Summary of OCS Switch Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The OCS (Optical Circuit Switching) switch market is currently valued at approximately $600 million and is expected to exceed $2 billion by 2030, with demand projected to grow to at least 50,000 units [1][5][11]. Key Companies and Their Strategies - **Google**: Leads the OCS switch application in AI scale-up networks, utilizing a unique 3D Torus architecture to interconnect 4,096 TPUs with 48 OCS switches, and supports 9,216 TPUs in the TPU V7 product. Google began exploring OCS in 2017-2018 and started scaling applications in 2023, indicating strong technical accumulation and market leadership [2][3][11]. - **NVIDIA**: Focuses on enhancing data center fault recovery capabilities through OCS switches, using coherent silicon-based liquid crystal solutions for redundancy and continuous operation [1][3]. - **Microsoft**: Evaluates Momentum MEMs and coherent silicon-based liquid crystal solutions for potential use in DCI (Data Center Interconnect) networks, showing rapid progress in hollow fiber layout and DCI interconnect device construction [1][3]. - **Domestic Manufacturers**: Significant players in the OCS supply chain, with companies like Wuxi Dekoli involved in custom development for Google’s next-generation OCS optical modules and MEMs chip manufacturing [2][8]. Market Dynamics and Trends - The demand for Google’s TPUs is expected to drive rapid growth in OCS orders, with conservative estimates suggesting a need for 25,000 units by 2026, potentially generating $1 billion in orders, and increasing to $1.6 to $1.8 billion by 2027 [2][11]. - The OCS technology has gained attention due to advancements that mitigate previous limitations such as long switching delays and limited port numbers, making it suitable for stable traffic scenarios [4][5]. Technical Insights - Current mainstream OCS technologies include MEMs, coherent silicon-based liquid crystal, and piezoelectric ceramic solutions, each with distinct advantages and drawbacks [6][9]. - Google’s next-generation OCS switch is in early development, showing promise in switching delay but not yet meeting industrial production standards [10]. Future Outlook - The OCS market is projected to grow significantly, with potential market share reaching 30% of the current electrical switch market as switching delays improve from milliseconds to microseconds and eventually nanoseconds [5][14]. - The integration of OCS in AI scale-up networks is expected to increase, with AI networks currently accounting for 50% of OCS applications, potentially rising to over 80% in the next three years [15][16]. Conclusion - The OCS switch technology is poised for substantial growth driven by major players like Google, NVIDIA, and Microsoft, alongside domestic manufacturers contributing to the supply chain. The anticipated advancements in technology and increasing demand for high-performance data center solutions will likely accelerate the adoption of OCS in various applications.

Investment Rating - The report recommends a focus on companies involved in OCS systems, particularly those producing OCS machines and core components, with specific recommendations for 中际旭创, 光库科技, and 腾景科技 [3][34][35]. Core Insights - The OCS (Optical Circuit Switches) technology is highlighted as a key advancement in the optical networking industry, providing high bandwidth, low power consumption, and low latency, which are essential for modern data centers [11][14][34]. - The report emphasizes the increasing participation of major industry players in the OCS market, indicating a clearer development path for OCS technology and a potential acceleration in the performance realization of companies within the OCS supply chain [3][34]. Summary by Sections OCS Solutions at the Expo - The 26th China International Optoelectronic Exposition showcased various OCS solutions, with significant participation from over 3,800 exhibitors from more than 30 countries [10]. - Coherent presented two digital liquid crystal OCS solutions, featuring a 300-port and a 64-port model, both designed for high reliability and low power consumption [19][20]. - 光库科技 demonstrated a MEMS OCS solution capable of supporting 640 or 320 LC ports, already deployed in over 750,000 fiber optic connectors globally [25][26]. - 凌云光 and Polatis are leading the promotion of direct beam steering OCS technology, utilizing piezoelectric ceramics for precise light routing [27][31]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in OCS machines, such as 中际旭创, 德科立, 光库科技, and 凌云光, as well as core component manufacturers like 腾景科技 and 赛微电子 [3][34][35]. - The ongoing acceleration in global computing infrastructure and interconnect bandwidth is expected to enhance the performance realization of companies in the OCS supply chain [34]. Company Profit Forecasts and Valuation - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies, with 中际旭创 projected to have an EPS of 8.58 in 2025 and a PE of 48, while 光库科技 is expected to have an EPS of 0.43 and a PE of 237 [4][35].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The telecommunications hardware sector has seen significant growth, driven by the OCS optical switch topic, with companies like ZTE experiencing rapid stock price increases, indicating strong market interest in growth stocks and expectations for leading companies in optical modules and fiber optics to exceed performance forecasts [1][2]. Core Investment Opportunities - **Overseas Computing Power Chain**: Companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Yisheng, and Yuanjie Technology are recommended due to their attractive valuations and optimistic order outlooks, benefiting from the AI industry trend [1][4]. - **Domestic Computing Power Chain**: This sector is expected to see strong performance driven by AI trends, with leading companies likely to revise earnings expectations upward [1][4]. - **Liquid Cooling Technology**: The server industry is focusing on liquid cooling technology, which offers higher efficiency and lower power consumption compared to traditional air cooling solutions [1][5][22]. Financial Performance Insights - Two companies reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations, indicating a recovery in profitability that warrants attention during the upcoming earnings season [6]. - The telecommunications equipment sector has seen a year-to-date increase of over 50%, with a broad market rally driven by low-valuation growth stocks [2]. AI Industry Outlook - Confidence in the growth of the AI industry for 2026 has increased, with expectations for sustained demand for AI hardware as commercial applications accelerate [7][8]. - Major AI models from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are showing strong revenue growth, leading to optimistic capital expenditure forecasts from tech giants [7]. OCS and Silicon Photonics Developments - The OCS optical switch market is gaining traction, with companies like Lumentum and Coherent reporting initial revenues and significant market opportunities [10][11]. - Silicon photonics technology is expected to see increased penetration, providing growth opportunities for domestic suppliers [11]. Recommendations for Low-Valuation Stocks - Companies such as Yilian Network, Zhongtian Technology, and Hengtong are highlighted for their defensive value and potential for growth, particularly in the context of low valuations [3][16]. Telecommunications Market Performance - The telecommunications market has outperformed expectations in 2025, despite a decline in fiber optic cable procurement, with actual demand remaining robust [17][18]. - The light communication business is projected to contribute significantly to profits by 2026, driven by AI applications [19]. Energy Sector Trends - The energy-related business segments, including high-voltage smart grids and offshore energy projects, are expected to maintain strong growth, contributing to overall company performance [20]. Liquid Cooling Technology Adoption - The adoption of liquid cooling technology is expected to rise due to increasing power density in AI servers, with significant growth anticipated in both domestic and international markets [22][23]. AI-Related Investment Opportunities - Companies like Inspur, Unisplendour, and Lenovo are recommended for their strong performance in edge AI products, which rely on robust communication networks [26]. Conclusion - The telecommunications and AI sectors present numerous investment opportunities, with a focus on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from technological advancements and market trends. Investors are encouraged to consider both domestic and overseas players in the computing power chain, as well as emerging technologies like liquid cooling and silicon photonics [1][4][22].