Ge Long Hui
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13F报告揭秘:巴菲特收官持仓曝光,段永平试水“AI交易”!
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 11:28
近期,华尔街13F报告陆续出炉,金融巨鳄们最新动向最新大曝光。 其中,股神巴菲特在最后任期继续减持苹果、美银等重仓股;高瓴HHLR四季度增持阿里、拼多多等;此前,桥水Q4增持 英伟达、亚马逊等AI热门股。 巴菲特收官"之作" 当地时间2月17日美股盘后,伯克希尔向美国证监会(SEC)披露了最新13F文件。 在巴菲特担任CEO的最后一季度,伯克希尔继续调整科技巨头持仓,减持多只重仓股的同时,首次建仓传统媒体纽约时 报。 截至2025年四季度末,伯克希尔的十大重仓股分别是:苹果、美国运通、美国银行(核心股)、可口可乐、雪佛龙、穆迪 (排名从第七升至第六)、西方石油(排名从第六降至第七)、瑞士安达保险、卡夫亨氏、谷歌母公司Alphabet。 伯克希尔连续第三个季度减持苹果。 第四季度抛售苹果超过1029万股,持股数环比第三季度减少4.32%,季末苹果持仓市值环比减少约28亿美元,持仓在伯克希 尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的22.69%降至22.60%。 以环比减少的市值看,苹果是伯克希尔2025年第四季度减持最多的个股。 纽约时报是伯克希尔四季度唯一新建仓的个股。 伯克希尔买入数量为506.7万股,持仓市值为3.52 ...
上千问“一句话下单”40%是00后,广东、山东、河南00后最积极
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 11:21
与过去需要在多个APP之间比价、查攻略不同,年轻人更青睐"一句话下单"的便捷体验:在旅游方面, 他们让千问帮买最多的景区门票是峨眉山;在观影方面,他们最喜欢让千问帮买《惊蛰无声》电影票; 在日常餐饮中,00后们通过千问下单最多的仍是奶茶。 在购票、出行等需要多步骤判断的场景中,00 后的活跃度更远超其他年龄层。仅景区门票预订一项,就有50%的一句话指令来自00后。 目前,千问春节活动仍在延续,面向所有人推出"每日首单必减",最低3.8元,同时还能叠加淘宝闪 购、飞猪、大麦等平台的原有优惠,持续推进AI生活成为日常。 千问APP今日公布,通过千问"一句话下单"的用户中,00后占比高达40%,成为最活跃的群体,其中来 自广东、山东、河南三地的00后最为突出。在点外卖、订酒旅、买电影票核心消费场景中,00后占比均 位居首位,"千问帮我"正从尝鲜体验成为年轻人的日常习惯。 半个月前,千问推出"春节大免单"活动,火爆全网。活动期间,全国有超过1.3亿人第一次体验AI下 单,说了50亿次"千问帮我",千问一跃成为国民级AI助手。其中00后作为数字原住民,率先拥抱这一AI 时代的新生活方式,占比高达40%,特别是广东、山东 ...
千问3.5引爆全球AI产业链,英伟达、华为昇腾、AMD、苹果等第一时间适配
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 08:11
格隆汇2月18日|千问3.5除夕开源发布,在全球AI产业链掀起热潮。截至2月18日,英伟达、AMD、苹 果公司等国际硬件厂商,已实现开发框架乃至芯片层对Qwen3.5的适配;华为昇腾、摩尔线程、沐曦、 海光等国产GPU和平台均官宣Day 0 适配千问3.5新模型。千问3.5总参数3970亿仅激活170亿,性能超越 上代万亿参数模型Qwen3-Max,部署显存占用大降60%,推理最大吞吐提升至19倍。基于底层模型架构 创新,Qwen3-Plus在阿里云百炼API价格低至每百万Token0.8元,以不到5%的低价格获得媲美Gemini 3 的高性能。 千问3.5以小胜大,创下大模型效率和性价比新高,又因其开源而一举成为三方平台争先抢 上的最热门模型。国家超算互联网平台、曙光云、算能Sophnet、OpenRouter、Together AI、Ollama、 ZenMux、Novita AI、Poe等国内外平台,均已第一时间上线Qwen3.5模型,对外提供API服务或体验入 口。 ...
瑞博生物(06938.HK):端到端的小核酸开发能力 差异化的管线布局
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 01:53
Investment Highlights - Company is a global leader in small nucleic acid drug development with a proven platform since its establishment in 2007 [1] - The company has developed the GalNAc liver-targeting RiboGalSTAR platform and is expanding from liver-targeting to extrahepatic targeting [1] - The company has a comprehensive intellectual property portfolio with 473 patents and patent applications as of the end of 2025 [1] - The research platform integrates the entire technology chain, ensuring efficiency from CMC production to commercialization [1] Clinical Assets - Company is one of the Chinese small nucleic acid enterprises with the most clinical assets, having 7 siRNA pipelines in clinical stages by the end of 2025 [2] - Core assets include RBD4059 (FXI), RBD5044 (ApoC3), and RBD1016 (HBV), with RBD4059 being the fastest progressing FXI siRNA drug for thrombotic diseases [2] - RBD4059 is expected to initiate Phase IIb clinical trials in 2026, targeting multiple thrombotic diseases [2] - Company believes that FXI inhibitors have validated drugability in conditions like stroke and knee replacement surgery, with potential for atrial fibrillation treatment [2] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Company forecasts EPS of -1.79, -2.21, and -2.92 for 2025 to 2027 [2] - The company is rated as outperforming the industry with a target price of 100.0 HKD, indicating a 44.9% upside from the current stock price [2]
MINIMAX-WP(00100.HK):兼备SOTA级大模型研发能力、全球化超级应用发展潜力的稀缺标的
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 01:53
Investment Highlights - Company MINIMAX-WP (00100) is rated as outperforming the industry with a target price of HKD 1,109.00, based on a P/S valuation method corresponding to a 75x multiple for 2027 [1] - The company is one of the few domestic firms that successfully integrates foundational model capabilities with global AI-native application commercialization, showcasing its rarity in the AI sector [1] Company Positioning - MINIMAX-WP is one of the earliest companies in China to bet on the native full-modal fusion route, advancing text, speech, and video model development simultaneously since its inception [2] - The company has demonstrated the ability to monetize overseas market scale, with over 73% of revenue from international markets covering more than 200 countries and regions in the first three quarters of 2025 [1][2] - The firm employs a "technology as product" strategy, utilizing a "front store and back factory" model to accelerate the alignment and iteration of models and products [1] Organizational Efficiency - The company maintains a high talent density and efficiency, embedding AI capabilities deeply into internal workflows, with 73.8% of its 385 employees in R&D as of Q3 2025 [2] - The organizational structure is flat, with no more than three levels below the CEO, supporting efficient model and product iteration [2] Competitive Advantage - The company possesses a unique advantage in the integrated understanding and generation of multi-modal models, emphasizing technology as a product, globalization, and high efficiency [2] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at USD 71 million, USD 228 million, and USD 598 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a CAGR of 170% from 2024 to 2027 [2] - The current trading P/S ratio is 57x for 2027, indicating a potential upside of 31% compared to the target price [2]
美联储戴利:美联储须深入研究人工智能影响,方能做出正确利率决策
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 01:33
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve must analyze data to determine if artificial intelligence is driving productivity growth, enabling faster economic growth without triggering inflation or necessitating policy tightening [1] Group 1: Economic Implications - The Trump administration believes that AI investment is already contributing to productivity increases, potentially creating an economic environment similar to the 1990s tech boom, characterized by moderate inflation and accelerated growth [1] - Daly noted that most macro productivity studies have found limited evidence of significant impacts from AI so far, suggesting that improvements from sector-specific investments may take time to manifest [1] Group 2: Future Considerations - There is a possibility that the economy has not yet reached a critical point where comprehensive changes from AI are evident, indicating that substantial economic transformation may require a longer timeframe to materialize [1]
老虎环球和Adage Capital第四季度减持人工智能重量级公司股票
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 01:33
Group 1 - Tiger Global Management and Adage Capital Partners reduced their holdings in major AI companies, including Nvidia and Amazon, due to concerns over high valuations and insufficient returns on AI investments [1] - Tiger Global decreased its Microsoft shares from 6.5 million to 5.47 million, maintaining a stake valued at $2.6 billion, making it one of the largest investors in Microsoft [2] - The firm also reduced its Amazon holdings by 9.35%, bringing its total shares to 10 million, valued at $2.3 billion, and decreased its Nvidia position to a value of $2.1 billion [2] Group 2 - Adage Capital reported minor reductions in its stakes in Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Nvidia, with decreases ranging from 1% to 3% [2] - Adage increased its Oracle holdings by approximately 19%, reaching 1.87 million shares valued at about $365 million [2]
特朗普:美日贸易协议已正式启动 日本对美投资计划将涵盖三大战略项目
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 01:32
美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> 责任编辑:安东 今天,我很高兴宣布三项具有重大意义的项目,分别位于以下战略领域——得州的石油和天然气项目, 俄亥俄州的发电项目,佐治亚州的关键矿产项目。这些项目规模极其庞大,而它们之所以能够实现,离 不开一个非常关键的词:关税。位于俄亥俄州(一个我赢得过三次的州!)的燃气发电厂将成为历史上 规模最大的发电厂;位于"美国湾"(Gulf of America)的液化天然气设施将推动出口,并进一步巩固我 们国家的能源主导地位;关键矿产设施将终结我们对外国资源的愚蠢依赖。 2月18日,美国总统特朗普发文称:我们与日本的重大贸易协议现已正式启动。作为双方历史性贸易协 议的一部分,日本目前已正式、并在资金层面推进其承诺的5500亿美元对美投资计划中的首批投资项 目。该协议旨在重振美国工业基础,创造数十万个优质美国就业岗位,并以前所未有的力度加强我们的 国家安全和经济安全。 ...
美股三大指数小幅收涨,苹果涨超3%,中概指数跌0.1%
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-18 01:05
Group 1 - The three major US stock indices experienced slight gains, with the Nasdaq up by 0.14%, the S&P 500 up by 0.1%, and the Dow Jones up by 0.07% [1] - Large technology stocks showed mixed performance; Apple rose over 3%, Nvidia and Amazon increased by over 1%, while Google, Tesla, Microsoft, and Intel fell by over 1% [1] Group 2 - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index declined by 0.10%, with notable movements in popular Chinese concept stocks; Tencent Music fell by 3.2%, Daqo New Energy dropped by 2.6%, and Kingsoft Cloud and Pony.ai decreased by over 2% [1] - Conversely, Huazhu Group rose by 2.9% and Trip.com increased by 3% [1]
中烟香港(06055.HK):确认公司在卷烟出口免税市场的独家地位 盈利能力或明显提升
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-17 22:48
Core Viewpoint - China National Tobacco Corporation International (CNTC International) is the only enterprise with the qualification to export cigarettes to the domestic duty-free market in China, as per the new regulations and policies [1] Group 1: Sales and Procurement Changes - The core change involves the procurement transactions of cigarettes sold to the domestic duty-free market, where CNTC International will act as an agent for counterparties to export cigarettes [1] - The agency arrangement will not affect the transaction terms and pricing policies under the framework agreement [1] Group 2: Supply Chain Optimization - The supply chain for cigarette exports will be significantly optimized, with CNTC International directly engaging with counterparties [2] - If any counterparty lacks export qualifications, they must delegate a qualified company to negotiate with CNTC International [1] Group 3: Profitability and Growth Expectations - The optimization of the supply chain is expected to enhance the gross profit margin of cigarette export business [2] - The agreement with counterparties is still in the negotiation phase, and the initial shipment may be delayed until the first half of 2026, with growth anticipated from 2027 onwards [2] Group 4: Company Positioning and Asset Potential - CNTC Hong Kong is the only publicly listed platform in the CNTC system, focusing on international business expansion and capital market operations [2] - The company has a unique business model with stable profitability and significant potential for both internal and external growth, including a vast reserve of overseas assets [2]