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财政政策发力在即,美国通胀再迎改善
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-18 13:02
| --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | 摘要 | 西南证券研究发展中心 | | [Table_Summary] 一周大事记 | [Table_Author] 分 ...
三羊马:依托重庆汽车产业,打造公铁联运物流先锋
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-17 08:30
Investment Rating - The report suggests to pay attention to the company as it is expected to benefit from the stable development of the automotive logistics industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The automotive logistics industry is expected to gradually recover due to increased demand in the automotive market, supported by government policies aimed at promoting consumption and stabilizing growth [27][59] - The company has established itself as a regional leader in combined transportation logistics, leveraging its position in Chongqing to build a nationwide logistics network [4][77] - The company's main business, automotive logistics, contributed over 80% of its revenue in 2023, with a significant focus on comprehensive logistics services [23][49] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved total revenue of 980 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20.12 million yuan, up 29% [51] - The company forecasts net profits of 25.8 million, 31.9 million, and 36.12 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2] Business Model and Market Position - The company primarily engages in automotive logistics, with a focus on combined rail and road transportation, which enhances efficiency and reduces costs [100] - The company has built strong relationships with major automotive manufacturers, creating significant barriers to entry for competitors [5][100] Industry Outlook - The automotive industry in China is projected to maintain steady growth, with policies supporting the development of new energy vehicles and infrastructure [59][84] - The logistics market is expected to expand, providing valuable opportunities for automotive logistics companies [88]
国邦医药:积极回购,展现长期发展信心
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-17 06:07
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 05 月 17 日 证券研究报告•公司动态跟踪报告 买入 (维持) 当前价:18.35 元 国邦医药(605507)医药生物 目标价:——元(6 个月) 积极回购,展现长期发展信心 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布关于以集中竞价交易方式回购股份的进展公告,截止 ] 2024 年 4 月 30日,公司通过集中竞价交易方式累计回购股份 346.8万股,已回购股份占 公司总股本的比例为 0.62%,成交的最高价为 15.69元/股,最低价为 13.05元/ 股,已支付的总金额为 5146 万元。 积极回购,展现长期发展信心。公司于 2024 年 1月 26审议通过了《关于以集 中竞价交易方式回购股份方案的议案》,根据股份回购方案,公司将采用集中 竞价交易的方式从二级市场回购股份,本次回购股份的资金总额将不低于人民 币 1 亿元且不超过人民币 2 亿元;回购价格不超过 25 元/股,本次回购股份将 用于后续实施股权激励或员工持股计划。 养殖业周期反转或带动动保板块量价齐升。近年来下游养殖行业持续亏损,市 场需求低迷,客户价格敏感,对公司开拓市场造成一定影响 ...
储能+充电桩迎双轮驱动,新产能投放在即
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-15 09:30
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 40.80 CNY, indicating a potential upside of over 20% in the next six months [48][50]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant revenue growth, achieving 2.65 billion CNY in 2023, a 76.4% increase year-on-year, and 600 million CNY in Q1 2024, a 33.8% increase year-on-year [51][78]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 400 million CNY in 2023, up 80.2% year-on-year, with Q1 2024 net profit at 70 million CNY, a 6.0% increase year-on-year [10][51]. - The company is well-positioned in the rapidly growing new energy sector, particularly in energy storage and electric vehicle charging solutions, benefiting from favorable government policies and increasing market demand [12][23][82]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with a projected revenue of 3.46 billion CNY in 2024, representing a 30% increase, and a net profit of 530 million CNY, a 31.2% increase [30][32]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 1.29 CNY in 2023 to 1.70 CNY in 2024, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 16 [30][32]. Business Segments - The energy storage segment has seen a remarkable increase, with revenue from new energy conversion equipment reaching 910 million CNY in 2023, a 255.7% increase, accounting for 34.3% of total revenue [51][78]. - The electric vehicle charging business also experienced substantial growth, with revenue of 850 million CNY in 2023, a 99.6% increase, making up 32.1% of total revenue [51][78]. Market Outlook - The charging infrastructure market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating that the market size could reach 2870.2 billion CNY by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 48.4% from 2021 to 2026 [23][24]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in Europe and the United States, to capitalize on the growing demand for charging solutions [51][78]. Competitive Position - The company maintains a competitive edge in the energy storage market with its advanced technology and product offerings, including the world's first silicon carbide modular energy storage inverter [51][78]. - The report highlights the company's strong product certifications and modular design capabilities, enhancing its competitiveness in both domestic and international markets [20][24].
业绩超预期,布局AI前景可期
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-15 06:02
公司近三年资本支出保持在 100 亿美元/年以上,FY2024Q2 公司资本支出为 20 亿美元, 同比减少 31.5%。 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 6 今年以来,苹果已加大了对生成式人工智能(GenAI)的重视和投入。公司于 3 月披露 了大模型 MM1,其涵盖最大 300 亿参数、支持多模态、支持 MoE 架构。MM1 模型支持增 强的上下文学习和多图像推理,在一些多模态基准测试中有较好表现。 苹果公司拥有强劲的产品力、品牌力和供应链管理能力,软件生态粘性高,这些构筑了 苹果极为宽广的护城河,将是苹果在 AI 终端时代竞争的最大底蕴。基于庞大的用户基础、 强大的生态系统、以及优秀的产业定价能力,苹果或成为未来端侧 AI 的重要受益者之一。 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-------|---------|---------------------------------------------|--------|--------| | | 收入 | | 200,583.00 198,577.17 216,449.12 222,94 ...
军工行业周报:新型号发射踵事增华,运载火箭空间巨大
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-15 05:32
[2T0a2b4l年e_I0n5d月ust1ry2In日fo ] 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•国防军工 军工行业周报(5.6-5.12) 新型号发射踵事增华,运载火箭空间巨大 行情回顾: 西南证券研究发展中心 [上Ta周bl(e_5S月um6m日ar-y5]月 12日),SW军工板块报收1323.9点,上涨3.6 %,板块 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au刘th倩or倩] 排名第4。同期沪深300指数上涨0.2%,创业板指数下跌0.9%。 执业证号:S1250522070003 行业动态: 电话:15001276860 邮箱:lqqyf@swsc.com.cn 我国长征系列运载火箭家族增添新成员——长征六号丙,该运载火箭于5月 7 日在太原卫星发射中心点火起飞,以一箭四星的方式将海王星 01星、智星一 [行Ta业bl相e_对Qu指o数te表Pic现] 号 C星、宽幅光学卫星和高分视频卫星送到预定轨道,发射任务取得圆满成功。 国防军工 沪深300 长六丙火箭由航天八院抓总研制,是面向未来商业发射市场打造的新一代无 5% 毒、无污染液体运载火箭。 -3% C919申请 EASA适航证,C929进入详细设计 ...
新型号发射踵事增华,运载火箭空间巨大
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-15 04:02
[2T0a2b4l年e_I0n5d月ust1ry2In日fo ] 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•国防军工 军工行业周报(5.6-5.12) 新型号发射踵事增华,运载火箭空间巨大 行情回顾: 西南证券研究发展中心 [上Ta周bl(e_5S月um6m日ar-y5]月 12日),SW军工板块报收1323.9点,上涨3.6 %,板块 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au刘th倩or倩] 排名第4。同期沪深300指数上涨0.2%,创业板指数下跌0.9%。 执业证号:S1250522070003 行业动态: 电话:15001276860 邮箱:lqqyf@swsc.com.cn 我国长征系列运载火箭家族增添新成员——长征六号丙,该运载火箭于5月 7 日在太原卫星发射中心点火起飞,以一箭四星的方式将海王星 01星、智星一 [行Ta业bl相e_对Qu指o数te表Pic现] 号 C星、宽幅光学卫星和高分视频卫星送到预定轨道,发射任务取得圆满成功。 国防军工 沪深300 长六丙火箭由航天八院抓总研制,是面向未来商业发射市场打造的新一代无 5% 毒、无污染液体运载火箭。 -3% C919申请 EASA适航证,C929进入详细设计 ...
23年收入稳健增长,坚持推进研发与国际化
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-15 02:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the report, but it implies a neutral stance based on the performance expectations for the next six months [6][23]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved steady revenue growth in 2023, with total revenue reaching 5.64 billion yuan, an increase of 3.2% year-on-year. However, net profit decreased by 29.1% to 600 million yuan [14][15]. - In Q1 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.11 billion yuan, down 22.1% year-on-year, with net profit declining by 72% [14][7]. - The company is focusing on expanding its business and international market presence, leveraging its strong R&D capabilities and comprehensive sales network [8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company's revenue from the formulation division was 3.07 billion yuan (+15.31%), while the bioprocess division saw a revenue drop to 1.33 billion yuan (-21.64%). The engineering division's revenue was 590 million yuan (-0.08%), and the food division generated 330 million yuan (+0.33%) [7]. - The company's gross margin for 2023 was 35.33%, a decrease of 3.72 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - Management, sales, and R&D expenses for 2023 were 340 million yuan, 550 million yuan, and 380 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 30.2%, 17.43%, and 14.03% [7]. Future Projections - For 2024, the company is projected to generate revenues of 4.89 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.34% compared to 2023. The net profit is expected to drop to 321.48 million yuan, a decline of 46.44% [10][15]. - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in revenue growth, with projections of 3.10% and 6.87% growth in 2025 and 2026, respectively [10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing the "M+E+C (AI)" strategy, focusing on the integration of drug manufacturing science and pharmaceutical machinery science, while continuing to push for internationalization [8]. - The company faces challenges in scaling and developing core technologies compared to leading foreign enterprises [8].
常规业务持续增长,多领域新产品蓄势待发
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-14 13:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating for the company, indicating that the stock is expected to perform within a range of -10% to 10% relative to the market index over the next six months [9]. Core Views - The company's conventional business continues to grow, while new products in various fields are poised for development. The revenue from conventional business is expected to see rapid growth despite fluctuations in related testing reagent sales impacting overall performance [2][35]. - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 1.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 64%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -70.96 million yuan, down 111.9% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2024 showed a slight revenue decline of 0.2% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 110.3% [11][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved quarterly revenues of 300 million yuan in Q1, 270 million yuan in Q2, 300 million yuan in Q3, and 420 million yuan in Q4. The gross profit margin for 2023 was 71%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company recorded a net profit of -5.062 million yuan in Q1, -3.047 million yuan in Q2, 4.70 million yuan in Q3, and 5.43 million yuan in Q4 [2]. - The company expects to see improvements in profitability as revenue grows, despite a 1.4 billion yuan impairment loss recorded in 2023, primarily due to inventory write-downs related to testing reagents [2]. Revenue Forecast - The company forecasts revenues for 2024-2026 as follows: 1.29 billion yuan in 2024, 1.62 billion yuan in 2025, and 2.64 billion yuan in 2026, with respective growth rates of 25.85%, 27.46%, and 27.94% [12][13]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 0.19 yuan, 0.74 yuan, and 1.30 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 152, 38, and 22 [12][13]. Product Development - The company has launched a series of Alzheimer's disease testing reagents and is collaborating with partners to promote these products. Additionally, the company is advancing its microfluidic testing product development and has completed key technology implementations [35][36]. - The company is expected to grow into a comprehensive life sciences platform enterprise, with a focus on multiple innovative product lines [35].
医药行业2024年5月投资月报:看好医药反弹
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-14 11:30
医药行业2024年5月投资月报 看好医药反弹 西南证券研究发展中心 2024年5月 分析师:杜向阳 执业证号:S1250520030002 电话:021-68416017 邮箱:duxy@swsc.com.cn 分析师:汤泰萌 执业证书:S1250522120001 电话:021-68416017 邮箱:ttm@swsc.com.cn 2024年5月投资观点 行情回顾:2024年1-4月,申万医药指数下跌10.17%,跑输沪深300指数15.8%,年初以来医药行业涨跌幅排名第29。 2024年4月申万医药指数上涨0.13%,跑输沪深300指数1.19%,月初以来行业涨跌幅排名第14。2024年1-4月,医药流通累 ...