Core Viewpoint - Daiwa maintains a "Buy" rating for China Biologic Products (01177) and raises the target price from HKD 5.6 to HKD 10, reflecting an upward revision in revenue and earnings forecasts due to improved sales of innovative drugs and expected dividend income from Sinovac Biotech [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for China Biologic Products for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted upward by 1% to 6% [1] - Earnings per share estimates have been increased by 56% to 106% [1] Group 2: Product Development - The sales of innovative drugs are progressing as expected, with a 27% year-on-year increase in revenue for innovative drug products, reaching RMB 7.8 billion in the first half of the year [1] - The company anticipates launching a total of 21, 26, and over 35 innovative products in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1] Group 3: New Drug Launches - The report highlights three new drugs expected to be launched by 2027: TQC3721 (PDE3/4), LM-302 (Claudin18.2 ADC), and TQC2731 (TSLP mAb) [1] - The authorization deal for TQC3721 (PDE3/4 inhibitor) is expected to be completed within 2025, as the company is revising terms with potential partners [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's research report indicates that China National Pharmaceutical Group's innovative drug sales are progressing as expected, with an upward revision of the three-year product launch plan, projecting a total of 21, 26, and over 35 innovative products by 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 1: Product Launch and Projections - The main change for China National Pharmaceutical Group is the addition of three new drugs in 2027: TQC3721 (PDE3/4), LM-302 (Claudin 18.2 ADC), and TQC2731 (TSLP mAb) [1] - The company anticipates that the licensing deal for TQC3721 (PDE3/4 inhibitor) will be completed within 2025, as it is currently revising terms with potential partners [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - Daiwa maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Pharmaceutical Group, raising the target price from HKD 5.6 to HKD 10 based on discounted cash flow [1] - Revenue forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 1% to 6%, with earnings per share estimates raised by 56% to 106%, reflecting the upward revision in innovative drug sales and other income projections due to expected continued dividend income from Sinovac Biotech [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that China National Pharmaceutical Group (中生制药) has seen a significant stock price increase, attributed to the recognition of its selective HER2 tyrosine kinase inhibitor, Zongaitini, as a breakthrough therapy by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) in China for treating adult patients with unresectable or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) [1] - The stock price rose over 6%, with a current price of 8.14 HKD and a trading volume of 1.077 billion HKD [1] - Citigroup's report indicates that China National Pharmaceutical Group's net profit for the first half of the year reached 3.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 140%, while revenue was 17.6 billion RMB, reflecting a 10.2% growth compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - The company's profit and revenue figures exceeded market consensus and Citigroup's expectations [1] - Management expresses strong confidence in the potential for licensing innovative candidate drugs, including TQC3721 (PDE3/4) [1] - CICC anticipates that the approval progress for the company's innovative products will accelerate over the next three years, potentially driving additional revenue [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant stock price increase of China National Pharmaceutical Group (中生制药), which rose over 6% and is currently trading at 8.14 HKD with a transaction volume of 10.77 billion HKD [1] - The company has received breakthrough therapy designation from the China National Medical Products Administration (CDE) for its selective HER2 tyrosine kinase inhibitor, Zongaitini, for the treatment of adult patients with unresectable or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) carrying HER2 TKD activating mutations [1] - Citigroup reported that China National Pharmaceutical Group's net profit for the first half of the year reached 3.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 140%, while revenue was 17.6 billion RMB, up 10.2% year-on-year, exceeding market consensus and Citigroup's expectations [1] Group 2 - The management of China National Pharmaceutical Group is optimistic about the licensing potential of its innovative drug candidates, including TQC3721 (PDE3/4) [1] - CICC anticipates that the approval progress of the company's innovative products will accelerate over the next three years, potentially driving more revenue for the company [1]

Group 1 - Citigroup gives a "Buy" rating to China Biologic Products with a target price raised to HKD 10.5, expecting over 19 new products to be approved in the next three years, many with sales potential exceeding HKD 20 billion [1] - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for Sea Group, raising the target price to HKD 28, citing significant profit growth and improved profitability due to strong volume and price increases in the first half of the year [4] - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Health, highlighting strong sales growth in pharmaceuticals and health products, and the efficiency improvements from AI medical applications [2] Group 2 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Netease-S, raising the target price to HKD 240, driven by steady growth in gaming revenue and expectations of new game launches boosting future income [3] - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor, raising the target price to HKD 89.2, with expectations of accelerated new car cycles leading to sustained sales and profit growth [5] - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Xtep International, noting robust growth driven by e-commerce and double-digit growth in same-store sales for its subsidiary [6] Group 3 - CICC maintains an "Outperform" rating for Standard Chartered Group, with second-quarter results exceeding expectations, particularly in non-interest income and wealth management [7] - Huaxing Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings, raising the target price to HKD 685, citing strong performance across all business segments, particularly in AI-driven advertising revenue [8]

Summary of Sino Biopharmaceutical Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177.HK) - **Industry**: China Healthcare - **Current Stock Price**: HK$7.91 (as of August 18, 2025) - **Market Capitalization**: HK$11,783 million - **Price Target**: HK$8.40, indicating a 6% upside potential [5][68] Key Financial Highlights - **1H25 Revenue**: Rmb17.5 billion, representing a 10.7% year-over-year increase - **Core Profit**: Rmb3.1 billion, a significant increase of 101% year-over-year - **Excluding Dividend Income**: Core profit growth would have been 13.0% year-over-year in 1H25 [7] - **Sales Growth from New Products**: Increased by 27% year-over-year in 1H25, on track to meet full-year guidance of 25% [7] Margin and Efficiency - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: 82.5%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points due to biosimilar production capacity expansion and operational efficiency [2] - **SG&A Ratio**: Decreased by 0.2 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to better per capita output and digitalization tools [2] - **R&D Expense Ratio**: Increased by 1.9 percentage points year-over-year to 18.1%, with only ~4.3% capitalized, indicating strong commitment to pipeline advancement [2] Pipeline and Product Development - **Upcoming Drug Launches**: Five innovative drugs expected to launch in 2026 and over ten in 2027 [3] - **Late-stage Candidates**: Management highlighted additional candidates with estimated peak sales of over Rmb2 billion in China [3] - **Key Pipeline Drugs**: - TQB3616 (CDK2/4/6): Estimated peak sales of Rmb2 billion, targeting 50% of China's breast cancer patient base - Zongertinib (HER2 TKI): Estimated peak sales of Rmb1.5 billion, indicated for HER2+ NSCLC [8] Strategic Focus - **Internationalization Strategy**: Remains a top priority, with management confident in securing out-licensing deals in the near future [7] - **Growth Expectations**: Management anticipates accelerated growth driven by an increasing number of new drugs, which are expected to contribute approximately 60% of revenue by 2027 [7] Risks and Considerations - **Upside Risks**: - Early launches of key pipeline drugs - Smaller-than-expected price cuts from centralized procurement rounds - Potential for accretive M&A activity or positive in-licensing deals [13] - **Downside Risks**: - Delays in the launch of key pipeline drugs - Greater-than-expected price cuts and margin erosion from centralized procurement - Impact from adjuvant drug policies [13] Valuation Methodology - **Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)**: WACC of 9.6% and a perpetual growth rate of 3% - **Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) Valuation**: - Generics valued at 10x 2025e P/E - Existing innovative drugs & biosimilars at 2.5x P/peak sale - Pipeline innovative drugs at 2.5x P/peak sale - Implied business development value of Rmb20 billion [11] Conclusion - **Investment Rating**: Overweight, with an attractive industry view [5][68] - **Future Outlook**: Positive growth trajectory anticipated, driven by new product launches and strategic internationalization efforts.

Core Viewpoint - China National Pharmaceutical Group (中生制药) reported a decline of over 5% in stock price following the release of its interim results, despite showing strong revenue and profit growth [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 17.575 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7% [1] - Net profit reached 3.389 billion RMB, up 12.3% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share were reported at 0.1882 RMB [1] - A mid-term dividend of 0.05 HKD was declared, compared to 0.03 HKD in the same period last year [1] Market Expectations - CICC noted that the company's performance exceeded expectations, driven by higher-than-expected revenue from innovative products and dividend income [1] - Citigroup's report highlighted that both profit and revenue surpassed forecasts, with innovative product sales increasing by 27% to 7.8 billion RMB [1] - Management anticipates a 25% year-on-year growth in innovative product sales for the fiscal year 2025, maintaining a double-digit growth target for revenue and net profit [1] Product Pipeline - The management expects over 19 new products to be approved in the next three years, many of which have sales potential exceeding 2 billion RMB [1] - There is strong confidence in the out-licensing potential of innovative candidates, including TQC3721 (PDE3/4) [1]