Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "A" for the textile and apparel industry [1] Core Insights - Adidas reported a 14% year-on-year revenue growth in its brand under constant currency for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching €12.105 billion, a 7% increase compared to the previous year [4][19] - The report highlights that all regional markets for Adidas achieved double-digit growth under constant currency [20] - The overall textile and apparel sector has shown a decline of 2.14% in the SW textile and apparel index, underperforming the broader market [22] Summary by Sections Company Performance - Adidas' FY2025H1 revenue increased by 7% to €12.105 billion, with a net profit growth of 121% to €798 million [4][19] - The company's gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 51.9%, driven by lower product and transportation costs [5][19] - The report anticipates that for FY2025, Adidas will maintain its guidance of high single-digit revenue growth under constant currency, with operating profit expected to be between €1.7 billion and €1.8 billion [20] Market Dynamics - The textile and apparel sector's retail sales growth for the first half of 2025 was 3.1%, with sports and leisure goods showing a robust growth of 22.2% [11] - The report notes that the SW textile and apparel sector has lagged behind the broader market, with various sub-sectors experiencing declines [22] Regional Performance - In the European market, Adidas' revenue grew by 9% to €3.983 billion, while in North America, it increased by 6% to €2.523 billion [21] - The Greater China market saw an 8% revenue increase to €1.827 billion, and emerging markets experienced an 18% growth to €1.632 billion [21] Valuation Metrics - As of August 1, the PE-TTM for SW textile manufacturing was 20.94, while for SW apparel and home textiles, it was 27.69, indicating high valuation levels compared to historical averages [30]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains a "buy" rating for Prada (01913) but lowers the target price by 6.3% to HKD 75 due to ongoing weakness in the luxury goods sector and uncertainties surrounding the integration of Versace [1] Group 1: Target Price and Valuation - The target price corresponds to a 2025 P/E ratio of 22.6 times and a 2026 P/E ratio of 18.9 times [1] - The current stock price reflects a 2025 P/E ratio of 13.8 times and a 2026 P/E ratio of 11.2 times, indicating a potential upside of 60.3% from the target price [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Prada Group reported a 9% year-on-year increase in net revenue for 1H25, reaching EUR 2.74 billion, in line with FactSet consensus expectations [2] - Gross margin improved to 80.1% in 1H25 from 79.8% in 1H24 due to higher operational efficiency and lower logistics costs [2] - EBIT grew by 6% year-on-year to EUR 607 million, with an EBIT margin of 22.2%, slightly below FactSet consensus of EUR 631 million [2] - Net income stood at EUR 386 million, with a net margin of 14.1%, remaining stable year-on-year [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the group held net cash of EUR 352 million [2] Group 3: Growth Drivers - Despite uncertainties related to the Versace acquisition, Prada Group is expected to be one of the best-performing luxury companies in 2025, driven by: 1) Expansion of retail space for Prada and Miu Miu brands, expected to accelerate in 2H25 [1] 2) Increased production of leather goods for the Miu Miu brand [1] 3) Consistency in creativity while many peers undergo design transformations in 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Prada Group reported a 13% year-on-year increase in net revenue for Q1 of FY2025, reaching €1.341 billion, surpassing market expectations, while competitors like LVMH and Kering experienced declines [2] Group Performance - The Prada brand's revenue remained stable at €913 million, while Miu Miu saw a significant growth of 60%, contributing €416 million to the total revenue [4] - Church's recorded a mild growth of 1.8%, reaching €8.2 million [4] Regional Performance - Asia-Pacific achieved a 9.6% growth despite a challenging market environment [4] - Europe experienced a 14.3% increase driven by local consumer and tourist spending [4] - The Americas saw a 10% growth despite complex macroeconomic conditions [4] - Japan's market grew by 18%, although the growth rate is expected to slow down [4] - The Middle East was the standout market with a substantial 26% growth in retail sales [4] Strategic Initiatives - Prada continues to invest in the Chinese market, opening its first Asian dining space in Shanghai, designed by director Wong Kar-wai, offering a blend of Italian and Chinese cuisine [5][10] - Miu Miu opened its largest flagship store in Wuhan, China, as part of its expansion strategy [10] Acquisition Plans - Prada Group announced the acquisition of Italian luxury brand Versace for €1.25 billion, expected to complete in the second half of 2025, although analysts predict short-term profit pressure due to the acquisition [10]

Core Viewpoint - Prada is facing a significant brand crisis due to the controversy surrounding its global ambassador, Kim Soo-hyun, which has led to a rapid decline in its stock price and raised concerns about its endorsement strategy [2][4][6]. Group 1: Brand Crisis and Stock Impact - Kim Soo-hyun's involvement in a scandal has resulted in Prada terminating its contract with him to mitigate brand damage [2][5]. - Following the scandal, Prada's stock price dropped over 11% within five trading days, indicating heightened sensitivity to celebrity endorsements [4][6]. - The brand has experienced a series of endorsement crises, leading to a perception of a "endorsement curse" that affects its reputation and financial performance [3][5]. Group 2: Endorsement Strategy and Market Position - Analysts suggest that Prada's reliance on high-profile celebrities for endorsements has made its stock price more volatile compared to competitors, necessitating a shift towards a more stable endorsement strategy [7]. - The luxury market is increasingly favoring ambassadors who align with brand values rather than just popularity, as indicated by consumer preferences [7]. - Despite attempts to diversify its ambassador roster, including signing athletes and artists, Prada's financial performance has not shown significant improvement [8][10]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Growth Challenges - Prada's retail sales growth has stagnated, with a reported increase of only 4% in 2024, returning to pre-pandemic growth rates [8]. - The brand's struggles are compounded by a lack of product innovation and operational efficiency, which have hindered its ability to attract younger consumers [9]. - The CEO highlighted challenges in the Chinese market, where growth has been inconsistent, emphasizing the need for a strategic overhaul in product offerings [9][10]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Adjustments - Prada is seeking to adjust its brand strategy by enhancing cultural activities and reinforcing its brand identity, moving away from reliance on individual designer influence [10]. - The company must focus on reconnecting with its core brand values to navigate the current crisis and improve its market position [10].