| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 602,315 | 777,102 | 839,362 | 962,019 | 1,107,275 | | 同比（%） | 42.04 | 29.02 | 8.01 | 14.61 | 15.10 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 30,041 | 40,254 | 35,011 | 50,927 | 66,393 | | 同比（%） | 80.72 | 34.00 | (13.03) | 45.46 | 30.37 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.29 | 4.42 | 3.84 | 5.59 | 7.28 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 29.78 | 22.22 | 25.55 | 17.56 | 13.47 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·乘用车 比亚迪（002594） 2025 年度销量 ...

Core Insights - Fosun and BYD have established a global long-term strategic partnership to create a "mobility + vacation" ecosystem, leveraging their strengths in green travel, smart manufacturing, tourism, and family consumption [1][2] - The collaboration aims to enhance user experience and expand market opportunities through product innovation and global expansion [2] Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The partnership will focus on integrating travel and vacation experiences, utilizing BYD's flagship vehicle models across various Fosun destinations [1] - Customized vacation routes will be developed based on local natural and cultural resources, enhancing the overall travel experience [1] Group 2: Market Expansion and User Experience - Both companies will empower each other in international operations and market expansion, aiming for a broader market reach [2] - The collaboration is expected to improve the quality of user experiences during travel and lead to breakthroughs in membership operations and product innovation [2]

《中国经营报》记者了解到，根据协议，双方将以"出行+度假"为切入点，围绕生态互联、产品创新及 全球化拓展等维度，构建共赢生态。 12月18日，复星与比亚迪在太仓阿尔卑斯国际度假区达成全球长期战略合作。双方将基于各自在绿色出 行、智能制造、旅游度假及家庭消费生态领域的核心优势，开展全品牌矩阵深度协同，共同构建"出行 +度假"融合生态。 同时，复星旅文将在旗下ClubMed地中海俱乐部、三亚·亚特兰蒂斯、太仓阿尔卑斯国际度假区、丽江 地中海国际度假区等目的地全面引入比亚迪旗下全品牌序列旗舰车型，包括王朝、海洋系列、个性化品 牌方程豹、新豪华品牌腾势以及高端品牌仰望，基于各地自然与人文资源，共同开发定制化精品度假线 路，将度假体验拓展至更广阔的在地场景。通过"高端出行 + 在地探索"的深度融合，进一步延伸客人的 度假半径，打造更沉浸、更丰富的目的地体验。 复星全球合伙人、复星旅游文化集团（以下简称"复星旅文"）首席执行官鲍将军与比亚迪集团品牌及公 关处总经理李云飞代表双方正式签署合作备忘录。 此外，两大巨头还将在全球范围内相互赋能，助力彼此出海与国际化运营，共同开拓更广阔的市场空 间。 鲍将军表示："复星与比亚迪在 ...

首先，依托复星旅文旗下在全球40多个国家和地区运营的70余个高端度假目的地，双方将面向比亚迪全 球超1500万车主与复星旅文复游会平台的全球2000万会员，共同打造专属权益体系，推动双方生态体系 的深度互联。 同时，复星旅文将在旗下ClubMed地中海俱乐部、三亚·亚特兰蒂斯、太仓阿尔卑斯国际度假区、丽江 地中海国际度假区等目的地全面引入比亚迪旗下全品牌序列旗舰车型，包括王朝、海洋系列、个性化品 牌方程豹、新豪华品牌腾势以及高端品牌仰望，基于各地自然与人文资源，共同开发定制化精品度假线 路，将度假体验拓展至更广阔的在地场景。通过"高端出行 + 在地探索"的深度融合，进一步延伸客人的 度假半径，打造更沉浸、更丰富的目的地体验。 12月18日，复星与比亚迪在太仓阿尔卑斯国际度假区达成全球长期战略合作。双方将基于各自在绿色出 行、智能制造、旅游度假及家庭消费生态领域的核心优势，开展全品牌矩阵深度协同，共同构建"出行 +度假"融合生态。 根据协议，双方将以"出行+度假"为切入点，围绕生态互联、产品创新及全球化拓展等维度，构建共赢 生态。 双方还将在全球范围内相互赋能，助力彼此出海与国际化运营，共同开拓更广阔的市场空间 ...

近半年来，中国汽车市场竞争日趋激烈，汽车板块的股价整体表现不及大盘，市场悲观情绪持续蔓延。但比亚迪逆势成为资本市场的宠儿，展现出巨大的市 场活力，可谓潜力无限国际资本青睐。进入四季度以来，高盛、花旗、摩根士丹利等国际顶级投行纷纷发布深度研究报告，一致给予比亚迪"买入"或"增 持"的评级，充分彰显了资本市场对比亚迪未来长期发展的坚定信心。 国际资本情有独钟 资本对比亚迪的青睐，实际上是建立在对比亚迪长期价值的理性判断之上。作为全球投资者的权威参考，国际顶尖投研机构凭借其专业的信息整合与研判能 力，能够穿透行业的短期波动，洞察比亚迪未来的增长潜力。 高盛在11月7日的研报中指出：海外市场将成为比亚迪未来十年的核心增长领域，依托完善的车型矩阵与强大的产品力，比亚迪2025年至2028年盈利年均复 合增长率将达30%，海外利润贡献度将从2024年的21%升至2028年的60%，2026至2035年海外销量有望达150万至350万辆，为此高盛坚定维持其A股、H 股"买入"评级，A股目标价144元，相较于12月9日收盘价仍有约50%上涨空间，体现出其对于比亚迪未来市场价值的高度认同。 除国际投行外，以凯茜·伍德（女版巴菲 ...

曹开阳 台历翻到12月15日，2025年已只剩下半个月，留给中国车企冲刺年度任务的时间不多了。综合中国汽车 工业协会及上市车企发布的今年前11月统计数据可见，共有三家车企年度任务完成率已超过90%，它们 是：吉利以销售278.8万辆，年度任务完成率93%排名榜首；比亚迪、上汽分别销售418.2万辆、410.8万 辆，年度任务完成率均为91%，并列第二。 考虑到历年12月均为中国车市销售旺季，因此上述三家车企完成全年业绩目标几乎已板上钉钉。那么， 这些车企究竟又是凭啥可以在年度任务完成率上领跑呢？ 吉利能在前11个月过后成为年度任务考核最优秀者，笔者认为并不意外，这也是吉利车型在今年成就多 个爆款的生动写照，其中既有曾多次在新能源轿车月销榜夺冠的入门级家轿吉利星愿，也有被公认颜值 与实力双双在线的银河星耀8系列，更有其重磅推出的银河M9，将"9"字头大六座SUV的价格首次拉入 20万元以下区间，且配置和实力都可圈可点。或许可以说，吉利能圆满完成年度任务，是其旗下车型的 全面开花与爆款产品精准突破的合力所致。 比亚迪虽然在年度任务完成率上暂时只名列第二，但总销量明显更高是不争的事实。笔者认为，比亚迪 能在截至11 ...

Core Insights - November wholesale vehicle sales reached 1.706 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.5% and a month-on-month increase of 5.8%, with a penetration rate of 56.9%, up 1.6 percentage points from the previous month [1] - Retail sales in November totaled 1.321 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.0% and a month-on-month growth of 3.0%, with a penetration rate of 59.4%, up 2.2 percentage points from the previous month [1] - Exports in November amounted to 284,000 units, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 255.0% and a month-on-month increase of 19.3%, with a penetration rate of 47.3%, up 3.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] Sales Data by Manufacturer - Tesla sold 86,700 units in November, including 13,600 units exported [3] - BYD's sales reached 474,900 units, with 128,100 units exported, including various models such as Qin DMI (15,700 units) and Dolphin (31,000 units) [3] - SAIC-GM-Wuling sold 107,800 units, with 12,500 units exported, including 53,600 units of Hongguang MINI [3] - NIO sold 36,300 units, with 6,000 units of ES6 [3] - Li Auto sold 33,200 units, with L9 contributing 2,200 units [3] - XPeng sold 36,700 units, with 5,100 units exported [3] - Leap Motor sold 70,300 units, with 7,200 units of C11 [3] - Chery sold 111,600 units, with 48,100 units exported [3] - GAC Aion sold 38,300 units, with 4,100 units exported [3] - Geely sold 187,800 units, with 15,600 units exported [3] - Volkswagen ID sold 4,800 units [3] - Great Wall sold 40,000 units, with 4,500 units exported [3] - SAIC Passenger Cars sold 42,000 units, with 10,800 units exported [3] - Changan sold 107,000 units, with 4,200 units exported [3] - AITO sold 51,700 units [3] - Xiaomi sold 46,200 units, with 12,500 units of Xiaomi SU7 [3]

尤为值得铭记的是，至此，比亚迪全球新能源累计销量已跨越1470万辆里程碑。这一数字，不仅是规模的体现， 更是比亚迪深耕技术、全面布局产品与市场所收获的信任与选择。 从中国到世界，从单一车型到全品牌矩阵，从销量领先到技术引领，比亚迪正以持续创新的产品和不断扩大的全 球足迹，重塑新能源汽车的竞争格局。未来，随着海外市场的深入拓展与高端品牌的持续向上，比亚迪的全球故 事，必将迎来更澎湃的篇章。 长沙晚报掌上长沙12月2日讯（全媒体记者 曹开阳）11月的汽车市场，比亚迪再次以一份亮眼的成绩单，展现了 其作为新能源领军者的强劲势头。全月销售480186辆，持续突破再创年内新高，其中乘用车贡献474921辆，以稳 健步伐持续引领市场风潮。更令人瞩目的是其全球化进程的飞跃——乘用车及皮卡海外单月销售达131661辆，同 比飙升297%，成为比亚迪增长图谱中最耀眼的一笔。 旗下各品牌矩阵协同发力，共同构筑了坚实的销量基盘。王朝｜海洋系列作为销量基石，交付423558辆，彰显主 流市场的深厚认可；个性化品牌方程豹以37405辆的成绩，成功开辟了硬派越野的新蓝海；豪华品牌腾势与仰望分 别交付13255辆与703辆，持续引领着中国 ...

Core Insights - BYD's November sales reached 480,000 units, showing a month-on-month increase of 8.7% but a year-on-year decrease of 5.3% [1] - Cumulative sales from January to November totaled 4.182 million units, representing an 11% year-on-year increase, with overseas sales accounting for 22% [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In November, domestic sales were 348,000 units, down 27% year-on-year and 3% month-on-month, while cumulative domestic sales reached 3.269 million units, up 1.1% year-on-year [1] - Overseas sales in November were 132,000 units, a significant increase of 326% year-on-year and 57% month-on-month, with cumulative overseas sales at 913,000 units, up 182% year-on-year [1] - The company expects total sales for the year to be between 4.7 million and 4.9 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10-15%, with exports projected at 1.05 million units, a 152% increase [1] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Segment - In November, plug-in hybrid vehicle sales were 237,000 units, down 22.4% year-on-year but up 10.8% month-on-month, maintaining a 50% market share [2] - Pure electric vehicle sales reached 238,000 units in November, up 19.9% year-on-year and 6.7% month-on-month, also holding a 50% market share [2] - High-end vehicle sales in November were 51,000 units, a remarkable increase of 172.8% year-on-year and 22.8% month-on-month, with cumulative high-end sales at 327,000 units, up 100% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Battery Production - BYD's battery installations in November totaled 27.7 GWh, reflecting a 23% month-on-month increase and a cumulative total of 258 GWh for the year, up 51% year-on-year [3] - The company anticipates total battery installations for the year to be between 290 GWh and 300 GWh, representing a 50% year-on-year increase [3] - External battery supply installations in October were 3.6 GWh, a 140% month-on-month increase, with cumulative external installations for the year at 27.2 GWh, up 213% year-on-year [3]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·乘用车 比亚迪（002594） 2025 年 11 月销量点评：11 月销量环比提升， 继续加快高端化和出口 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 602,315 | 777,102 | 839,362 | 962,019 | 1,107,275 | | 同比（%） | 42.04 | 29.02 | 8.01 | 14.61 | 15.10 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 30,041 | 40,254 | 35,011 | 50,927 | 66,393 | | 同比（%） | 80.72 | 34.00 | (13.03) | 45.46 | 30.37 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.29 | 4.42 | 3.84 | 5.59 | 7.28 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 29.32 | 21.88 | 25.16 | 17.30 | 13.2 ...