投资建议：我们看好公司主业稳健性及股息价值，长期看好公司积极拥抱AI及教培等新业务，有望打 开收入与估值天花板。考虑到上半年业绩完成情况，我们小幅下调此前业绩预期，预计公司2025/26/27 年归母净利润分别为10.99/11.65/12.5 亿元（此前预期分别为12.18/13.33/14.42 亿元），当前股价对应 11/11/10 倍 PE，参考可比公司估值（凤凰传媒、中南传媒、山东出版、新华文轩），由于公司主业稳 健+新业务布局积极，给予公司25 年15xPE，目标市值165 亿元，对应目标价18.4 元，维持"强推"评 级。 风险提示：纸张成本上涨，教育政策变化，在校学生数变化，并购进展不及预期，新业务进展不及预期 受季度确认节奏影响利润有波动，但H1 纬度看仍稳健度较高。教育出版公司一般上半年确收春季学 期，下半年确收秋季学期，偶有季度间波动或属于正常确收节奏问题，建议【以半年纬度】观测业绩稳 健性。回归南方业绩，25h1 剔除税收影响后扣非净利口径增速～3%，仍保持较为稳健增长。 重申此前观点，公司质地较优+新业务兑现能力强。1）公司地处广东有人口优势+出版中为数不多仍有 外延并购逻辑的标的， ...

Summary of Southern Media Conference Call Company Overview - Southern Media is experiencing stable operations with a projected double-digit profit growth after excluding tax impacts, indicating strong internal business performance and orderly progress in textbook and educational materials business [2][3]. Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - The company acknowledges annual educational policy adjustments in June, but these minor changes are not expected to significantly impact the company's fundamentals. The autumn textbook and educational materials ordering process is proceeding normally [2][4]. - The Guangdong Xinhua Publishing Group successfully completed the issuance of 172 million yuan in primary and secondary school textbooks, an increase from 166 million yuan in 2024, excluding educational bookstore data [3]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Southern Media anticipates a profit growth between 45% and 55%, with a profit range of 434 million to 464 million yuan. This growth meets disclosure standards and reflects a stable operational situation [3]. - The company has committed to maintaining a steady increase in total dividends for 2025, emphasizing investor returns despite previous profit declines [5]. AI and Education Strategy - Southern Media is actively pursuing an "AI + Education" strategy in collaboration with Tencent, planning to launch the public beta version of the AI lesson preparation feature by the end of August, targeting 1 million compulsory education teachers in Guangdong province [2][6]. - As of June 2025, the company has sold nearly 3,000 units of AI smart mice, receiving positive market feedback and planning to enhance the integration of hardware and software [2][7]. New Initiatives - The company has launched the Xinhua AI Youth Growth Space project, which includes AI study rooms and care centers, with the first batch of stores already opened and summer enrollment underway [2][8]. - AI lesson preparation services will initially be promoted for free, with potential future charges, leveraging a large user base and high gross margins to significantly enhance company profits [9]. Upgrades and Improvements - Following the impact on the 2024 in-school care business, Southern Media has upgraded its store care services by adding AI value-added services such as AI study and tutoring, with ongoing store selection and renovation [10]. - The company plans to release a simulation bookstore management game in September as part of its ongoing collaboration with Tencent, with further educational cooperation expected [11].

Group 1: Cultural Industry Overview - The 21st Shenzhen Cultural Industries Fair showcased Guangzhou's vibrant cultural industry, featuring six major exhibition areas including original animation, performing arts, gaming, and cultural tourism [2] - In 2024, Guangzhou's gaming industry is projected to generate approximately 140 billion yuan, accounting for about one-third of the national total, with significant international success [4] Group 2: Gaming Sector Highlights - The gaming and esports exhibition area was the most popular at the fair, with local companies like Guangzhou Huali Technology showcasing their products, such as the arcade game "Three Kingdoms Fantasy Battle" [3] - Guangzhou has over 6,000 gaming companies, with notable entries in the "National Cultural Export Key Enterprises" list, including nine companies with overseas revenues exceeding 19 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Technological Innovations in Education - AI technologies are being integrated into educational tools, such as the AI mouse and smart pen developed by YunDie Technology, which enhance learning through real-time data processing and analysis [7][8] - Companies like Vision Source are creating comprehensive educational solutions that combine AI with traditional learning environments, aiming to improve personalized education [8] Group 4: Economic Impact of Cultural Industry - In 2024, Guangzhou's cultural industry is expected to have 3,760 registered entities, achieving revenues of 604.1 billion yuan, with new cultural formats contributing 278.1 billion yuan [9] - The cultural industry's added value is approximately 210 billion yuan, representing over 6.7% of the city's GDP, with three major cultural industry clusters generating over 100 billion yuan each [9]

Core Viewpoint - Guangzhou Yundie Technology Co., Ltd. has developed the "Xingzhi Large Model," which has been successfully applied in education, healthcare, and government sectors, achieving profitability and demonstrating the commercial value of AI applications [1][2][6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Yundie Technology focuses on vertical large model applications, emphasizing a "small but specialized" development approach, which has led to significant achievements in the AI sector [1][2]. - The company has developed AI hardware products, such as an AI smart pen and an AI smart mouse, which utilize the Xingzhi Large Model for real-time data collection and analysis [1][3][4]. - The Xingzhi Large Model can be trained in as little as 15 days at a cost significantly lower than that of general large models, making it accessible for various industries [4][5]. Group 2: Industry Context - The Haizhu District of Guangzhou is actively developing an AI large model application demonstration zone, with over 120 industry-specific large models implemented and more than 7,000 AI companies gathered [2][6]. - The district aims to leverage its rich industrial base and diverse application scenarios to establish itself as a "vertical model capital" in the AI landscape [6][7]. - The local government has introduced a plan to promote the application of AI large models across multiple industries, targeting over 5 billion yuan in revenue by 2026 [7][8]. Group 3: Future Prospects - Yundie Technology plans to continue investing in education, healthcare, and other public sectors, particularly in supporting balanced development in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [5][8]. - The company aims to enhance its technological innovation capabilities and deepen collaborations with industry giants to integrate the Xingzhi Large Model into broader industrial systems [8].

Core Viewpoint - The eighth Digital China Construction Summit showcased China Mobile's advancements in integrating "5G+" with "AI+" technologies, emphasizing their role in empowering various industries and enhancing everyday life through innovative applications [1][3]. Group 1: AI and Smart Devices - China Mobile highlighted the rapid development of "Artificial Intelligence+" and showcased smart devices such as AI smartphones, smartwatches, smart mice, and smart glasses at the summit [3]. - The AI smart glasses, equipped with the "Lingxi" intelligent system, offer features like real-time translation, music playback, and smart navigation, demonstrating the practical applications of future technology [3][4]. - In the smart connected vehicle sector, China Mobile has established three service systems: intelligent cabin, intelligent driving, and intelligent city, aimed at enriching the digital lives of car owners and enhancing production levels for car manufacturers [3]. Group 2: Robotics and AI Integration - China Mobile's various types of intelligent robots incorporate three key technologies: environmental perception learning, human-like interaction design, and data-driven services, enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [4]. - Demonstrations of intelligent robots showcased their capabilities in multi-object detection and sorting, highlighting the increasing integration of AI into tangible products [4]. Group 3: AI Applications Across Industries - The "AI+ Applications" exhibition allowed attendees to experience AI's applications in education, healthcare, and public services, showcasing its transformative potential [6]. - The "Jiutian Large Model," developed by China Mobile, serves as a comprehensive technology platform with capabilities in language understanding, visual insight, and voice interaction, supporting intelligent transformation across various industries [6]. - China Mobile plans to continue promoting the integration of information technology with economic and social development, focusing on digital transformation and high-quality growth [6].