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23年稳健增长,24年蓄力向上
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 02:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.96 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.1%, and a net profit of 1.72 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year. In Q4 2023, revenue was 1.52 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and net profit was 370 million yuan, up 7.0% year-on-year. For Q1 2024, revenue reached 1.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 11.1%, and net profit was 590 million yuan, up 10.0% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company’s revenue from high-end, mid-range, and low-end liquor was 5.68 billion yuan (+16.6%), 80 million yuan (-19.8%), and 90 million yuan (+0.7%) respectively. Overall sales volume and price per ton increased by 7.4% and 7.6% respectively. The company plans to launch new products to enhance product structure [2][3] - For Q1 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 76.5%, with a net profit margin of 33.3%. The cash flow remains stable, with cash receipts of 1.4 billion yuan, up 15.5% year-on-year [2][3] Market and Product Strategy - The company is positioned to benefit from the upgrading of the Anhui liquor industry, with a focus on high-end products. The company aims to double sales volume and significantly increase the proportion of mid-to-high-end products in its portfolio by 2024 [2][3] - The company plans to enhance brand influence and market presence through strategic marketing and product launches, particularly focusing on the "Jian" series [2][3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are projected to be 2.87 yuan, 3.33 yuan, and 3.83 yuan respectively, with corresponding dynamic price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15, 13, and 11. The company is expected to maintain a high return on equity (ROE) of 18.94% in 2024 [2][3][10]
业绩发展稳健,费用持续优化
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 02:00
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance remains stable with continuous optimization of expenses [2] - Core businesses show highlights: - Respiratory therapy business revenue reached 3.37 billion yuan (+50.6%) in 2023, with key products like ventilators, oxygen concentrators, and nebulizers growing at +60%, +30%, and +60% respectively [2] - Diabetes care business revenue reached 730 million yuan (+37.1%) in 2023, with the new 14-day calibration-free CGM product CT3 expected to drive growth in 2024 [2] - Home electronics business revenue reached 1.67 billion yuan (+10.1%) in 2023, with electronic blood pressure monitors growing over 20% [2] - Infection control business revenue declined to 760 million yuan (-36.2%) in 2023 due to high base effects [2] - Emergency care business revenue reached 160 million yuan (+8.0%) in 2023, with the self-developed AED product M600 expanding globally [2] - Rehabilitation and clinical equipment business revenue declined to 1.22 billion yuan (-12.8%) in 2023, but products like wheelchairs and acupuncture needles maintained good growth [2] Financial Performance - 2023 revenue: 7.97 billion yuan (+12.3%), net profit: 2.4 billion yuan (+50.2%) [2] - 2024 Q1 revenue: 2.23 billion yuan (-17.4%), net profit: 660 million yuan (-7.6%) [2] - 2023 gross margin: 51.5% (+3.4pp), net margin: 29.8% (+7.7pp) [2] - Expense ratios in 2023: sales 13.8% (-0.7pp), management 5.2% (-0.8pp), R&D 6.3% (-0.7pp), financial -2.0% (-0.6pp) [2] Strategic Direction - The company adheres to the strategy of "Innovation Reshaping Medical Devices" and focuses on three core sectors: respiratory, POCT, and infection control [3] - The company is also developing incubation businesses (emergency, ophthalmology, rehabilitation) and cornerstone businesses (blood pressure monitoring, temperature monitoring, TCM equipment, surgical instruments) while advancing internationalization [3] Business Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026: 9/10.3/11.9 billion yuan [3] - Net profit projections for 2024-2026: 2.3/2.6/3.0 billion yuan [3] - PE ratios for 2024-2026: 16/14/12x [3] Key Assumptions - Respiratory oxygen supply: Expected growth of 20% annually from 2024-2026, with gross margin of 56.5% [8] - Diabetes care: Expected growth of 30% annually from 2024-2026, with gross margin increasing from 63% to 67% [8] - Infection control solutions: Expected growth of 10% annually from 2024-2026, with gross margin of 50% [8] - Home electronic testing and IVD: Expected growth of 5% annually from 2024-2026, with gross margin of 50% [8] - Rehabilitation and clinical equipment: Expected stable growth from 2024-2026, with gross margin increasing from 34% to 35% [8] - Emergency care: Expected growth of 10% annually from 2024-2026, with gross margin of 32% [8] Financial Metrics - 2023 ROE: 19.94%, expected to stabilize around 16% from 2024-2026 [4] - 2023 EPS: 2.39 yuan, expected to grow to 2.98 yuan by 2026 [4] - 2023 PB: 3.12x, expected to decline to 2.02x by 2026 [4] - 2023 dividend yield: 1.63%, expected to range between 1.28%-1.41% from 2024-2026 [12]
经营逐渐企稳,静待拐点
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 02:00
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 4月 26日 (维持) 证券研究报告•2023年报及2024年一季报点评 当前价: 60.44元 通策医疗(600763) 医药生物 目标价: ——元(6个月) 经营逐渐企稳,静待拐点 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab业le绩_S总u结mm:a公ry司] 发布 2024年一季报和 2023年年报。2024年一季度实现收入 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au杜th向or阳] 7.1亿元(+5%),归母净利润1.7亿元(+2.5%),扣非后约1.7亿元(+4.2%)。 执业证号:S1250520030002 2023年公司实现收入28.5亿元(+4.7%),归母净利润5亿元(-8.7%),扣 电话:021-68416017 非后约4.8亿元(-8.4%)。 邮箱:duxy@swsc.com.cn 23年业绩承压,24年 Q1业绩符合预期。公司2023年收入同比增长4.7%,净 分析师:王钰畅 利润增速-6.1%。24年一季度收入增速5%,净利润增速3.2%。2023年公司种 执业证号:S1250524010001 电话:021-68416017 植收入 ...
23年稳健增长,分红比例提升
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 02:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 83.27 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30.21 billion yuan, up 13.2% year-on-year [2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 46.7 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), with a payout ratio of 60% [2] - The first quarter of 2024 saw revenues of 34.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, and a net profit of 14.05 billion yuan, up 12.0% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [2] - The company has set a double-digit growth target for 2024, supported by strong performance in the first quarter and growth in specific product lines [2][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company's product revenue reached 62.8 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13.5%, while sales volume and price per ton changed by +18.0% and -3.8% respectively [2] - The gross profit margin for 2023 increased by 0.4 percentage points to 75.8%, with a net profit margin of 37.9%, remaining stable compared to 2022 [2] - For Q1 2024, the gross profit margin remained stable year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 42.0% [2] Growth Strategy - The company actively optimized its channel structure, with revenue from distribution and direct sales reaching 45.99 billion yuan (+13.6%) and 30.46 billion yuan (+12.5%) respectively in 2023 [2] - The company aims to maintain a clear pricing strategy, reducing traditional distributor volumes by about 20% to support price increases and restore channel confidence [2][8] Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are projected to be 8.94 yuan, 10.05 yuan, and 11.42 yuan, respectively, with corresponding dynamic price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17x, 15x, and 13x [2][3] - The company is positioned as a leader in the high-end price segment, with a strong growth outlook and increased dividend payout enhancing its investment value [2][8]
分红稳健,业绩持续增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 02:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xinhua Winshare (601811) [1] Core Views - Xinhua Winshare achieved a 2023 operating income of 11.87 billion yuan, up 8.6% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.58 billion yuan, up 13.1% YoY [1] - In Q1 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.47 billion yuan, up 7% YoY, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.3% to 210 million yuan [1] - The company has a stable dividend policy, with a 2023 dividend yield of 5.2% for its H-shares [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the Western Development Strategy, potentially qualifying for a 15% corporate income tax rate [8] Business Performance Publishing Business - In 2023, the publishing business generated revenue of 2.99 billion yuan, up 8.8% YoY [42] - In Q1 2024, the publishing business achieved revenue of 890 million yuan, with 550 million yuan from textbooks and 250 million yuan from general books [42] - The company ranks 11th in market share among 37 publishing groups in China and 7th among local publishing groups [42] Distribution Business - In 2023, the distribution business achieved revenue of 10.49 billion yuan, up 5.5% YoY [19] - In Q1 2024, the distribution business generated revenue of 2.17 billion yuan, with 1.14 billion yuan from textbooks and 960 million yuan from general books [19] - The company is actively expanding into short video and live streaming e-commerce channels, with expected growth rates of 30%/25%/20% for 2024-2026 [7] Education Informatization - The company is focusing on education informatization, covering 6,190 schools and serving 4.662 million students through its "Wenxuan Youxue" online platform [19] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is expected to grow from 11.87 billion yuan in 2023 to 17.03 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 12.7% [9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 1.58 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.04 billion yuan in 2026 [21] - EPS is projected to rise from 1.28 yuan in 2023 to 1.65 yuan in 2026 [21] - The company's ROE is expected to remain stable at around 12% from 2023 to 2026 [21] Valuation - The company's PE ratio is forecasted to decrease from 11.45x in 2024 to 8.85x in 2026 [21] - The PB ratio is expected to decline from 1.38x in 2024 to 1.01x in 2026 [21]
2024年一季报点评:Q1毛利承压,静待新项目放量
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 01:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][4]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2024 revenue of 1.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 210 million yuan, up 21.9% year-on-year but down 29.2% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company's gross margin was under pressure in Q1 2024, with a gross margin of 20.8%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year and 2.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 11.3%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year and 1.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. However, it is expected that gross margins will stabilize and recover as new projects ramp up and capacity utilization improves [3]. - The company is expanding its lightweight production capacity, with the first phase of a project in Mexico producing 4 million lightweight components annually, which commenced production at the end of Q3 2023. The second phase is expected to start production by the end of 2024. Additionally, the company has added 106 new projects in Q1 2024, including a lightweight project for a North American new energy vehicle company, projected to generate approximately 1.22 billion USD in total sales over five years [3]. - The company has accelerated its layout in the automotive steer-by-wire sector, with significant progress in the development of various steering systems. The sales volume of mechanical steering products increased by 54% year-on-year in Q1 2024 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2024 revenue: 1.86 billion yuan, +24% YoY, -21.5% QoQ - Q1 2024 net profit: 210 million yuan, +21.9% YoY, -29.2% QoQ - Q1 2024 gross margin: 20.8%, -0.7pp YoY, -2.2pp QoQ - Q1 2024 net profit margin: 11.3%, -0.4pp YoY, -1.5pp QoQ [3][4]. Growth Projections - Expected EPS for 2024-2026: 2.61, 3.34, 4.21 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 17, and 14 times. The CAGR for net profit attributable to the parent company is projected at 26.9% [4][5]. Capacity Expansion - The company is expanding its lightweight production capacity, with significant projects in Mexico and domestic production bases. The first phase in Mexico has commenced production, and the second phase is on track for late 2024 [3]. - New projects include a lightweight project for a North American new energy vehicle company and a platform project for a German joint venture, with significant projected sales [3]. Strategic Developments - The company has made strides in the steer-by-wire sector, with a focus on integrating control systems for various automotive applications. The sales of mechanical steering products have seen substantial growth [3].
2023年年报点评:数控机床领军企业,基本面边际改善
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 01:33
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating for the company, indicating a moderate outlook for the next six months [12][28][55]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the CNC machine tool industry, focusing on high-end intelligent equipment with a diverse range of CNC machine products [6][19][40]. - The company's performance has been under pressure in recent years, but there has been a marginal improvement since Q4 2023, driven by a recovery in the 3C consumer electronics sector [9][41][43]. - The report highlights a significant increase in overseas revenue, which grew by 74.8% year-on-year, while domestic revenue decreased by 23.9% [12][41]. - The company is expected to benefit from a new replenishment cycle in the CNC machine tool demand as the industrial inventory phase-out nears its end [28][48]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company specializes in high-end intelligent equipment, offering a wide range of CNC machine tools applicable in various sectors including 3C electronics, 5G communications, and aerospace [6][40]. - The company has faced challenges in recent years, with a reported revenue of 3.53 billion yuan in 2023, a decrease of 22.0% year-on-year, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, down 42.0% [12][41]. 2. Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 740 million yuan, marking a 15.1% increase year-on-year and a 1.7% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 30 million yuan [12][41]. - The overall gross margin for 2023 was 23.3%, a decline of 3.3 percentage points from the previous year, while the net profit margin was 5.8%, down 1.6 percentage points [12][43]. - The company maintained a stable expense ratio of 17.8% in 2023, with a slight increase in R&D expenses supporting product upgrades [11][12]. 3. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts the company's net profit to reach 380 million yuan, 470 million yuan, and 580 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 44% [12][28]. - The expected gross margins for the CNC machine tool business are projected to improve to 24% in 2024, 24.5% in 2025, and 25% in 2026 [28][29]. - The report compares the company with peers in the CNC machine tool industry, suggesting a favorable growth outlook due to its leading position and diversified product offerings [28][30].
2024年一季报点评:海内外稳健增长,盈利能力加速提升


Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 01:33
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Haier Smart Home (600690) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 68.98 billion yuan in Q1 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.77 billion yuan, up 20.2% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 4.64 billion yuan, increasing by 25.4% year-on-year [2] - Domestic revenue grew by 8.1%, with significant contributions from the refrigeration and laundry sectors, as well as double-digit growth in the water industry. The air conditioning, kitchen appliances, and smart building sectors also saw revenue growth exceeding 10%. The Casarte brand experienced a revenue increase of 14% [2] - Despite a decline in overseas demand, the company's overseas revenue grew by 4% in Q1 2024, with operating profit increasing by double digits [2] - The company's net profit margin improved to 6.9%, an increase of 0.82 percentage points, driven by a gross margin of 29%, which rose by 0.3 percentage points year-on-year. The sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio were optimized by 0.5, 0.3, and 0.1 percentage points, respectively [2] - The company is positioned as a leader in large appliances and smart home solutions, with a multi-brand and multi-product strategy to capture growth opportunities in the high-end appliance market. The EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 have been slightly adjusted to 2.05 yuan, 2.37 yuan, and 2.61 yuan, respectively [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 68.98 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.77 billion yuan, reflecting a 20.2% increase year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 4.64 billion yuan, up 25.4% year-on-year [2] - The company's net profit margin improved to 6.9%, an increase of 0.82 percentage points, with a gross margin of 29% [2] Revenue Growth - Domestic revenue increased by 8.1%, with notable growth in refrigeration, laundry, and water industries, as well as double-digit growth in air conditioning, kitchen appliances, and smart buildings. The Casarte brand saw a revenue increase of 14% [2] - Overseas revenue grew by 4% despite a decline in overall overseas demand [2] Profitability Metrics - The company's EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 are adjusted to 2.05 yuan, 2.37 yuan, and 2.61 yuan, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for profitability [2][3]
23年年报及24年一季报点评:龙头本色尽显,业绩增长靓丽
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 01:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong performance with a revenue of 15.69 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting an 11.5% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 3.87 billion yuan, up 21.4% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.1 yuan per share, totaling 2.76 billion yuan, with a cash dividend rate of 71.4% [2]. - The gross margin improved to 43.2% in 2023, up 5.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by lower raw material prices and enhanced operational efficiency [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 4.09 billion yuan, a 13.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.06 billion yuan, up 27.8% year-on-year [2]. - For Q1 2024, revenue reached 3.8 billion yuan, a 14.1% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 930 million yuan, up 26.3% year-on-year [2]. Product Segmentation - The electrical connection business generated 7.39 billion yuan in revenue, a 4.8% increase year-on-year [3]. - The smart electrical lighting products segment saw revenue of 7.90 billion yuan, growing 15.4% year-on-year, focusing on smart pre-installed electrical products [3]. - The new energy products segment achieved a remarkable revenue of 380 million yuan, a 148.6% increase year-on-year, indicating rapid growth [3]. Operational Efficiency - The overall net profit margin for 2023 was 24.7%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting improved profitability [2]. - The company is enhancing its marketing efforts and brand recognition, leading to a slight increase in sales expenses [2][3]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenue growth of 15.1% in 2024, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 5.05 yuan [6][7]. - The new energy business is expected to maintain high growth rates, with projected increases of 100%, 50%, and 35% in the next three years [8].
2024年一季报点评:业绩符合预期,云端及存储、汽车类业务高增
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-06 01:33
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 19.26 CNY over the next six months [1][3]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2024 performance met expectations, with significant growth in cloud and storage, as well as automotive-related businesses. Revenue reached 13.49 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 330 million CNY, up 20.6% year-on-year [2][11]. - The company is positioned as a leader in SiP miniaturization technology and has established long-term partnerships with major international electronics brands [8][9]. - The automotive electronics sector is expected to continue its high growth trajectory, supported by the company's extensive experience and recent acquisitions [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 13.49 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 3.8%. The cloud and storage business saw a remarkable growth of 41.2%, while automotive electronics grew by 37.7% [2][11]. - The gross margin for Q1 2024 was approximately 9.6%, an increase of about 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 2.5%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][15]. - The company expects net profits for 2024-2026 to be 2.37 billion, 2.92 billion, and 3.42 billion CNY respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate of about 21% [3][23]. Business Segments - The company’s revenue structure is shifting, with cloud and storage, and automotive electronics now accounting for 11.5% and 12.1% of total revenue, respectively [2][12]. - The automotive electronics segment is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of over 25% in the next three years, driven by the ongoing electrification and intelligence upgrades in the automotive industry [19][22]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has over 30 years of experience in the automotive electronics EMS field and has recently expanded its product offerings to include electric vehicle power systems and battery management systems [2][3]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on high-margin businesses, which is expected to enhance profitability as these segments grow [15][19].