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越南秋季博览会将于10月26日至11月4日在河内越南展览中心举办
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-10-10 18:02
报道称,越南政府总理范明政指定越南工贸部每年定期举办越南国际工业、贸易及消费品博览会 (简称VIEE),首届VIEE以"秋季博览会"命名。这是重要的国家级国际贸促活动,是国家经济活动中 的代表性事件。 (原标题:越南秋季博览会将于10月26日至11月4日在河内越南展览中心举办) 越南《工贸报》10月9日报道称,根据越政府总理范明政9月25日签发的指导意见,由工贸部主办的 2025越南秋季博览会将于10月26日至11月4日在河内越南展览中心举办。 据悉,本届展会的展出规模约10万平米,设3000个标准展位(9平方米/展位),将集中展示加工制 造业、配套工业、机械设备、食品饮料、纺织服装、鞋类、建筑材料、手工艺品、消费品、电子商务、 信息技术及服务贸易等领域的产品,参展对象包括越南本土企业和外国企业,将为企业拓展市场、技术 转让及在越推广品牌提供重要平台机遇。 ...
消费行业低迷,原因为何,未来还会起来吗?|第407期精品课程
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-09 16:06
长按识别下面二维码,添加 @课程小助手 微信,回复「 0919 」即可观看直播回放。 (提示:回复后可以耐心等待几秒哦~) 消费行业的分类 消费行业,跟投资者的日常生活密切相关,也是最知名的行业。 一般提到消费行业,会有两种:必需消费、可选消费。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 有朋友问,消费有哪些细分行业,长期表现如何? 过去20年,消费行业经历了哪些牛熊市?为啥今年比较低迷,之后还会起来吗? 投资消费行业,需要注意哪些? 针对大家的这些疑问,螺丝钉也通过直播课,进行了讲解。 (1)必需消费 是我们日常生活中必不可少的消费品。 主要是食品饮料,包括酒、乳制品、肉制品等。 (2)可选消费 是提高我们生活质量的消费品。 主要是汽车、家电、传媒娱乐等。 像之前比较火的新能源车属于可选消费,游戏属于传媒娱乐。 另外,消费行业和一些策略进行叠加,也可以组成新的指数。 比如,消费行业和龙头策略进行叠加,组成了消费龙头指数。 下面这张图,汇总了消费行业的常见指数,方便大家更加直观地了解消费行业的分类、具体情况等。 消费行业的长期表现 长期来看,消费行业的表现不错。 如下是11个一级行业从2004年年底以来的表现。 ...
国泰海通|宏观:假期消费:表现如何
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-10-09 13:05
Core Insights - The holiday economy shows a steady increase, with a daily average of 154 million people traveling across regions during the first five days of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [1] - There is a notable increase in outbound and overseas travel flights, exceeding 12% [1] - Consumer spending is driven by two main themes: "cost-performance ratio" and "emotional value" [1] Travel and Tourism - Strong demand for homecoming and tourism travel is observed [1] - Different provinces and cities show growth in tourist reception and tourism revenue, although the growth rates vary significantly [1] - Movie consumption remains subdued, influenced by film quality, with ticket prices continuing to decline [1] Consumer Goods - The automotive sector performs well due to the impending expiration of subsidies and the launch of new models [1] - Home appliance consumption is affected by high base disturbances, but smart and green categories show strong performance [1] Real Estate and Land Market - Real estate sales see a holiday decline, with year-on-year variations due to base disturbances [1] - The land market remains relatively cold [1] Economic Indicators - Infrastructure investment is ramping up, with the issuance of special bonds at the fastest pace in recent years [1] - Post-holiday restocking drives accelerated port operations [1] - Production slows down before the holiday, while consumer goods prices show significant increases, particularly in food and beverages [1] - Industrial product prices experience a slight decline [1] - Liquidity remains ample, with the US dollar index returning above 98 [1]
贵州贸易结构持续优化
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-07 00:32
美国、泰国、越南等传统贸易伙伴保持重要地位。同时,对非洲、拉丁美洲、欧洲的出口占比有所 扩大,多元化的全球贸易网络正在形成。 今年上半年,贵州的出口表现尤为亮眼,出口总额达269.05亿元、同比增长14%,较2024年同期提 高8.79个百分点,对全省外贸增长的贡献率达70.41%,显示出较强的外需拉动作用。贵州省社会科学院 党委常委、副院长赵普认为,贵州进出口结构的变化凸显了该省外贸增长正更多依靠出口扩张带动,贸 易结构持续优化,内陆开放型经济特征进一步明显。 从出口产品结构来看,贵州省出口竞争力持续增强,"新""老"动能协同驱动特征显著。全省共出口 3096种产品,市场遍布全球209个国家和地区,"贵州商品"国际影响力持续扩大。一方面,传统优势商 品继续发挥"压舱石"作用;另一方面,以锂离子蓄电池为代表的高附加值产品出口表现突出,成为拉动 出口增长的新引擎。该产品主要销往西班牙、英国、印度、越南等多个国家和地区,显示出强大的国际 市场竞争力和市场多元化趋势。 在国际市场布局方面,贵州省积极构建多元化市场格局,取得显著成效。东南亚作为第一大出口市 场,对贵州出口总额增长的贡献率为30.77%。南美洲市场对贵 ...
名创优品(09896.HK):关注美国市场运营提效及海外旺季催化
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-30 19:32
Company Overview - Company has been actively enhancing operational efficiency in the U.S. market, with significant improvements in store efficiency observed [1] - The company aims to create a one-stop shopping experience for families in the U.S., covering a wide range of products including toys, beauty, food, home goods, and gifts [1] - The company possesses advantages in product quality and IP richness [1] Operational Strategy - The company is leveraging AI and data models to drive store management and resource allocation, improving site selection accuracy and single-store operational efficiency [1] - A strategy shift from scattered store openings to clustered openings in strategic areas is being implemented to enhance brand visibility and reduce costs [1] - The company is exploring various store formats in the U.S., planning to open higher-quality stores in Lifestyle Centers and Power Centers [1] Performance Metrics - According to the company's Q2 2025 earnings call, the new store efficiency in the U.S. market is projected to be 1.5 times that of existing stores, with a nearly 30% higher sales per square meter and improved rent-to-sales ratio [1] - The company anticipates a boost in overseas single-store profit margins during the fourth quarter, which is typically a peak season for overseas operations [2] Financial Forecast - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 is set at 2.9 billion and 3.7 billion respectively, with current Hong Kong and U.S. stocks corresponding to a 17 times 2025 non-IFRS P/E ratio [2] - The company maintains a target price of 56.93 HKD and 29.38 USD for Hong Kong and U.S. stocks respectively, corresponding to a 22 times 2025 non-IFRS P/E, indicating a potential upside of 32% for both [2]
长假前后,消费、房市、股市会怎样?大数据告诉你答案
和讯· 2025-09-29 08:35
今年国庆中秋叠加八天"超级黄金周",从历年数据看,人员出行规模持续走高并呈现 出行 方式分 化,旅游市场在稳定增长中进一步释放长线需求,餐饮消费在 中秋 团圆与文旅带动下延续升级态 势,电影档期亦在多类型影片加持下蓄势待发 ...... 全国消费市场有望迎来新一轮高峰。 和讯财经研 究院基于历史数据和领先数据指标,带您前瞻今年黄金周出行、消费、楼市、股市等市场热点。 01 出行:全国人员流动将呈现量增+出行方式分化新特征 | | 客运量,万人次 | 日均,万人次 | 比 2023 年同期日均增长 | 比 2019 年同期日均增长 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 铁路 | 13125.1 | 1875 | 6.3% | 27.5% | | 水路 | 980.1 | 140 | 10.0% | -27.5% | | 民航 | 1609.6 | 229.9 | 11.1% | 22% | | 公路 | 184616 | 26373.7 | 3.7% | 23.3% | | 自驾 | 158541 | 22648.7 | 3.8% | 55.8% | | 营业客运 | 2607 ...
十月策略及十大金股:为牛市换挡
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-28 13:06
Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes a transition towards a bull market, driven by recovering demand for physical assets amidst supply constraints, particularly in the copper market [3][9][12] - Recent disruptions in copper supply, notably from the Grasberg mine, are expected to create price elasticity for future manufacturing demand recovery [9][12] - The report highlights a shift from a focus on financial assets to physical assets, indicating a potential new cycle for resource commodities [4][12] Group 2: Key Companies and Industries - **Engineering Machinery: Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH)** is positioned for growth due to increased overseas demand and domestic infrastructure projects, with a favorable outlook for its core business [14] - **Non-Banking Financial: Sichuan Shuangma (000935.SZ)** is transitioning to an innovative drug CDMO model, with significant growth potential from its investment projects and pharmaceutical capacity expansion [15][16] - **Food and Beverage: Angel Yeast (600298.SH)** is expected to benefit from overseas expansion and improved domestic demand, with a favorable cost environment [17] - **Transportation: Juneyao Airlines (603885.SH)** is set to gain from industry supply-demand improvements and reduced interest expenses, with positive short-term catalysts from seasonal demand [18] - **Retail: Gu Ming (1364.HK)** is leveraging a unique store expansion strategy in the competitive milk tea market, with significant growth potential in coffee products [19] - **Media and Internet: Tencent Holdings (0700.HK)** is integrating AI across its ecosystem, enhancing its competitive edge and driving growth through high-margin businesses [20][21] - **Electronics: Lante Optics (688127.SH)** is experiencing strong demand in various sectors, with supply constraints on production equipment [22] - **Computing: Hikvision (002415.SZ)** is seeing a recovery in operating quality and profitability, with a focus on AI-driven products [23] - **Pharmaceuticals: Innovent Biologics (9969.HK)** is a leader in hematology and autoimmune therapies, with significant growth potential from its core products [24] - **Defense and Military: Guobo Electronics (688375.SH)** is positioned to benefit from growth in military and satellite internet sectors, with a strong market outlook [25]
全球脉动和中国新动力:2025年中国网络零售TOP100报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 02:17
Core Insights - The report highlights the rapid growth of the global and Chinese online retail markets, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.6% from 2020 to 2024 and an expected 7.5% from 2025 to 2029, driven primarily by the Asia-Pacific region [2][16][25]. - China's online retail market is transitioning from rapid expansion to refined operations, with the number of online shoppers projected to reach 974 million by 2024, and emerging models like instant retail and live commerce becoming key growth drivers [2][16][17]. - The top 100 online retail companies in China are expected to generate sales exceeding 2.17 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.6%, with over 60% of these companies achieving positive growth [2][17]. Global Online Retail Market - The global online retail market is experiencing high growth, with the Asia-Pacific, North America, and Europe regions accounting for 90% of the market share, and the Asia-Pacific region expected to reach a market size of $2.7 trillion by 2029 [2][16][25]. - The online retail market in North America is characterized by a stable growth structure led by major players like Amazon, Walmart, and eBay, with a projected market size of $1.71 trillion by 2029 [37][46]. - In Europe, the online retail market is growing steadily, with significant regional differences, and is increasingly influenced by digital payment and logistics infrastructure [48][56]. Chinese Online Retail Market - The Chinese online retail market is shifting towards precision operations, with a notable increase in retail share from lower-tier cities, which now account for 58% of the market [2][16][17]. - Instant retail and live commerce are emerging as significant growth engines, with rural online retail sales expected to grow at a CAGR of 11% from 2022 to 2024 [2][16][17]. - The top 100 online retail companies in China exhibit a "multi-format synergy" characteristic, with 63 consumer brand companies, 24 physical retail companies, and 13 e-commerce companies contributing to a trillion-yuan market [2][17]. Industry Trends and Innovations - The report identifies three major directions for industry development: retail media expansion through multi-channel marketing, differentiated positioning based on consumer needs, and innovative business models that enhance collaboration between suppliers and retailers [3][21]. - The rise of retail media is seen as a way for consumer brands and retailers to redefine their core value by becoming content producers and leveraging digital marketing strategies [21][23]. - The online sales ratio of physical retail companies is increasing, with over 60% of the top 70 physical retail companies achieving an online sales ratio exceeding 10% [20][21].
美国政府为扩大关税铺路:对机器人、工业机械及医疗器械进口展开调查
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 23:49
(原标题:美国政府为扩大关税铺路:对机器人、工业机械及医疗器械进口展开调查) 智通财经APP获悉,特朗普政府对机器人、工业机械和医疗设备的进口产品展开了调查,这为实施新的关税措施奠定了基础。根据美国联邦公 报,美国商务部正依据《贸易扩展法》第 232 条开展相关调查。调查于 9 月 2 日启动。根据该法律,总统有权对被认为对国家安全至关重要的商 品征收关税,而美国商务部需在 270 天内提交其政策建议。 这些新的调查反映了特朗普政府一些官员对于美国在诸多医疗用品(包括注射器、缝合线、导管和纱布)方面过度依赖外国供应商的担忧。美国商 务部还将审查个人防护设备的贸易情况,比如在新冠疫情期间随处可见的防护手套和口罩等产品。 新公布的医疗设备调查将不涉及处方药、生物制剂以及其他药品,这些药品的审查工作已经在商务部的另一项调查中进行了。 根据公告内容,此次对机器人及工业机械的调查将重点针对计算机控制的机械系统、铣床以及工厂中广泛使用的冲压和压装设备。 相关ETF 食品饮料ETF (产品代码: 515170) 新公布的调查扩大了可能受到关税影响的行业范围,而特朗普希望通过提高进口商品的成本来鼓励关键行业的国内制造业发展。 ...
消费行业低迷,原因为何,未来还会起来吗?|第407期直播回放
银行螺丝钉· 2025-09-19 14:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses the performance and future outlook of the consumer industry, highlighting its historical cycles of bull and bear markets over the past 20 years [1][11][13]. - The consumer industry is categorized into two main segments: essential consumption and discretionary consumption [5][6][7]. - Essential consumption includes daily necessities such as food and beverages, while discretionary consumption encompasses items that enhance quality of life, like automobiles and entertainment [6][7]. Group 2 - The consumer industry has shown good long-term performance, with both essential and discretionary segments being considered excellent investment options [11]. - Over the past 20 years, the consumer industry has experienced four cycles of bull and bear markets, indicating its volatility [13]. - The consumer industry has been relatively sluggish this year, with A-share consumer indices showing only slight increases compared to the broader market [15][19]. Group 3 - The recent low performance in the consumer industry can be attributed to high valuations in 2021, followed by a correction phase, leading to a decline in both valuation and earnings growth [17][22]. - The current economic cycle reflects a basic characteristic of the economy, where low fundamentals lead to pessimism and declining valuations, while improving fundamentals can boost investor optimism and valuations [26]. - Investment in the consumer industry should focus on undervalued opportunities, with a recommendation to buy during low valuation periods and hold until high valuations are reached [30][31].