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戴绪龙:中美博弈下,企业以科技发展筑基,创新、尊才、担责破局前行
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-26 13:52
中美博弈下的外资外贸情况复杂多变。作为全球经济的重要参与者,中国的外贸在目前的国际环境中面临重大挑战,也有新的发展。 在挑战方面,中美贸易摩擦持续升级,关税壁垒、技术限制等政策给外贸企业带来了巨大压力,部分劳动密集型产业出口受损,供应链稳定性受到冲击,国 际市场需求不足,全球经济复苏乏力,进一步压缩外贸增长空间,依赖美国市场的中小企业面临困境。 我们清晰地看到一点,市场多元化取得了显著成效。中国与东盟、欧洲、非洲等地区的贸易合作不断深化,新兴市场成为新的增长点,外贸增长不再依赖单 一市场。对东盟市场的出口增速提升,东盟连续五年保持中国第一大贸易伙伴的地位。产业升级加速,新能源汽车、光伏设备、锂电池等新动能产品的出口 迅速增长,中国制造业出现向高端化、智能化转型的趋势。 政策支持也在持续加码,国家出台了一系列稳外贸、稳外资的政策,为企业提供了有力的保障。企业应该稳中求进,创新驱动,优化贸易结构,推动传统产 业升级,提升竞争力,加大研发投入,提高自主创新能力,加强品牌培育,提升产品和服务的国际竞争力,提高中国品牌的知名度和美誉度。要引领新质生 产力发展,推动科技创新与产业深度融合,传统产业需要数字化推动,新型产业 ...
华龙证券:光伏主产业链亏损收窄 硅料现金流改善明显
智通财经网· 2025-11-26 06:23
智通财经APP获悉,华龙证券发布研报称,行业方面,展望2026年,电新行业有望延续积极趋势,光伏 供给侧过剩产能出清,电池技术升级有望带来新机会。维持行业"推荐"评级。个股方面,光伏板块建议 关注具备现金、技术优势的主产业链龙头,辅材建议关注需求旺盛的支架环节,有望受益于铜代银趋势 的浆料及粉材、光伏设备企业,出货向好的逆变器企业。 华龙证券主要观点如下: 光伏板块净利润为负,净利率、ROE整体改善 主产业链主材净利润亏损收窄,硅料环节现金流改善明显 2025年Q1-Q3,光伏硅料/硅片/电池片/组件各环节分别实现归母净利润-63.43亿元/-57.69亿元/-9.51亿 元/-139.67亿元,部分企业单季度盈利转正。2025年Q3,主材环节现金及现金等价物余额1574亿元,环 比下降19亿元,组件环节承压明显;筹资规模增加54亿元,行业龙头筹措资金有助于缓解行业筑底期的 经营压力;经营性现金流环比提升27亿元,硅料环节现金流改善明显;购建固定资产、无形资产和其他长 期资产支付的现金环比提升24亿元,行业投资活动有望逐渐恢复。辅材环节2025年Q3收入及净利润整 体增长,分环节看光伏支架业绩下降,玻璃业绩边 ...
买家对半砍价,卖家心态已崩!房地产市场真正的“底”在哪?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 19:42
这篇经济评论分析房价下跌背后的经济转型近年来,中国房地产市场经历了深度调整,曾经被视为只涨不跌的房价,自2021年下半年开始出现转折,到2025 年,一二级线城市平均房价较2021年高点下跌约40%,部分三四线城市跌幅甚至超过50%,曾经最为坚挺的一线城市也未能幸免,北京、上海、深圳等地房 价出现显著回落,这场调整看似是房地产市场的周期性波动,背后的真相是什么? 房价下跌的多维影响 房价下跌首先对居民消费心理产生了意想不到的冲击,与传统经济逻辑相悖,房价下跌并未带来消费的繁荣。 统计数据显示,2025年前三季度社会消费品零售总额增速下滑至4.5%,而居民储蓄余额却攀升至151.2万亿元的历史高位。 这种看似矛盾的现象背后是"逆向财富效应"在发挥作用 。 当房产占据家庭资产近70%比重时,房价下跌使居民感觉"变穷",从而减少消费、增加储蓄。 一个典型例子是:一个家庭在2020年以500万元购入的房产,到2025年市值降至300万元,但银行贷款余额仍有320万元,这种"负资产"状况迫使家庭紧缩开 支,延缓大宗消费决策 。 房价调整还加剧了城市之间的分化,人口持续流入、产业基础扎实的城市如深圳、杭州、苏州,虽然土地 ...
收评:连跌5天,跌幅超3%,大家情绪都崩溃了!下周,A股会迎来救赎吗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 06:05
Market Overview - A-shares experienced significant declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3834.89 points, down 2.45%, and the Shenzhen Component Index down 3.41% [1] - Over 5000 stocks in the market fell, indicating a widespread downturn, with many stocks seeing cumulative declines exceeding 10% over two weeks [5] Sector Performance - The lithium mining sector faced a "limit down" trend, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting their daily trading limits [2] - The storage chip sector saw sharp declines, with companies like Purun Co. and Shannon Chip Innovation dropping over 10% [3] - The photovoltaic equipment sector also adjusted collectively, with Jinchen Technology hitting its daily limit down [4] Risk Factors - Global risks, particularly the fluctuating expectations around the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, have contributed to market volatility [6][7] - The Japanese bond market's increased volatility has raised global asset pricing risk premiums, affecting high-valuation assets, especially in AI and technology sectors [8][9] - The AI computing sector, a crowded investment area, is experiencing a shift as investors reassess risks, impacting related stocks in A-shares [11] Domestic Influences - Core technology sectors have seen significant declines over the past two weeks, with the large fund holdings index dropping approximately 3.24% last week and over 4% this week [12] - Semiconductor and chip-related indices have also experienced double-digit corrections, indicating that the recent downturn is a cumulative risk release rather than an isolated event [13] Market Dynamics - The market has shown a pattern of "slow rise and rapid decline," with main funds managing their positions strategically [18][19] - The AI computing sector has been central to the recent sell-off, being the most sensitive to valuation changes amid external pressures [20][21] Technical Analysis - The 20-week moving average is identified as a critical support level for the market, with expectations of further declines towards this level before potential stabilization [23][25] - The Shanghai Composite Index is currently near the 20-week line, which is projected to provide significant technical support [25] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to avoid panic selling during downturns and to reassess their portfolio allocations, focusing on valuation and performance stability [34][36] - The current market environment is viewed as a phase of "stage adjustment" rather than a beginning of a medium-term downtrend, suggesting a potential for recovery after the risk release [28][42]
甘肃兴甄核再生资源有限公司成立 注册资本1000万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 11:52
天眼查App显示,近日,甘肃兴甄核再生资源有限公司成立,法定代表人为增太加,注册资本1000万人 民币,经营范围为许可项目:水泥生产;非煤矿山矿产资源开采(除稀土、放射性矿产、钨)(依法须 经批准的项目,经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动)一般项目:再生资源回收(除生产性废旧金 属);再生资源销售;生产性废旧金属回收;固体废物治理;水污染治理;农村生活垃圾经营性服务; 房屋拆迁服务;环境保护专用设备制造;环境应急治理服务;技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交 流、技术转让、技术推广;计算机软硬件及辅助设备批发;以自有资金从事投资活动;企业形象策划; 建筑物清洁服务;专业保洁、清洗、消毒服务;环保咨询服务;生活垃圾处理装备制造;光伏设备及元 器件制造;电动汽车充电基础设施运营;建筑材料销售;非居住房地产租赁;水泥制品制造;水泥制品 销售;建筑砌块销售;建筑砌块制造;金属结构制造;金属结构销售;土壤与肥料的复混加工;建筑用 石加工(除许可业务外,可自主依法经营法。 ...
帮主郑重:光伏龙头遭“清仓式”减持,现在该慌还是捡漏?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 02:11
老铁们,最近光伏板块刚有点反弹气色,没想到大股东们却集体"按下减持键"!阿特斯、天合光能、福斯特这些行业龙头,直接被股东清仓式减持,还有高 瓴资本减持隆基绿能,整个光伏圈减持潮汹涌,这波操作到底藏着啥门道?做了20年财经记者,深耕中长线投资这么久,今天就用大白话跟大家聊透,到底 是该慌着跑路,还是能趁机捡便宜。 得果断回避。 其次,要聚焦有"硬实力"的公司。光伏行业现在分化越来越明显,那些有技术壁垒、现金流稳定、市占率高的龙头,就算遇到短期减持,也能扛住波动。比 如有些公司在高效组件、光伏设备上有核心技术,订单排得很满,业绩有支撑,股东减持只是短期扰动,中长线还是靠谱的;但那些没技术、没订单,全靠 概念炒作的公司,遇到减持潮大概率会跌得很惨,千万别碰。 还有一点很重要,中长线投资别被短期波动带偏。我见过太多投资者,一看到股东减持就慌着割肉,结果割在最低点;也有人看到减持就盲目抄底,最后套 在半山腰。帮主20年的经验告诉我,投资就像过日子,不能只看一时的涨跌,光伏行业长期趋势没改,但短期肯定会有震荡,减持潮就是对投资者心态的考 验,能沉得住气,选对优质公司,才能笑到最后。 其实这波减持潮也给咱们提了个醒,不管哪 ...
雪假来了,这里最长可连休9天;霸王茶姬迎“老板娘” | 消费早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-20 23:19
Group 1 - Xinjiang Altay region's education department announced a snow holiday for students from December 1 to 5, allowing for a maximum of 9 consecutive days off, benefiting 73,000 students [1] - The snow holiday aims to encourage students to participate in cultural and sports activities, as well as outdoor excursions, aligning with local climate conditions [1] Group 2 - Huanyou Group reported total revenue of $540 million for Q3 2025, with live streaming revenue at $388 million and advertising revenue increasing by 29.2% year-over-year [2] - Non-live streaming revenue accounted for 28.1% of total revenue, indicating a diversification in the company's revenue structure [2] - The company's operating profit for Q3, according to non-GAAP measures, was $41 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 16.6% [2] - As of September 30, Huanyou Group had net cash of $3.32 billion [2] Group 3 - The wedding of Zhang Junjie, founder of Bawang Chaji, and Gao Haichun, co-chairman of Trina Solar, has been confirmed, highlighting the intersection of the tea and photovoltaic industries [3] - The marriage may lead to resource, technology, and market expansion synergies between the two sectors [3] Group 4 - Domestic gold jewelry prices have risen again, with several brands reporting prices above 1300 yuan per gram, including Zhou Shengsheng at 1307 yuan and Zhou Dafu at 1305 yuan [4] - Recent fluctuations in the gold market are attributed to factors such as declining expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and uncertainties in economic data and trade situations [4]
飞列涌照明(上海)有限公司成立 注册资本3万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 21:29
天眼查App显示,近日,飞列涌照明(上海)有限公司成立,法定代表人为陈兴淮,注册资本3万人民 币,经营范围为一般项目:技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广;软件开 发;货物进出口;技术进出口。(除依法须经批准的项目外,凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动)自主 展示(特色)项目:灯具销售;照明器具销售;光伏设备及元器件销售;五金产品零售;高性能有色金 属及合金材料销售;半导体照明器件销售;五金产品批发;显示器件销售;家用电器研发;家用电器零 配件销售;园林绿化工程施工;工程管理服务;专业设计服务;规划设计管理;城乡市容管理;光伏发 电设备租赁;太阳能热利用装备销售;太阳能发电技术服务;太阳能热发电装备销售;有色金属合金销 售;新型金属功能材料销售;金属材料销售;机械电气设备销售;输变配电监测控制设备销售;新能源 原动设备销售;计算机软硬件及辅助设备零售;计算机软硬件及辅助设备批发;电力设施器材销售。 ...
21社论丨经济呈现稳中有进,新动能持续积累壮大
21世纪经济报道· 2025-11-15 00:37
Economic Overview - The national economy in October shows a stable and progressive development trend, with basic stability in production supply and overall employment situation [1] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 4.9% year-on-year, a decrease from the previous 6.5% [1] - Exports fell by 1.1% year-on-year, a significant drop from the previous month's growth of 8.3% [1] - Retail sales of consumer goods grew by 2.9% year-on-year, slightly below the previous 3.0% [1] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) turned from a decrease of 0.3% last month to an increase of 0.2%, indicating a gradual recovery in domestic demand [1] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, with the growth rate expanding for six consecutive months [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed for three consecutive months, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.1% [1] Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment decreased by 1.7% year-on-year from January to October, with the decline in the tertiary industry investment being a major factor [2] - Investment in the real estate sector dropped by 14.7%, significantly impacting overall investment growth [2] - Manufacturing investment grew by 2.7% year-on-year, indicating structural optimization, with high-tech manufacturing investment increasing rapidly [3] Consumption Dynamics - Service consumption is becoming a key driver of consumer growth, with manufacturing upgrades leading to increased demand for productive services [3] - There is a notable investment opportunity in the tertiary sector, which contrasts with the rising demand in the service industry [3] - The need for policy guidance and investment support in both living and productive service sectors is emphasized to foster high-quality economic development [3]
【招银研究|宏观点评】逆风加大——中国经济数据点评(2025年10月)
招商银行研究· 2025-11-14 10:58
Economic Overview - In October, major economic indicators in China fell short of market expectations, with industrial added value growing by 4.9% year-on-year (expected 5.2%) and the service production index increasing by 4.6% [1][6] - Fixed asset investment showed a cumulative decline of 1.7% year-on-year (expected -0.7%), with infrastructure and manufacturing growth rates at 1.5% and 2.7% respectively, both below expectations [1][6] Consumption - Retail sales growth was 2.9% year-on-year, slightly down from the previous month, with significant structural changes observed [7] - Durable goods consumption weakened, particularly in the automotive and home appliance sectors, with automotive sales down 6.6% year-on-year [7] - Service consumption, particularly in the restaurant sector, showed improvement, with restaurant service consumption growth rising to 3.8% [7][8] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment declined by 1.7% in October, with significant drops in real estate investment at -14.7% and manufacturing investment at -6.7% [11][14] - Real estate sales saw a notable decrease, with sales area and amount down 18.8% and 24.3% respectively [11] - Infrastructure investment continued to contract, with a year-on-year decline of 12.1% [12] Trade - Exports in October saw a significant drop, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.1% in dollar terms, marking the first negative growth since February 2025 [16] - Imports also slowed to a growth rate of 1.0%, indicating weak domestic demand [19] Supply Side - Industrial production growth slowed, with the industrial added value increasing by only 4.9%, below market expectations [22] - The manufacturing PMI fell to 49.7, indicating contraction for the first time since April [22] Inflation - CPI turned positive at 0.2%, the highest since February, while core CPI inflation rose to 1.2% [23][24] - PPI showed a slight recovery, with a year-on-year decline narrowing to 2.1% [24] Forward Outlook - The necessity for policy support has increased, with multiple incremental policies expected to take effect in November and December to boost infrastructure and manufacturing investment [27]