shipments in 2026 driven by the launch of digital products like EMX [1][2][3] Revenue and Profitability - The company anticipates a turning point in profitability in Q4, with Q3 revenue of 407 million yuan, a slight decline of 0.19% year-on-year. ADAS product revenue decreased by 26% to 245 million yuan, while robotics revenue surged by 158% to 142 million yuan. The gross margin for Q3 was 23.93%, reflecting a year-on-year improvement of 6.47 percentage points, with ADAS and robotics gross margins also showing significant improvements [1][2] Product Delivery and Market Expansion - In Q3, the company shipped 150,100 units of ADAS laser radar, a year-on-year increase of 14.32%, and 35,500 units in robotics and other fields, up 393%. In October, the monthly delivery of laser radars exceeded 120,000 units, marking the entry of digital new products into large-scale delivery. The company has secured over 1 million units in orders from overseas and joint venture automakers, covering key regions such as Japan, Europe, and North America [2][3] Technological Advancements - The company has developed self-researched SPAD-SOC and other digital chips that meet AEC-Q automotive standards, catering to various scenarios including Robotaxi, ADAS, and service robots. It has secured model designations from approximately 32 automakers and tier-one suppliers, with 23 models from overseas and joint ventures. Collaborations with major Robotaxi and Robotruck companies have been established, with a new standard solution for Robotaxi featuring up to 10 laser radars per vehicle [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are estimated at 2.219 billion yuan and 3.289 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 35% and 48%, respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -148 million yuan in 2025 and 148 million yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profit margins of -6.7% and 4.5% [4]
速腾聚创(2498.HK):泛机器人及泛ROBO市场拓展多点开花
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-28 04:12
Core Viewpoint - The company SUTENG JUCHUANG has released its Q3 2025 report, showing promising developments in the pan-robotics and Robotaxi markets, leading to an upgrade in EPS forecasts and a target price increase, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 410 million yuan, remaining flat year-on-year but down 10.6% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was -100 million yuan, compared to -80 million yuan in the same period last year and -50 million yuan in Q2 2025 [1] - The net profit margin was -24.57%, a decrease of 4.46 percentage points year-on-year and 13.63 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Business Developments - The company has successfully expanded its customer base for passenger car laser radar, securing significant contracts with a major new energy vehicle manufacturer and a leading global SUV and pickup truck manufacturer [1] - A new three-year exclusive contract was obtained for a pure electric model from Japan's largest automaker and a Chinese joint venture brand [2] - The Robotaxi business is expected to see a trend of multiple laser radars per vehicle, with a new collaboration with Didi to provide a combination solution for enhanced perception capabilities [2] Product Innovations - In Q3, the company delivered 35,500 laser radars for pan-robotics, marking a significant year-on-year increase [2] - The company has become the preferred perception solution for several unmanned delivery developers, including JD.com and Meituan [2] - New products launched include the Fairy high-precision mid-to-long-range digital laser radar and the AC2 sensor, which integrates multiple technologies to expand into robotics and consumer markets [2]
国泰海通:维持速腾聚创“增持”评级 泛机器人及泛Robo市场拓展多点开花
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 06:45
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities maintains an "overweight" rating for SUTENG JUCHUANG (02498), raising the target price to HKD 43.36, highlighting the company's active exploration in the pan-robotics and Robotaxi, Robovan market applications, with impressive order progress and strong performance in the third quarter [1]. Group 1 - The EM platform has successfully facilitated the acquisition of laser radar for passenger vehicles, with a continuous expansion of customer coverage. The company recently secured two significant contracts, including one with a major new energy vehicle manufacturer and another with a leading global SUV and pickup truck manufacturer for new model contracts. Additionally, the company obtained a three-year exclusive contract for a new pure electric model from Japan's largest automaker and a Chinese joint venture brand [2]. Group 2 - The Robotaxi business is expected to see a trend of multiple laser radars per vehicle. The company announced a new generation model contract with Didi, providing an EM4+E1 combination solution for all-around perception with ten laser radars per vehicle, aimed at creating a new benchmark model for autonomous driving with all-weather operational capabilities. Collaborations have also been established with well-known companies in the industry, including Pony.ai, WeRide, and leading L4 companies in Silicon Valley [3]. Group 3 - In the third quarter, the company delivered 35,500 laser radars for the pan-robotics sector, showing a significant year-on-year increase. In the unmanned delivery field, SUTENG JUCHUANG has become the preferred perception solution for several unmanned delivery developers, including JD.com, Meituan, New Stoneware, Nine Senses, WeRide, Cainiao, and Coco. The EMX+E1R product combination has become a solution for urban distribution. Recently, the company launched new products, Fairy and AC2, with Fairy being a high-precision mid-to-long-range digital laser radar already applied in New Stoneware's unmanned vehicle X3, and AC2 integrating dTOF, RGB stereo, and IMU into one sensor, facilitating the company's entry into the robotics and consumer markets [3].
单车10颗!速腾聚创(02498)EM4+E1组合成为滴滴自动驾驶新一代Robotaxi车型商业落地标配方案
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 05:41
Core Insights - RoboSense has partnered with Didi Autonomous Driving to develop a new generation of Robotaxi models, utilizing advanced digital lidar technology for enhanced perception capabilities [1] Group 1: Partnership and Technology - RoboSense will provide Didi Autonomous Driving with its EM4 and E1 lidar systems, enabling comprehensive perception through "long-distance precise identification + near-field blind spot elimination" [1] - The main configuration for the new Robotaxi perception solution consists of "4 EM4 and 4 to 6 E1 units," showcasing the industry's only mass-producible high-performance lidar technology [1] Group 2: Product Features and Market Position - The EM4 is recognized as the highest production line count and strongest ranging digital lidar in the industry, capable of accurately identifying small obstacles at a distance, thus providing vehicles with more reaction time [2] - The E1, a solid-state blind spot lidar, features a 120°×90° ultra-wide field of view, effectively eliminating near-field blind spots and becoming the preferred solution for Robotaxi deployment [2] - RoboSense has established partnerships with over 90% of leading Level 4 (L4) companies globally, with plans to expand the operational fleet of its North American Robotaxi and Robotruck clients by the end of the year [2]