基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 11 月 16 日 化工行业周报 20251116 海外天然气价格、六氟磷酸锂价格上涨，蛋氨酸 价格下跌 十一月份建议关注：1、"十五五"规划建议提及相关子行业；2、低估值行业龙头公司；3、 "反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；4、自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司。 行业动态 投资建议 风险提示 地缘政治因素变化引起油价大幅波动；全球经济形势出现变化。 相关研究报告 《化工行业周报 20251109》20251110 《化工行业周报 20251102》20251104 《化工行业"十五五"规划建议学习体会》 20251028 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 基础化工 证券分析师：余嫄嫄 (8621)20328550 yuanyuan.yu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300517050002 证券分析师：范琦岩 qiyan.fan@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300525040001 强于大市 本周（11.10-11.16）均价跟踪的 100 个化工品种中，共有 42 个品 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688525 | 佰维存储 | 1 | -11.03 | 593亿 | 104.92 | | 300302 | 同有科技 | 1 | -9.78 | 109亿 | 44.54 | | 688123 | 聚辰股份 | 1 | -9.65 | 227亿 | 145.61 | | 688766 | 普朗股份 | 1 | -8.98 | 225亿 | 111.10 | | 301308 | 江波龙 | 1 | -8.89 | 1246亿 | 245.60 | | 002119 | 康賀由子 | 1 | -8.75 | 67.74亿 | 16.82 | | 002654 | 万润科技 | 4 | -8.68 | 133亿 | 29.27 | | 603986 | 兆易创新 | 4→ | -7.99 | 1397亿 | 96.55 | | 688416 | 恒炼股份 | 1 | -7.78 | 50.06亿 | 54.77 | | 300223 | 北京君正 | 1 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a potential rotation in consumer styles, driven by a recovery in CPI and favorable profit-valuation comparisons, suggesting that consumer sectors may experience a rebound [6][2][7] Company Summaries 1. China Eastern Airlines (600115.SH) - Notable inclusion in the November stock selection list, indicating positive sentiment towards the airline sector [1] 2. Baijiu Industry - The baijiu industry is experiencing a significant decline, with revenue and net profit growth rates of -5.8% and -6.9% respectively for the first three quarters of 2025. The third quarter saw a sharper decline with revenue and net profit growth rates of -18.5% and -22.1% respectively. The industry is transitioning from "over-competition" to "orderly competition" as companies reduce channel expenses to stabilize prices [8][7] 3. Baijun Medical (佰仁医疗) - The company reported a revenue of 382 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.58%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 93 million yuan, up 57.93%. The third quarter alone saw a revenue of 134 million yuan, a 31.54% increase year-on-year, although net profit decreased by 9.39% [3][11][12] 4. Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage industry is expected to recover due to policies aimed at boosting consumer spending and improving macroeconomic data. The report notes that the core CPI has shown signs of recovery, with September and October figures at 1.0% and 1.2% respectively, indicating a positive trend in consumer prices [7][2][6] 5. Frozen Food and Beer Sectors - The frozen food sector is closely linked to the restaurant industry, with leading companies showing significant recovery as they adapt to market changes. The beer sector, while still facing challenges, is expected to benefit from the recovery in restaurant consumption in 2026 [9][8] 6. Consumer Spending - The report emphasizes that improving consumer spending is a key goal in the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on enhancing domestic demand as a primary driver of economic growth. The contribution of final consumption expenditure to GDP growth has been higher than that of capital formation in recent years [7][6] 7. Research and Development in Baijun Medical - Baijun Medical has increased its R&D investment, with 118 million yuan spent in the first three quarters, accounting for 30.81% of its revenue. The company has several products in the approval process, which are expected to contribute to future growth [13][12][11]

内容概要：半导体光刻胶作为光刻工艺核心耗材，通过光照改变溶解度，精准复制电路图形至晶圆，其 性能直接影响芯片分辨率、良率与成本，是半导体产业链技术壁垒最高的环节之一。我国高度重视其发 展，出台了多层次政策文件，从产业规划、财税支持、应用推广等多维度发力，为技术研发、产能建设 与下游导入提供系统性保障，推动行业加速发展。当前，我国半导体材料行业处于关键发展阶段，基础 材料批量供应能力提升，高端材料也实现关键技术突破，2024年市场规模达134.6亿美元。其中，半导 体光刻胶行业2024年市场规模约56.3亿元，KrF光刻胶成中高端替代主力，ArF光刻胶实现关键突破。本 土企业已形成多层次产业梯队，南大光电、彤程新材等头部企业实现量产并导入供应链。未来，行业将 沿技术攻坚、生态协同与格局重构三大主线演进，实现高端突破、生态闭环与差异化竞争，推动高质量 自主可控转型。 上市企业：彤程新材（603650.SH）、南大光电（300346.SZ）、晶瑞电材（300655.SZ）、华懋科技 （603306.SH）、上海新阳（300236.SZ）、雅克科技（002409.SZ） 相关企业：北京科华微电子材料有限公司、徐州博康 ...

Core Insights - On November 11, 2023, Yake Technology's stock fell by 2.10%, with a trading volume of 2.061 billion yuan [1] - The company reported a financing buy amount of 224 million yuan and a financing repayment of 301 million yuan, resulting in a net financing outflow of 76.759 million yuan [1] - As of November 11, the total margin balance for Yake Technology was 1.633 billion yuan [1] Financing Summary - On the same day, Yake Technology's financing buy was 224 million yuan, with a current financing balance of 1.614 billion yuan, accounting for 4.26% of its market capitalization [1] - The financing balance is above the 90th percentile level for the past year, indicating a high level of financing activity [1] Securities Lending Summary - On November 11, Yake Technology repaid 2,000 shares in securities lending and sold 1,500 shares, with a selling amount of 119,500 yuan based on the closing price [1] - The remaining securities lending volume was 233,000 shares, with a balance of 18.562 million yuan, also exceeding the 90th percentile level for the past year [1] Company Overview - Yake Technology, established on October 29, 1997, and listed on May 25, 2010, is located in Yixing Economic Development Zone, Jiangsu Province [2] - The company's main business includes R&D, production, and sales of electronic materials, LNG insulation materials, and flame retardants [2] - The revenue composition includes semiconductor chemical materials (49.23%), LNG insulation composite materials (27.13%), LNG engineering installation (7.91%), and other segments [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yake Technology achieved a revenue of 6.467 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.36% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 796 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.33% [2] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Yake Technology had 61,500 shareholders, an increase of 13.91% from the previous period [3] - The average circulating shares per person decreased by 12.21% to 5,179 shares [3] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI 500 ETF, with notable changes in their holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Yake Technology has shown significant growth this year, with a 44.81% increase, reflecting strong performance in the semiconductor materials sector [1][2]. Company Overview - Yake Technology, established on October 29, 1997, and listed on May 25, 2010, is located in Yixing Economic Development Zone, Wuxi, Jiangsu Province. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of electronic materials, LNG insulation materials, and flame retardants [1]. - The main revenue sources for Yake Technology include semiconductor chemical materials and photoresists (49.23%), LNG insulation composite materials (27.13%), LNG engineering installation (7.91%), electronic specialty gases (4.56%), LDS equipment (3.17%), flame retardants (3.15%), spherical silica powder (2.99%), and other businesses (1.88%) [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yake Technology achieved a revenue of 6.467 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.36%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 796 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.33% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Yake Technology has distributed a total of 1.156 billion yuan in dividends, with 752 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Yake Technology had 61,500 shareholders, an increase of 13.91% from the previous period. The average number of tradable shares per shareholder was 5,179, a decrease of 12.21% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited held 8.6671 million shares, a decrease of 7.7969 million shares from the previous period. The Southern CSI 500 ETF held 4.1460 million shares, down by 82,700 shares, while the Guotai CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme ETF entered the top ten with 3.0082 million shares [3].

Core Viewpoint - The phosphoric chemical sector has shown a notable increase of 2.48% as of the market close on November 10, ranking 8th among various concept sectors, with significant movements in stock prices and capital flows [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Within the phosphoric chemical sector, 34 stocks experienced gains, with Qing Shui Yuan reaching a 20% limit up, while companies like Wei Ling Co., Tian Ji Co., and Anada also hit the limit up [1]. - The top gainers included An Da Technology, Ya Ke Technology, and Xing Fu Electronics, which rose by 13.02%, 7.58%, and 5.70% respectively [1]. - Conversely, the stocks with the largest declines were Tai He Technology, Ba Tian Co., and Hunan Yu Neng, which fell by 4.54%, 2.65%, and 1.83% respectively [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The phosphoric chemical sector saw a net outflow of 626 million yuan from major funds, with 18 stocks receiving net inflows [2]. - Tian Ji Co. led the net inflow with 299 million yuan, followed by Lu Xi Chemical and Ya Ke Technology with net inflows of 256 million yuan and 190 million yuan respectively [2]. - The net inflow ratios for Wei Ling Co., Lu Xi Chemical, and Guo Guang Co. were 25.91%, 21.10%, and 11.14% respectively, indicating strong interest from major funds [3].

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the increase in lithium hexafluorophosphate prices and the decline in international oil and carbon black prices. It suggests focusing on sectors mentioned in the "14th Five-Year Plan," undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [1][3] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of November 3-9, 2025, 19 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 45 experienced declines, and 36 remained stable. The average price of lithium hexafluorophosphate rose to 119,000 CNY/ton, a 12.26% increase from the previous week and a 115.38% increase year-on-year [10][34] - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude closing at 59.75 USD/barrel (down 2.02%) and Brent crude at 63.63 USD/barrel (down 2.21%). U.S. oil production increased to an average of 13.651 million barrels per day, up 0.7 thousand barrels from the previous week [10][33] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan," undervalued leading companies, the effects of "anti-involution" on supply, and the growing importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials. It suggests that policy support may lead to demand recovery and improved performance for leading companies [12][10] - Long-term investment themes include the rapid development of downstream industries such as semiconductor materials, OLED materials, and new energy materials, as well as maintaining high or improving conditions in sub-industries like fluorochemicals, agrochemicals, refining, dyes, polyester filament, and tires [12][10] Key Products and Price Changes - The report notes significant price changes among various chemical products, with dichloromethane, vitamin E, and toluene seeing notable increases, while trichloroethylene, styrene-butadiene rubber, and methanol experienced declines [32][36] - The average price of carbon black decreased to 5,981 CNY/ton, down 5.53% from the previous week and down 26.31% year-on-year [35] Market Performance - The basic chemical industry index rose by 3.54%, ranking 5th among 31 primary industries, while the oil and petrochemical sector increased by 4.47%, ranking 3rd [10][11]

| | | | | 存储芯片板块个股 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 代码 | | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | 1 | 300131 | 英唐智控 | 1 | 19.96 | 155亿 | 68.93 | | 2 | 688652 | 京仪装备 | 1 | 13.87 | 180亿 | 118.75 | | 3 | 300223 | 北京君正 | 1 | 10.43 | 462亿 | 40.60 | | ব | 603938 | 三字股份 | 1 | 10.02 | 82.76亿 | 100.39 | | 5 | 002213 | 大为股份 | 1 | 10.01 | 69.17亿 | 114.96 | | 6 | 002409 | 雅克科技 | + | 7.60 | 387亿 | 41.75 | | 7 | 688627 | 精智达 | | 7.52 | 191亿 | 179.73 | | 8 | 688766 | 音用股份 | 1 | 6.68 | 241亿 | 126.08 | | 9 | ...

Core Insights - The New Materials 50 ETF (516710) increased by 0.73%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as TCL Zhonghuan (over 8%), Yake Technology (over 7%), and Dongfang Yuhong and Enjie Shares (over 6%) [1] - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes new materials as a strategic emerging industry cluster, focusing on breakthroughs in key core technologies across the entire supply chain [1] - China Galaxy Securities highlights the strategic path from becoming a "material powerhouse" to a "material strong country," supported by policies for resource security and green transformation [1] Industry Overview - The New Materials 50 ETF closely tracks the CSI New Materials Theme Index, which includes 50 listed companies involved in advanced steel, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, inorganic non-metals, and other key strategic materials [1] - The CSI New Materials Theme Index aims to reflect the overall performance of listed companies in the new materials sector [1]