新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-08 政策及资金扰动持续，多晶硅盘面继续反弹 工业硅： 市场分析 2025-07-07，工业硅期货价格偏弱震荡，主力合约2509开于7980元/吨，最后收于8045元/吨，较前一日结算变化（55） 元/吨，变化（0.69）%。截止收盘，2509主力合约持仓384707手，2025-07-08仓单总数为51349手，较前一日变化 -352手。 供应端：工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在8700-8800（0）元/吨；421#硅在8900-9200 （0）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格8000-8200（0）元/吨，99硅价格在8000-8100（0）元/吨。昆明、四川地区部分硅价 仍下降。黄埔港、天津、西北、上海、新疆地区硅价暂稳。 97硅价格同样暂稳。 消费端：据SMM统计，有机硅DMC报价10300-10600（0）元/吨。据SMM统计，6月国内有机硅DMC产量环比5月 增加13.75％，同比减少1.60％。6月国内多数有机硅单体企业开工负荷有所提高。7月虽国内仍有部分单体企业开 工负荷有所下降，但整体影响量较为有限，7月预估有机硅产量环比6月上 ...

Core Viewpoint - The supplementary legal opinion addresses the inquiries raised by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange regarding Suzhou Goodwill Electronics Co., Ltd's application for a specific stock issuance, highlighting the company's financial performance and challenges in its semiconductor and photovoltaic silver paste businesses [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - The company's main business revenue for the reporting periods was 3.26 billion, 4.07 billion, with growth rates of 17.21%, 14.36%, 10.23%, and 10.75% respectively [3]. - The gross profit margins for the semiconductor and photovoltaic silver paste businesses have shown a downward trend, primarily due to significant increases in key raw material prices, particularly silver powder [3][4]. - The gross profit margins for integrated circuit packaging and testing products were recorded at 8.01%, -2.57%, -12.55%, and -0.19%, indicating a continuous negative trend since 2023 [3]. Customer Concentration - The sales amount to the top five customers accounted for 59.90%, 62.13%, 71.44%, and 66.93% of total sales revenue during the reporting periods [4]. - The company primarily employs a direct sales model supplemented by distribution, with distribution revenue contributing 14.02%, 11.70%, 8.47%, and 11.19% to total revenue [4]. Accounts Receivable and Bad Debt Provisions - The accounts receivable balances at the end of each reporting period were 749.03 million, 1.03 billion, 1.12 billion, and 973.91 million, with bad debt provisions of 30.13 million, 28.57 million, 80.41 million, and 78.45 million respectively [4][12]. - The increase in bad debt provisions in 2024 was primarily due to the company's consideration of debt restructuring agreements with major customers, leading to a provision rate of 13.85% for certain accounts [4][12]. Inventory and Prepayments - The company's inventory values at the end of each reporting period were 384.97 million, 473.14 million, and 471.76 million [4]. - The prepayment amounts at the end of each reporting period were 75.55 million, 78.51 million, and 79.99 million [4]. Fixed Assets and Utilization - The book value of fixed assets at the most recent reporting period was 666.61 million, with impairment provisions of 16.76 million [5]. - The company experienced underutilization of production capacity in its semiconductor discrete devices, integrated circuit packaging, and photovoltaic silver paste products, with some years showing utilization rates below 70% [5]. Research and Development Expenses - The company reported period expenses of 284.69 million, 146.09 million, 200.69 million, and 32.81 million, with financial expenses of -7.72 million, 10.28 million, 10.53 million, and 5.62 million [5]. - Sales expenses were primarily composed of salaries and promotional expenses, with promotional expenses recorded at 45.59 million, 52.41 million, 21.32 million, and 3.42 million [5]. Industry Context - The company operates in the semiconductor and photovoltaic sectors, facing challenges such as supply-demand imbalances and increased competition [10]. - The photovoltaic industry is particularly affected by external factors such as tariffs and sourcing policies, impacting the company's customer base and financial stability [10].

Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Guder Electronic Co., Ltd. is planning to raise funds through a specific issuance of A-shares to finance projects related to solar electronic paste production, small signal product packaging and testing, and the establishment of an innovation research institute, while also supplementing working capital [1][2][3]. Fundraising Projects - The funds raised will primarily be allocated to the following projects: 1. Annual production of 500 tons of solar electronic paste at Suzhou Jingyin New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. 2. Small signal product packaging and testing project 3. Establishment of the Guder (Suzhou) Innovation Research Institute 4. Supplementing working capital [3][18]. Industry Risks - The semiconductor industry in China is experiencing cyclical fluctuations, with 2023 sales reaching 1,669.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of only 2.2%, marking the lowest growth rate in nearly a decade [3][5]. - The sales of semiconductor discrete devices reached 441.97 billion yuan, also reflecting a 2.2% year-on-year increase, while the integrated circuit packaging and testing sector saw a negative growth for the first time in ten years, with sales of 293.22 billion yuan [3][5]. - The company's semiconductor business revenue for 2023 was 1.002 billion yuan, a decline of 20.88% year-on-year [3][5]. Market Competition - The semiconductor discrete device and integrated circuit packaging and testing sectors in China are highly competitive, with major international players holding significant market shares. The domestic market is the largest globally, attracting more competitors, which may lead to increased market competition [6][7]. Solar Paste Industry - The solar paste industry is closely tied to the fluctuations in the photovoltaic sector, which has seen rapid growth due to supportive policies since 2014. However, international trade policies and market dynamics can adversely affect the demand for solar paste products [5][7]. - The company has established a leading market position in the solar paste industry, but increasing competition may impact its market share and profitability [7][9]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 3,268.20 million yuan, 4,087.35 million yuan, and a declining profit trend over the reporting periods. The comprehensive gross margin has decreased due to cyclical fluctuations in the semiconductor and solar paste industries, changes in market supply and demand, and increased R&D investments [14][12]. - The company’s inventory and accounts receivable have shown significant balances, indicating potential risks related to inventory management and collection of receivables, which could adversely affect financial performance [12][13].

7月 1日，习近平主席主持召开中央财经委员会第六次会议，研究纵深推进全 国统一大市场建设、海洋经济高质量发展等问题。会议指出依法依规治理企业 低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产品品质，推动落后产能有序退出；规范政府采 购和招标投标，加强对中标结果的公平性审查；规范地方招商引资，加强招商 引资信息披露等。 7月 3日，工业和信息化部于召开光伏企业座谈会。会上，14家光伏行业企业 及光伏行业协会负责人作交流发言，围绕企业生产经营、科技创新、市场竞争、 行业生态建设等方面进行交流，介绍企业基本情况、面临的困难和问题，提出 政策建议。工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成表示，坚决落实中央财经委 第六次会议关于纵深推进全国统一大市场建设的决策部署，聚焦重点难点，依 法依规、综合治理光伏行业低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产品品质，推动落后 产能有序退出，实现健康、可持续发展。 近期，光伏板块反内卷呼声日益高涨，硅料收储、光伏玻璃减产、高层反内卷 会议等事件使得光伏供给侧改革预期增强。未来随着行业自律的推进以及供给 侧政策落地，行业供需有望改善，带动产业链价格及盈利修复。目前，光伏行 业价格及盈利均处于底部位置，板块估值水平同样较低， ...

最新一周涨跌幅排名靠后，光伏板块估值较低。根据Wind数据，光伏板块最近一周（2025年6月27日-7 月4日）涨跌幅0.79%，跑输沪深300指数0.23个百分点，相比SW行业分类各板块涨幅排名中等偏后；年 初以来光伏板块累计涨跌幅为-3.87%，跑输沪深300指数8.70个百分点，相比SW行业分类各板块排名靠 后。估值方面，光伏板块2025年7月4日TTM-整体法估值为18.95倍，与SW行业分类各板块相比，排名 位于中等靠后部分。从估值变化趋势来看，光伏板块TTM整体法估值自21年底到23年底持续下降，24年 初开始逐步上升；光伏板块相对沪深300的估值溢价1.51倍，与估值变化趋势基本一致。 风险提示。行业政策波动风险；竞争加剧风险；新技术替代风险；产品价格波动风险。 报告来源 报告导读： （6月28日-7月5日）光伏行业政策信号密集释放，工信部明确推进落后产能 有序退出，龙头玻璃企业启动减产，板块情绪修复明显。 本周， 光伏产业政策面持续释放积极信号。 中央财经委员会第六次会议将"无序竞争"问题提上议程，明 确提出加快落后产能退出，推动行业向高质量方向发展。光伏行业率先响应，头部光伏玻璃企业宣布自7 ...

今年上半年，光伏行业在"136号文"等政策刺激下迎来了久违的"抢装潮"，产业链价格也一度随之走高。但在"430""531"等节点相继"落幕"后，"抢装"也偃旗 息鼓，价格再次掉头向下。 及至6月，市场交易价格持续走低，行业悲观情绪不断滋长，涨价期间打破自律公约和行业呼吁冒头催长的产能变得尴尬，甚至成为负担，一些违规乱象如 今看起来已成为"黑历史"，形势变换兜转一轮，产业链各环节想必也会愈发意识到，行业目前最需要的，仍是打破"内卷式"竞争怪圈，合力扭转下行周期。 硅料：市场价格持续走低，龙头"收储"箭在弦上 硅料减产一直以来都被认为是破除"内卷"的必要措施，但目前进展似乎不佳，也因此，从5月起即传出消息，称硅料"六巨头"（通威股份、协鑫科技、大全 能源、新特能源、东方希望、亚洲硅业）拟通过成立专项基金对存量硅料产能"收储"等方式推动行业"大整合"，实现产能出清。6月11日，协鑫科技联席 CEO兰天石对媒体确认了相关方案确实存在，并表示目前头部企业已在密切沟通，部分龙头已达成一致并启动与小厂商的谈判，后续将在主管部门的指导下 继续推动。有业内人士认为龙头企业公开发声意味着整合一事已有一些实质性进展。不过，相关方案 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the challenges faced by the photovoltaic industry, particularly the "involution" competition leading to high losses among companies as they strive to maintain market share [1][2][3] - In 2024, the Chinese government emphasized the need to prevent "malicious competition," resulting in a significant decrease in refinancing cases among photovoltaic companies [2][29] - Maiwei Co., a leading player in the photovoltaic equipment sector, plans to raise up to 1.9666752 billion yuan for a new perovskite solar cell equipment project, expecting annual sales of 4 billion yuan and a net profit of 599 million yuan post-production [2][8] Group 2 - The commercialization of perovskite technology is still immature, with only a few demonstration projects completed and significant challenges in achieving cost competitiveness compared to traditional silicon cells [4][5][7] - The production cost of perovskite components is currently around $0.57/W, significantly higher than the $0.1/W for silicon components, primarily due to high material costs [5][7] - Maiwei Co.'s recent financing proposal raises questions about the feasibility of its perovskite project, as the company has not provided detailed information on equipment specifications or existing orders [8][10] Group 3 - The photovoltaic industry is expected to see a slowdown in installation growth, with new policies affecting fixed pricing and market participation for solar projects [11][12] - Maiwei Co. has experienced a decline in contract liabilities, indicating a potential industry-wide contraction, which raises concerns about the necessity of its large-scale capacity expansion [11][12][13] - The company's accounts receivable have been growing faster than its revenue, suggesting increased financial risk associated with its expansion plans [13][15] Group 4 - The issuance of convertible bonds by Maiwei Co. may primarily serve to supplement cash flow rather than to fund the perovskite project, given the company's cash flow challenges [25][28] - Regulatory scrutiny on large refinancing efforts in the photovoltaic sector has intensified, making it more difficult for companies like Maiwei Co. to secure funding [29][32] - The overall financing environment for the photovoltaic industry has become more restrictive, with many companies halting large-scale fundraising efforts [29][32]

重整投资人拥有算力资源 公告中，*ST金刚透露，公司正在推进预重整及重整程序，为夯实公司经营基础，基于对智能算力行业 发展前景的看好，由全资子公司上海金刚使用自筹资金，对外投资设立金刚数智。 从公司发布的一系列公告来看，公司跨界算力领域的背后，与其重整投资人上海弘琪云创科技集团有限 公司（下称"弘琪云创"）关联重重。 回溯公司预重整历程，2024年7月8日，甘肃金刚光伏股份有限公司收到酒泉中院送达的《决定书》，公 司债权人广州旷视管理咨询有限公司以公司不能清偿到期债务，明显缺乏清偿能力但具备重整价值为 由，向法院申请对公司进行重整，并申请启动预重整程序。 2025年6月10日，公司披露了《关于与产业投资人签署重整投资协议的公告》，结合广东欧昊集团有限 公司（下称"欧昊集团"）提交的重整投资方案，重整确定由欧昊集团作为重整产业投资人。 2025年6月23日，产业投资人欧昊集团出具推荐函，推荐弘琪云创作为重整投资人暨产业合作伙伴共同 参与本次重整投资。6月24日，公司、临时管理人及产业投资人欧昊集团与重整投资人弘琪云创签署了 《重整投资协议》。 据公开资料，弘琪云创成立于2010年12月28日，是国内领先的综合性 ...

证券代码：000591 证券简称：太阳能 1 | | 2、公司当前电站组件技术路线？ | | --- | --- | | | 答： | | | 公司运营的电站中，目前组件技术以 TOPCon 为主，个别项目 | | | 有试点 HJT 技术路线，后期也会计划按需试点应用一定比例 BC 及 | | | 钙钛矿组件。 | | | 3、补贴进展情况？ | | | 答： | | | 2024 年，公司共计收到电费补贴 13.66 亿，其中国补 12.33 | | | 亿。公司积极关注后续发放情况，积极配合相关工作。 | | | 4、分红比例是否会提高？ | | | 答： | | | 公司自上市以来高度重视对广大股东的投资回馈，始终保持 | | | 稳定的现金分红。过去三年，公司累计现金分红约 15.12 亿，分红 | | | 比例约占年均归母净利润的 36%，未来仍将在综合考虑盈利情况、 | | | 资本支出计划等事项的基础上，合理安排分红。 | | | 5、公司海外项目拓展情况及未来规划？ | | | 答： | | | 公司目前与斯里兰卡、印度尼西亚以及乌兹别克斯坦等国家 | | | 地区相关部门进行了洽谈，有的也 ...

(1)国内扩产底部反转，海外扩产有望释放设备订单：2023-2024H1国内锂电主链产能过剩，电池厂短期 内扩产意愿较低;但2024Q3以来，宁德时代、比亚迪为首的龙头企业产能稼动率提升并重启扩产。近期 宁德港股IPO募资353亿港元主要投向匈牙利德布勒森工厂，有望带来设备订单落地。(2)设备5年更新周 期：出于车企客户对于动力电池产品一致性、安全性要求，传统液态电池设备更新周期通常为5年左 右，2020-2021年为上一轮国内扩产高峰期，该行预计2026-2027年或将迎来国内锂电设备更新替换小高 峰。(3)新技术带来新增设备需求：新技术如复合铜箔、4680大圆柱、固态电池等。 光伏设备：政策加速产能出清，新技术迭代利好设备商 2024年光伏设备板块短期景气度筑底，主要系产能过剩带来的行业压力;2025年供需政策有望倒逼新技 术资本开支。从各环节来看，(1)硅片环节的新技术为低氧单晶炉+钨丝金刚线，单晶炉增加超导磁场或 超大泵来解决N型硅片的同心圆&黑心片问题，金刚线基于钨丝母线进一步细线化提高硅棒出片率。(2) 电池片环节的新技术为HJT、BC，HJT具有双面对称结构，BC正面无栅线遮挡，提高光转化效率。 ...