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复星、舍得做酒旅负负能得正?
YOUNG财经 漾财经· 2025-10-16 10:07
Core Viewpoint - Shendao Liquor Industry's entry into the wine tourism sector during a period of declining revenue and profit is seen as a strategic move to navigate through industry challenges, supported by Fosun International's resources and expertise [4][6]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The liquor industry is facing significant challenges, with a decline in production and increasing inventory pressures. In 2024, the national liquor production decreased by 1.86% to 4.145 million kiloliters, marking eight consecutive years of decline [6]. - Shendao's revenue for 2024 was 5.357 billion yuan, down 24.42%, and net profit dropped 80.46% to 346 million yuan, both hitting three-year lows [6]. - The market is increasingly competitive, with the top five liquor brands expected to increase their market share from 43% to over 70% in the next decade, squeezing out smaller players [6]. Group 2: Shendao's Strategic Moves - Shendao is attempting to cultivate high-end liquor brands while also focusing on the wine tourism sector as a means of transformation. The company aims to recover its investment by 2037 [4][7]. - The collaboration with Fosun International is expected to enhance Shendao's international reach, with the company having reached 36 countries by 2024 [7]. - Shendao's existing cultural tourism area includes various facilities aimed at enhancing brand value and consumer engagement [12]. Group 3: Wine Tourism Integration - The integration of wine and tourism is viewed as a new growth avenue, with the potential to create unique consumer experiences [9][10]. - The wine tourism model has been successful in other countries, and leading Chinese liquor brands are also exploring this avenue, with Moutai achieving significant revenue from its tourism initiatives [10][11]. - Shendao's wine tourism project has a total investment of 1.2 billion yuan, with a projected payback period of approximately 11.47 years [13]. Group 4: Fosun's Role and Future Prospects - Fosun International, which has faced significant losses and debt issues, is looking to stabilize its financial situation by divesting non-core assets [14]. - The partnership with Shendao is seen as a potential avenue for recovery, leveraging Fosun's brand and operational expertise [15]. - The wine tourism project is located in a less developed area, which poses challenges, but the existing tourist reception numbers indicate potential for growth [16].