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不惧关税冲击:多位券商首席看好加仓机会,砸坑即买点
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-12 22:23
Core Viewpoint - The consensus among brokerages is that the impact of the current trade tensions will be significantly less than that experienced in April, with many viewing the situation as an opportunity rather than a cause for panic [1][4][5][10]. Group 1: Market Reactions and Strategies - Multiple brokerages emphasize the "TACO" trading strategy, suggesting that short-term market declines due to tariff threats often present buying opportunities [1][7][11]. - Analysts from various firms, including Guangfa Securities and Huaxi Securities, predict that the current market environment is different from April, with a more robust monetary and fiscal policy backdrop supporting the market [7][10]. - The potential for a minor risk-reward rebalancing is noted, with expectations of a short-term reduction in leveraged funds against the backdrop of strong market fundamentals [4]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Insights - The ongoing trade tensions are viewed as a tactical maneuver by the U.S. to gain leverage in negotiations, with the likelihood of a resolution being high [6][11]. - Analysts highlight that the long-term trend for A-shares remains bullish, supported by structural improvements in earnings and credit recovery [13]. - The upcoming APEC summit is identified as a critical event that may influence future negotiations and market sentiment [6]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Specific sectors such as technology, AI, and semiconductor industries are recommended for investment, particularly in the context of potential market volatility [7][10]. - The focus on domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth and addressing internal demand is seen as a key driver for future market performance [9][13]. - Analysts suggest that the current market conditions may provide favorable entry points for investors, particularly in light of historical patterns observed during similar market conditions [7][8].
美政府裁员,裁错人了?
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-12 11:50
据央视新闻,10月10日是约66万美国联邦雇员领工资的日子,但美国政府在这个发薪日不仅拖欠了工 资,还把很多人开了。白宫管理和预算办公室主任沃特当天在社交媒体上宣布,联邦政府裁员开始。此 前特朗普和白宫官员多次表示,政府一旦停摆就裁员,裁员将集中在"趋向民主党的领域",并称民主党 人应对此负责。不过就在11日,又有政府部门承认,因"代码出错"裁错人了。 裁谁?裁多少? 白宫负责裁员的办公室表示,裁员规模"相当可观",但没说具体裁了哪些人。媒体向美国各政府部门求 证,财政部、卫生与公众服务部、国土安全部等主要部门都证实,他们正在裁员。据不完全统计,仅7 个部门在1天之内就开除了四千多人。 特朗普10日在发布会上说,裁员"以民主党人为主",因为"是他们发动的政府停摆"。他此前还把这轮裁 员称为"民主党裁员"。 "这真的取决于你在谈论谁,但总体来说,我们会照顾好自己人。"特朗普告诉记者,"有些人真的不值 得被照顾,我们会以不同的方式来对待他们。" 据美媒"政治新闻网"报道,白宫管理办公室指示联邦机构制定裁员计划时,要求他们裁掉"与总统的优 先事项不一致"的员工或项目。 美国政府雇员联合会和美国劳工联合会-产业工会联 ...
伦敦白银市场现流动性危机,交易员担忧特朗普政府酝酿另一大招
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-12 03:05
白银现价已升至50美元/盎司以上,导致伦敦白银市场陷入混乱,大规模的空头挤压让市场流动性几乎 完全枯竭。 交易员指出,任何现货白银的空头都难以找到白银,因此被迫支付高昂的借贷成本移仓。还有的交易商 已预订跨大西洋航班中的舱位来运输大块银条,而这种昂贵的运输方式通常被用于运输更有价值的黄 金。 大宗商品对冲基金Greenland Investment Management的首席投资官Anant Jatia表示,他从未见过市场这样 的情况,白银目前已没有可用的流动性。 这种前所未有的情况导致伦敦白银市场较纽约市场的溢价从平常的约3美分上升至超过20美分。摩根大 通董事总经理Robert Gottlieb指出,银行现在都不愿意相互报价,因此价差极大,这也是流动性不足的 原因。 飙涨的可能性 近年来,白银库存一直在稳步减少。由于矿山产量未能满足投资者和太阳能电池板等工业应用的需求, 导致持续供应短缺。其次,由于担心关税,交易商今年纷纷将白银运往美国。 2021年年中以来,伦敦的白银库存下降了三分之一,其中很大一部分由ETF持有。另据计算,可供伦敦 市场提供流动性的剩余白银自由流通量目前已降至仅2亿盎司,较2019年年 ...
央行:金融机构开展客户尽职调查时,应识别并核实客户受益所有人
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-11 12:41
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has drafted the "Management Measures for the Identification of Beneficial Owners of Financial Institutions (Draft for Comments)" to enhance anti-money laundering (AML) efforts and comply with international assessments [2][3] Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The draft measures apply to institutions required to conduct customer due diligence as per existing AML regulations [2] - The measures aim to refine the implementation of the Anti-Money Laundering Law and enhance the effectiveness of beneficial owner identification [2][3] Group 2: Identification Requirements - The draft specifies basic requirements and principles for financial institutions to identify and verify beneficial owners [3] - It emphasizes a risk-based approach, allowing simplified identification for low-risk clients [3] Group 3: Process and Responsibilities - The measures outline the identification and verification process, including the necessary identity and rights information to be collected [3] - A feedback mechanism is established to address discrepancies in identification, with clear standards for major and minor discrepancies [3]
罕见反超!9月证券类私募登记超股权类,量化成关键入场券
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-11 12:28
Core Insights - The private equity industry has significantly contracted in scale, with the number of registered private equity institutions dropping from over 1,000 in the same period of 2022 to just over 100 in the first three quarters of this year, indicating a shift away from the expansion phase [1] - In September, the number of newly registered securities private equity institutions (10) surpassed that of equity private equity institutions (4), breaking the trend of the previous eight months where equity private equity led [2][3] - The new registrations of securities private equity are characterized by a quantitative background, suggesting a growing interest in the secondary market among institutions [1][5] Industry Trends - The overall number of private equity registrations has stabilized after a sharp decline, with 111 registrations in the same period of 2024 compared to 381 in 2023 and 1,020 in 2022, indicating a transition to a phase of strict control and quality improvement [4] - The new private equity registrations this year exhibit three main characteristics: core teams with quantitative investment experience, members with public fund backgrounds, and well-known private equity executives starting their own firms [1][5] Quantitative Strategies - Despite a decrease in the proportion of quantitative products registered in September, stock strategy products still accounted for over 70% of the total, indicating a continued focus on equity markets [1][7] - In September, 652 private equity firms registered a total of 1,028 products, with quantitative products making up 35.41% of the new registrations, reflecting a temporary adjustment in risk appetite rather than a strategic shift [7][9] Notable Registrations - Among the 652 private equity firms registered in September, 47 were billion-yuan firms, and over half (345) were small firms with assets between 0-5 billion yuan [9] - The firm "Liwei" registered the most products in September, with 23, while other billion-yuan firms also contributed significantly to the new registrations [9][10]
对话vivo副总裁周围:拒绝AI“功能过载”,揭秘vivo“系统功能AI化”的务实路径
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-11 12:20
当被问及为何将重心从过去备受关注的175B(1750亿)参数大模型转向如今的3B端侧模型时,vivo副 总裁周围坦率地承认,这是一次基于现实与未来判断的主动选择 。他直言,继续在云端卷通用人工智 能的成本是惊人的。"往2000亿、4000亿(参数)跑的时候投200亿元是不够的 ,"周围表示,"我们马 上就发现万卡集群都不够用了,我们要做两万卡以上的集群,两万卡和一万卡光设备就要加20几亿,而 且这还远远不够 。"他进一步补充道:"做个4000亿的参数,可能要花50亿买算力,而且这50亿里还要 三分之一,差不多是15亿是电费,往后每年烧电还要烧这么多钱,所以就烧不起 。" 战略转向:从千亿参数的"烧钱竞赛"到端侧模型的务实深耕 推理能力远超前代: "今年的3B远超去年的7B ",周围强调,其推理能力、归纳综合能力、复杂任务拆 解能力甚至超越了全球范围内评测的多种8B模型 。 性能体验飞跃: 端侧模型的出词速度(tokens)直接提升至200tokens/s,相比去年的80多有了巨大飞跃 。 实现端侧长文本能力: 实现了类似"月之暗面"大模型的长tokens能力,这是一项"巨大的突破"和"真正 颠覆性的"功能 。 ...
“货币贬值交易”愈演愈烈,美银大胆预测: 黄金明年初升至6000美元
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-11 11:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite the U.S. government shutdown, there is still strong demand for risk assets, with significant inflows into various investment categories [1][2] - Money market funds attracted $729 billion in the week ending October 8, while bonds, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold attracted $256 billion, $200 billion, $55 billion, and $21 billion respectively [2] - Healthcare funds saw their largest inflow since April 2023, totaling $1.5 billion, while financial funds experienced their first outflow in seven weeks, amounting to $200 million [2] Group 2 - The trend of "currency devaluation trades" is gaining momentum, with investors increasingly moving into gold, cryptocurrencies, and other alternative assets to hedge against the declining purchasing power of fiat currencies [3] - Historical data suggests that gold prices could reach $6,000 by next spring, based on an average increase of approximately 300% during past gold bull markets [3]
宗馥莉辞职,更多内幕曝光
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-11 10:28
凤凰网《风暴眼》出品 ID|finance_ifeng 2025年10月10日,多家媒体报道,宗馥莉已于9月12日向娃哈哈集团有限公司(后文简称:娃哈哈集团)辞去公司法定代表人、董事及董 事长等全部职务,且辞职程序已通过集团股东会和董事会批准。娃哈哈集团后续已确认该消息属实。 一位知情人士对凤凰网《风暴眼》表示,10月10日当天刚开完董事会。 对于宗馥莉辞职的原因,此前《财新》报道是因为商标使用〞不合规",对此,该知情人士指出,股东各方对"娃哈哈"商标的使用授权确 实一直存在分歧。知情人士对凤凰网《风暴眼》进一步分析了其中的原由—— "娃哈哈"商标所有权并不归属于宗馥莉家族,而是由娃哈 哈集团持有,此前,宗馥莉在担任娃哈哈集团董事长及总经理的同时,又经营着自家的宏胜饮料集团公司(后文简称:宏胜集团),现 在,与娃哈哈集团没有股权关系的宏胜集团想独立推出"娃小宗"品牌,假如宗馥莉不辞去自己在娃哈哈集团的职务,那将构成同业竞争 问题。根据《公司法》第一百八十四条规定,董事、监事、高级管理人员未向董事会或者股东会报告,并按照公司章程的规定经董事会 或者股东会决议通过,不得自营或者为他人经营与其任职公司同类的业务。 ...
三星心系天下W26折叠屏手机发布:16999元起
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-11 10:18
Group 1 - Samsung China held the "Heartfelt World" series product launch event on October 11, officially releasing the new device Samsung W26, which is based on the Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 7 and features new color options of Danxi Red and Xuan Yao Black along with the Heartfelt World logo [1] - The Samsung W26 is priced at 16,999 yuan for the 16+512GB version and 18,999 yuan for the 16+1TB version [3] - The W26 has a folded thickness of 8.9mm and an unfolded thickness of 4.2mm, making it the thinnest phone in the Heartfelt World series, with a total weight of only 215g [3] Group 2 - The new device is equipped with the Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 for Galaxy mobile platform and includes Galaxy AI, supporting Tiantong satellite communication services [5]
滴滴自动驾驶获得D轮20亿元融资 L4应用加速落地
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-11 09:55
Core Insights - Didi Autonomous Driving announced a Series D funding round, raising a total of 2 billion yuan, with investors including various funds and automotive groups [1] - The funds will be used to enhance AI research and development and promote the application of Level 4 autonomous driving technology, contributing to the high-quality development of the transportation industry [1] - Didi's co-founder and CEO of Didi Autonomous Driving, Zhang Bo, emphasized that Level 4 autonomous driving technology is one of the most significant technological transformations in the next decade of the AI era, aiming to significantly improve travel safety, efficiency, and experience [1] Funding and Investment - The total amount raised in the D round financing is 2 billion yuan [1] - Investors include Zhongguancun Science City Technology Growth Fund, Beijing Information Industry Development Investment Fund, Beijing Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund, GAC Group, Guangzhou Guanghua Fund, and Didi itself [1] Technology Development - Didi Autonomous Driving has nearly ten years of experience in AI, mass production, and operations [1] - The company is committed to responsible technological innovation while exploring new employment opportunities and steadily advancing autonomous driving development [1] - Didi Autonomous Driving has initiated full-scene, fully unmanned testing in Beijing and Guangzhou, demonstrating stable performance in complex travel scenarios [1] Future Plans - A new generation of pre-installed autonomous driving vehicles, co-developed with GAC Aion, is planned for delivery by the end of 2025, with subsequent demonstration applications in cities like Beijing and Guangzhou [1]