本文来自微信公众号：凤凰网科技 （ID：ifeng_tech），作者：姜凡，编辑：董雨晴，原文标题：《寒武纪捅破了天？半年报炸裂、净利润超10亿》，题 图来自：AI生成 8月26日，寒武纪（688256.SH）发布的半年报，直接在资本市场投下了一枚重磅炸弹。2025年上半年，公司实现营业收入28.81亿元，同比增长 4347.82%；归属于母公司股东的净利润10.38亿元，而去年同期还是亏损5.3亿元，如今一举扭亏为盈，基本每股收益也从-1.27元翻红至2.5元。 | | | | 单位: 元 中神:人民币 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 本报告期末 | 上年度末 | 本报告期末比上年度末 | | | | | | 增减(%) | | | 总资产 | 8, 420, 117, 458. 26 | 6, 717, 812, 509. 70 | | 25. 34 | | 归属于上市公司股 | 6,755, 397, 722. 83 | 5, 422, 658, 659. 68 | | 24. 58 | | 东的净资产 | | | | | | | 本报告期 | 上年同期 ...

Investment Rating - Industry View: In-Line [7] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing unprecedented demand driven by AI advancements and geopolitical tensions, particularly in the context of China's push for AI localization [4][8]. - The report highlights a decoupling between broader semiconductor cycles and AI growth, indicating that while overall semiconductor growth was slow at 10% year-over-year in 2024, AI-related demand continues to surge [10][13]. - Logic semiconductor foundry utilization is reported at 70-80% in the first half of 2025, suggesting that recovery is still ongoing [9]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - Significant demand is anticipated from AI, with NVIDIA experiencing booming demand and its Days of Inventory (DOI) reaching a historical low [15]. - The report forecasts that the top six companies' capital expenditures (capex) will grow by 62% year-over-year to RMB 373 billion [30]. - China's GPU self-sufficiency ratio was 34% in 2024, expected to rise to 82% by 2027, with local GPU revenue projected to reach RMB 287 billion by 2027 [32][35]. Market Trends and Projections - The total addressable market (TAM) for cloud AI semiconductors is projected to grow to USD 235 billion in 2025, with edge AI semiconductors expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% from 2023 to 2030 [49][60]. - Inference AI semiconductors are forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 55% from 2023 to 2030, outpacing training and general-purpose chips [60]. - The report anticipates robust cloud capex spending of nearly USD 789 billion across 2025-2026, driven by major cloud service providers [49]. Supply Chain and Capacity - TSMC is expected to expand its CoWoS capacity significantly, with projections of producing 5.1 million chips in 2025 [61][70]. - AI computing wafer consumption is estimated to reach up to USD 15 billion in 2025, with NVIDIA accounting for the majority of this consumption [73]. - The report indicates that the semiconductor supply chain is under pressure, with GPU supply and demand needing time to align [70].