Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, which met expectations, with a significant increase in contract liabilities indicating a promising Q4 peak season [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved revenue of 160 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.89%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 19.09 million yuan, down 30.36% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters, total revenue was 401 million yuan, a decline of 5.67%, with a net profit of 34.63 million yuan, down 49.17% year-on-year [1] - R&D expenses increased by 37.43% year-on-year, primarily due to heightened investment in the "AI Hui Zhan" platform [1] Contract Liabilities and Q4 Outlook - As of the end of September, contract liabilities reached 242 million yuan, a substantial increase of 171.07% from the beginning of the year, mainly due to pre-received payments for Q4 exhibitions [1] - The Q4 is expected to be the company's most critical operational quarter, contributing a significant portion of annual revenue and profit [2] - The company has scheduled several exhibitions in Q4, including new events in Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Japan, and Dubai, which are anticipated to drive revenue growth [2] New Business Initiatives - The company is launching a new overseas warehouse business, with initial operations in Indonesia and Brazil, which is expected to create new growth opportunities [2] - A joint venture with Panex WD International Limited will focus on supply chain management and international logistics, potentially generating significant revenue in the coming year [2] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Due to delays in the Indian exhibition and the impact of new business on average profit margins, the company has revised its profit forecasts downward for 2025-2027 [3] - The new projections for net profit attributable to shareholders are 144 million yuan, 203 million yuan, and 227 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting declines of 49%, 42%, and 47% from previous estimates [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 29, 20, and 18 for 2025-2027, with a target market value of 5.5 billion yuan, indicating a potential upside of 34% from the current market value [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance expectation relative to the market [2]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in contract liabilities, suggesting a strong performance in the fourth quarter, which is typically the peak season for the company [7]. - The company has faced challenges due to external factors, including the cancellation of a trade show in the U.S., but this has been seen as a strategic move to optimize profit margins [7]. - The introduction of overseas warehouse operations in Indonesia and Brazil is expected to create new growth opportunities for the company [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 401 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.67%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 34.63 million yuan, down 49.17% year-on-year [7]. - The company’s total revenue is projected to reach 855 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.7% [6]. - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 144 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 7.2% compared to the previous year [6]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, with projections of 1.239 billion yuan in 2026 and 1.462 billion yuan in 2027 [9]. - The gross profit margin is anticipated to be 53.4% in 2025, with a slight decline to 47.4% in 2026 [6]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 21.4% in 2025, increasing to 25.7% in 2026 [6]. Market Comparison - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 29 for 2025, 20 for 2026, and 18 for 2027 [7]. - The target market capitalization for the company is set at 5.5 billion yuan, indicating a potential upside of 34% from the current market value [7].

Group 1 - The company plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its international strategy and optimize overseas business layout [1] - The chairman highlighted the core pain points for domestic companies in international exhibitions, including language barriers and inefficient customer management [1] - The company aims to innovate the exhibition industry through digital technology and the "AI Hui Exhibition" system, moving away from traditional exhibition models [1] Group 2 - The "AI Hui Exhibition" system has achieved breakthroughs in six areas, including intelligent matching and translation, leveraging a database of 30 million global buyers [2] - The company collaborates with Li Weike Technology to develop AI glasses that integrate various AI functionalities, breaking down language and information processing barriers [2] - The company reported a revenue of 241 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.43%, while the second quarter showed a revenue increase of 21.5% [2][3] Group 3 - The company focuses on planning, organizing, promoting, and operating overseas exhibitions, aiming to support domestic enterprises in going global [3] - It is building a global digital exhibition service platform with independent intellectual property and brand, as well as a platform for domestic brand exhibitions to go abroad [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but expects recovery in the second half due to an increase in exhibition projects and the implementation of AI technologies [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 241 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 16 million yuan, down 61.84% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 224 million yuan, an increase of 21.49% year-on-year, and a net profit of 52 million yuan, up 45.74% year-on-year [1]. Project and Revenue Outlook - The decline in revenue and profit in H1 2025 was primarily due to a reduction in the number of projects from 6 to 5, as well as increased investments in AI and foreign trade support policies [2]. - The company anticipates a total of 10 exhibitions in the second half of 2025, an increase of 2 from the previous year, which is expected to drive revenue and profit recovery [2]. AI Integration and Innovation - The company has developed the "AI Hui Zhan" system, which integrates intelligent matching algorithms and wearable AI glasses to enhance the exhibition experience for buyers and exhibitors [3]. - The AI glasses, developed in collaboration with Li Weike Technology Co., incorporate behavior sensing, multi-modal interaction, and data management capabilities, aiming to break down language barriers and facilitate cross-border trade [3]. Data Strategy and Ecosystem Development - The company is focusing on a three-pronged approach involving data standardization, dedicated operational platforms for VIP clients, and localized operational centers to enhance service delivery and reduce communication costs [4]. - The strategy aims to transition the exhibition industry from a "traffic economy" to an "algorithm economy," leveraging technology, data, and practical scenarios [4]. Dividend Policy - The company announced a profit distribution plan for H1 2025, proposing a cash dividend of 0.67 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 19.79 million yuan, which represents 100% of the distributable profit [5]. - The company operates on a light asset model, ensuring sufficient cash flow and maintaining a high dividend payout ratio since 2023 [5]. Investment Forecast - The company maintains its previous profit forecast, expecting revenues of 1.06 billion yuan, 1.39 billion yuan, and 1.58 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 270 million yuan, 370 million yuan, and 430 million yuan respectively [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.91, 1.24, and 1.44 yuan for the same period [6]. Valuation Metrics - As of August 29, 2025, the closing price was 15.99 yuan per share, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18x, 13x, and 11x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7].