①50%铜关税冲击市场！小摩力荐麦克莫兰銅金；②机构纷纷提高Spotify目标价，全球音乐平台均受益 于AI个性化定制；③马斯克：全球最强AI模型Grok 4来了！ Grok最晚下周将应用于特斯拉车辆。 ①50%铜关税冲击市场！小摩力荐麦克莫兰銅金 在COMEX铜价因特朗普拟征收50%进口关税飙升至历史高位后，摩根大通发表研报，将麦克莫兰铜金 （FCX）目标价从42美元上调至56美元。理由是该公司卓越的运营表现、格拉斯伯格矿山的低成本优势 以及较高的美国业务占比是其三大优势。每磅铜价溢价0.1美元可为公司带来1.35亿美元的年度EBITDA 及经营现金流增长。麦克莫兰銅金隔夜股价收涨3.5%，报47.185美元。小摩预计，麦克莫兰铜金将继续 提升股东回报，并在短期内成为相对赢家。此外，业内人士担心，铜关税将导致美国铜价飙升，增加建 筑、汽车、电子等行业的成本，尤其对AI产业影响深远，因为铜是数据中心的关键材料。据估算，传 统数据中心需0.5万-1.5万吨铜，而美国2024年12月铜产量仅9.16万吨。铜价上涨还可能加剧通胀，推高 建筑、设备制造、电动汽车和电子产品等行业成本。 国鸣投资秦毅：麦克莫兰铜金（FC ...

Key Takeaways Spotify reported 678M MAUs in 1Q25, up 10.2% y/y and 3M from the previous quarter. AI tools like Wrapped, DJ and smart playlists have boosted user retention and ARPU 4% y/y. SPOT's ElevenLabs audiobook partnership expands creator reach and supports its global monetization strategy.Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) has consistently focused on integrating AI to personalize its offerings. This approach has helped the company’s steady growth in user engagement reinforce its leadership in the audio ...

AI专题·从海外C端应用看AI进展 订阅服务迎来价值增量， 广告平台有望持续增长 西南证券研究院 海外研究团队 2025年7月 核心观点 目 录 一、C端应用：订阅平台表现相对领先，广告平台基本面持续改善 三、广告平台：AI助力广告转化效率增强，平台收入增长加速 2.1 Duolingo：AI功能打造Max订阅层级，高级订阅持续渗透 2.2 Spotify：AI功能支撑订阅服务涨价，带动用户付费水平提升 二、订阅平台：AI带来订阅产品价值提升，业绩贡献逐渐清晰 3.1 Snapchat：广告收入同比增速由负转正，Snapchat+贡献订阅增量 3.2 Pinterest：广告工具Performance+效果增强，广告投资回报表现强劲 1.1 平台业务对比：产品内容形式各异，收入及成本类型差异明显 1.2 AI进展对比：AI功能持续迭代，降本增效及收入贡献日益显现 2 1 C端应用：订阅平台表现相对领先，广告平台基本面持续改善 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 2022-11-30 2022-12-31 2023-01-31 2023-02-28 2023-03-31 2023-0 ...

Key Takeaways AppLovin's Axon 2 and Wurl acquisitions are powering major gains across mobile and connected TV ads. SPOT's AI tools like Wrapped and AI DJ boost engagement, loyalty and more personalized ad delivery. APP's EPS estimates are rising sharply, while SPOT's are trending down despite stronger forward valuation.Both Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) and AppLovin Corporation (APP) are leveraging AI within their respective ecosystems, offering compelling ad-tech strategies.Spotify's AI features are con ...

User Growth and Engagement - Spotify's total monthly active users (MAUs) grew 10% year over year to 678 million in Q1 2025, indicating strong global appeal and user acquisition capabilities [1][9] - Premium subscribers increased by 12% from the previous year to 268 million, reflecting an improved conversion rate from free to paid users, which is crucial for financial stability [2][9] - The growth in users is primarily driven by strategic focus on emerging markets, particularly in Latin America and the Rest of World, showcasing effective localization efforts [3][9] Strategic Initiatives - Spotify aims to reach one billion users globally by 2030, leveraging geographic diversification and competition against major players like Apple and Amazon [4] - The company is utilizing AI technologies, such as Spotify Wrapped and AI DJ, to enhance user engagement and retention, which helps in converting free users to premium subscribers [5][9] Management Outlook - Management is optimistic about user growth, projecting an increase of 11 million MAUs and 5 million premium subscribers in Q2 2025, indicating confidence in ongoing user attraction and retention strategies [6] Financial Performance - Spotify's stock has increased by 56.7% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 12.7% and the S&P 500's 1.5% rise, reflecting strong market performance [7] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Spotify is 60.91, which is above the industry average of 39.53, indicating a premium valuation [11]