继续坚定看好国产AI&海外发散： 继续坚定看好国产AI&海外发散： 1.国产算力：H和#海光信息，H主要看#华正新材，禾盛新材，IDC：#金开新能 2.存储： 雅克科技、帝科股份、开普云，闪迪美光7709 3.应用：#看好优刻得、首都在线、青云科技、中控技术、合合信息、真爱美家、德才股份（联系岚琪） 4.上游： 宏和科技、东材科技、延江股份 5.液冷： 飞龙股份、华光新材、江南新材 6.OCS：君逸数码（OCS上游透镜阵 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [4][3]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic recovery and tariff adjustments, with Brent crude oil expected to remain in the range of $60-75 per barrel [4][5]. - The report highlights a potential spring boom in the chemical sector, driven by the success of domestic robotics showcased during the Spring Festival and favorable export conditions following tariff reductions [4][3]. - Investment opportunities are identified in various chains, including textiles, agricultural chemicals, and overseas real estate, with specific companies recommended for investment [4][3]. Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is tightening due to OPEC+ production delays and peak shale oil output, while demand is stabilizing with improved global economic conditions [5]. - The chemical industry is at a cyclical turning point, with downstream operations gradually resuming post-holiday, indicating a positive demand outlook for the year [4][3]. - The report notes that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products decreased by 1.4% year-on-year in January, while the manufacturing PMI recorded 49.3, indicating some volatility in manufacturing activity [7][4]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests a diversified investment strategy focusing on four key areas: textiles, agricultural chemicals, export chains, and beneficiaries of "anti-involution" policies [4][3]. - Specific companies to watch include those in the textile chain like Lu Xi Chemical and Tongkun Co., and in the agricultural chain like Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy [4][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, recommending companies such as Yake Technology and Ruilian New Materials [4][3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Insights - The industrial gas market is expected to reach 1.3 trillion yuan by 2026, with a CAGR of 6.8% over the next four years [3] - The competitive landscape is becoming more concentrated, with the top four companies holding 54% of the global market share and the top six in China holding 72% [3] - Growth drivers include increased outsourcing of gas supply, accelerated demand from sectors like semiconductors and new energy, and short-term benefits from macroeconomic recovery and gas price elasticity [3] Market Space - The global industrial gas market is valued at over 1 trillion, while the domestic market is around 200 billion [3] - The market is projected to grow to 284.2 billion yuan in China by 2026, with a CAGR of 9.68% from 2022 to 2026 [21] - The market is characterized by high concentration, with the top five companies holding approximately 69% of the market share [21] Equipment Market - The domestic air separation equipment market is valued at 34.1 billion yuan in 2022, with a growth rate of 25% year-on-year [4] - The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22% from 2019 to 2024, driven by larger equipment sizes and increased export demand [4] Electronic Specialty Gases - The semiconductor market is expected to remain strong, with a projected 30% year-on-year increase in global semiconductor sales by November 2025 [5] - There is significant potential for domestic electronic specialty gas manufacturers to replace imports and expand into global markets [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the industrial gas sector, such as Hangyang Co., and key players in electronic specialty gases like China Shipbuilding Gas and Guanggang Gas [6]

内容概况：高纯三甲基铝作为MOCVD和ALD工艺中最核心的铝源前驱体，是制造GaN基LED外延片、 氮化铝薄膜等关键器件的"工业粮食"。随着我国集成电路产量持续攀升，以及以第三代半导体为核心的 射频器件、功率芯片在5G通信、新能源汽车领域的加速应用，对包括高纯三甲基铝在内的关键电子材 料产生了强劲且持续的增量需求。2024年，中国高纯三甲基铝行业市场规模约为11.22亿元，同比增长 11.20%。 相关上市企业：南大光电（300346）、雅克科技（002409） 一、行业概述 高纯三甲基铝是一种无色透明、在空气中极易自燃、遇水会发生剧烈爆炸的液体，必须在惰性气体保护 下储存和运输。正是这种高活性，其被用于金属有机化合物化学气相沉积（MOCVD）和原子层沉积 （ALD）工艺的关键前驱体材料，其纯度通常在99.999%（5N）以上。其核心功能是为半导体、LED、 太阳能电池等高科技产业提供铝源，薄膜质量的优劣直接取决于其纯度。按纯度等级分类，高纯三甲基 铝主要分为5N级、6N级、6.5N级等类型。 高纯三甲基铝分类 二、行业产业链 高纯三甲基铝行业产业链上游主要包括高纯铝、卤代甲烷、金属催化剂、惰性气体等原材料， ...

Core Insights - The report predicts a "front low and back high" trend for the real estate market in 2026, suggesting potential recovery opportunities in the sector [1][3] - It emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the market through inventory reduction and boosting demand and confidence, while also supporting reasonable financing needs of real estate companies [3][4] - The report identifies three main investment lines: stable companies in core cities, "small but beautiful" firms with significant breakthroughs, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [1][9] Market Outlook - The real estate market is expected to face continued pressure in 2025, with a focus on policy measures to prevent a sharp decline [3][4] - The report forecasts a decline in key real estate indicators for 2026, including a projected 8% decrease in sales area to 810 million square meters and a 12% drop in sales revenue to 7.4 trillion yuan [5][6] - It anticipates a gradual recovery in the market, with potential policy and fundamental turning points in Q1 and Q4 of 2026, respectively [7][8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals in first and second-tier cities, such as China Resources Land and China Merchants Shekou [1][9] - It highlights the potential of Poly Real Estate Group as a "small but beautiful" firm that has made significant sales and land acquisition breakthroughs [9] - The report also points to commercial real estate companies like China Resources Vientiane Life and Swire Properties that are actively exploring new operational models [1][9]

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2026 年 2 月 8 日 强于大市 化工行业周报 20260208 国际油价回调，己内酰胺、维生素 E 价格上涨 二月份建议关注：1、低估值行业龙头公司；2、"反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、下游需求旺 盛，自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司。 行业动态 投资建议 ◼ 截至 2 月 8 日，SW 基础化工市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 28.57 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今） 82.89%分位数；市净率为 2.58 倍，处在历史 73.42%分位数。SW 石油石化市盈率（TTM 剔除负 值）为 15.16 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今）46.10%分位数；市净率为 1.47 倍，处在历史 50.93% 分位数。展望 2026 年，本轮行业扩产已近尾声，"反内卷"等措施有望催化行业盈利底部修复， 同时新材料受益于下游需求的快速发展，有望开启新一轮高成长，二月份建议关注：1、低估值行 业龙头公司；2、"反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、下游需求旺盛，自主可控日益关键背 景下的电子材料公司。中长期推荐投资主线：1、传统化工龙头经营韧性凸显，布局新材料等领域， ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the contradiction faced during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, where carbon reduction pressures are increasing while the growth rate of new energy installations is slowing down. The introduction of a national capacity price policy is expected to open up space for new energy installations and support high-yield investment options for power companies during the "14th Five-Year Plan" investment intensity [5][6][9]. Group 1: Energy Storage Industry - The national capacity price policy, issued on January 30, 2026, aims to establish a mechanism that balances power supply stability, green energy transformation, and efficient resource allocation. This policy is expected to support the development of adjustable power sources and enhance the installation of new energy [7][9]. - The report estimates that the demand for energy storage will show a high growth trend, with new energy storage installations expected to reach 66.43 GW and 189.48 GWh in 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 52% and 73% respectively [8][9]. - The capacity price policy is seen as the final piece needed for energy storage development, potentially increasing project returns from approximately 6.5% to over 8% under current subsidy conditions. This is expected to stimulate investment interest from state-owned enterprises in new energy storage projects [8][9]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in leading companies involved in energy storage integration and upstream battery cells, recommending firms such as Sungrow Power Supply, Trina Solar, LONGi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, CATL, and Eve Energy. It also advises monitoring companies like Haisum, Sungrow Electric, Canadian Solar, and Penghui Energy [9].

Industry Overview - The Chinese tetrafluoromethane (CF₄) industry is currently undergoing a phase of technological upgrades and market expansion, with a projected market size of approximately 2.079 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.44% [1][7] - The domestic low-temperature distillation-adsorption coupling process is maturing, improving the first-pass yield of 6N-grade products and narrowing the technology gap with international giants to a single purity level, laying a solid foundation for domestic substitution [1][7] - The demand for high-purity CF₄ is rapidly increasing due to the continuous expansion of downstream emerging industries such as semiconductors, photovoltaics, and panels [1][7] Industry Chain - The upstream of the CF₄ industry chain includes raw materials such as hydrofluoric acid, methanol, fluorine gas, carbon sources, and electricity, as well as production equipment like fluorocarbon reactors and distillation towers [4] - The midstream involves the production and manufacturing of CF₄, while the downstream applications are primarily in semiconductor, flat panel display, photovoltaic, and optical fiber manufacturing processes [4] Market Dynamics - The price of hydrofluoric acid, a core raw material for CF₄ production, is expected to reach 11,873 yuan per ton by the end of 2025, reflecting an increase of 8.87% year-on-year, driven by tightening supply and mining policies [5] - The production capacity of integrated circuits in China is projected to reach approximately 484.3 billion pieces by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.28%, which will drive the demand for electronic-grade CF₄ in etching and wafer cleaning processes [7] Key Enterprises - The competitive landscape of the CF₄ industry is characterized by a concentration of leading firms driven by technology, with companies like Kemet, Fujian Del Technology, and Huate Gas rapidly emerging [8] - Huate Gas, established in 1999, has achieved high-purity CF₄ mass production and has been certified by major semiconductor clients, covering top global semiconductor companies [9] - Fujian Yongjing Technology, founded in 2007, focuses on fluorochemical production and has a capacity of 600 tons/year, utilizing advanced purification technologies [10] Future Trends - The growth of the CF₄ industry is primarily driven by the semiconductor and photovoltaic sectors, with increasing purity requirements pushing CF₄ products from mainstream 5N (99.999%) to 6N and beyond [12] - The competition in the industry is shifting towards a concentration of leading firms, with a focus on technological and capital advantages, as smaller firms face significant survival challenges [13] - Environmental regulations are expected to drive technological innovations in the industry, with a focus on green production processes and the development of efficient end-of-pipe treatment and recycling technologies [14]

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2026 年 2 月 2 日 二月份建议关注：1、低估值行业龙头公司；2、"反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、下游需求旺 盛，自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司。 行业动态 投资建议 风险提示 ◼ 地缘政治因素变化引起油价大幅波动；全球经济形势出现变化。 相关研究报告 强于大市 化工行业周报 20260201 国际油价上涨，分散染料、维生素 E 价格上涨 《化工行业 2026 年度策略》20260128 《化工行业周报 20260125》20260125 《化工行业周报 20260118》20260118 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 基础化工 证券分析师：余嫄嫄 (8621)20328550 yuanyuan.yu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300517050002 证券分析师：范琦岩 qiyan.fan@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300525040001 ◼ 本周（01.25-02.01）均价跟踪的 100 个化工品种中，共有 50 个品种价格上涨，22 个品种价格下 跌，2 ...

Strategy Overview - The core strategy indicates that Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman suggests a hawkish policy stance, advocating for balance sheet reduction and cautious interest rate cuts, which may reverse market expectations for continued liquidity easing and strengthen the dollar, leading to a global tightening of dollar liquidity expectations and asset price reassessment [4][2] - In the short term, after a strong spring rally, the market may enter a rhythm adjustment period due to proactive policy guidance and increased overseas disturbances, presenting rotation opportunities for previously stagnant sectors [4][2] Real Estate Sector: Poly Real Estate Group - The company experienced a 48.1% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by increased project completions, with a settlement area of 814,000 square meters, up 20.8% year-on-year, and a settlement amount of 17.37 billion yuan, up 52.5% year-on-year [8] - Despite revenue growth, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 44.3%, primarily due to a negative investment income of 950 million yuan and an increase in minority shareholder losses [8] - The company’s gross margin improved to 17.5%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased to 1.3%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [8][9] - The company’s debt structure improved, with interest-bearing debt down 8.6% year-on-year to 68.2 billion yuan, and the average financing cost decreased by 48 basis points to 2.90% [9] - The company’s sales ranking improved to 15th in the industry, with a sales amount of 29.5 billion yuan in the first seven months of 2025, despite a 13.5% year-on-year decline [10] Transportation Sector: CITIC Offshore Helicopter - CITIC Offshore Helicopter is a leading player in China's general aviation sector, operating the largest civil helicopter fleet in Asia with 84 advanced model helicopters [13] - The company has a strong revenue stream from offshore oil services, with nearly 70% of its revenue derived from this segment, and maintains a market share of over 60% in the offshore helicopter service market [14] - The general aviation market in China is expected to grow steadily, supported by policy guidance, with the number of general airports reaching 475 and the number of general aviation enterprises reaching 760 by 2024 [14] Transportation Sector: Air China - Air China is the only flag carrier in China, with passenger transport services accounting for nearly 91% of total revenue in 2024 [16] - The company reported a revenue of 166.7 billion yuan in 2024, up 18.14% year-on-year, with a sales gross margin of 5.11% [16] - The domestic passenger transport volume reached 730 million in 2024, a 17.86% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high [17] Chemical Sector: Zhejiang Longsheng - The company reported a 6.47% year-on-year decline in revenue to 6.505 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a gross margin of 29.80%, up 1.87 percentage points year-on-year [19][20] - The dye business saw a slight revenue decline of 3.17% to 3.632 billion yuan, but the gross margin improved by 4.40 percentage points to 34.17% [19] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements to maintain stable development amid industry challenges [19] Chemical Sector: Yake Technology - The company achieved a revenue growth of 15.37% in the electronic materials segment, with a total revenue of 2.573 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [24] - The company is actively developing new technologies and products in the LNG and electronic materials sectors, with a focus on semiconductor chemical materials [23] New Energy Sector: Foster - Foster is a leading player in the photovoltaic encapsulation materials market, maintaining a market share of around 50% [27] - The company is exploring new solutions for space environment applications, leveraging its existing technology in photovoltaic materials [28] Medical Sector: Mindray Medical - The company faced revenue pressure in the first half of 2025, with a 23.77% year-on-year decline in Q2 revenue to 8.506 billion yuan [29] - International business revenue increased by 5.39%, accounting for about 50% of total revenue, indicating a growing presence in the global market [30] - The company is focusing on building a digital healthcare ecosystem through the integration of devices, IT, and AI technologies [31] Food and Beverage Sector: Kweichow Moutai - The company is navigating a challenging environment in the liquor industry, focusing on quality and long-term value rather than short-term performance metrics [33] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 39.06 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 91.3% [34] Social Services Sector: Lingnan Holdings - The company achieved a revenue of 2.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 8.52% year-on-year, with a net profit of 50 million yuan, up 24.39% [36] - The company is expanding its travel agency and hotel management services, with a focus on enhancing its operational capabilities [38] Electronics Sector: Zhaoyi Innovation - The company expects a revenue of approximately 9.203 billion yuan in 2025, a 25% year-on-year increase, driven by demand from AI computing and the storage industry [39]